GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 836

red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:37:28 PM | message detail
~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:37:45 PM | message detail
Guybrush > Yuri
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Not Wylvane
ILessThan3Tifa | Posted 2/15/2010 9:37:50 PM | message detail
Ace 500th post, if I do say so myself.
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creativename | Posted 2/15/2010 9:37:51 PM | message detail
Well red sox if Missingno beats Sephiroth, at least you'd be able to argue Crono>Sephiroth for next contest :)

What's people's expectations for Sephiroth/Missingno anyway?
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/15/2010 9:38:05 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
58------1------------100.0000000
57------12----------100.0000000
56------41----------95.1219512
55------118--------94.9152542
54------173--------90.7514451
53------347--------90.4899135
52------516--------90.1162791
51------852--------85.2112676
50------1090------85.1376147
49------1447------81.4789219
48------1718------79.9767171
47------1788------78.5234899
46------1910------74.3979058
45------1937------72.8446051
44------1976------73.4311741
43------1766------72.6500566
42------1683------69.1622103
41------1498------67.0226969
40------1327------62.6224567
39------1164------63.5738832
38------886--------63.4311512
37------729--------58.0246914
36------594--------57.4074074
35------488--------56.9672131
34------338--------55.6213018
33------266--------53.3834586
32------182--------54.3956044
31------145--------51.7241379
30------95----------49.4736842
29------55----------58.1818182
28------45----------46.6666667
27------29----------41.3793103
26------16----------56.2500000
25------25----------28.0000000
24------12----------8.3333333
23------7------------42.8571429
22------7------------42.8571429
21------9------------22.2222222
20------9------------22.2222222
19------11----------9.0909091
18------9------------0.0000000
17------8------------12.5000000
16------8------------25.0000000
15------10----------10.0000000
14------12----------33.3333333
13------11----------18.1818182
12------19----------15.7894737
11------7------------14.2857143
10------11----------9.0909091
9--------10----------0.0000000
8--------14----------0.0000000
7--------13----------0.0000000
6--------8------------25.0000000
5--------10----------0.0000000
4--------3------------0.0000000
3--------9------------11.1111111
2--------13----------0.0000000
1--------48----------0.0000000
0--------33----------0.0000000

Pretty normal.

2 people fell off the Top 50. DarkFalconX and frisqo did not have Ness beating Geno.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:38:17 PM | message detail
Red > MMX
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:38:22 PM | message detail
there is absolutely no way vincent holds up better to seph than tifa.
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I Am Albion Hero!
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 2/15/2010 9:38:28 PM | message detail
Zack>MM
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:38:38 PM | message detail
We need to co-ordinate this better guys.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 51/62 - Today's Winners: Tifa and Gordon Freeman
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:38:49 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #004
Well red sox if Missingno beats Sephiroth, at least you'd be able to argue Crono>Sephiroth for next contest :)

What's people's expectations for Sephiroth/Missingno anyway?


missingno should beat him on route to winning the contest
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I Am Albion Hero!
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/15/2010 9:38:50 PM | message detail
Yuri>Tifa

In terms of character

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/15/2010 9:38:52 PM | message detail
Ha ha! Almost got 500!
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
ILessThan3Tifa | Posted 2/15/2010 9:39:18 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #004
Well red sox if Missingno beats Sephiroth, at least you'd be able to argue Crono>Sephiroth for next contest :)

What's people's expectations for Sephiroth/Missingno anyway?


A lot of people are saying that if Missingno gets past Yoshi, he'll build enough of a bandwagon to go on to win the contest. I still think Sephy's a bit out of Missingno's league 1-on-1 though.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/15/2010 9:39:42 PM | message detail
A lot of people here think that Missingno has a very good shot at Sephiroth, due to the early vote.

I'm not one of them. I kind of think he just gets beaten easily. Sephiroth is no Crono.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:39:51 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #011
Yuri>Tifa

In terms of character


tifa > yuri

in terms of hotness
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:39:58 PM | message detail
The general feeling is that Sephiroth is the ideal opponent for Missingno to face next, in the sprite round with a night match. The early vote will be glorious and it will be hard for Seph to recover, especially when Missingno has already shown the ability to rally or stuff thousands of votes.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
creativename | Posted 2/15/2010 9:40:21 PM | message detail
A lot of people are saying that if Missingno gets past Yoshi

whuh-huh? "if"??
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Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:40:48 PM | message detail
Sephiroth may be down hundreds of votes at the freeze... and in dead hours, rallying/stuffing is a lot more effective which benefits joke characters.
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:40:55 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #017
A lot of people are saying that if Missingno gets past Yoshi

whuh-huh? "if"??


