GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 816
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/3/2010 9:03:53 PM | message detail |
Did
I really just move up 2 spots on the leaderboard? 2 people who had only
gotten two matches wrong so far picked Eddie Riggs over Ratchet? what --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:03:54 PM | message detail |
Mewtwo > Zelda let's do this. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 30/38 - Today's Winners: Zelda and Ezio |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:03:56 PM | message detail |
Zelda seems to be rising now. Maybe she can salvage a tripling. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:04:50 PM | message detail |
I think Travis may finish at 30% here. Travis strikes me as someone who'd have a solid overnight vote. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/b8mkn7.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
MudkipMaster30 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:04:56 PM | message detail |
My
first two divisions were looking so nice and green, but the last while
there's been nothing but red! Oh-well, with experience I'll get better.
:P --- In 2012, the new Mudkip Invasion will begin... This user is a proud Canadian. |
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 2/3/2010 9:05:19 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #201 Those people who were -2 are due to the law of probability. --- CBVIII: 34/37 - 34 pts, tied for 33rd - L: Ocelot, Liquid, Phoenix Day Pick: Ratchet Night Pick: Zelda |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:05:58 PM | message detail |
I'm feeling pretty good that I will get this division perfect now that all of the difficult matches have passed. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 30/38 - Today's Winners: Zelda and Ezio |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:06:47 PM | message detail |
Travis has a night vote? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3768®ion=EUR --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 30/38 - Today's Winners: Zelda and Ezio |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/3/2010 9:06:47 PM | message detail |
"Salvage"
a tripling? Travis is the higher seed, with a godlike picture and a
recent release. That has to mean a couple percentage points. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ Writhe in my cage of torment, my friend. |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 9:06:48 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #201 I only had three matches wrong prior and I still ****ed up. So much for making the leaderboard this contest! --- Not Wylvane |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:07:29 PM | message detail |
Eddie Riggs won in Mexico. DARN YOU NACHO LIBRE --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:07:55 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #208 You know as well as I do that the returns from the freeze for regions mean nothing. Its probably like 6 votes in europe, with 5 going to Zelda. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/b8mkn7.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 9:08:06 PM | message detail |
Japanese-Character-That-Looks-Like-He's-From-A-Western-Game Boost! Western Boost still lives! --- Not Wylvane |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:08:27 PM | message detail |
"Salvage"
a tripling? Travis is the higher seed, with a godlike picture and a
recent release. That has to mean a couple percentage points. If you assume Ganondorf = Zelda then she should be getting 78% here. The boost is there, but the guy was weak. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 30/38 - Today's Winners: Zelda and Ezio |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:09:55 PM | message detail |
Eddie Riggs won in Mexico. DARN YOU NACHO LIBRE He also won in South America lol. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 30/38 - Today's Winners: Zelda and Ezio |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/3/2010 9:10:17 PM | message detail |
Score-Brackets-% Right 36------3------------100.0000000 35------32----------90.6250000 34------103--------95.1456311 33------226--------94.6902655 32------457--------91.2472648 31------924--------88.9610390 30------1596------89.4736842 29------2120------87.7830189 28------2597------85.1752022 27------2967------82.2716549 26------2904------79.0289256 25------2797------78.4769396 24------2349------73.8186462 23------1860------71.0215054 22------1438------67.5938804 21------1056------65.5303030 20------713--------62.9733520 19------481--------63.8253638 18------287--------60.2787456 17------167--------50.8982036 16------102--------53.9215686 15------55----------41.8181818 14------38----------55.2631579 13------20----------30.0000000 12------25----------24.0000000 11------17----------17.6470588 10------19----------5.2631579 9--------19----------0.0000000 8--------18----------5.5555556 7--------20----------0.0000000 6--------18----------5.5555556 5--------18----------11.1111111 4--------6------------0.0000000 3--------12----------0.0000000 2--------10----------0.0000000 1--------34----------0.0000000 0--------60----------1.6666667 We lost a 0 bracket again. Other than that, this was pretty normal. 2 people fell off the Top 50 today. __Smurf__ and Chip2k5 did not have Ratchet beating Eddie Riggs. 1 person got it wrong but survived. MajinLou also did not have Ratchet beating Eddie Riggs. --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..." |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/3/2010 9:10:33 PM | message detail |
strange --- Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 28th Today's prediction: Zelda with 74.54% Status: |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/3/2010 9:10:43 PM | message detail |
