GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 837

LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 8:04:01 PM | message detail
FFVII could have been a much heavier weight, but then again, you have to expect a pretty good overlap for FFVII/CT to balance out whatever overlap Mario 64/GoldenEye have, which I just wasn't buying.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/16/2010 8:04:10 PM | message detail
Games Contest, using this format, without a generational split, OoT and FF7 removed from the bracket.

How excited are you?

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/16/2010 8:04:57 PM | message detail
If you remove those two, not very.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/16/2010 8:05:23 PM | message detail
OOT/LTTP/TP/RBY
OOT/LTTP/TP/CT

Pretty unlikely I guess for OOT to lose either of those. It'll just turn on the SFF boosters and drain LTTP and TP dry if it needs to.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 8:05:39 PM | message detail
I don't want FFVII and OoT removed from the bracket. With 128 games, having them in there isn't that big of a deal.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/16/2010 8:05:41 PM | message detail
Why would you want then in the bracket? We know what they do; destroy everything, meet at the end, OoT wins.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/16/2010 8:05:55 PM | message detail
I don't think I'd be very excited about any games contest, really. I don't think that's the kind of thing we need to have every year.

Ask again another 4 years down the line!
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/16/2010 8:07:15 PM | message detail
They make the contest far far more interesting. It's meaningless without them there- what's the point of a popularity contest where you disqualify what's most popular?

I wanted to see CT/RBY, but now I think that's probably a rout for RBY, so let's put it against LTTP and put CT against the winner of SSBM/SSBB instead.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 8:07:36 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #154
OOT/LTTP/TP/RBY
OOT/LTTP/TP/CT

Pretty unlikely I guess for OOT to lose either of those. It'll just turn on the SFF boosters and drain LTTP and TP dry if it needs to.


Eh, you'd need non-Zelda Nintendo to drain OoT more effectively. You'd almost certainly have to have Brawl in there because it'd be SFF'd the least, as we already saw. Maybe you could throw Mario 3 and/or Mario World (definitely not Mario 64) in there.

Still don't see it happening. Have a hard time seeing FFVII get upset either. Those two games are just too far above the rest.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
charmander6000 | Posted 2/16/2010 8:09:00 PM | message detail
Match LXV: (1) Link vs. (8) Alucard

Last Round

Link – 79.81%
Thrall – 20.19%

Alucard – 58.52%
Magus – 41.48%

Analysis

It’s the start of the second round and like the first round it is more of a formality. Last round Link didn’t put up his usual dominate blowout, but for some reason GameFAQs has become a lot more anti-blowout. Alucard on the other hand made a debated match into a joke winning over Magus rather easily. Interestingly enough should Alucard play his cards right he could end up pretty high on this high bracket’s x-stats due to all of the SFF.

How high of a percent Link will get is pretty debatable. Usually I would expect Link to get low to mid 70s, but after watching Cloud and Sephiroth perform if he puts up a performance like that you might as well end the contest since only a massive rally from Missingno could catch Link. Link failing to break 80% on Thrall does mean a character like Alucard can look decent against Link.

Alucard has a great chance at breaking 30% on Link in this match, something in the past that very few characters can manage. The main question is what is Alucard’s plan and how will he use it. Personally I think his plan is to have a great performance here while Link SFF his competitors thus making him second in the raw stats until the final.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Link > Magus

charmander6000’s Prediction: Link wins, 69.54% - 30.46%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 51/62 - Today's Winners: Tifa and Gordon Freeman
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 8:09:43 PM | message detail
Alucard breaking 30%?

I guess it's possible if this anti-blowout trend continues, but I don't see it.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
red sox 777 | Posted 2/16/2010 8:11:16 PM | message detail
I sort of think that Zelda fans may not realize the danger with something like CT or RBY, CT because it doesn't look all that threatening, RBY because it's a fellow Nintendo game, and LTTP may get a lot of votes.

