GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 835
_stingers_ | Posted 2/14/2010 7:49:23 PM | message detail |
bahahaha so original ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Poll Start Times*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past. The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/15/2010 5:43:24 AM | message detail |
tag --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ; Rest in peace, Mitch Stuekerjuergen :( |
merSHINEiatg | Posted 2/15/2010 5:48:29 AM | message detail |
what is the next debated match --- iatg |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/15/2010 5:50:12 AM | message detail |
Freeman/Peach could be interesting --- holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee |
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 2/15/2010 5:51:22 AM | message detail |
Next debated match should be Vivi/Altair followed by Big Boss/Mario(lol, jk). --- Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:07 AM | message detail |
Mallow > Geno --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
Articuno2001 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:23 AM | message detail |
Ness > Big Daddy --- 15th in Best Game Ever 2009 56/61 in Character Battle 2010 | Current Pick: Ness |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:25 AM | message detail |
The
evidence from the data we have is that Missingno got a couple thousand
extra votes from somewhere......probably rallying as I've been saying,
but we'll never know for sure. No the evidence is that we got a couple of thousand extra votes, we don't know who they went to. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:30 AM | message detail |
soap > geno --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
Kirbydamasta | Posted 2/15/2010 9:05:58 AM | message detail |
Ness gets his first win in quite a while --- Unleash the heavy lobster! |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/15/2010 9:06:16 AM | message detail |
yeah the "sucky character" vote laughed. anyways I think this makes Big Daddy the favorite vs. Ness. Is it a day vote? And yess 24 hours til Peach defeats Gordon! |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:06:16 AM | message detail |
From: Cyclo_Reaper | #009 Guybrush > Geno. Yep, I said it. --- Not Wylvane |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:07:32 AM | message detail |
No the evidence is that we got a couple of thousand extra votes, we don't know who they went to. The evidence that most of them went to Missingno is that he did a lot better whenever we got extra votes relative to baseline, and Crono did better when we did not. This is not like Kefka/Vercetti which we never analyzed this way, by comparing the votals trends with another match. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:07:43 AM | message detail |
A night vote probably favors Big Daddy, but a day vote isn't too bad for him either. He's actually got a solid day vote. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
vcharon | Posted 2/15/2010 9:08:17 AM | message detail |
Geno could beat Guybrush. --- :> |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/15/2010 9:08:48 AM | message detail |
Tag And 24 hours until GFNW is revived!! --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:09:14 AM | message detail |
Geno would triple Guybrush >_> --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 2/15/2010 9:09:22 AM | message detail |
Next debated match should be Vivi/Altair followed by Big Boss/Mario(lol, jk). There's few first, also why debate Mario/Big Boss? --- "Biggest Nintendo Fan Ever" 07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_; http://i628.photobucket.com/albums/uu9/npaintv2/Ctes.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:09:39 AM | message detail |
Geno WOULD beat Guybrush. There's no "could" to it! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 2/15/2010 9:10:08 AM | message detail |
At least Geno got 41% on Akuma! --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/15/2010 9:10:18 AM | message detail |
Ness
is killing Geno in Europe. Neither Earthbound or Super Mario RPG were
released over there, although there is a Wii Virtual Console version of
Super Mario RPG that could be downloaded from anyone in Europe. I
figured Ness would win over Geno in Europe as Ness has Super Smash
Bros. to rely on for votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:10:27 AM | message detail |
Red is going to give MMX a fight. I blame Resident Evil/Metal Gear Solid LFF for Kratos/Jill last year. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:11:13 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #022 What happened in round 2! --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:11:43 AM | message detail |
Not the new boosted Guybrush! Do you think Geno could escape getting tripled by Vincent? --- Not Wylvane |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:12:21 AM | message detail |
Sephiroth and Tifa happened. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/15/2010 9:12:52 AM | message detail |
Ness
is killing Geno in Europe. Neither Earthbound or Super Mario RPG were
released over there, although there is a Wii Virtual Console version of
Super Mario RPG that could be downloaded from anyone in Europe. I
figured Ness would win over Geno in Europe as Ness has Super Smash
Bros. to rely on for votes. I also figured Ness would win easily mainly because of Smash Bros. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:12:59 AM | message detail |
Do you think Geno could escape getting tripled by Vincent? Yep! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:13:42 AM | message detail |
Ness also gets the horror movie fan vote. --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:14:40 AM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #027 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2089 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3249 Looks like Vincent would pull off the tripling to me! --- Not Wylvane |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:18 AM | message detail |
By the way guys, Albion and I are account betting on Sephiroth/Missingno(if he makes it that far). So you'll never have to see him post with Cyclo's account again!!! |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:18 AM | message detail |
