GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 840

nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:57:55 PM | message detail
That Sonic sure has his hands full!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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rSFF gogogogo!
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 2/18/2010 8:58:33 PM | message detail
Knuckles made history once! Time to do it again!
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
Gooper Blooper | Posted 2/18/2010 9:33:45 PM | message detail
Everyone's always like "Pig Ganon Pig Ganon Pig Ganon" for the 3rd round.

But doesn't Bacon also accept renders? Send in a render from Smash or something if you want him to look good. Is there some obscure rule I'm missing that says characters with sprites can't use renders, even with Snake and Ganondorf where it makes them weaker?
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/18/2010 9:34:26 PM | message detail
Brawl Snake time
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This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/18/2010 9:34:39 PM | message detail
You can use renders, but Bacon's example of what a third round sprite pic should look like features Bacondorf, so we're all assuming he's going to use that one.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:35:34 PM | message detail
This is the example pic for Round 3:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb8/r3_example.jpg
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So yeah...
Gooper Blooper | Posted 2/18/2010 9:36:42 PM | message detail
I've seen it, yeah.

BUT SOMEONE SHOULD MAKE A BETTER ONE
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/18/2010 9:38:12 PM | message detail

From: Gooper Blooper | #007
I've seen it, yeah.

BUT SOMEONE SHOULD MAKE A BETTER ONE


RPGuy actually made a really good one.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/18/2010 9:38:16 PM | message detail
I wanna do a Bacondorf pic, but I'm not sure what the background should be.

Also, Sonic 4 model FTW!

http://i46.tinypic.com/1z65tls.png
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This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/18/2010 9:39:38 PM | message detail
Also, because Leon loved the pic so much, I have to post it:

http://i50.tinypic.com/2i7048k.png

Squall 60-40 on Auron CONFIRMED
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:42:28 PM | message detail
Lol that Squall pic is awesome -- but hey Shoto could you try using this as the background in stead?

http://www.daols.net/bilder/squall1.jpg
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/18/2010 9:49:49 PM | message detail
http://i47.tinypic.com/5zio7n.png

Squall is actually smiling under that Gunblade
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Currently 25th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/18/2010 9:50:31 PM | message detail
As long as he keeps it hidden!

Although his eyebrows are in a strange position for someone who's smiling!
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/18/2010 9:51:26 PM | message detail
That's Squall's devious smile, when he's about to win at Triple Triad.
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Currently 25th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/18/2010 9:51:47 PM | message detail
Tag

And again, Tim in the 2008 contest is evidence that downloadable games can't compete in terms of fandom.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/18/2010 9:52:09 PM | message detail
Hey, Squall, cut the cards!

*BLASTING ZONE*
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
HaRRicH | Posted 2/18/2010 9:53:10 PM | message detail
A lot of people that dislike Sonic because of the series path now are going to download this game and relive the nostalgic days of Sonic vs. Mario, when Sonic was in its prime and was probably more popular than Mario at one point.

You were talking about how Mega Man-fans were buying MM9...but are people who weren't Sonic-fans back during the 32-bit era going to have much nostalgia about that era and buy Sonic 4? No. You're admitting Sonic 4 appeals to the same people, and that's okay because that would be correct.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/18/2010 9:54:24 PM | message detail
"Aw, looks you lose Squall. Promise not to overreact this time?"

*FATED CIRCLE*

*walks out of debris and smoke*"Emo kid, you're pitful"
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This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:54:51 PM | message detail
Shoto that pic is awesome. Please use it. I hope Bacon picks that one. Squall will own Auron's soul.
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/18/2010 9:55:11 PM | message detail
The one thing I love about Blasting Zone is that the energy pillar still rises up out of the earth even if you use it in outer space.

It's still not as ridiculous as Zell running around the entire world in 30 seconds though!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:55:42 PM | message detail
Also I firmly believe that if you switch FF8 and FF7's places Squall would be stronger than Link.
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/18/2010 9:57:41 PM | message detail
Fact/Fiction: Ganondorf will do better on Ken than Squall did on Akuma.
Fact/Fiction: Kirby/GlaDOS will be the biggest blowout of round 2
Fact/Fiction: Vivi/Altair will be the closest match of round 2
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
ZFS | Posted 2/18/2010 9:58:16 PM | message detail
What.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/18/2010 9:59:16 PM | message detail
*refreshes percentages*

Oh blah, I won't be doing that for another 11 hours!
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:59:38 PM | message detail
Fiction
Fiction
Fiction

Bed time for me. Night guys.
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 2/18/2010 10:01:09 PM | message detail
Fiction
Fiction
Fiction
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/18/2010 10:02:27 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #022
Fact/Fiction: Ganondorf will do better on Ken than Squall did on Akuma.
Fact/Fiction: Kirby/GlaDOS will be the biggest blowout of round 2
Fact/Fiction: Vivi/Altair will be the closest match of round 2


1. HUGE fiction. I've always thought Ken would be stronger than Akuma, and dorfo's pic really does look bad. I expect to see again perform a good 5%+ better than Akuma did.
2. Fact, although we could have some contenders. Seph/Vincent jumps to mind.
3. Fiction. I expect (maybe hope more than expect) Ryu/Dante to be a slugfest.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/18/2010 10:04:14 PM | message detail
again = Ken

I have no clue how I managed a typo like that.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/18/2010 10:06:56 PM | message detail
One hour into the match and Knuckles is winning 2 states so far. Too bad it won't last until the end of the match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 2/18/2010 10:07:09 PM | message detail
The difference is that most of old Mega Man's fans still vote Mega Man. A lot of old Sonic fans don't vote for Sonic Team anymore because they hate recent games so much. Sonic 4 could bring them back.
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 2/18/2010 10:51:05 PM | message detail
Fact/Fiction: Ganondorf will do better on Ken than Squall did on Akuma.

Fiction. I honestly think Ken is going to avoid the doubling, and by a comfortable margin too.

Fact/Fiction: Kirby/GlaDOS will be the biggest blowout of round 2

Fiction. Link got 71% against Alucard; I can't see Kirby getting a similar percentage against GlaDOS. It'll probably be more like 68-32, I think. Plus, I think Sora/Laharl, Squall/Terra and Leon/Sackboy will be noteworthy blowouts as well.

Fact/Fiction: Vivi/Altair will be the closest match of round 2

Fact. Gut instinct.

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Chop Chop Master Onion for Character Battle '11!
Kick, punch, it's all in the mind!
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 2/18/2010 10:56:19 PM | message detail
Fact/Fiction: Ganondorf will do better on Ken than Squall did on Akuma.
Fact/Fiction: Kirby/GlaDOS will be the biggest blowout of round 2
Fact/Fiction: Vivi/Altair will be the closest match of round 2


Fact. Just have a feeling
Fiction: Block/Issac, Zelda/Ezio, Cloud/Chris, Snake/Fox,Seph/Vincent. 1 of those.
Fiction: I say Ryu/Dante will be. Not sure why, gut.
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 2/18/2010 11:01:11 PM | message detail
^Zelda/Ezio?
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/18/2010 11:08:10 PM | message detail
Fact/Fiction: Ganondorf will do better on Ken than Squall did on Akuma.
Fact/Fiction: Kirby/GlaDOS will be the biggest blowout of round 2
Fact/Fiction: Vivi/Altair will be the closest match of round 2


Fiction. Ken might avoid being doubled.
Fiction. Sephiroth/Vincent says haaay.
Fiction. Ryu/Danta might take that title.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/18/2010 11:50:59 PM | message detail
I honestly don't think Dante/Ryu is going to end up all that close at this point, but I hope it does.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 2/19/2010 12:31:13 AM | message detail
That Sonic sure has his hands full!

Not since Cloud took his sword!
http://img705.imageshack.us/img705/4399/1266562115750.jpg
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
Japago | Posted 2/19/2010 1:04:49 AM | message detail
Fiction. Ken > Akuma, Squall > Ganondorf. Plus, look at Ganondorf's pic.

Fiction. Wow, nothing jumps out at me. My gut is telling me we've already seen it. Link > Alucard

Fact. I was entering the contest thinking Charizard/Kratos, but not so much after Kratos/Tails.

---
-Heals severely dry skin -18 hour moisturization -Fragrance free -With Vitamin E
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 2/19/2010 2:49:49 AM | message detail
Fact/Fiction: Ganondorf will do better on Ken than Squall did on Akuma.
Fact/Fiction: Kirby/GlaDOS will be the biggest blowout of round 2
Fact/Fiction: Vivi/Altair will be the closest match of round 2


Fiction, Ken should be stronger than Akuma and lol at Ganondumb picture.
Fiction, Glados isn't that weak and Kirby isn't exactly that strong. Link/Alucard, Sephy/Vincent, Squall/Terra and maybe Sora/Laharl are all good contender.
Fact, I don't really see Dante/Ryu and Kratos/Charizard being close. I think Charizard/Dante are going to win with maybe around 54-56%.
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Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times"
ShatteredElysium | Posted 2/19/2010 3:14:00 AM | message detail
Fiction. I think Ken will manage to avoid the doubling so 68% is a bit out of reach for Ganon.
Fiction. I don't think Kirby will outdo Link's beating of Alucard and there's still a few blowouts to come.
Fiction. Not sure on who exactly will take the closest match, just get a feeling it won't be this match.
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 ~~~ Individual: 4th ~~~ Team: 5th (Partner BZer0)
paulg235 | Posted 2/19/2010 5:34:17 AM | message detail
Hmm, Sonic's looking pretty good, now. if he stays around that percent, he looks not bad. Bad for an SFF match, but Knuckles is a midcarder and a big chunk of the Sonic community prefer him over Sonic.

That said, Knuckles would probably win this if this was A Sonic character contest, but the amount of people that would just vote Sonic because they don't know or care about the two here easily gives Sonic enough ground to look good.
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The Gamer In Me
My Signature's broken, just like your front door.
paulg235 | Posted 2/19/2010 5:35:41 AM | message detail
Anyway...

Fiction, Ganon goes for the 63% mark.
Fiction, Kirby doubles GlaDOS at the most.
Fiction, something will happen.
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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/19/2010 5:59:48 AM | message detail
Hey I also think that:
Ganon will win but not better than Squall.
I don't think so.Kirby shall win but not the biggest win.
It will be close but not the closest probably.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/19/2010 6:45:35 AM | message detail
@paulg235: In case you didn't know I am the Analysis Crew Guest for the next match, and I ended up pegging Ganondorf to get 63.43%. Seems like we both agree, though I will confess that I lowered the percent a bit due to the Wind Waker pic (as much as I think Wind Waker is underrated on this site, I agree that Zelda characters shouldn't be drawing WW pics).
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/19/2010 6:47:13 AM | message detail
Looks like Sonic has a better morning vote than Knuckles. He's gone up about 1% since 5:30 A.M.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/19/2010 6:53:22 AM | message detail
FICTION: I've already explained the Ganondorf business.
FACT: GLaDOS broke 40% on Falco last year, and Falco turned out to be weaksauce (at this point he looks worse than PEACH for chrissakes!). Kirby is much stronger than Falco most probably, and I couldn't think of any matches that could end up with a larger blowout. It's very, very possible.
FACT: Eh, once again this one's more of a "very, very possible" than absolutely true, but I don't see Ryu/Dante being as close as you all are expecting, and...what else is there besides that? Need more info before answering, I suppose.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/19/2010 6:56:12 AM | message detail
Potential round 2 close matches (barring unexpectedly close matches, which would be nice to have):

Vivi/Altair
Zidane/Ike
Mega Man/Zack (Probably not, but maybe...?)
Hayabusa/Chief
Charizard/Kratos (Again, probably not, but maybe...?)
Riku/Captain Falcon
Ryu/Dante
Yoshi/Missingno (...Maybe)
Big Daddy/Ness
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Ultimaphazon | Posted 2/19/2010 7:06:39 AM | message detail
FICTION: Squall > Ganon and Ken > Akuma. I'm guessing Ganondorf gets around the 62% mark.
FICTION: I doubt Kirby can equal Link's percentage. Glados isn't that weak.
FICTION: Looking at Leonhart's list of potential close matches, I'm predicting Riku / Captain Falcon to be the closest match.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/19/2010 7:06:59 AM | message detail
I love how people are so scared of Zack at this point that a reaction to him being in a pretty much unwinnable match is "Yeah, well, it's ZACK, so who knows?"

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Achromatic | Posted 2/19/2010 7:08:29 AM | message detail
Fiction: I just don't think ganon has the power to do that to anyone with anything reasonably good.
Fiction: Kirby will beat Link, but he won't beat the massive ass whooping Squall lays down upon Terra's person.
Fiction: Ryu/Dante
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"Because some charities are corrupt." -bobby1986 on why it is better to give to the church instead of a charity.
Sir Chris
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/19/2010 7:08:52 AM | message detail
Vivi/Altair
Zidane/Ike
Mega Man/Zack (Probably not, but maybe...?)
Hayabusa/Chief
Charizard/Kratos (Again, probably not, but maybe...?)
Riku/Captain Falcon
Ryu/Dante
Yoshi/Missingno (...Maybe)
Big Daddy/Ness


I don't see why it would be expected that Vivi/Altair would be close right now. I mean, any match has the potential to surprise, but I don't see how Vivi is in the mix.

I agree with Zidane/Ike, and Mega Man/Zack.

I don't think Hayabusa is going to be able to make the match close. I think MC is going to XBOX him into the ground, and it's not going to look good on him.

Charizard/Kratos could be close for sure, with GOW3 coming out, but it will be nice to see where Tails stands in light of that match.

Riku/Captain Falcon I think is going to be somewhat close, but most likely Riku is going to win by at least 5%, Ryu/Dante is going to be epic and I think Ryu is going to edge it. Yoshi is going to beat MissingNo in a vote infested stuff-fest. Big Daddy is going to drop the hammer on Ness I think.

Possible Close Matches IMO

Zidane/Ike
Mega Man/Zack
Kefka/Bowser
Charizard/Kratos
Jecht/Ratchet
Zelda/Ezio
Ryu/Dante
Auron/Zero
Yoshi/MissingNo
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.