GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 834
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LOLContests | Posted 2/15/2010 8:10:43 AM | message detail |
The
next match immediately afterward had like 25% more votes than usual.
Are you implying that the 'cheaters' stuck around to cheat in a
completely different match, or maybe it's more logical to just assume
that the extra votes came from... you know... more people being at the
site at the time? Close matches always have more people around at the beginning of the next one, because there's more people on paying attention to the match. Why would ralliers stick around either? --- "..."---Wander Yesmar |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:13:13 AM | message detail |
I
always love when people play the cheating card. You don't need a large
scale rally by a single site when you have many smaller rallies that
can't really be traced. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:18:11 AM | message detail |
There's
actually a marked difference between this and Crono and Snake's last
hour rallies in the past. I haven't checked (don't want to spend that
much time doing calculations) but I'm pretty certain Crono and Snake's
matches never got beyond 200 extra votes in the last hour, 300 at most.
Frog/Axel probably didn't get much beyond 300, if that, either. In magnitude, this is on par with Starcraft, and possibly higher given that the 1.09 baseline was conservative and rallying was going on all day on Twitter and stuff. If you use the hour with the lowest ratio as baseline, the estimated rallied votes jumps up to around 6000, which would be above everything except Mario/Crono 2, Mario/Cloud, and the 2007 Final. Of course it's not possible to do this sort of trend-based analysis for the 2007 final because it's not really possible to define a baseline there or to separate extra early voting from rallied voting at the start of it, but looking at other finals and the matches around it there were probably around 30,000-40,000 outside votes in that one. This match was obviously much less hyped and big than that, but that shows it is possible to generate thousands of outside votes across the internet, not really from one source. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LOLContests | Posted 2/15/2010 8:19:53 AM | message detail |
I
always love when people play the cheating card. You don't need a large
scale rally by a single site when you have many smaller rallies that
can't really be traced. So there were 200 small scale rallies for Missingno? I find that hard to believe. People said the same thing about Starcraft doubters, but when the pressure got too high it went and revealed its true colors. People said during Vercetti Vs. Kefka that *Vercetti* was the one making the suspicious moves. --- "..."---Wander Yesmar |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:20:26 AM | message detail |
Oh wow. "Shaped like the other boot to kick your ass again" How did no-one else see this yet? --- This is amazing. |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:20:49 AM | message detail |
The next match immediately afterward had like 25% more votes than usual. It got about 500 votes above normal in the first update, and then calmed down very very quickly. And a lot of that 500 could have been from people who had voted in Crono/Missingno way earlier in the day and were watching the end anyway. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:22:29 AM | message detail |
And
I guess we'll never know for sure (Bacon's word only means that he
didn't find any evidence for stuffing, which leaves open the
possibility that the stuffers were smart enough to get around his
protective measures). --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 8:31:10 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #457 Gamefaqs has some of the best stuffing protection out t here. I'm pretty sure if there was stuffing, he'd catch it. --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:38:36 AM | message detail |
So
there were 200 small scale rallies for Missingno? I find that hard to
believe. People said the same thing about Starcraft doubters, but when
the pressure got too high it went and revealed its true colors. People
said during Vercetti Vs. Kefka that *Vercetti* was the one making the
suspicious moves. Starcraft didn't cheat until its match against Melee and since you brought up Vercetti/Kefka, how do you know it wasn't Crono that was stuffing? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness |
LOLContests | Posted 2/15/2010 8:42:32 AM | message detail |
Starcraft
didn't cheat until its match against Melee and since you brought up
Vercetti/Kefka, how do you know it wasn't Crono that was stuffing? So Kingdom Hearts just failed to get its ASV against Starcraft then? I have no proof that Crono wasn't stuffing, but there's not really much to indicate that he was, at least not more so than Missingno. --- "..."---Wander Yesmar |
LOLContests | Posted 2/15/2010 8:43:07 AM | message detail |
Someone was stuffing for Vercetti in the last hour though. --- "..."---Wander Yesmar |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/15/2010 8:44:56 AM | message detail |
The
fact that Crono "had more than double the attempted vote stuffs than
Missingno." suggests Crono probably did cheat more than Missingno. --- Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:45:15 AM | message detail |
The
proof that Missingno got more outside votes than Crono can be seen in
that Missingno did better in the hours in which the match votals were
above trend. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/15/2010 8:46:21 AM | message detail |
Might as well throw this out there as it seems to be a topic of debate on the board: Does Missingno keep his strength next year? We've already seen L-Block freefall since his peak 2k7 strength. However, this was Missingno's first match - and one that wasn't really that hyped - and he's already at a strength that takes L-block rounds of rallying to get at. Personally, I think Missingno is legitimate, but I could see arguments against that. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 8:47:32 AM | message detail |
No real surprise that Crono was heavily cheated for. Is there a more cheated for character in the contest? --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:47:38 AM | message detail |
So
Kingdom Hearts just failed to get its ASV against Starcraft then? I
have no proof that Crono wasn't stuffing, but there's not really much
to indicate that he was, at least not more so than Missingno. What does KH not getting an ASV have to do with cheating? Heck the game barely won it over Soul Calibur. What proof do you have that Missingno was stuffing. Also Crono was erratic at times so I don't see why you should blame one and not the other. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:48:23 AM | message detail |
Missingno
should keep this strength next year. Even if he was stuffing (and
rallying is believable) he would still have been quite close to Crono
normally. If Missingno goes on to win the contest, he'll probably fall
below his Link-slaying strength but still end up well above his
original strength like L-Block did. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/15/2010 8:48:41 AM | message detail |
Maybe
10% of Crono's strength actually comes from cheating in every match. He
lost to Sonic and started dropping because the cheating restrictions
got more strict around that time! --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:48:52 AM | message detail |
Whether or not it's legitimate is all going to come down to the Sephiroth match. If he loses he's legit, he'll be challenging the Cronos and the Vincents of the contest next year. If he wins the contest he'll fall I think. --- Let's find out. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 8:50:08 AM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #431 The "Rally the vote for Farmville" on Facebook was practically made for this! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:50:32 AM | message detail |
It
doesn't mean much that there were more failed stuffing attempts for
Crono than Missingno, because that obviously doesn't measure successful
stuffing attempts. It only takes one person to stuff a few thousand
votes. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:55:59 AM | message detail |
It only takes one person to stuff a few thousand votes. Each individual vote would count as a stuffing attempt, one would think. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:57:47 AM | message detail |
He means that it takes one person to break the code and stuff thousands of votes. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:58:03 AM | message detail |
Right, but the fact that there were more failed
stuffing attempts for Crono than Missingno still doesn't mean anything.
It could mean more people unsuccessfuly tried to cheat for Crono, or
unsuccessful cheaters for Crono tried to stuff more votes- it tells us
nothing about successful stuffers, if they exist. And it only takes 1
person to do it. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/15/2010 8:58:41 AM | message detail |
Bacon said there were twice as many attempts, not failed attempts. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/15/2010 8:59:26 AM | message detail |
That's just splitting hairs, it's pretty obvious from context that it referred to failed attempts --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/15/2010 9:00:05 AM | message detail |
Also, Geno to get over 45% at least right --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:00:16 AM | message detail |
Vote Accepted Ness 33.33% 2 Geno 66.67% 4 TOTAL VOTES 6 Aw yeah --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Articuno2001 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:00:19 AM | message detail |
Vote Accepted Ness 40% 2 Geno 60% 3 TOTAL VOTES 5 --- 15th in Best Game Ever 2009 55/60 in Character Battle 2010 | Current Pick: Big Daddy |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:00:32 AM | message detail |
why is geno allowed in these contests again --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/15/2010 9:00:33 AM | message detail |
Maybe not :( --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:00:54 AM | message detail |
Ness getting 60% on someone? I refuse to stand for this! Shape up, Geno! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:01:08 AM | message detail |
Obviously
they were foiled attempts if Bacon knew about them. On the other hand,
if they were successful, Bacon wouldn't know about them. It depends on
how much you trust Gamefaqs' ability to stop stuffing, which is pretty
good but not perfect. The evidence from the data we have is that Missingno got a couple thousand extra votes from somewhere......probably rallying as I've been saying, but we'll never know for sure. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:01:20 AM | message detail |
51.25% for Big Daddy Aw yeah --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
KingBartz | Posted 2/15/2010 9:01:24 AM | message detail |
Ness 50% 7 Geno 50% 7 TOTAL VOTES 14 Big Daddy with 51.25% --- Contest score: 50/59 Today's picks: Yoshi & Crono |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/15/2010 9:01:55 AM | message detail |
Man Geno. How can you be this bad --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 2/15/2010 9:01:56 AM | message detail |
Ness 68% 17 Geno 32% 8 TOTAL VOTES 25 --- "Biggest Nintendo Fan Ever" 07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_; http://i628.photobucket.com/albums/uu9/npaintv2/Ctes.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:02:15 AM | message detail |
Ness is probably SFFing Geno. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
vcharon | Posted 2/15/2010 9:02:27 AM | message detail |
Geno is bad. Real bad. --- :> |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/15/2010 9:02:45 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #488 yeah the "sucky character" vote --- http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 2/15/2010 9:02:48 AM | message detail |
Isn't
this around expected? lol Ness is the same guy that almost beat
Alucard. Did you guys really think Geno had a chance? And i'm A Geno
fanboy. --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:02:50 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #488 Don't give people an excuse to bring him back! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:02:53 AM | message detail |
lol Geno or is this SNES SFF? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness |
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/15/2010 9:02:53 AM | message detail |
Man I love Ness and he should never get 60%+ on someone NESS>BIG DADDY LET'S DO THIS --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:03:31 AM | message detail |
Kind of surprised that Big Daddy was the bracket favourite. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 49/60 - Today's Winners: Big Daddy and Ness |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:03:34 AM | message detail |
...And it's approaching a doubling. What is this. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 2/15/2010 9:03:42 AM | message detail |
uh oh wait a minute.. yeah nevermind. i said that when geno had 38% --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:04:14 AM | message detail |
Charizard > Mario --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/15/2010 9:04:26 AM | message detail |
And Ness is doubling Geno. You suck, Geno. Get Mallow in here. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/15/2010 9:04:29 AM | message detail |
Red > MMX --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |