GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 838

realhilfan | Posted 2/18/2010 12:35:49 AM | message detail
I would be fine with a compromise that makes every vote from the USA worth 3/5 of a vote.

Totally got that random history reference, albeit, racist.
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I hope your children turn out to be republicans...and yes, I mean that as an insult
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Xuxon | Posted 2/18/2010 12:37:23 AM | message detail

From: yoshifan823 | #249
See if Missingno is legit


Beating a Noble Niner straight up with no momentum doesn't qualify as legit?

Anyway, 6/32 isn't too bad, and thanks to the format that's nearly 1 every other day.
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The Real Truth | Posted 2/18/2010 12:40:09 AM | message detail
Hey Amaterasu is doing pretty good.
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Xuxon | Posted 2/18/2010 12:42:02 AM | message detail

From: Lightslayer987 | #250
Seriously, if you list ryu/chief, which is a virtual lock, you should list those 2 if not more.


How is that a virtual lock? I'm not even sure which one you could think is a lock.
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Ultimaphazon | Posted 2/18/2010 12:45:34 AM | message detail
Best classic, playable Street Fighter? (Street Fighter II)
Ryu 33.42% 639
Ken 15.43% 295
E. Honda 5.96% 114
Chun-Li 12.40% 237
Blanka 9.88% 189
Zangief 6.59% 126
Guile 8.53% 163
Dhalsim 7.79% 149
TOTAL VOTES 1912


Bacon put up that same poll on the main page about a year ago.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3395

For what it's worth, the ranking is pretty much the same. Ryu dominated more in the site-wide poll, and Gief, Dhalsim, and Honda did worse there. Ryu >>> Ken > Chun > Blanka > Guile > Sim is still true for both polls. Honda and Gief are switched.

Also, considering this poll, I never understood why some people wanted to rally Guile for the next CB. Not only did he do pretty badly, but he actually did worse than Blanka. So I think if anything, Blanka should be next in line.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/18/2010 12:46:26 AM | message detail

From: Xuxon | #254
How is that a virtual lock? I'm not even sure which one you could think is a lock.


Chief is like a 85% favorite in the guru. Thats about as much of a lock as you can get.
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Xuxon | Posted 2/18/2010 12:53:39 AM | message detail
Did you not see the same pathetic round 1 performance that I saw or something? Just because not many people picked it ahead of time doesn't mean it's a lock to not happen. Example, after Cecil's performance, Terra and Kefka went from having no chance to having a great chance, and actually won..
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Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/18/2010 12:55:11 AM | message detail
Except nothing about either Ryu or Chiefs performance in round 1 should change expectations for that match. Both did bad.
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I Am Albion Hero!
Xuxon | Posted 2/18/2010 1:05:18 AM | message detail
But Chief did even worse, and despite being picked by 85% of brackets, no one thought he'd blow Ryu away. It's going to be a close match.
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The Real Truth | Posted 2/18/2010 1:05:43 AM | message detail
I wouldn't take Chief over Ryu. Neither pick is a lock.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
LordLockeRA | Posted 2/18/2010 2:25:27 AM | message detail
I dunno. I'd have to see Ryu H. do something besides roll over and completely die against someone with mainstream appeal before I consider the match with Master Chief to be anything remotely near debatable. The guy just implodes when he runs into anyone whom the casuals would gobble up.
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Meeh. Whatever.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 2/18/2010 2:50:04 AM | message detail
So is this Ammy doing really good or Luigi doing p.bad?
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
paulg235 | Posted 2/18/2010 2:53:27 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
paulg235 | Posted 2/18/2010 2:53:53 AM | message detail
A combination of both. I figured Ammy would do well in this match, but not this well. Luigi's not the same man he once was in 2006/7.
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream
Xuxon | Posted 2/18/2010 3:15:27 AM | message detail
This is right around where I predicted. As I thought, Shadow is still decent 1v1, Amaterasu is just stronger.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/18/2010 4:16:43 AM | message detail
Okay, I was thinking up of some possible divisions that could be done in a 1 vs. 1 game contest. I'm sorry if this is off topic, but I kinda wanted to join this fun, so here are two divisions I thought of:

Glove Division
(1) Super Smash Bros. Brawl vs. (16) Final Fantasy Tactics Advance
(8) The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion vs. (9) Diablo II
(5) Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare vs. (12) Street Fighter II
(4) Tetris vs. (13) Shadow of the Colossus
(3) Half-Life 2 vs. (14) Star Fox 64
(6) BioShock vs. (11) Gears of War
(7) Halo 3 vs. (10) Okami
(2) Super Mario Galaxy vs. (15) LittleBigPlanet

Axe Division
(1) Resident Evil 4 vs. (16) Kirby Super Star
(8) Fallout 3 vs. (9) Zelda: Majora's Mask
(5) Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 vs. (12) Mario Kart 64
(4) Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas vs. (13) Mario Kart Wii
(3) GoldenEye 007 vs. (14) Chrono Cross
(7) Half-Life vs. (10) Portal
(2) Final Fantasy X vs. (15) Perfect Dark

Thoughts?
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 2/18/2010 4:29:28 AM | message detail
Crono could only score 65% on Ammy last year, seeing as how Luigi could quite possibly hit 60-61% with the ASV(though he doesn't have one in this match), i think he is actually performing okay here.
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Ultimaphazon | Posted 2/18/2010 4:38:01 AM | message detail
Pfft, like we're ever gonna see a game contest without a generation split.

Glove Division
Super Smash Bros. Brawl
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion
Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare
Tetris
Half-Life 2
BioShock
Okami
Super Mario Galaxy

Brawl
CoD4
HL2
SMG

Brawl
SMG (it feels so wrong to SMG going to the division finals)

Brawl

Axe Division

Resident Evil 4
Fallout 3
Mario Kart 64
Mario Kart Wii
GoldenEye 007
insert winner of the missing match here
Portal
Final Fantasy X

RE4
MK64
GE007
FFX

RE4
FFX

FFX

Winner

Brawl

While some first round matches seem debatable, I think that round 2 and later would mostly be pretty obvious matches. The second half of the Glove division seems the hardest to predict for the later rounds
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/18/2010 5:02:43 AM | message detail
Whoops about the Axe Division! Uhm...

(1) Resident Evil 4 vs. (16) Kirby Super Star
(8) Fallout 3 vs. (9) Zelda: Majora's Mask
(5) Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 vs. (12) Mario Kart 64
(4) Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas vs. (13) Mario Kart Wii
(3) GoldenEye 007 vs. (14) Chrono Cross
(6) God of War vs. (11) Earthbound
(7) Half-Life vs. (10) Portal
(2) Final Fantasy X vs. (15) Perfect Dark

Sorry my entertainment time ends in a bit so I will post more divisions...maybe tomorrow or something?
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/18/2010 5:19:31 AM | message detail
Awesome performance by Ammy here. Wouldn't it be hilarious if Sonic Team ended up doing really well despite all the tanking? This makes Shadow look excellent.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/18/2010 5:26:49 AM | message detail
what the... Ammy is breaking 40% ?

you know, I think I've never overestimated her since she's been in these contests
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 18th
Today's prediction: Luigi with 62.95% Status: meh
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/18/2010 5:49:38 AM | message detail
Of course, this means that Shadow now can't even break 40% on Luigi, which is quite a fall from grace considering that he once broke 45% on MARIO. And Luigi is only a middle midcarder in these contests and not a high midcarder, so somebody who's barely breaking 40% on him is a low midcarder. Ammy's not exactly impressing here; he's merely performing up to expectations.

Sorry, this is just my understanding.
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/18/2010 6:11:33 AM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #272
Of course, this means that Shadow now can't even break 40% on Luigi, which is quite a fall from grace considering that he once broke 45% on MARIO. And Luigi is only a middle midcarder in these contests and not a high midcarder, so somebody who's barely breaking 40% on him is a low midcarder. Ammy's not exactly impressing here; he's merely performing up to expectations.

Sorry, this is just my understanding.


That's a very accurate understanding, except Ammy is a she.
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
charmander6000 | Posted 2/18/2010 6:35:34 AM | message detail
Match LXVIII: (7) Weighted Companion Cube vs. (15) The Boss

Last Round

Weighted Companion Cube – 78.10%
Sandal – 21.90%

Nathan Drake – 47.63%
The Boss – 52.37%

Analysis

While I no longer believe that The Boss can win against WCC I do find it a bit ridiculous that some people expect it to crush The Boss. Sure joke characters are not as weak as what some people were predicting, but at the same time they don’t seem to be as strong as they were in four-ways.

Weighted Companion Cube may have pulled off one of the biggest blowouts of the round, but anyone that has played Dragon Age should have seen this coming. Sandal is quite literally a random person in the game that nobody remembers the name of. Had the entrant been Enchantment Guy from Dragon Age he would have done much better.

The Boss also isn’t some weak character. People may have laughed at Nathan Drake for failing to win, but it does help show that The Boss is high fodder or even near the fodder line. Had jokes been as weak as I thought they would be I wouldn’t have any problem taking The Boss, but after watching L-Block easily win over HK-47 it would take a miracle, especially since if it comes down to a close match WCC will just rally to get enough of a win.

L-Block got 64% against HK-47, I would take The Boss over HK-47 and I would take L-Block over WCC. Like I said the gap is a bit too big to cover, but The Boss should put up a respectable performance on the cube. It would be pretty exciting to see a 15 seed in the third round, but that may be asking for too much.

charmander6000’s Bracket: The Boss > Weighted Companion Cube

charmander6000’s Prediction: Weighted Companion Cube wins, 53.68% - 46.32%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 57/68 - Today's Winners: Luigi and The Boss
red sox 777 | Posted 2/18/2010 6:48:02 AM | message detail
Looks like Luigi didn't do too badly overnight. An okay performance for both of them then.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 2/18/2010 7:08:47 AM | message detail
Ammy did pretty damn well IMO. Almost WON an update.


Also lol at the Ryu H/MC debate. As if Kratos/Charizard isn't more debatable than that. But keep making assumptions based on the first round, guys.
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CBVIII: 62/68 - 62 pts, tied for 42nd
Night Pick: LUEigi Day Pick: The Boss
paulg235 | Posted 2/18/2010 7:09:51 AM | message detail

From: DaruniaTheGoron | #276
Ammy did pretty damn well IMO. Almost WON an update.


I just checked, she DID win an update around the 3 hour mark.
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The Gamer In Me
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EternalxCourage | Posted 2/18/2010 7:12:42 AM | message detail
Ryu H isn't going to compete with MC.

Kratos vs. Charizard is going to be more interesting.

Also lol @ people doubting the Sonic team. They've actually all done really well this year. I've said this from the beginning though, so w/e.
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I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/18/2010 7:27:17 AM | message detail
Another makeshift division that I fished out of my head:

Castle Division
(1) Super Mario 64 vs. (16) Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney
(8) Grand Theft Auto III vs. (9) Mega Man X
(5) Zelda: Wind Waker vs. (12) Banjo-Kazooie
(4) Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow vs. (13) Xenogears
(3) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. (14) Soul Calibur
(6) Metroid Prime vs. (11) StarCraft
(7) Super Mario Kart vs. (10) Doom
(2) The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess vs. (15) Star Fox 64
paulg235 | Posted 2/18/2010 7:27:34 AM | message detail
Shadow did fine, and he looks even better with this match (he'd win against Meta Knight). Tails definitely looked good. Knuckles sucked it though. Lightning's a hyped-up unknown.
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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/18/2010 7:40:01 AM | message detail
Castle Division
(1) Super Mario 64 vs. (16) Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney
(8) Grand Theft Auto III vs. (9) Mega Man X
(5) Zelda: Wind Waker vs. (12) Banjo-Kazooie
(4) Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow vs. (13) Xenogears
(3) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. (14) Soul Calibur
(6) Metroid Prime vs. (11) StarCraft
(7) Super Mario Kart vs. (10) Doom
(2) The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess vs. (15) Star Fox 64


Way to waste Star Fox 64 there. Also, where's SSB64?
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Biolizard28 | Posted 2/18/2010 7:40:53 AM | message detail

From: EternalxCourage | #278
Ryu H isn't going to compete with MC.


You think Ezio can beat Zelda.

Your argument is invalid.
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who needs a dick when you're good at smash brothers - stingers
Now this is entertainment!
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/18/2010 7:58:18 AM | message detail
I planned SSB64 to be the 9 seed in the next division, to go against Final Fantasy XII as its first test before getting SFFd by Super Mario World.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:00:49 AM | message detail
(1) Super Mario 64 vs. (16) Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney
(8) Grand Theft Auto III vs. (9) Mega Man X
(5) Zelda: Wind Waker vs. (12) Banjo-Kazooie
(4) Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow vs. (13) Xenogears
(3) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. (14) Soul Calibur
(6) Metroid Prime vs. (11) StarCraft
(7) Super Mario Kart vs. (10) Doom
(2) The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess vs. (15) Star Fox 64


That is a ****ton of Nintendo
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Dood.
charmander6000 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:13:45 AM | message detail
Shadow did fine, and he looks even better with this match (he'd win against Meta Knight). Tails definitely looked good. Knuckles sucked it though. Lightning's a hyped-up unknown.

I believe Meta Knight was SFF, he'd have a close match against Ammy. Knuckles is fine once you see that Old Final Fantasy has looked good in this contest.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 57/68 - Today's Winners: Luigi and The Boss
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/18/2010 8:17:13 AM | message detail
(1) Super Mario 64 vs. (16) Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney
(8) Grand Theft Auto III vs. (9) Mega Man X
(5) Zelda: Wind Waker vs. (12) Banjo-Kazooie
(4) Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow vs. (13) Xenogears
(3) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. (14) Soul Calibur
(6) Metroid Prime vs. (11) StarCraft
(7) Super Mario Kart vs. (10) Doom
(2) The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess vs. (15) Star Fox 64


I was beaten to it, but way to oversaturate this division with Nintendo. This division probably sucks as much as the Jenova Division.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
charmander6000 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:21:37 AM | message detail
You can have a lot of Nintendo if the matches are interesting.

However the only interesting matches here are

GTAIII/MMX
SM64/RBY/Melee

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 57/68 - Today's Winners: Luigi and The Boss
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/18/2010 8:30:01 AM | message detail
Yeah I suppose placing SM64/RBY/SSBM/TP all in the same division is a little ludicrous, but whatever. Not every division has to be fair in strength. The 1 seeds should probably be:

Brawl
Mario 64
Mario World
Metal Gear Solid
Either RE4 or FFX

Okay, I dunno for the 1 seeds after that. Seems like I'm gonna have to push SSBM and all to 1 seed status. Oh well.
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 2/18/2010 8:30:49 AM | message detail
The boss is going to win fyi
charmander6000 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:32:37 AM | message detail
The Boss winning would be awesome

L-Block > WCC
The Boss > HK-47

But a 64/36 gap is pretty big to cover.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 57/68 - Today's Winners: Luigi and The Boss
HaRRicH | Posted 2/18/2010 8:33:05 AM | message detail
I'm rooting for The Boss, but WCC's going to take this one. Hopefully she breaks 45+% on it.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/18/2010 8:52:36 AM | message detail
The day match will hurt her day vote for sure, so I'm not so sure that 45% is even in reach here.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:56:55 AM | message detail
The Crew unanimously favors WCC.

Boss has got this via curse.
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who needs a dick when you're good at smash brothers - stingers
Now this is entertainment!
charmander6000 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:57:56 AM | message detail
The Boss did pretty well against Nathan Drake.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 57/68 - Today's Winners: Luigi and The Boss
charmander6000 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:58:13 AM | message detail
*during the day
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 57/68 - Today's Winners: Luigi and The Boss
CP724 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:58:59 AM | message detail
Pretty sure cube is gonna break 63% at least.
charmander6000 | Posted 2/18/2010 8:59:32 AM | message detail
Cube breaking 60% would surprise me greatly.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 57/68 - Today's Winners: Luigi and The Boss
Master Moltar | Posted 2/18/2010 9:00:14 AM | message detail
Weighted Companion Cube 60%

3
The Boss 40%

2
TOTAL VOTES 5
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Luigi > Ammy (60/68)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/18/2010 9:00:15 AM | message detail
Weighted Companion Cube 50%

3
The Boss 50%

3
TOTAL VOTES 6
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 2/18/2010 9:00:27 AM | message detail
Weighted Companion Cube 35.71% 5

The Boss 64.29% 9

TOTAL VOTES 14
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