GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 828

LeonhartFour | Posted 2/12/2010 9:44:00 PM | message detail
Chart from yesterday's match:

Time | Squall | Akuma | Votes
0:05 | 68.78% | 31.22% | 900
1:00 | 69.13% | 30.87% | 8859
2:00 | 67.85% | 32.15% | 7449
3:00 | 67.67% | 32.32% | 7411
4:00 | 67.81% | 32.19% | 6397
5:00 | 68.73% | 31.27% | 6713
6:00 | 67.61% | 32.39% | 6073
7:00 | 68.46% | 31.54% | 5704
8:00 | 67.87% | 32.13% | 5014
9:00 | 67.21% | 32.79% | 4688
10:00 | 68.05% | 31.95% | 4091
11:00 | 67.30% | 32.70% | 3911
12:00 | 67.27% | 32.73% | 3639

Squall has a great first hour, but he and Akuma basically settle in after that and there wasn't much shift in percentages, with Squall staying in the 67-69% range the whole way through.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/12/2010 9:45:31 PM | message detail
And Sephiroth back to where he was 30 minutes ago!
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/12/2010 9:48:21 PM | message detail
And almost exactly one percent ahead of where Cloud was! I'll take 27% and change here!
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Mustache...and Green...
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/12/2010 9:49:38 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #202
And Sephiroth back to where he was 30 minutes ago!


Thats Sephiroth for ya. One minute you think he's dead, the next he throws in some convoluted plot about still being alive in the Lifestream in the middle of nowhere with his huge sword.

Too bad Marth doesn't have Omnislash V_V
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Currently not on the CBVIII Leaderboard V_V
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/12/2010 9:50:32 PM | message detail
and now sephiroth falls again
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I Am Albion Hero!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/12/2010 9:50:45 PM | message detail
lol at the Marth spike.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
charmander6000 | Posted 2/12/2010 9:51:13 PM | message detail
Top 5/10 Changes

Top 5 Smallest Night Vote Gaps
1. Pokemon Trainer Red – 29195 vs. Revolver Ocelot – 29013 (R1) – 182
2. Jecht – 26287 vs. Phoenix Wright – 23592 (R1) – 2695
3. Terra Branford – 27612 vs. Darth Revan – 23647 (R1) – 3965
4. Vivi Ornitier – 30113 vs. Donkey Kong – 23379 (R1) – 6734
5. Roxas – 31010 vs. Heavy – 23427 (R1) – 7583


Top 5 Most Impressive Night Losers
1. Revolver Ocelot (R1) – 29013
2. Darth Revan (R1) – 23647
3. Phoenix Wright (R1) – 23592
4. Heavy (R1) – 23427
5. Donkey Kong (R1) – 23379


Top 5 Least Impressive Night Winners
1. Jecht (R1) – 26287
2. Terra Branford (R1) – 27612
3. Ryu Hayabusa (R1) – 28553
4. Kefka (R1) – 28769
5. Pokemon Trainer Red (R1) – 29195


Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Amaterasu vs. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 36.27%
2. Vivi vs. Donkey Kong (R1) – 39.95%
3. Sub-Zero vs. Tidus (R1) – 41.68%
4. The Boss vs. Nathan Drake (R1) – 44.82%
5. Jecht vs. Phoenix Wright (R1) – 45.40%
6. Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Simon Belmont (R1) – 47.90%
7. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Revolver Ocelot (R1) – 51.22%
8. Knuckles the Echidna vs. Cecil Harvey (R1) – 51.54%
9. Ken vs. Albert Wesker (R1) – 51.62%
10. Terra Branford vs. Darth Revan (R1) – 52.73%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 45/54 - Today's Winners: Revan and Squall
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/12/2010 9:51:14 PM | message detail
Marth keeps getting that blasted Smash Ball!
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Haguile | Posted 2/12/2010 9:51:36 PM | message detail
Marth: It's hopeless...
Roy: So what if it's hopeless? If it were me, I still wouldn't give up!
Marth: We are not even from the same game. The analogy is usel-
Roy: EMBRACE YOUR DREAMS...
Marth: Bu-
Roy: AND PROTECT YOUR HONOR AS SOLDIER!

GO MARTH! DON'T LET HIM TRIPLE YOU!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/12/2010 10:01:22 PM | message detail
Almost exactly 3% increase for Sephy from the freeze to the end of the Power Hour.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/12/2010 10:01:55 PM | message detail
uh....
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Currently not on the CBVIII Leaderboard V_V
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/12/2010 10:01:56 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #210
Almost exactly 3% increase for Sephy from the freeze to the end of the Power Hour.


and thats even with all the weird updates... wasn't that a similiar increase to what cloud got?
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http://cache-07.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/500x_lp2_x10_005.jpg
I Am Albion Hero!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/12/2010 10:02:07 PM | message detail
Sephiroth with a slightly higher percentage at the end of the first hour than Cloud had. Seems like Cloud is more anti-voted than Sephiroth.

Sephiroth should still go on to get a final percentage similar to what Cloud got. The morning vote will slow down Sephiroth quite a bit as Marth gets his ASV in the morning. Ridley didn't get that in his match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/12/2010 10:02:39 PM | message detail
Cloud gained 4.10% on Ridley.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/12/2010 10:02:58 PM | message detail
wasn't that a similiar increase to what cloud got?

Cloud got about a 4% increase from the freeze to the end of the Power Hour.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/12/2010 10:07:26 PM | message detail
I see a bit of red on the world map. Damn Central American countries. They held back Cloud from winning every single country.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/12/2010 10:08:24 PM | message detail
Alaska and Vermont are still favoring Marth. One of the most conservative and one of the most liberal states.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Articuno2001 | Posted 2/12/2010 10:11:02 PM | message detail
Marth obviously doesn't want Sephiroth to go above 68%.
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15th in Best Game Ever 2009
52/56 in Character Battle 2010 | Current Pick: Sephiroth
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/12/2010 10:11:41 PM | message detail
Definitely liking this Marth night vote. Seph's now doing worse than Cloud, though Europe is still very ugly.
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Mustache...and Green...
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/12/2010 11:09:00 PM | message detail
69.28% hour for Sephiroth there. Now he should really start picking up. Nintendo characters usually die off around the third hour of the match.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/12/2010 11:45:13 PM | message detail
Excellent performance by Sephiroth here.
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
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ffmasterjose | Posted 2/12/2010 11:46:07 PM | message detail
I still don't get how the casuals have seemed pretty intelligent this year yet miss Vivi > DK so much, given that was a rematch.

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48/56 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VIII
NP: Sephiroth > Marth | Vincent Valentine > Guybrush Threepwood
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/12/2010 11:47:33 PM | message detail
DK is pretty iconic Nintendo. I'm too lazy to search, but I wouldn't be surprised if he's had high prediction percentages historically.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Denzokuken | Posted 2/12/2010 11:50:34 PM | message detail
Well Seph's gonna kill Marth over the next few hours, should be good to see.

Marth/Protoman who you got??? Heh, I haven't see much of that sort of crap after this good performance from Seph. gg snake then, obviously!
UngreatGatsby | Posted 2/12/2010 11:54:23 PM | message detail
Marth is strong for a 16th seed.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/12/2010 11:59:17 PM | message detail
Marth would kill Protoman.

Sephiroth will kill Snake.
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg
HaRRicH | Posted 2/13/2010 12:15:31 AM | message detail
Well, today marks the three hundredth victory for a Noble Niner over a non-Noble Niner if you count four-ways...making their percentage of victory 96.46% (eleven losses, L-Block being responsible for six of them and LFF being responsible for two of them). If/when Crono beats Missingno, that'll be the one hundred twenty-fifth victory in a row for Noble Niners over non-Noble Niners in a one-on-one setting, a record that still holds no losses.

Gotta say, whoever first picked the Noble Nine did a fine job. It's hard to ask for a better crew, especially for characters that originally appeared in 2002.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/13/2010 12:19:59 AM | message detail
Marth is strong for a 16th seed.

Agreed. Man, it stinks that Marth got wasted this year, being fed to Sephiroth... Especially considering GUYBRUSH, of all people, gets away with a 9 seed. That aside, I'd say that Marth's arguably the strongest 16 seed in the contest.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/13/2010 1:35:25 AM | message detail
Guybrush outseeding a (two?) character(s?) on Crono's level is incredibly funny. You really have to wonder how he got so much support.

Anyways, if Marth breaks 30% than Freeman is even more dead than before, but good thing is that that's not the case. But why does Final Fantasy VII get anti-voted so much more than any other game? Personally I can find big flaws with not only FF7, but also Ocarina of Time and Mario 64, and those are my two favorite games. I don't understand the reasons for anti-voting right now...maybe people are sick of its performance on Best Game Ever lists? But then Ocarina would also get anti-voted, right?
vcharon | Posted 2/13/2010 2:57:19 AM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #229
Guybrush outseeding a (two?) character(s?) on Crono's level is incredibly funny. You really have to wonder how he got so much support.

Anyways, if Marth breaks 30% than Freeman is even more dead than before, but good thing is that that's not the case. But why does Final Fantasy VII get anti-voted so much more than any other game? Personally I can find big flaws with not only FF7, but also Ocarina of Time and Mario 64, and those are my two favorite games. I don't understand the reasons for anti-voting right now...maybe people are sick of its performance on Best Game Ever lists? But then Ocarina would also get anti-voted, right?


Not really how the average Nintendo fan's mind operates.
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:>
Kotetsu534 | Posted 2/13/2010 3:18:47 AM | message detail
Seph had a couple of 80%+ updates not too long ago. Looking to get past 71%, at least till the morning vote.

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Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn
vcharon | Posted 2/13/2010 3:27:42 AM | message detail
lol Snake

Marth would murder Proto-Man indeed.
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vcharon | Posted 2/13/2010 3:31:51 AM | message detail
And there's 71% even.
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:>
Denzokuken | Posted 2/13/2010 3:34:17 AM | message detail
And this is why you cannot take elite v fodder matches seriously. Seph's performance here makes him look stronger than Cloud, let alone Snake. All those who made the obnoxious Ridley/Proto Man comparisons really have egg on their faces now.
voltch | Posted 2/13/2010 3:37:28 AM | message detail
guys, guys, Cloud always boost in later rounds cos he got MOMENTUM!

lulz, I wonder who came up with that theory.
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Shakes Fist!
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/13/2010 3:39:30 AM | message detail
I guess it will end 70%-30%.Well that is okay.With a lot of anti-votes what do you expect?Also I want to ask something the experts,Link was on the first division and Sephiroth in the last.Doesn't that means that they got the most nominations out of all characters?
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vcharon | Posted 2/13/2010 3:40:46 AM | message detail
Ridley probably is just more credible than people gave him credit for. If you throw out x-stats and any previous results, one would assume Ridley should be pretty decent, being a major character in a major franchise and all. Maybe he just is finally reaching the potential everyone once saw in him (having a decent picture finally probably helped too).
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:>
voltch | Posted 2/13/2010 3:43:00 AM | message detail
Ridley is probably expected to be weak cos of the villains contest stigma, but after Brawl, well his ugly face was all over that game.
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Shakes Fist!
Kotetsu534 | Posted 2/13/2010 3:43:49 AM | message detail
Cloud didn't seem to drop off very much through the latter stages of his match. This isn't looking good for my spread!

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Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn
Zylo the wolf | Posted 2/13/2010 3:53:09 AM | message detail
Marth > Ridley right? Sephiroth for the finals confirmed!

Now he only has to defeat Link as well.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. KrahenProfit > Me
voltch | Posted 2/13/2010 4:00:43 AM | message detail
how about marth>>>>Thrall using x-stats magic leading to Seph>Link?
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Shakes Fist!
vcharon | Posted 2/13/2010 4:04:04 AM | message detail
Time machine to 2003.
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:>
MetricTrout | Posted 2/13/2010 4:44:09 AM | message detail
Despite the rate he is going up, Sephy is not going to end up too far from Cloud's final percentage. This is a weekend match, and people tend to wake up later during weekends. Expect a few Marth percentage cuts when they do.
vcharon | Posted 2/13/2010 4:48:34 AM | message detail
Likely, but Sephiroth only needs another hour or so to hit 72%. Regardless I'd say this is quite an impressive performance all things considered.
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:>
MetricTrout | Posted 2/13/2010 4:55:56 AM | message detail
Well, it is only "impressive" considering Cloud's recent underperformance. It would still be disappointing had this match happened a month earlier.

I am looking forward to the Vincent/Guybrush match. It should shine light on how much of this is anti-votes and how much of this is the relative strength of Marth/Ridley.
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 2/13/2010 4:56:36 AM | message detail
The current freeze has Marth at exactly 10000 votes.
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CB8 score: 48
Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful, Tidus (2 rounds), Phoenix (2 rounds), Simon, Kratos Aurion
vcharon | Posted 2/13/2010 4:57:32 AM | message detail
It definitely deflates any Snake > Sephiroth wagon though. Marth is clearly stronger than Proto-Man, probably by a good amount. If Sephiroth had done the 66-68% a lot of people were predicting then it would have been clear that Snake may indeed win. Now I'm pretty confident all is right with the world and Sephy > Snake as expected.
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TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 2/13/2010 5:01:01 AM | message detail
...Yeah, but these are night matches. We all know how the Final Fantasy night vote is. Snake-Sephiroth is a day match, so I'm not willing to give up on Snake > Sephiroth just yet.
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CB8 score: 50
Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful, Tidus (2 rounds), Phoenix (2 rounds), Simon, Kratos Aurion
Denzokuken | Posted 2/13/2010 5:03:05 AM | message detail
Snake-Sephiroth is a day match, so I'm not willing to give up on Snake > Sephiroth just yet.

Seph has a considerably better day vote than Snake.
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 2/13/2010 5:04:41 AM | message detail
Marth is clearly stronger than Proto-Man, probably by a good amount

So clearly that we virtually know nothing about Proto-Man's strength.
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Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times"