GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 839

PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/18/2010 9:06:32 PM | message detail
Man, I thought Knuckles would put up a much better show than this. I'd never like to see Mario/Luigi in a 1v1, god damn.
---
Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
vcharon | Posted 2/18/2010 9:07:04 PM | message detail
Nothing to do with Sonic beasting. This is simple SFF, nothing more. Both looked liked crap in round 1, now Sonic gets to look good because he's facing someone else from his fading franchise.
---
:>
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:07:26 PM | message detail
Lightning > Knuckles hell yeah
---
If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:07:33 PM | message detail
I still wonder how Mario/Yoshi would go. Probably fairly similar to this, and yet if you held the favorite Mario character poll the very next day, Yoshi would still win.
---
Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:08:15 PM | message detail
Five minute extrapolated standings!

50.00 Sonic the Hedgehog
36.14 Lightning
34.48 Knuckles the Echidna
33.10 Cecil Harvey


Dammit I wanted Cecil > Lightning. I guess Lightning > Knuckles is pretty funny though.
---
Mustache...and Green...
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/18/2010 9:08:40 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #402
Nothing to do with Sonic beasting. This is simple SFF, nothing more. Both looked liked crap in round 1, now Sonic gets to look good because he's facing someone else from his fading franchise.


Oh yeah, it's not like this makes me less nervous about Sonic's chances against dorf and Kirby; he's clearly got a couple of fights ahead of him. I just wanted Knux to do better.
---
Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 2/18/2010 9:08:48 PM | message detail
I wonder how much SFF is really in this match...
---
"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
paraboxx | Posted 2/18/2010 9:08:51 PM | message detail
Bah, a normal match pic. I really wanted that logo pic I saw floating around earlier.

Anyone who expected Knuckles to make a match of this was either forgetting Crono/Magus and Mega Man/Zero or just blatantly ignoring them.

Now anyone who hoped he would make a match of it...I feel your pain.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/18/2010 9:08:53 PM | message detail
YES! Sonic is only 0.06% below my Oracle right now. For not knowing how this match would turn out, I made a prediction under the assumption that Lightning would barely beat Knuckles in a match, which means a percentage a little bit higher than what Sonic had last round. Though that can be error prone due to SFF/rSFF.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/18/2010 9:09:46 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
67------1------------0.00
66------8------------100.00
65------32----------78.13
64------92----------72.83
63------125--------70.40
62------206--------60.68
61------300--------57.33
60------401--------53.12
59------594--------51.85
58------802--------48.50
57------1093------45.65
56------1332------44.29
55------1462------42.54
54------1555------43.22
53------1651------41.19
52------1670------43.11
51------1726------42.41
50------1527------37.98
49------1424------33.64
48------1410------37.80
47------1238------33.44
46------1115------35.16
45------967--------29.37
44------850--------29.53
43------672--------27.53
42------634--------27.92
41------496--------22.98
40------454--------24.01
39------341--------27.86
38------263--------23.19
37------197--------25.38
36------167--------26.95
35------133--------26.32
34------96----------21.88
33------72----------26.39
32------47----------12.77
31------38----------10.53
30------23----------13.04
29------20----------15.00
28------11----------18.18
27------18----------5.56
26------14----------7.14
25------8------------25.00
24------7------------14.29
23------6------------16.67
22------10----------0.00
21------4------------0.00
20------8------------12.50
19------8------------12.50
18------6------------16.67
17------9------------11.11
16------10----------10.00
15------18----------0.00
14------7------------0.00
13------12----------25.00
12------10----------0.00
11------11----------18.18
10------10----------30.00
9--------9------------0.00
8--------16----------6.25
7--------10----------0.00
6--------3------------0.00
5--------8------------0.00
4--------7------------0.00
3--------13----------15.38
2--------13----------0.00
1--------42----------2.38
0--------26----------0.00

The top tiers didn't do too badly considering the low prediction percentage. We lose our last -3 but all the -4s get the match right. All the way down to the -11s manage to stay above 50 for the prediction percentage.

9 people fell off the Top 50. tazzyboyishere, Aaromier, user345, chocoboslayer, RappinHobo9292, firefdr, MysteriousStan, Danyeahl and DragoonDave07 did not have Weighted Companion Cube winning the match.

1 person got it wrong and survived. Former first place Fr0g802 also did not have Weighted Companion Cube winning the match.
---
Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
tgs2 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:10:17 PM | message detail
I'm just hoping he avoids the double for at least this first hour.
---
You may take Mr. Rogers down, but I will be back and become more powerful than you ever imagine
"tgs is taking it alone"
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/18/2010 9:10:52 PM | message detail

From: KnuxBeatMagus | #407
I wonder how much SFF is really in this match...


Based on '07 lolxstats Sonic wins with 62.49%, so not much really...
---
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/18/2010 9:10:52 PM | message detail
Meh.

See you in twelve ho... **** it, see you during Vivi/Altair.
---
Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:11:14 PM | message detail
So Knuckles cuts percentage with the second update. Strange after Sonic gained so much percentage through the first 5 minutes.
---
Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:12:04 PM | message detail
If you guys assume there is no SFF here, and that Sonic is legit on this, and Lightning is stronger than Knux, Sonic is beasting.

I don't see why there would be that much SFF tbqh. The Sonic fanbase has always been split on Knux and Sonic and quite often people prefer Knux to Sonic. This is just Sonic being stronger, by a lot.

And if Lightning > Knuckles, legit, Sonic is a beast this year.
---
Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
vcharon | Posted 2/18/2010 9:13:36 PM | message detail

From: EternalxCourage | #415
If you guys assume there is no SFF here, and that Sonic is legit on this, and Lightning is stronger than Knux, Sonic is beasting.

I don't see why there would be that much SFF tbqh. The Sonic fanbase has always been split on Knux and Sonic and quite often people prefer Knux to Sonic. This is just Sonic being stronger, by a lot.

And if Lightning > Knuckles, legit, Sonic is a beast this year.


Ridiculous. Then you're just going to assume SFF doesn't exist in any other obvious match between two series stars. This is SFF, the end.
---
:>
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/18/2010 9:13:48 PM | message detail
I voted knux, and I always vote sonic >_ > So ya.. Im not sure about the amount of SFF here.
---
Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/18/2010 9:14:00 PM | message detail
Sonic has always been over 60% on Knuckles without SFF and Knuckles looked worse than ever before this year, definitely the most disappointing performance from Sonic Team. I don't think this is really that much SFF if there is anyway
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 2/18/2010 9:14:09 PM | message detail
and Lightning is stronger than Knux, Sonic is beasting.

See, I'd have the opposite reaction. This corroborates the whole "Knuckles looks awful" thing that Cecil put out there.
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
red sox 777 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:14:42 PM | message detail
Does it matter that much? If there's no SFF, you could just as easily say Knuckles is weak as you could say Sonic is strong.
---
Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 2/18/2010 9:15:00 PM | message detail
I voted knux, and I always vote sonic

yup, same
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 2/18/2010 9:15:12 PM | message detail
Argh
---
"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:15:25 PM | message detail
DAMMIT KNUX
---
-.-
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/18/2010 9:15:31 PM | message detail
Whoa, 1% gain for the doubling.
---
holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:15:55 PM | message detail
Link is so screwed next year.

Lightning for champ.
---
If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:16:01 PM | message detail
Yeah but with Kefka and Terra's performances how can you really say that Knux is definitely weaker? If it follows the trend Cecil is a lot stronger than originally anticipated. Unfortunately we still won't get a good read until Ganon vs. Sonic.
---
Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
red sox 777 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:16:16 PM | message detail
My guess: Knuckles = Magus = Frog = 30-32% on Crono
---
Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
vcharon | Posted 2/18/2010 9:16:44 PM | message detail
Even Ganon/Sonic will likely be tainted because it'll be pig Ganon and he will lay a giant egg.
---
:>
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:16:53 PM | message detail
From: eaglesarebeasts | Posted: 2/18/2010 9:15:00 PM | #421
I voted knux, and I always vote sonic

yup, same



---
http://i261.photobucket.com/albums/ii49/superangelo128/Sabermaid.jpg
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/18/2010 9:17:24 PM | message detail
Of course if Sonic takes this near 70% that could be a different story
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:17:42 PM | message detail
True enough, Red, but I like to believe that there's no way Knuckles could have dropped from a 47% on Squall to zones where this wouldn't be enough to at least prove Sonic is still Noble 9 strength. If you guys think Squall is the 10th strongest (excluding joke characters) do you really think that Squall has made up 12+% points on Knux now?
---
Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 2/18/2010 9:17:47 PM | message detail
Yeah but with Kefka and Terra's performances how can you really say that Knux is definitely weaker?

Yes, because Knuckles really had no reason to make that match close without dropping or Cecil making an unrealistic boost. Cecil could only have boosted so much before we start getting into silly things like Cecil giving Kirby a good match.
---
"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
HaRRicH | Posted 2/18/2010 9:19:03 PM | message detail
I no longer care about this match and am more eagerly awaiting the likes of Kirby/GlaDOS, Sora/Laharl, and Terra/Squall than the next eleven hours and forty-one minutes.
---
T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 2/18/2010 9:19:07 PM | message detail
If you guys think Squall is the 10th strongest (excluding joke characters) do you really think that Squall has made up 12+% points on Knux now?

2010 Squall > 2005 Squall

2005 Knuckles > 2010 Knuckles

That goes a long way to it, and the likelihood that Knuckles may have overperformed in that match to begin with due to the unlikely upset of Magus.
---
"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
paraboxx | Posted 2/18/2010 9:19:12 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
red sox 777 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:19:32 PM | message detail
Sonic should beat Ganon in the sprite round, even this weakened Sonic. To impress, he has to win easily (55%+). To look as good as 2006 Sonic, I'd probably set him a target of 60% or so given that it is the sprite round and we're dealing with a much weakened Ganondorf than TP Hype Ganondorf in 2006.
---
Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:20:15 PM | message detail
Why not though? The board in general is well known for loving older FFs, and then with the ports and Dissidia Cecil has been exposed to the mainstream FF lovers. So I think that the FF fanbase in general backing Cecil including the somewhat obvious site shift could easily bring Cecil up to higher levels.

I mean I wouldn't rule out a Knuckles drop -- but I also wouldn't think that Knuckles has dropped 12% under any circumstances at this point.
---
Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/18/2010 9:20:46 PM | message detail
wow... it's getting ugly quick
---
Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 16th
Today's prediction: Sonic with 64.80% Status:
vcharon | Posted 2/18/2010 9:20:51 PM | message detail
... why would Squall be the 10th strongest character after he lost clean to Vincent 1vs1?
---
:>
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/18/2010 9:20:51 PM | message detail
Holy crap, this is getting UGLY
---
This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:21:02 PM | message detail
I no longer care about this match and am more eagerly awaiting the likes of Kirby/GlaDOS, Sora/Laharl, and Terra/Squall than the next eleven hours and forty-one minutes.

I notice you follow the convention of listing the winners first...!
---
Mustache...and Green...
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:21:06 PM | message detail
Yeah, this is so SFF.
---
-.-
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 2/18/2010 9:21:25 PM | message detail
Or the order they're going to be in the poll...!
---
"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/18/2010 9:21:28 PM | message detail
If Sonic keeps rising, then we could say that there was some SFF here.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:22:13 PM | message detail
I know that Squall is stronger and that Knux is likely weaker (although with Sonic 4 eminent I am pretty optimistic about Sonic Team getting a boost, especially since it's going back to the roots), but I guess maybe I'm being bullheaded in refusing to believe that Knuckles could have dropped that far, and that Sonic isn't still at least 8th in the NN.
---
Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
charmander6000 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:22:58 PM | message detail
Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Pokemon Trainer Red – 50.16% vs. Revolver Ocelot – 49.84% (R1) – 0.32%
2. Missingno – 50.29% vs. Crono – 49.71% (R1) – 0.58%
3. Ken – 50.32% vs. Albert Wesker – 49.68% (R1) – 0.64%
4. Knuckles the Echidna – 52.00% vs. Cecil Harvey – 48.00% (R1) – 4.00%
5. The Boss – 52.37% vs. Nathan Drake – 47.63% (R1) – 4.74%
6. Amaterasu – 52.59% vs. Shadow the Hedgehog – 47.41% (R1) – 5.18%
7. Jecht – 52.70% vs. Phoenix Wright – 47.30% (R1) – 5.40%
8. Gordon Freeman – 53.25% vs. Princess Peach – 46.75% (R1) – 6.50%
9. Weighted Companion Cube – 53.80% vs. The Boss – 46.20% (R2) – 7.60%
10. Sub-Zero – 53.86% vs. Tidus – 46.14% (R1) – 7.72%


Top 10 Smallest Night Vote Gaps
1. Pokemon Trainer Red – 29195 vs. Revolver Ocelot – 29013 (R1) – 182
2. Jecht – 26287 vs. Phoenix Wright – 23592 (R1) – 2695
3. Terra Branford – 27612 vs. Darth Revan – 23647 (R1) – 3965
4. Vivi Ornitier – 30113 vs. Donkey Kong – 23379 (R1) – 6734
5. Roxas – 31010 vs. Heavy – 23427 (R1) – 7583
6. Auron – 29758 vs. Aerith Gainsborough – 21870 (R1) – 7888
7. Kirby – 30566 vs. Rikku – 22560 (R1) – 8006
8. Ganondorf – 30642 vs. Mewtwo – 21606 (R1) – 9036
9. Luigi – 31026 vs. Amaterasu – 21036 (R2) – 9990
10. Kefka – 28769 vs. Arthas Menethil – 18810 (R1) – 10043


Top 10 Smallest Day Vote Gaps
1. Ken – 36484 vs. Albert Wesker – 36013 (R1) – 471
2. Missingno – 45804 vs. Crono – 45277 (R1) – 527
3. Knuckles the Echidna – 37437 vs. Cecil Harvey – 34558 (R1) – 2879
4. The Boss – 36615 vs. Nathan Drake – 33295 (R1) – 3320
5. Amaterasu – 41994 vs. Shadow the Hedgehog – 37852 (R1) – 4142
6. Gordon Freeman – 41389 vs. Princess Peach – 36330 (R1) – 5059
7. Weighted Companion Cube – 40132 vs. The Boss – 34466 (R2) – 5666
8. Sub-Zero – 41693 vs. Tidus – 35717 (R1) – 5976
9. Sackboy – 38845 vs. Kratos Aurion – 32320 (R1) – 6525
10. Laharl – 31134 vs. Neku Sakuraba – 24141 (R1) – 6983


Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers
1. Crono (R1) – 45277
2. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 37852
3. Princess Peach (R1) - 36330
4. Albert Wesker (R1) – 36013
5. Tidus (R1) – 35717
6. Cecil Harvey (R1) – 34558
7. The Boss (R2) – 34466
8. Nathan Drake (R1) – 33295
9. Kratos Aurion (R1) – 32320
10. Liquid Snake (R1) – 31086


Top 10 Least Impressive Day Winners
1. Laharl (R1) – 31134
2. Ken (R1) – 36484
3. The Boss (R1) – 36615
4. Knuckles the Echidna (R1) – 37437
5. Alucard (R1) – 38150
6. Sackboy (R1) – 38845
7. GlaDOS (R1) – 39381
8. Weighted Companion Cube (R2) – 40132
9. Gordon Freeman (R1) – 41389
10. Sub-Zero (R1) – 41693


Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Missingno vs. Crono (R1) – 21.94%
2. Amaterasu vs. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 36.27%
3. Weighted Companion Cube vs. The Boss (R2) – 38.31%
4. Vivi vs. Donkey Kong (R1) – 39.95%
5. Sub-Zero vs. Tidus (R1) – 41.68%
6. The Boss vs. Nathan Drake (R1) – 44.82%
7. Jecht vs. Phoenix Wright (R1) – 45.40%
8. Mega Man X vs. Pokemon Trainer Red (R2) – 46.24%
9. Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Simon Belmont (R1) – 47.90%
10. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Revolver Ocelot (R1) – 51.22%

---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 59/72 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Ganondorf
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 2/18/2010 9:23:13 PM | message detail
Only Sonic is going to be in Sonic 4 though, right? I could see it helping him if it's well received, but MM9 didn't seem to help Mega Man out much.
---
"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 9:23:18 PM | message detail
I would assume that Squall > Vincent now since Squall has had recent exposure while Vincent hasn't and the match was so close to begin with. I also think a bit of the Squall hate is wearing off.
---
Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
red sox 777 | Posted 2/18/2010 9:23:20 PM | message detail
It's definitely possible for Knuckles to drop that much- Magus did, and Magus and Knuckles have been in very similar situations, with both Crono and Sonic dropping off a good ways since 2005. It takes less of an impact on the site for weaker characters to boost or fall than stronger characters, so Knux and Magus have felt the pain more than Crono and Sonic.
---
Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
vcharon | Posted 2/18/2010 9:24:09 PM | message detail

From: EternalxCourage | #448
I would assume that Squall > Vincent now since Squall has had recent exposure while Vincent hasn't and the match was so close to begin with. I also think a bit of the Squall hate is wearing off.


That's... ridiculous.
---
:>