GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 835

_stingers_ | Posted 2/14/2010 7:49:23 PM | message detail
bahahaha so original

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/15/2010 5:43:24 AM | message detail
tag
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ; Rest in peace, Mitch Stuekerjuergen :(
merSHINEiatg | Posted 2/15/2010 5:48:29 AM | message detail
what is the next debated match
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iatg
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/15/2010 5:50:12 AM | message detail
Freeman/Peach could be interesting
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 2/15/2010 5:51:22 AM | message detail
Next debated match should be Vivi/Altair followed by Big Boss/Mario(lol, jk).

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Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times"
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:07 AM | message detail
Mallow > Geno
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
Articuno2001 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:23 AM | message detail
Ness > Big Daddy
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15th in Best Game Ever 2009
56/61 in Character Battle 2010 | Current Pick: Ness
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:25 AM | message detail
The evidence from the data we have is that Missingno got a couple thousand extra votes from somewhere......probably rallying as I've been saying, but we'll never know for sure.

No the evidence is that we got a couple of thousand extra votes, we don't know who they went to.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:30 AM | message detail
soap > geno
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
Kirbydamasta | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:58 AM | message detail
Ness gets his first win in quite a while
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Unleash the heavy lobster!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/15/2010 9:06:16 AM | message detail

yeah the "sucky character" vote


laughed.

anyways I think this makes Big Daddy the favorite vs. Ness. Is it a day vote?

And yess 24 hours til Peach defeats Gordon!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:06:16 AM | message detail

From: Cyclo_Reaper | #009
soap > geno


Guybrush > Geno.

Yep, I said it.
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:07:32 AM | message detail
No the evidence is that we got a couple of thousand extra votes, we don't know who they went to.

The evidence that most of them went to Missingno is that he did a lot better whenever we got extra votes relative to baseline, and Crono did better when we did not. This is not like Kefka/Vercetti which we never analyzed this way, by comparing the votals trends with another match.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:07:43 AM | message detail
A night vote probably favors Big Daddy, but a day vote isn't too bad for him either. He's actually got a solid day vote.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
vcharon | Posted 2/15/2010 9:08:17 AM | message detail
Geno could beat Guybrush.
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:>
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/15/2010 9:08:48 AM | message detail
Tag

And 24 hours until GFNW is revived!!
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:09:14 AM | message detail
Geno would triple Guybrush

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness
ctesjbuvf | Posted 2/15/2010 9:09:22 AM | message detail
Next debated match should be Vivi/Altair followed by Big Boss/Mario(lol, jk).

There's few first, also why debate Mario/Big Boss?
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"Biggest Nintendo Fan Ever" 07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_;
http://i628.photobucket.com/albums/uu9/npaintv2/Ctes.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:09:39 AM | message detail
Geno WOULD beat Guybrush. There's no "could" to it!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
MarioSuperstar | Posted 2/15/2010 9:10:08 AM | message detail
At least Geno got 41% on Akuma!
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*is Dranze*
Krahen Prophet did a fatality.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/15/2010 9:10:18 AM | message detail
Ness is killing Geno in Europe. Neither Earthbound or Super Mario RPG were released over there, although there is a Wii Virtual Console version of Super Mario RPG that could be downloaded from anyone in Europe. I figured Ness would win over Geno in Europe as Ness has Super Smash Bros. to rely on for votes.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:10:27 AM | message detail
Red is going to give MMX a fight. I blame Resident Evil/Metal Gear Solid LFF for Kratos/Jill last year.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:11:13 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #022
Red is going to give MMX a fight. I blame Resident Evil/Metal Gear Solid LFF for Kratos/Jill last year.


What happened in round 2!
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:11:43 AM | message detail
Not the new boosted Guybrush!

Do you think Geno could escape getting tripled by Vincent?
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:12:21 AM | message detail
Sephiroth and Tifa happened.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/15/2010 9:12:52 AM | message detail
Ness is killing Geno in Europe. Neither Earthbound or Super Mario RPG were released over there, although there is a Wii Virtual Console version of Super Mario RPG that could be downloaded from anyone in Europe. I figured Ness would win over Geno in Europe as Ness has Super Smash Bros. to rely on for votes.

I also figured Ness would win easily mainly because of Smash Bros.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:12:59 AM | message detail
Do you think Geno could escape getting tripled by Vincent?

Yep!
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:13:42 AM | message detail
Ness also gets the horror movie fan vote.
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:14:40 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #027
Do you think Geno could escape getting tripled by Vincent?

Yep!


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2089
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3249

Looks like Vincent would pull off the tripling to me!
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Not Wylvane
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:18 AM | message detail
By the way guys, Albion and I are account betting on Sephiroth/Missingno(if he makes it that far).

So you'll never have to see him post with Cyclo's account again!!!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:18 AM | message detail
What the hell Ness
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:49 AM | message detail
Looks like Vincent would pull off the tripling to me!

25% > 22.56%
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:59 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #030
By the way guys, Albion and I are account betting on Sephiroth/Missingno(if he makes it that far).

So you'll never have to see him post with Cyclo's account again!!!


Who have you got?
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Not Wylvane
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:59 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #030
By the way guys, Albion and I are account betting on Sephiroth/Missingno(if he makes it that far).