Blowouts
haven't been that huge in this contest. Why expect 80% from Zelda when
Link couldn't hit 80% on Thrall? I went with 75% and knew I was risking
going high. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:11:20 PM | message detail |
There will always be people who anti vote the obvious favorite, or give pity votes. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/b8mkn7.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
Draco1214 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:12:03 PM | message detail |
I'd laugh so hard if Ezio goes and puts up less on Simon than Altair did on Liquid. I think that would make Ezio about as strong as Sam Fisher... --- No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills. |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:12:07 PM | message detail |
True. And Travis has a terrific picture, yeah. That lightsaber thing must be worth some points. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/3/2010 9:12:26 PM | message detail |
If
Travis was supposed to drop after the board vote, then it was just a
hiccup for now. Remember when WCC dropped off almost 4% on the second
update and then rose in percentage for several updates in a row. That
was a hiccup on WCC's part there, because something strange happened in
the second update of the WCC match. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/3/2010 9:12:34 PM | message detail |
According to Leon's stats, Travis scores 27% on Altair last year. OH MAN EZIO > ZELDA UPSET COMING lololollolollolol --- "Watching regs bash Ulti is like watching an ant colony revolt against a lawnmower." -Lucid Faia |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:12:36 PM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #218 I figured Travis Touchdown was more Ratchet level than anything else, and I figured Zelda could at least hit that. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 9:12:42 PM | message detail |
I
love how you guys alternate between "four-way stats are useless" and
"character Y isn't impressing since they're not performing as strongly
according to the x-stats!" I think four-way stats are better than most people give them credit for (if you ignore the large amounts of LFF, of course, which is pretty damn hard to do), but I wouldn't say Zelda's disappointing here considering Travis may have had a Drake-level boost due to his recent game release last week on a system starved for new games. A Travis overperformance isn't that shocking. --- Not Wylvane |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:12:56 PM | message detail |
From: Draco1214 | #220 Weaker, actually. Sam Fisher put up like... 62-63% on Simon I think? if you believe altair = ezio, then he should likely get low 70s, maybe even 75% --- http://i48.tinypic.com/b8mkn7.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:13:20 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #223 No need to invite unnecessary stupid posts into this topic! --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:13:25 PM | message detail |
From: -LusterSoldier- | #222 .... why would a brawl character not get the board vote again? --- http://i48.tinypic.com/b8mkn7.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:14:01 PM | message detail |
Because it's Zelda and not Sheik! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/3/2010 9:15:34 PM | message detail |
Zelda went up about half a percent. Looks like I could be right about that second update being a hiccup. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
MegatokyoEd | Posted 2/3/2010 9:15:58 PM | message detail |
I
doubt even Link could do much better than 81-82% on Travis. He isn't as
weak as last year showed. Mewtwo just overperformed to some amazing
degree and everyone else suffered. --- Demyx is better than Axel. |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:17:00 PM | message detail |
I
love how you guys alternate between "four-way stats are useless" and
"character Y isn't impressing since they're not performing as strongly
according to the x-stats!" I think four-way stats are better than most people give them credit for (if you ignore the large amounts of LFF, of course, which is pretty damn hard to do), but I wouldn't say Zelda's disappointing here considering Travis may have had a Drake-level boost due to his recent game release last week on a system starved for new games. A Travis overperformance isn't that shocking. I wasn't considering a Travis boost.....didn't even know he had a new game (that's what being completely out of touch with gaming nowadays gets me). And I wasn't really basing expecting Zelda to get around 80% on the 4-way stats, but more on past 1v1 matches like Tifa/Vyse and Zelda/Terra. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:18:13 PM | message detail |
Yesterday's chart: Time | Ratchet | Riggs | Votes 0:05 | 69.12% | 30.88% | 748 1:00 | 68.89% | 31.11% | 7181 2:00 | 66.85% | 33.15% | 6009 3:00 | 67.10% | 32.90% | 5566 4:00 | 68.86% | 31.14% | 6204 5:00 | 68.05% | 31.95% | 6287 6:00 | 68.41% | 31.59% | 5749 7:00 | 69.04% | 30.96% | 5145 8:00 | 67.68% | 32.32% | 4651 9:00 | 70.36% | 29.64% | 4281 10:00 | 68.06% | 31.94% | 3961 11:00 | 69.06% | 30.94% | 3475 12:00 | 69.25% | 30.75% | 2998 Ratchet managed one 70% hour and did a little bit better against Eddie once we got to the ASV, but not a lot. By the way, assuming Ratchet is at 13% on Link, Eddie Riggs is at 8.22% on Link. Assuming he's around 15% on Link, Eddie Riggs is at 9.48%. A sub-10% number is practically guaranteed. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:18:40 PM | message detail |
if
anything, zelda is doing damn good here. A guy coming off a brand new
game getting awesome reviews, and she still gets 72%? Thats impressive.
I was expecting 67-68% here. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/b8mkn7.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 9:19:14 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #227 But I loved laughing at the Ezio > Zelda guy's posts! He's almost as hilarious as that Tsunami chap, except Tsunami's more endearing and this guy's more delusional. And which of Mewtwo's matches is Travis based on? The one where he was potentially LFFed by Midna, the one where he beat two characters who would have crushed him had Cloud not been there, or the one where he was against two incredibly strong characters and a decent joke character? --- Not Wylvane |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:19:40 PM | message detail |
Based on Travis's trends last year, expect a decent night vote and an awful morning vote. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:20:13 PM | message detail |
She got 79% on Terra in 2006, so this feels very lukewarm in comparison. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:20:15 PM | message detail |
Wow that's a bit of an overestimation there for Travis. His second game was pretty much only hyped by previous NMH fans. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 30/38 - Today's Winners: Zelda and Ezio |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:20:46 PM | message detail |
And which of Mewtwo's matches is Travis based on? Travis's number is derived from his number against Mewtwo straight up. Which Mewtwo match did I use though? If I had to guess, probably his last match since it was the "most fair" performance against Cloud. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
MegatokyoEd | Posted 2/3/2010 9:21:48 PM | message detail |
She got 79% on Terra in 2006, so this feels very lukewarm in comparison. Link got 79% on THRALL. The days of blowouts like that are over. --- Demyx is better than Axel. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/3/2010 9:21:57 PM | message detail |
Leon forgot to bold the chart :( --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone has one and no one thinks theirs stinks." -Lunar 2 |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:22:08 PM | message detail |
Based on Travis's trends last year, expect a decent night vote and an awful morning vote. He was against three day vote characters, what did you expect? He should still do better at night. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 30/38 - Today's Winners: Zelda and Ezio |
Gr8CyberMonkey | Posted 2/3/2010 9:22:48 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 2/4/2010 12:21:57 AM | #241 I think that made me look at the numbers more, honestly. --- The question to everyone's answer. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/3/2010 9:22:59 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #237 I'm still saying we shouldn't expect massive blowouts unless no one cares about the competition (Sandal). Vincent is up against Guybrush, right? I wouldn't expect 80% there even though Bowser put up 83% on Guybrush years ago. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 9:23:15 PM | message detail |
Solid
character design, pic advantage, higher seed, has a recent game not
even two weeks old, and predictions based on some very iffy stats. But forget all that, this is clearly Zelda bombing here. Ezio > Zelda is a lock at this point! --- Not Wylvane |
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/3/2010 9:23:15 PM | message detail |
I'm
a bit disappointed Travis isn't doing better here. You'd figure if
GameFAQs was starting to anti-vote the obvious options, he would be
able to do well with an amazing pic vs. the most worthless character in
the Zelda series. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/3/2010 9:23:17 PM | message detail |
By
the way, assuming Ratchet is at 13% on Link, Eddie Riggs is at 8.22% on
Link. Assuming he's around 15% on Link, Eddie Riggs is at 9.48%. A
sub-10% number is practically guaranteed. I would like some projections on what WCC would get against Eddie Riggs and what Sandal would get on Eddie Riggs, based on how Ratchet and Sandal performed in their matches. Assume the following when making projections: WCC would get 67.00% on Ratchet - I chose this number because I know WCC could go for the doubling on Ratchet, but definitely not not the tripling. 67.00% is the next closest whole number after 66.67% (the minimum for a doubling) I don't know how to do these kinds of projections, so I will leave it to someone that can do it. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 2/3/2010 9:23:20 PM | message detail |
Blowouts
aren't over. We just need either ridiculous SFF situations like
Link/Ganon, or we need guys like Mega Man and Snake who can't possibly
be antivoted to be put up against the turbofodder. Instead we're
wasting midcarders like Cid and Proto Man on them. --- http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:24:04 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #246 But Tingle isn't in the match... --- http://i48.tinypic.com/b8mkn7.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:24:11 PM | message detail |
Oh hey, actual comments about the chart! People actually read the thing! Ratchet's best hour was the 9th and Eddie's was the 2nd, FYI. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