I don't think Missingno winning that match is 100% certainty myself. Most people do though.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:40:57 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #004
Well red sox if Missingno beats Sephiroth, at least you'd be able to argue Crono>Sephiroth for next contest :)

What's people's expectations for Sephiroth/Missingno anyway?


For me, Sephiroth's the easy favorite, though obviously I'm not counting out Missingno here. I don't think bandwagoning will be as big this contest, and Missingno's going to need a lot more strength to threaten the #3 character on the site. But if Missingno can get that huge board vote and turn it into a sizable lead, he may just have a chance.
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Not Wylvane
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/15/2010 9:41:56 PM | message detail
I know I said this in the last topic, but is there ANY division in any contest that manages to compete with the Jenova Division in terms of being just plain awful? All I can think of is the Hyrule Division in 2004.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/15/2010 9:41:58 PM | message detail
Apparently people think that Yoshi will exploit Nintendo hierarchy or something. I'm not buying it.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:42:28 PM | message detail
Yeah, I don't mean to say that Missingno should be the favorite or anything. But if he wants to win the contest outright, there's no one better for him to face in that match than Sephiroth. A victory will automatically build his bandwagon up to where he can contend with Link and Cloud.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:43:07 PM | message detail
The fact that Missingno already beat a Noble Niner is a great way to start a bandwagon already.
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:43:25 PM | message detail
Yoshi has an outside chance, but Yoshi would have to be a step above Crono at this point. At least Yoshi's performance against Jak shows that's possible.

I'm still not confident Yoshi > Crono would happen, so why would Yoshi > Missingno?
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:45:24 PM | message detail

From: Fayt_Esteed | #021
I know I said this in the last topic, but is there ANY division in any contest that manages to compete with the Jenova Division in terms of being just plain awful? All I can think of is the Hyrule Division in 2004.


Let's see...

Hyrule Division or Midgar Division in 2004 were pretty bad. Zelda's division in 2006 was pretty blah, and so was Yuna's. That's about it though.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
creativename | Posted 2/15/2010 9:45:58 PM | message detail
There is ZERO chance Missingno loses to Yoshi, that's insanity.

And yes, Sephiroth is definitely the best opponent for him to face next, since he could potentially build up a 2K lead with the first two hours alone, ala Snake vs. Cloud. That'd be nearly impossible to overcome in 12 hour match.
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Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/15/2010 9:46:21 PM | message detail
If Missingno gets a massive bandwagon like L-block did, he wins. He'll need every bit of it though, Seph at least 60-40's Crono these days not counting SFF, maybe even 65-35.

If there's a lot of voters like myself who voted Missingno mostly because of disdain for mutes like Crono but will vote for Sephiroth, Missingno is pretty much doomed.
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 2/15/2010 9:48:13 PM | message detail
A poor face round picture could be a problem for Missingno against Yoshi. Though you guys know a lot more about it than I do, what do you think happens if it gets the face of one of those skeleton pictures?
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.
Gooper Blooper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:48:51 PM | message detail
How many more fodders named Yuri can we round up and get into the contest? I found number 3.

http://media.giantbomb.com/uploads/0/208/316904-yuri_sakazaki_large.jpg
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/15/2010 9:49:48 PM | message detail
I used the Missingno trick several times when i played Red and i don't think i ever saw the skeleton form. That pic could be bad for him.

I personally don't put much stock in pics though, maybe 1-2%
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
creativename | Posted 2/15/2010 9:49:50 PM | message detail
Looks like red sox was right - Tifa could hit 80% after all. She's rising much more rapidly than I expected. I had thought FF7 females had better board votes than the males, but that seems not to have been the case tonight.

That's what I get for questioning the undisputed champion of trends. When will I learn?
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Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:50:07 PM | message detail
http://inlinethumb31.webshots.com/40222/2062132520101288915S600x600Q85.jpg

heres another
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http://i50.tinypic.com/2ew1hz7.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 2/15/2010 9:50:13 PM | message detail
Red Alert 2 Yuri would be fun.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.
Gooper Blooper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:50:29 PM | message detail
I think MissingNo would be in trouble if he got a fossil picture. The ghost picture could do okay, but I think the glitch is by far the best picture he can get.

The pic somebody posted before of MissingNo just filling the entire pic was perfect. He'd slaughter Yoshi with that.
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
Hochimihnister | Posted 2/15/2010 9:50:31 PM | message detail
People are only familiar with Missingno in his glitch form. I know I was. I, along with most other people, had no idea it had a fossil or ghost form. If Missingno gets one of those pics, he'll be lucky to break 30% on Yoshi.
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:50:34 PM | message detail
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yuri_(Command_%26_Conquer)#Yuri
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:50:59 PM | message detail
Our next Yuri should be a picture of Aeris and Tifa making out.

Cloud/Sephiroth making out vs Link/Mario making out, who would win?
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Not Wylvane
creativename | Posted 2/15/2010 9:51:50 PM | message detail
Fossil form...? What's that?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:52:19 PM | message detail
Chart from yesterday's match:

Time | Ness | Geno | Votes
0:05 | 66.90% | 33.10% | 997
1:00 | 65.96% | 34.04% | 9166
2:00 | 65.71% | 34.29% | 7787
3:00 | 64.49% | 35.51% | 6989
4:00 | 65.35% | 34.65% | 6583
5:00 | 63.69% | 36.31% | 6227
6:00 | 65.34% | 34.66% | 5701
7:00 | 64.70% | 35.30% | 5107
8:00 | 63.67% | 36.33% | 4602
9:00 | 64.81% | 35.19% | 4299
10:00 | 64.57% | 35.43% | 3952
11:00 | 63.04% | 36.96% | 3655
12:00 | 64.20% | 35.80% | 3123

Not much going on here.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/15/2010 9:52:19 PM | message detail
People are only familiar with Missingno in his glitch form. I know I was. I, along with most other people, had no idea it had a fossil or ghost form. If Missingno gets one of those pics, he'll be lucky to break 30% on Yoshi.

I didn't know that either.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:52:31 PM | message detail
Cloud and Sephiroth, easily. Cloud and Sephiroth are obsessed with each other far more than they care about anyone else, of course, and the moral majority- I mean Nintendo voters will not stand for such a moral outrage in their video games.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:52:32 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #038
Our next Yuri should be a picture of Aeris and Tifa making out.

Cloud/Sephiroth making out vs Link/Mario making out, who would win?


We all lose.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
Hochimihnister | Posted 2/15/2010 9:52:49 PM | message detail
Apparently Missingno has a form where its the Aerodictle or Kabuto fossil. Very few people know that though. I didn't until yesterday.
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/15/2010 9:53:51 PM | message detail
I never saw a fossil or ghost form.

Other than the glitch the only form i saw was a rhino-looking form... i forget the name of the pokemon it looked like.
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"Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:54:38 PM | message detail
We should have a family tag-team contest. Mario/Luigi, Fox/James McCloud, Pichu/Raichu, Crono/Crono's Mom, etc.
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Not Wylvane
creativename | Posted 2/15/2010 9:54:41 PM | message detail
ExTha - submit endless fossil form pictures for the Sephiroth match!! :)

Make sure they look decent so they'd be accepted, heheh...

Fossil form Missingno must fit in Alucard's Plan somewhere...
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/15/2010 9:54:59 PM | message detail
I played the hell out of Pokemon ten years ago. The glitch-looking Missingno is ingrained in my mind, but I'd never recognize those other forms. I really hope the anti-joke Board 8ers make waves of those pics for him, but I'm sure Bacon is too smart for that and will give him glitch pics throughout the contest.
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Hochimihnister | Posted 2/15/2010 9:56:46 PM | message detail
I will submit all forms of Missingno on the off chance Bacon will select one of them. He won't because he's a notorious Missingno fanboy but having one of those pis will ensure that the monster is stopped before it gets out of control.
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 2/15/2010 9:56:56 PM | message detail
Sounds like fossil Missingno would do poorly then, here's to hoping it gets saved for the Tifa match. Queen of match pictures!
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.