GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 823

yoshifan823 | Posted 2/7/2010 1:36:25 PM | message detail
*looks at bracket*

Whelp, see you guys during Soap/Big Daddy

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.

(this is my number)
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Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? Guru winnah Explicit Content, that's quis.
Meeks54 | Posted 2/7/2010 1:41:12 PM | message detail
This has to be a joke.
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DO YOU REALIZE THAT JACK BAUER JUST KILLED 3 MEN WHILE HANDCUFFED, BAREHANDED, DISEASED, DRUGGED AFTER HAVING A NEEDLE STUCK IN HIS NECK???
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/7/2010 1:53:57 PM | message detail

From: Meeks54 | Posted: 2/7/2010 4:41:12 PM | #002
This has to be a joke.


Not really, look at his username.

I'm tagging.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
Lopen best poster ever? Yes.
red sox 777 | Posted 2/7/2010 1:56:09 PM | message detail
But the last topic's only at 106 posts!!! (/overseriousness)

Crono for 2010 champion BELIEVE
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/8/2010 8:40:58 AM | message detail
Akuma with +30% on Squall, book it
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Currently 40th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Current Pick: Hadouken!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/8/2010 8:42:06 AM | message detail
Tag
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Dilated Chemist | Posted 2/8/2010 8:43:01 AM | message detail
So what does Dante need to hit against Axel to be the clear favorite for Round 2?

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GT: TriggerTRE
"Nothing is true. Everything is permitted."
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/8/2010 8:43:39 AM | message detail
^A doubling would be nice
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Currently 40th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Current Pick: Hadouken!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/8/2010 8:44:11 AM | message detail
Speaking of Squall, it sucks that Akuma got wasted there. He could have won in plenty of other places, but not there.

Yep, I've been a big supporter of Akuma getting a chance to do something in these contests for years now, but getting stuck against Squall in both of his appearances isn't the way to do it.

From: Dilated Chemist | #007
So what does Dante need to hit against Axel to be the clear favorite for Round 2?


Clear favorite? Mid-60s.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/8/2010 8:44:16 AM | message detail
Axel could have dropped so who knows.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/8/2010 8:44:40 AM | message detail
Clear favorite: doubling or higher
Debatable Match: low 60s
Clear disadvantage: Axel breaks 40%

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
HaRRicH | Posted 2/8/2010 8:47:22 AM | message detail
Ryu with 72.12%.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/8/2010 8:48:33 AM | message detail
I'm so disappointed we're not seeing a Crono/Vincent match this year. They had the potential to be the new Mario/Crono.
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Currently 40th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Current Pick: Hadouken!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/8/2010 9:00:25 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Dante 72.73%

16
Axel 27.27%

6
TOTAL VOTES 22

Nice board vote, Dante.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/8/2010 9:00:28 AM | message detail
Dante 57.14%

4
Axel 42.86%

3
TOTAL VOTES 7

Got it memorized?
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Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/8/2010 9:00:32 AM | message detail
woah there Dante

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:07 AM | message detail
1 minute overreaction analysis: Well, Ryu's in trouble.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:09 AM | message detail
dante > mega man
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http://i48.tinypic.com/2wmghtl.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
ZFS | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:12 AM | message detail
Well then. Axel sucks pretty hard here.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:19 AM | message detail
Ryu is so ****ED.
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lol
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:22 AM | message detail
Sora > Mario train is falling off the rails before the second round. Awesome.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:29 AM | message detail
Is that a tripling I see

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:33 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #017
1 minute overreaction analysis: Well, Ryu's in trouble.


Concurrence!
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Dilated Chemist | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:44 AM | message detail
Damn.

Dante > Sora

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GT: TriggerTRE
"Nothing is true. Everything is permitted."
Kotetsu534 | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:45 AM | message detail
Bloody hell. He went up from 71->74 from when I last checked. Did Axel get the board vote and still not stave off the doubling? XD

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Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:53 AM | message detail
It's like Ryu and Dante are trying to outdo each other here.

It's one big dick-waving contest.
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Not Wylvane
Gaddswell | Posted 2/8/2010 9:01:58 AM | message detail
Dante 69.01% 98
Axel 30.99% 44
TOTAL VOTES 142

Lucky Axel has that KH day vote...
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http://fc93.deviantart.com/fs40/f/2009/026/9/3/Ike_Climbers1_by_MGSFan4ever.png
Thanks Anagram!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/8/2010 9:02:27 AM | message detail
Hey guys, Axel vs. Ridley: Who you got?
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/8/2010 9:02:29 AM | message detail
Ryu is screwed

Hell, Cloud is screwed

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/8/2010 9:02:33 AM | message detail
Dante 74.17%

Hey, KoolAid!
What?
There is this giant demon standing in the tracks!
Crap, everybody off the Ryu > Dante train!
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Currently 40th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Current Pick: Hadouken!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/8/2010 9:02:55 AM | message detail
And Charizard > Sora is looking like a solid possibility!
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Not Wylvane
ZFS | Posted 2/8/2010 9:03:04 AM | message detail
Hard to not love Kingdom Hearts getting rocked! Dante looks great here, but a more than a little bit of this is Axel sucking it up. Good stuff.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/8/2010 9:03:11 AM | message detail
...This bears asking.

Ridley vs. Axel, who ya got?
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/8/2010 9:03:22 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #028
Hey guys, Axel vs. Ridley: Who you got?


Dante to get 55% on Cloud!
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Not Wylvane
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/8/2010 9:03:32 AM | message detail
*survives the crash of Ryu > Dante train*

**** it...*starts Dante > Cloud train*

CHOO CHOO
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Currently 40th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Current Pick: Hadouken!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/8/2010 9:03:39 AM | message detail
Assuming this holds (lol), Dante = Samus.

Guys, 4way results MAKE SENSE, YOU JUST HAVE TO BE SMART ABOUT IT.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/8/2010 9:04:00 AM | message detail
Axel has no reason to be weaker now then the 2007 contest, due to the new KH game. Dante is really really strong.
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http://i48.tinypic.com/2wmghtl.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
ctesjbuvf | Posted 2/8/2010 9:04:01 AM | message detail
oh yeah forgot

Dante 73.08% 19

Axel 26.92% 7

TOTAL VOTES 26
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"Biggest Nintendo Fan Ever" 07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_;
http://i628.photobucket.com/albums/uu9/npaintv2/Ctes.jpg
voltch | Posted 2/8/2010 9:04:07 AM | message detail
woops, axel bomb there.
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Shakes Fist!
HaRRicH | Posted 2/8/2010 9:04:30 AM | message detail
Fun-fact: Axel beat Lightning in the vote-in polls.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/8/2010 9:04:34 AM | message detail
82.50% for Ryu there.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/8/2010 9:04:46 AM | message detail
Bayonetta Boost

Action game influx to GameFAQs

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/8/2010 9:05:17 AM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #040
Fun-fact: Axel beat Lightning in the vote-in polls.


Dante > Sonic > Dante confirmed
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/8/2010 9:05:20 AM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #040
Fun-fact: Axel beat Lightning in the vote-in polls.


And to think I'd only pick Dante to merely beat Sonic before this contest!

Now I can predict that Dante doubles Sonic and not look crazy!
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Not Wylvane
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/8/2010 9:05:27 AM | message detail
71.88%...

holy **** Dante
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/8/2010 9:05:38 AM | message detail
More like Hideki Kamiya boost
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Currently 40th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Current Pick: Hadouken!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 2/8/2010 9:06:04 AM | message detail
Once again, 2006 Axel would 60-40 2010 Axel. Still whoa
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http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/8/2010 9:07:18 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
44------10----------100.0000000
43------46----------100.0000000
42------120--------100.0000000
41------223--------98.6547085
40------458--------97.3799127
39------837--------95.4599761
38------1262------93.5023772
37------1608------91.4179104
36------2053------90.1607404
35------2217------89.1745602
34------2453------88.3408072
33------2335------85.1820128
32------2285------83.4573304
31------2022------82.0474777
30------1767------77.0797963
29------1501------75.5496336
28------1141------73.4443471
27------872--------69.7247706
26------650--------65.8461538
25------502--------64.1434263
24------336--------63.6904762
23------213--------63.8497653
22------144--------58.3333333
21------86----------59.3023256
20------62----------51.6129032
19------39----------33.3333333
18------26----------42.3076923
17------13----------23.0769231
16------9------------22.2222222
15------19----------42.1052632
14------8------------0.0000000
13------14----------7.1428571
12------12----------16.6666667
11------13----------7.6923077
10------18----------0.0000000
9--------12----------16.6666667
8--------21----------0.0000000
7--------17----------0.0000000
6--------17----------0.0000000
5--------10----------0.0000000
4--------6------------0.0000000
3--------9------------0.0000000
2--------12----------0.0000000
1--------36----------0.0000000
0--------54----------0.0000000

Pretty much expected. Top 3 tiers go perfect.

No one fell off the Top 50 today.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/8/2010 9:09:03 AM | message detail
...

I would take Axel > Ridley >_>
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Currently 40th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Current Pick: Hadouken!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/8/2010 9:09:08 AM | message detail
I can't see a one-trick pony like Geno beating Ness, to be honest. Even if Ness is weak, Geno hasn't done anything convincing.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia