GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 825
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/9/2010 9:09:44 PM | message detail |
Crono is SCREWWWWWED ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Poll Start Times*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past. The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- Best glitch ever. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/9/2010 9:23:43 PM | message detail |
Jak
beats Yoshi on Valentine's Day due to the "Hating cute things on
Valentine's Day because you don't have a girlfriend" Factor! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 2/9/2010 9:41:23 PM | message detail |
XFD Banjo is so pathetic. --- CBVIII:46/50 -46 pts,tied for 57th- L:Ocelot,Liquid,Phoenix,KratosA Night Pick:Pikachu Day Pick:Shepard |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/9/2010 9:41:32 PM | message detail |
Shepard Punch! --- Not Wylvane |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/9/2010 9:41:46 PM | message detail |
What an amazing final post --- holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/9/2010 9:42:28 PM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/9/2010 9:42:45 PM | message detail |
Crono? Crono will do great, he beat Pikachu last year! FFVII Collapse + Sprite Round + CTDS Boost + Crono being awesome = Crono > Sephiroth --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/9/2010 9:42:51 PM | message detail |
Repeating it here cuz people may not have seen it in the past topic Sure, this is impressive, but does Pikachu really have enough to beat Snake, even with maximum pic advantage? Then again, I'm of the opinion that match pictures don't matter that much, less than 1% for sure. In a normal match, Snake would beat him 58% most likely. But we're dealing with Solid **** in round 3. You know, the one who almost lost to FROG. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/2wmghtl.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/9/2010 9:43:03 PM | message detail |
XFD Banjo is so pathetic. Indeed. *pummels Banjo while offstage, then finishes with a Falcon Punch* You suck! --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/9/2010 9:43:33 PM | message detail |
From: Not_Wylvane | #004 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnEDQc-FrCo --- Currently 40th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^ Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/9/2010 9:44:21 PM | message detail |
Albion,
the problem is Snake would beat Pikachu with much more than 58%
normally. I agree that a 58-42 gap normally would probably close to
around 50-50 between sprite round Snake and a character who's good in
the sprite round (such as Crono, Megaman, or pokemon). --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/9/2010 9:44:39 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #007 If Crono > Pikachu and Snake > Sephiroth, if Pikachu upsets Snake, then it's only logical that Crono > Sephiroth! --- Not Wylvane |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/9/2010 9:45:58 PM | message detail |
Although
Pikachu beating Snake would make me laugh.....and laugh.....and laugh.
Now THAT would be a good way for the Noble Nine to be broken. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 2/9/2010 9:46:00 PM | message detail |
...yikes. I think I'd consider taking Guybrush Threepwood over Banjo at this point. --- Chop Chop Master Onion for Character Battle '11! Kick, punch, it's all in the mind! |
paulg235 | Posted 2/9/2010 9:47:14 PM | message detail |
This is all Banjo being complete fodder. Even Cloud would be 80-20'ing his ass, now. --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/9/2010 10:00:41 PM | message detail |
In a normal match, Snake would beat him 58% most likely. Since when was Pikachu equal to Squall? --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 2/9/2010 10:05:38 PM | message detail |
Chaotic Mind Posted 2/10/2010 12:22:30 AM message detail I'm still not even sure Shepard wins. I have no faith in him after his lackluster performance in 2k8. Problem is i have no faith in Ellis either, so i have no idea where to go for this match. Except Mass Effect 2 came out 2 weeks ago, and was basically to the Mass Effect franchise what Street Fighter 2 was to the SF franchise. --- http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
HaRRicH | Posted 2/9/2010 10:26:19 PM | message detail |
We agree Pikachu > Mewtwo, right? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3297 Pikachu actually BEATS Squall! --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/9/2010 10:26:56 PM | message detail |
I will end you. Once I get your sig anyway. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/9/2010 10:27:26 PM | message detail |
So, now that we've seen this, I'll ask it again: how many of us would be willing to take Pikachu > Ganondorf? --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/9/2010 10:27:59 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #020 Do I think Pikachu gets 59%+ indirectly against Mewtwo? Hmmm...Probably not. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
HaRRicH | Posted 2/9/2010 10:31:14 PM | message detail |
I think Pikachu would push for 55% on a common opponent with Mewtwo... ...but Charizard's looked good enough to take Ganondorf down. Not that he will -- I certainly want to see more from both of them this year -- but it's looking like the Poke-chain goes Charizard > Pikachu > Mewtwo thus far. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 2/9/2010 11:46:02 PM | message detail |
New pictures are pretty damn cool. --- Elephant Talk: A New Kind Of Music Blog! http://elephantmusictalk.blogspot.com/ |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/10/2010 12:27:48 AM | message detail |
Wow,
Crono *is* screwed. Pikachu getting 75% on anyone or anything at night
is sick. Crono during the day against this newfound RBY insanity is
done for. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ http://i.imgur.com/8dcbu.jpg |
greatone10 | Posted 2/10/2010 12:36:53 AM | message detail |
I
would keep in mind that Banjo is practically a Nintendo character, and
his 1st game came out during the same year as Red/Blue. In other words,
there's definitely a shared fanbase and its obvious that time has been
much kinder to Pokemon. This is impressive without at doubt, but I wouldn't take Pikachu to be THAT strong. --- "Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk This space reserved for CBVIII Guru Contest Winner. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/10/2010 12:43:15 AM | message detail |
We've
seen Red, Mewtwo, THE ZARD and Pikachu all do as good as expected or
better. There's no reason to sell Missingno short, especially during a
day match against Crono. Although yes, I agree this is an SFF match. It's just weird seeing Pikachu do this when his only other 1v1 win was eked against PaRappa in 2002. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ TurnTurnTurn your brain in. |
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 2/10/2010 12:54:12 AM | message detail |
Pikachu has to be the one Pokemon who doesn't get a great board vote and falls the rest of the match. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/2wmghtl.jpg I Am Albion Hero! |
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 2/10/2010 12:55:35 AM | message detail |
Pikachu is a god damn tank. --- Elephant Talk: A New Kind Of Music Blog! http://elephantmusictalk.blogspot.com/ |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 2/10/2010 4:47:28 AM | message detail |
We've
seen Red, Mewtwo, THE ZARD and Pikachu all do as good as expected or
better. There's no reason to sell Missingno short, especially during a
day match against Crono. Although yes, I agree this is an SFF match. It's just weird seeing Pikachu do this when his only other 1v1 win was eked against PaRappa in 2002. Red and Mewtwo jobbed. Charizard looked great but that could have been Duke Nukem completely jobbing. He doesn't look that great when you use Duke's 1v1 numbers. Today is an SFF beatdown that at least SOME of you should have expected. I'm not too impressed. I mean, we're talking about Banjo here. He's bottom feeder. --- http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/10/2010 4:49:42 AM | message detail |
From: BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted: 2/10/2010 7:47:28 AM | #029 Even for you, this is a joke post. At WORST, Red is equal to a non-SFFd Pac-Man. At best, he's Jill Valentine. --- There are two types of people: Those who love Portal, and those who haven't played it yet. |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/10/2010 4:53:16 AM | message detail |
Lies, Red was suppose to defeat MMX >_> --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 42/50 - Today's Winners: Pikachu and Ellis |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/10/2010 4:58:10 AM | message detail |
Mewtwo did exactly as he was expected to do against Ganondorf. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 2/10/2010 5:08:45 AM | message detail |
It's as if Turtle just throws random words together. --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/10/2010 5:09:52 AM | message detail |
I wouldn't even give him that much credit. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/10/2010 5:27:01 AM | message detail |
Wow,
Crono *is* screwed. Pikachu getting 75% on anyone or anything at night
is sick. Crono during the day against this newfound RBY insanity is
done for. Except that, you know, Crono beat Pikachu during every hour last year. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 2/10/2010 5:53:38 AM | message detail |
Joke
characters and pokemon characters are all looking quite impressive so
far and Missingno easily has the best vote-in performance. With a
better day vote, joke character appeal and a solid pokemon fanbase to
rely on, I think Crono better pray hard that he can survive. --- Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times" |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/10/2010 6:08:55 AM | message detail |
Wait a second why are people saying that a Noble Niner could lose in the first round? I just don't get it. Seriously, I just flat out do not get this whole Missingno > Crono thing. Do you think Missingno would beat Vincent? I don't, so...yeah. |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/10/2010 6:10:13 AM | message detail |
Sorry
for the double post, but...yeah, Ridley's performance makes me worry
about Freeman. If Ridley can boost from Brawl, then so can Peach,
right? After all, Peach > Ridley, right? |
voltch | Posted 2/10/2010 6:12:02 AM | message detail |
come on round 2, ou can not come any sooner. --- Shakes Fist! |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 2/10/2010 6:16:27 AM | message detail |
Lightning
put up 36% on Sonic, and 9.41% in the vote in poll, with no FF
characters to hurt her. In the same poll Missingno put up 15.55%,
whilst presumably being hurt by Mudkip and Jigglypuff. Crono is
presumably not miles ahead of Sonic. Missingno presumably has
rally/joke value. Work it out. --- Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/10/2010 6:17:21 AM | message detail |
I'm
nervous about Crono/Missingno just because it's Crono, but objectively,