Either way, LTTP should be the worst game to have with OOT. The thing is the big old Nintendo games don't really LFF each other all that much. Mario 3 overlaps with everything. TP may be a bit redundant though.....switch it out with Melee or Brawl in that case.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/16/2010 8:11:37 PM | message detail
Finally! I'm glad that we're out of this god-awful division.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/16/2010 8:11:53 PM | message detail
Alucard should beat Ridley easily (Magus probably beats Ridley easily), plus it's a night match which is heavily in Alucard's favor (and not Ridley's). If Link is anything like Cloud Alucard breaking 30% is damn near assured...but I don't think he is, which is why my Oracle is around 75%.
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Mustache...and Green...
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/16/2010 8:52:52 PM | message detail
I'd rather not see another Games Contest until 2011 or later. But I'm all for removing FF7 and OoT since there's lots of games that could win, such as RBY, LttP, FFX, and Brawl. We could then have a bonus match with the contest winner, FF7, and OoT, and then a final match with the top two (i.e. FF7 vs OoT rematch).

I'd also rather put off a Fictional Character Contest another year. We should remove all winners and do an eight-character ToC (Link, Cloud, Seph, Mario, Samus, L-Block, and Snake as 2006 male bracket winner unless Missingno pulls off the victory this year). If Snake isn't in the main bracket, there are plenty of characters who could win like Mega Man, Vincent, Squall, and Missingno. And if he is due to Missingno winning... At least Snake will finally win a contest!

But yeah, I think we could at least do one more regular character contest in this format before we switch directions. Hopefully the bracket will be better as well!
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 8:54:46 PM | message detail
I wonder if these anti-blowouts will continue into round 2. Remember last year when it seemed like nearly every Noble Niner and near elite underperformed in round 1? Once we got into round 2, it seemed to stop.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/16/2010 8:56:40 PM | message detail
Link to break 60% on Cloud this year!

Indirectly through Missingno!
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Not Wylvane
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/16/2010 8:59:02 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #166
I wonder if these anti-blowouts will continue into round 2. Remember last year when it seemed like nearly every Noble Niner and near elite underperformed in round 1? Once we got into round 2, it seemed to stop.


I'm wondering that as well. Just the fact that we have two known guys facing each other might make things more normal. I mean, it's doubtful Alucard overperforms as much as fodder like Thrall or Ridley. I still have him pegged for the high 20s, though.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/16/2010 8:59:23 PM | message detail
PLANning for an awesome board vote lol
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Master Moltar | Posted 2/16/2010 9:00:12 PM | message detail
Link 60%

6
Alucard 40%

4
TOTAL VOTES 10
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Link > Alucard (56/64)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/16/2010 9:00:14 PM | message detail
Link 62.5%

10
Alucard 37.5%

6
TOTAL VOTES 16
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Articuno2001 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:00:18 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Link 64.29%

9
Alucard 35.71%

5
TOTAL VOTES 14
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15th in Best Game Ever 2009
59/64 in Character Battle 2010 | Current Pick: Link
tennisboy213 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:00:22 PM | message detail
Link 58.33% 7
Alucard 41.67% 5
TOTAL VOTES 12

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Join the bandwagon!! Mario > Link!!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 9:00:30 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Link 57.14%

4
Alucard 42.86%

3
TOTAL VOTES 7

All according to plan.

67.40% for Gordon. I'm impressed.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/16/2010 9:00:31 PM | message detail
LMAO ALUCARD
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Not Wylvane
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/16/2010 9:00:57 PM | message detail
Alucard escaping the doubling!

****ing awesome!
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Not Wylvane
Gaddswell | Posted 2/16/2010 9:01:16 PM | message detail
Link 75.58% 65
Alucard 24.42% 21
TOTAL VOTES 86

Round 2!
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Thanks Anagram!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 9:01:24 PM | message detail
He escaped the doubling for about 5 seconds.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
tgs2 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:01:36 PM | message detail
Well he was escaping the doubling...
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:01:40 PM | message detail
Alucard doing well so far. I wonder who's getting the board vote.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:01:57 PM | message detail
Link sucks.

All hail Cloud your new contest champion !
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/16/2010 9:02:10 PM | message detail
Link's over 70 now.

That was fun while it lasted.
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Not Wylvane
Karma Hunter | Posted 2/16/2010 9:02:34 PM | message detail
Link being held under the doubling, even during the board vote, just seems... weird. He'll rise to heaven, of course, but don't tell me that this guy's fans are magically immune to a bandwagoned glitch in the final match of the contest. If Missingno beats Cloud, I'd call him the favorite versus Link.
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turnturnturn your brain in
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:02:41 PM | message detail
Alucard will probably go up again once we're out of the power hour.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 9:03:04 PM | message detail
I think Link's still getting a bit of an anti-vote here.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 9:04:12 PM | message detail
Pretty interesting to see how quickly Link rises.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/16/2010 9:04:52 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #186
Pretty interesting to see how quickly Link rises.


And falls.
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:04:59 PM | message detail
And now he's falling.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 2/16/2010 9:05:37 PM | message detail
Not a bad start for Alucard. With all night to gain he should be able to get this to 70-30 before morning at least.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:06:39 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3794&region=EUR
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3794&region=ASI

Alucard is winning Asia easily, and almost 40% in europe. he's gonna do great in the dead hours
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I Am Albion Hero!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:06:55 PM | message detail
We're doing well in votals right now. Looks like Link has something to prove to the votal-stats (although it turns out, he did beat out Missingno for #1 in the round 1 stats. I'm too lazy to finish doing them tonight, but Link ended up #1).
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Karma Hunter | Posted 2/16/2010 9:07:13 PM | message detail
Depending on who got the board vote, this match could end up looking very good or very bad for Link. Not that I support Missingno, but at least he's around to make evaluating Link's performances worthwhile again.
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turnturnturn your brain in
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:08:16 PM | message detail
cloud is going to beat link, damnit, not missingno
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 2/16/2010 9:08:38 PM | message detail
So when do we find out how many of our zeroes were real? I still find it weird that some zeroes had picked Sephiroth and Cloud?
Also, I haven't been able to bring myself to come back and read this board (don't usually post, been following for years but don't feel like I know enough yet) since Crono lost. So I don't know if anyone has asked this, but could Missingno have just been this strong since 2002?
And finally, please don't leave red sox!
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/16/2010 9:09:42 PM | message detail
5 minute X stats!

Link 50.00
Alucard 28.49
Magus 23.64
Thrall 20.19

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Mustache...and Green...
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 9:10:11 PM | message detail
Link back over 72% now.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/16/2010 9:10:17 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
60------1------------100.0000000
59------12----------83.3333333
58------38----------89.4736842
57------112--------88.3928571
56------163--------85.8895706
55------319--------84.6394984
54------474--------84.1772152
53------754--------77.7188329
52------1028------76.1673152
51------1295------75.4440154
50------1621------73.9666872
49------1756------71.9248292
48------1784------72.5896861
47------1922------68.3662851
46------1957------66.8369954
45------1816------65.6938326
44------1657------62.4622812
43------1523------64.2810243
42------1349------63.3802817
41------1214------61.6968699
40------1001------60.5394605
39------757--------61.4266843
38------658--------57.5987842
37------543--------61.8784530
36------422--------59.4786730
35------306--------61.4379085
34------234--------52.1367521
33------165--------58.1818182
32------124--------73.3870968
31------96----------64.5833333
30------47----------72.3404255
29------47----------59.5744681
28------22----------63.6363636
27------15----------26.6666667
26------19----------47.3684211
25------16----------43.7500000
24------8------------37.5000000
23------6------------50.0000000
22------8------------12.5000000
21------12----------33.3333333
20------5------------40.0000000
19------11----------18.1818182
18------10----------20.0000000
17------4------------25.0000000
16------10----------30.0000000
15------11----------9.0909091
14------13----------30.7692308
13------16----------12.5000000
12------10----------10.0000000
11------7------------14.2857143
10------9------------22.2222222
9--------11----------0.0000000
8--------15----------6.6666667
7--------13----------15.3846154
6--------7------------28.5714286
5--------9------------22.2222222
4--------4------------0.0000000
3--------8------------0.0000000
2--------15----------6.6666667
1--------46----------8.6956522
0--------33----------21.2121212

Pretty good prediction percentage in the top tiers considering the overall prediction percentage and how close the match was. Other than the lone -3, the prediction percentage didn't quite hit 90, though.

4 people fell off the Top 50. Omniscient73, Shadowhiei899, Lucky4815162342 and Evil_REmade did not have Gordon Freeman beating Peach.

2 people got it wrong and lived. Shadowhiei and SyLenXoR also did not have Gordon Freeman beating Peach.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
Gooper Blooper | Posted 2/16/2010 9:10:27 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3794&region=PH

Pfffft XD

Go Philippines!
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/16/2010 9:10:48 PM | message detail
Magus beats Thrall with 57.30% eh?

Pathetic.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/16/2010 9:11:59 PM | message detail
I get the feeling that admitting to being a Zelda fan in the Philippines results in public execution or something.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!