So you'll never have to see him post with Cyclo's account again!!!


And I get exthanemesis if missingno wins
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:16:17 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #030
By the way guys, Albion and I are account betting on Sephiroth/Missingno(if he makes it that far).

So you'll never have to see him post with Cyclo's account again!!!


Yeah, because he really honored that last time!
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:16:54 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #035
Yeah, because he really honored that last time!


Extha gets Cyclo if Seph wins.
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:02 AM | message detail

From: Cyclo_Reaper | #034
And I get exthanemesis if missingno wins


Now I really hope Missingno wins.
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Not Wylvane
XxSoulxX | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:26 AM | message detail
If Missingno beats Yoshi, he's pretty much guaranteed to beat Sephiroth. It's the way bandwagons work.
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"Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:30 AM | message detail
Two guys known for squelching out of bets?

No interest.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:31 AM | message detail
By the way guys, Albion and I are account betting on Sephiroth/Missingno(if he makes it that far).

Who has who?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:38 AM | message detail
Okay I thought that I read wrong but I have actually read it right.Only 51%?Seriously?I mean seriously?Why so low?I thought this was way too easy!I mean a guy that is named Soap to win?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:58 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
57------3------------33.3333333
56------16----------62.5000000
55------68----------51.4705882
54------140--------60.7142857
53------260--------45.3846154
52------469--------43.7100213
51------726--------34.7107438
50------971--------38.9289392
49------1268------39.1955836
48------1577------42.8662016
47------1717------47.5829936
46------1815------48.9256198
45------1879------52.3150612
44------1971------52.8158295
43------1851------56.5099946
42------1744------55.1032110
41------1583------56.8540745
40------1431------56.9531796
39------1264------56.2500000
38------1051------58.1351094
37------785--------56.8152866
36------682--------57.1847507
35------520--------58.0769231
34------435--------62.0689655
33------301--------57.4750831
32------230--------60.0000000
31------168--------53.5714286
30------117--------57.2649573
29------77----------58.4415584
28------51----------45.0980392
27------33----------51.5151515
26------20----------65.0000000
25------23----------39.1304348
24------20----------55.0000000
23------5------------60.0000000
22------10----------50.0000000
21------7------------28.5714286
20------8------------50.0000000
19------12----------41.6666667
18------6------------66.6666667
17------12----------58.3333333
16------8------------37.5000000
15------7------------42.8571429
14------15----------40.0000000
13------9------------33.3333333
12------11----------45.4545455
11------16----------81.2500000
10------14----------28.5714286
9--------8------------12.5000000
8--------14----------21.4285714
7--------13----------23.0769231
6--------10----------30.0000000
5--------11----------9.0909091
4--------3------------0.0000000
3--------9------------0.0000000
2--------13----------0.0000000
1--------47----------0.0000000
0--------34----------2.9411765

Pretty even prediction percentage across the tiers. The -3s do poorly and are nearly annihilated but the -4s do a bit better than everyone else. There's a dip in prediction percentage around the -9s but it goes back up to the 50s when you go down to the -15s.

18 people fell off the Top 50. Danyeahl, lolasdaddy, DragoonDave07, Krillin373, UnseenShadow9s, L4zythe2nd, GreatSvenster, theVirtelizer, DoctorBIind, Randomcrazydude, The_Doom_Dealer, Alastah98, KamikazePotato, justinblake7, futuresuperstar, Astro1446, Silverwarp and Soul_Reaver4 did not have Big Daddy beating Soap.

8 people got it wrong but survived. Former first place Shadowhiei, former third place Drakeryn, Omniscient73, Shadowhiei899, lancealots_son, Dr_Football, eaedwards6400 and KrazyHokage also did not have Big Daddy beating Soap.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:18:07 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #040
By the way guys, Albion and I are account betting on Sephiroth/Missingno(if he makes it that far).

Who has who?


Extha = Seph
Albion = Missingno
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/15/2010 9:19:11 AM | message detail
Did you really have to ****ing ask who had who in an ExTha account bet involving Sephiroth.

really?
HaRRicH | Posted 2/15/2010 9:19:55 AM | message detail
Ness kicking ass...glad I didn't stubbornly take Geno this round. BD better take him down though!


One more thing that I didn't see mentioned in Crono's defense: we've seen nearly every other Noble Niner and major elite underperform to a degree so far in R1 this contest (and often through-out 2007 and 2008, too). If that was a factor against Crono too, Missingno had surprisingly lucky bracket-placement in a way.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
vcharon | Posted 2/15/2010 9:20:29 AM | message detail
RIP to you.
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:>
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:23:14 AM | message detail
The way I see it, as long as Missingno gets through Yoshi, the contest is his to win.
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
XxSoulxX | Posted 2/15/2010 9:24:08 AM | message detail
The way I see it, as long as Missingno gets through Yoshi, the contest is his to win.

Pretty much. I'm hoping to God Yoshi wins that match or else this contest would suck nuts.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/15/2010 9:24:29 AM | message detail
Yes, because beating Yoshi puts you at Sephiroth level, or Link level for that matter.

There is one match that Sephiroth has even a remote chance of losing and it's against Cloud in the semi-finals. You people are so delusional.
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:24:50 AM | message detail
I only support Missingno from now on.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~