there's nothing to fear. Crono's already beaten the strongest joke and
the strongest pokemon multiple times, easily in each time. If jokes and
pokemon have looked impressive this year- that's only because they look
close to where they were in 4-ways instead of vastly weaker like some
people expected. And about that vote-in poll- would L-Block not have gotten more than 15% in Missingno's place? The very next day, in a stronger poll, Frog almost equaled Missingno's percentage. Missingno ended at 60% against The Boss who was being held down by Raiden- a good result for him but certainly not Crono level. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/10/2010 6:19:04 AM | message detail |
Man,
I just looked at things and Gordon Freeman losing would be the best
result for me. Ngirl and I have practically the same bracket except
she's got Sub-Zero, and Dante winning in the 2nd round. Gordon Freeman
is our only other difference, and if he jobs in the 1st round, I can
make up all the points I'm gonna lose on Sub-Zero(and WCC I just
realized). So go Peach! --- "I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/10/2010 6:20:19 AM | message detail |
Yeah
Missingno won't be crushed, but winning is pretty unlikely. 15% isn't
that worrying when joke characters tend to perform betting in multi-way
polls. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 42/50 - Today's Winners: Pikachu and Ellis |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/10/2010 6:21:45 AM | message detail |
Missingno
was impressive as hell despite having no pic. With that pic, Crono's in
trouble. Modern gamers who don't know Pokemon will go "Random Character
I've never heard of vs. HA HA IS THAT A GLITCH?" and vote Missingno,
while older gamers will go "Chrono Trigger lead vs. OH GOD A GLITCH"
and vote Missingno. Of course, Missingno could just as easily bomb, but man, Missingno over Crono would be the best. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/10/2010 6:23:06 AM | message detail |
Oh
man I just realized that no matter what I can't defeat ngirl unless WCC
somehow jobs to the Boss(not happening) or Sub-Zero loses. ...I'm eliminated already. =( --- "I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 2/10/2010 6:23:51 AM | message detail |
Make
no mistake, I have Crono in my (now dead >.>) bracket and will
probably take him narrowly in the oracle, but I don't think Missingno
> Crono is terribly unlikely. I don't really want to see the NN
broken by a glitch, either. >.> --- Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/10/2010 6:24:23 AM | message detail |
Match LII: (4) Commander Shepard vs. (13) Ellis Information Name: Commander Shepard Game/Series: Mass Effect Previous Contest: 2008 Performance: 4th in round 1 Name: Ellis Game/Series: Left 4 Dead 2 Previous Contest: N/A Performance: N/A Analysis When the bracket was released I thought this match was going to be debatable. By the time the brackets closed I was one of the very few that sided with Ellis. At first I thought people went with the higher seeding, but after doing some research I noticed that Mass Effect 2 was going to be released about two weeks before the match and that it is the biggest release so far this year. My Ellis upset went from bad to worse after finding that out. My reasoning for going with Ellis was that Shepard’s performance in 2008 was terrible, especially with Sonic and Magus not looking so good in this contest, Left 4 Dead is liked a lot more than Mass Effect though using that is never a good thing and that Zoey and Louis performed decent in the vote-ins considering that they were stuck against each other plus Ellis is loved a bit more from what I gather. With Mass Effect 2 Shepard should get a rather nice boost. The game was pretty hyped and since it has only been out for two weeks a lot of people who got it and came to GameFAQs probably still remain. I don’t see Shepard causing any major upsets, but losing to a character from an ensemble cast after Mass Effect 2 would be very embarrassing. The only way Ellis can win is if the Left 4 Dead fans decide to band together and give him massive support and even then that might not be enough to win. Well it looks like my winning streak has ended, it was fun while it lasted, but Shepard would need to be the biggest flop to lose at this point. charmander6000’s Bracket: Ellis > Commander Shepard charmander6000’s Prediction: Shepard wins, 58.37% - 41.63% --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 42/50 - Today's Winners: Pikachu and Ellis |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/10/2010 6:24:35 AM | message detail |
Wait nevermind, Ryu can win and save my ass. Captain Falcon as well. God damnit ngirl why must your bracket be so similar to mine except better. --- "I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/10/2010 6:25:11 AM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #042 Man, I just looked at things and Gordon Freeman losing would be the best result for me. Ngirl and I have practically the same bracket except she's got Sub-Zero, and Dante winning in the 2nd round. Gordon Freeman is our only other difference, and if he jobs in the 1st round, I can make up all the points I'm gonna lose on Sub-Zero(and WCC I just realized). So go Peach! I'm eliminating ExTha? Hell yeah. --- Suck on THAT Zigzagoon. |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/10/2010 6:26:24 AM | message detail |
Considering
how well Pokemon RBY did in the games contest and that Missingno is one
of the most well known glitches in gaming I don't think adding the
picture will cause much difference. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 42/50 - Today's Winners: Pikachu and Ellis |