What the hell Ness --- Not Wylvane |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:49 AM | message detail |
Looks like Vincent would pull off the tripling to me! 25% > 22.56% --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:59 AM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #030 Who have you got? --- Not Wylvane |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:15:59 AM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #030 And I get exthanemesis if missingno wins --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:16:17 AM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #030 Yeah, because he really honored that last time! --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:16:54 AM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #035 Extha gets Cyclo if Seph wins. --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:02 AM | message detail |
From: Cyclo_Reaper | #034 Now I really hope Missingno wins. --- Not Wylvane |
XxSoulxX | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:26 AM | message detail |
If Missingno beats Yoshi, he's pretty much guaranteed to beat Sephiroth. It's the way bandwagons work. --- "Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:30 AM | message detail |
Two guys known for squelching out of bets? No interest. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:31 AM | message detail |
By the way guys, Albion and I are account betting on Sephiroth/Missingno(if he makes it that far). Who has who? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:38 AM | message detail |
Okay
I thought that I read wrong but I have actually read it right.Only
51%?Seriously?I mean seriously?Why so low?I thought this was way too
easy!I mean a guy that is named Soap to win? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/15/2010 9:17:58 AM | message detail |
Score-Brackets-% Right 57------3------------33.3333333 56------16----------62.5000000 55------68----------51.4705882 54------140--------60.7142857 53------260--------45.3846154 52------469--------43.7100213 51------726--------34.7107438 50------971--------38.9289392 49------1268------39.1955836 48------1577------42.8662016 47------1717------47.5829936 46------1815------48.9256198 45------1879------52.3150612 44------1971------52.8158295 43------1851------56.5099946 42------1744------55.1032110 41------1583------56.8540745 40------1431------56.9531796 39------1264------56.2500000 38------1051------58.1351094 37------785--------56.8152866 36------682--------57.1847507 35------520--------58.0769231 34------435--------62.0689655 33------301--------57.4750831 32------230--------60.0000000 31------168--------53.5714286 30------117--------57.2649573 29------77----------58.4415584 28------51----------45.0980392 27------33----------51.5151515 26------20----------65.0000000 25------23----------39.1304348 24------20----------55.0000000 23------5------------60.0000000 22------10----------50.0000000 21------7------------28.5714286 20------8------------50.0000000 19------12----------41.6666667 18------6------------66.6666667 17------12----------58.3333333 16------8------------37.5000000 15------7------------42.8571429 14------15----------40.0000000 13------9------------33.3333333 12------11----------45.4545455 11------16----------81.2500000 10------14----------28.5714286 9--------8------------12.5000000 8--------14----------21.4285714 7--------13----------23.0769231 6--------10----------30.0000000 5--------11----------9.0909091 4--------3------------0.0000000 3--------9------------0.0000000 2--------13----------0.0000000 1--------47----------0.0000000 0--------34----------2.9411765 Pretty even prediction percentage across the tiers. The -3s do poorly and are nearly annihilated but the -4s do a bit better than everyone else. There's a dip in prediction percentage around the -9s but it goes back up to the 50s when you go down to the -15s. 18 people fell off the Top 50. Danyeahl, lolasdaddy, DragoonDave07, Krillin373, UnseenShadow9s, L4zythe2nd, GreatSvenster, theVirtelizer, DoctorBIind, Randomcrazydude, The_Doom_Dealer, Alastah98, KamikazePotato, justinblake7, futuresuperstar, Astro1446, Silverwarp and Soul_Reaver4 did not have Big Daddy beating Soap. 8 people got it wrong but survived. Former first place Shadowhiei, former third place Drakeryn, Omniscient73, Shadowhiei899, lancealots_son, Dr_Football, eaedwards6400 and KrazyHokage also did not have Big Daddy beating Soap. --- Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:18:07 AM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #040 Extha = Seph Albion = Missingno --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/15/2010 9:19:11 AM | message detail |
Did you really have to ****ing ask who had who in an ExTha account bet involving Sephiroth. really? |
HaRRicH | Posted 2/15/2010 9:19:55 AM | message detail |
Ness kicking ass...glad I didn't stubbornly take Geno this round. BD better take him down though! One more thing that I didn't see mentioned in Crono's defense: we've seen nearly every other Noble Niner and major elite underperform to a degree so far in R1 this contest (and often through-out 2007 and 2008, too). If that was a factor against Crono too, Missingno had surprisingly lucky bracket-placement in a way. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
vcharon | Posted 2/15/2010 9:20:29 AM | message detail |
RIP to you. --- :> |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:23:14 AM | message detail |
The way I see it, as long as Missingno gets through Yoshi, the contest is his to win. --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
XxSoulxX | Posted 2/15/2010 9:24:08 AM | message detail |
The way I see it, as long as Missingno gets through Yoshi, the contest is his to win. Pretty much. I'm hoping to God Yoshi wins that match or else this contest would suck nuts. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/15/2010 9:24:29 AM | message detail |
Yes, because beating Yoshi puts you at Sephiroth level, or Link level for that matter. There is one match that Sephiroth has even a remote chance of losing and it's against Cloud in the semi-finals. You people are so delusional. |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:24:50 AM | message detail |
I only support Missingno from now on. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |