GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 816

RPGuy96 | Posted 2/3/2010 6:55:00 PM | message detail
It's not going to be Edgeworth, I'll say that much. Given an extremely pessimistic value for Big Boss against Mario - 23.87%, which he got with a horrible sprite pic - and an extremely pessimistic value for Mario against Link - 33.72%, which he got in triple LFF last year - Edgeworth still works out to 15.31% on Link. That's probably stronger than Ratchet, so the moral of the story here is lol Eddie Riggs.
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Mustache...and Green...
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 6:55:47 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #148
What are we even going to adjust on? The last 1v1 contest?


Some of these characters have nothing to adjust on. We can make decent guesses for some (like Vincent and Tifa around Squall/Auron level, for instance).

And there will probably be SFF-adjusted stats this year, I'd figure. Just like always, you just have to take them with a grain of salt because most adjustments are arbitrary. I didn't adjust a single thing that wasn't related to a match result in my stats last year.
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"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
red sox 777 | Posted 2/3/2010 6:58:01 PM | message detail
Um, RPGuy, I'm getting Edgeworth at 7.66% on Link assuming the numbers you assumed for Mario/Big Boss and Link/Mario.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
voltch | Posted 2/3/2010 6:58:06 PM | message detail
It's just a general guideline anyway.
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Shakes Fist!
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/3/2010 7:01:08 PM | message detail
rpguy@galileo:~$ calc "23.78*23.87*33.72/(50**3)"
0.153123491136

That's what I...oh, wait, that doesn't make sense, why is that in decimal form? One to many fifties, good catch.

Okay, well, it's still probably stronger than Eddie. <_<
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Mustache...and Green...
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 7:23:39 PM | message detail
XXXIX: (7) Travis Touchdown vs. (10) Zelda

Information

Name: Travis Touchdown
Game/Series: No More Heroes
Previous Contest: 2008
Performance: 4th in round 1

Name: Zelda
Game/Series: The Legend of Zelda
Previous Contest: 2008
Performance: 3rd in round 2

Analysis

The vote-ins did a good job removing a lot of the fodder from this contest, but at the same time there are fodder that have small hardcore fanbase that will get the character into the contest with a decent seed, but when thousands of voters come it’s pretty obvious that they are going to get crushed. Zelda on the other hand pretty much has this bottom half division rapped up unless Ezio decides to be near elite after just one game.

The only contest Travis was in he was crushed by Nintendo characters. While the guy isn’t from Nintendo himself being a Wii exclusive does mean that the fanbases will probably overlap. Since Zelda is also Nintendo it is likely that he will be crushed in a similar manner. Travis does have a newly released sequel that came out about a week ago. This could boost his performance against Zelda, though he’ll still likely be crushed.

It’s a shame that Zelda was given an easy route before falling at the hands of Samus. I do find the call for an Ezio upset amusing and while some people are dismissing it completely personally I would like to wait for his premier match before laughing at the thought of an upset.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Zelda > Travis Touchdown

charmander6000’s Prediction: Zelda wins, 70.86% - 29.14%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 28/36 - Today's Winners: Jecht and Ratchet
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 7:26:38 PM | message detail
I'm smelling a quadrupling for Zelda, personally.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
red sox 777 | Posted 2/3/2010 7:29:40 PM | message detail
Zelda's still in the running for blowout of the round. Though that would say very very little about Zelda/Ezio even if she gets it.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 7:30:21 PM | message detail
I'm still confused as to how Zelda got only a 10 seed...
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/3/2010 7:32:17 PM | message detail
On the one hand, No More Heroes 2 just came out. On the other hand, Travis looked very weak last year. He had nice Stand Out Factor on his side, and Mewtwo (who was overlapping with Ness) still almost tripled him.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 7:39:15 PM | message detail
No More Heroes 2 might help TT not get blown out quite so badly, but in last year's stats, Zelda is undoubtedly underrated (being stuck with Mario for both of her matches), and there's a possibility Travis Touchdown is slightly overrated, and my stats still project Zelda with like 79% of the vote.

Plus, she's proven she's quite capable of blowing the crap out of fodder (Hey Carmen Sandiego).
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/3/2010 8:01:28 PM | message detail
Why in the world is Zelda only a 10 seed??
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 8:01:51 PM | message detail
we are in for a string of super boring matches... next match thats debatable isnt till Revan/Terra >.<
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 8:05:22 PM | message detail
More like Kratos/Sackboy

Also while there aren't any debatable matches unexpected performances can still happen.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 28/36 - Today's Winners: Jecht and Ratchet
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/3/2010 8:05:27 PM | message detail
we are in for a string of super boring matches... next match thats debatable isnt till Revan/Terra >.<

And that one's over a week away >_> <_<
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/3/2010 8:09:04 PM | message detail
I'm smelling a quadrupling for Zelda, personally.

Might be possible. I just remembered that Mewtwo scored 73.91% on Travis last year, though I wonder how much of that was due to SFF and/or LFF. I think Zelda will clear the tripling with no problem. Zelda should be slightly above Ganondorf and I wager Zelda could probably get around 60% on Mewtwo. So the quadrupling might happen.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/3/2010 8:09:44 PM | message detail
Sackboy/Kratos is pretty debated. Sackboy has over 30% support in the Guru.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Biolizard28 | Posted 2/3/2010 8:10:42 PM | message detail

From: Fayt_Esteed | #162
Why in the world is Zelda only a 10 seed??


"I would normally nominate Zelda, but everyone's probably going to do that anyway!"

imho
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
Draco1214 | Posted 2/3/2010 8:26:02 PM | message detail
Layton has a pretty decent chance at making last place in the stats if Bowser beats Sora (Mario/Bowser and then Link/Mario).
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No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 8:55:19 PM | message detail
Call me optimistic, but I think Travis will avoid getting tripled.

And I thought there already was a 493 out, at least for Diamond. Dunno if Platinum got such an update yet. Hell, I'm pretty sure I played a bit of Diamond 493, with the starters being something like Squirtle, Cyndaquil, and Treecko. Should be on LL. Also pretty sure a LLer make Emerald 385, aka Ukemerald after the guy who made it, Uke.

And Jecht's going to kick Ratchet's ass. You guys wouldn't take Laharl over Jecht, would you? These votals freaking stink and just show that Ratchet's high enough fodder that he can blow out uber-fodder.

If anything, this match is a testament to how nobody actually likes Jack Black but simply tolerates him in whatever movies or TV shows he's in.
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Not Wylvane
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 8:58:34 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xbpXsdihJqc
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 8:59:51 PM | message detail
Jack Black got doubled by a squirrel.

So awesome.
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Not Wylvane
paulg235 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:14 PM | message detail
Travis Touchdown 44.44%

4
Zelda 55.56%

5
TOTAL VOTES 9
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Master Moltar | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:18 PM | message detail
Travis Touchdown 20%

1
Zelda 80%

4
TOTAL VOTES 5

first travis vote!
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Zelda > Travis (33/38)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:21 PM | message detail
Travis Touchdown 34.29%

12
Zelda 65.71%

23
TOTAL VOTES 35

Travis has fans?!
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:24 PM | message detail
oh man travis
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:26 PM | message detail
oooh boy 80% here we come
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 24th
Today's prediction: Zelda with 74.54% Status:
tennisboy213 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:27 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Travis Touchdown 32.5% 13
Zelda 67.5% 27
TOTAL VOTES 40
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:30 PM | message detail
Poor Travis.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
red sox 777 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:31 PM | message detail
Travis Touchdown 22.3% 33
Zelda 77.7% 115
TOTAL VOTES 148

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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
KrahenProphet | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:33 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Travis Touchdown 34.21%

13
Zelda 65.79%

25
TOTAL VOTES 38

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4th place in Summer Contest 2k4
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:33 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Travis Touchdown 35.29%

6
Zelda 64.71%

11
TOTAL VOTES 17

Yeehaw!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:34 PM | message detail
Oy, not many...
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Nameless2000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:34 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Travis Touchdown 50% 5
Zelda 50% 5
TOTAL VOTES 10

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In need of a good signature.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:47 PM | message detail
The sad thing is that Travis is probably too busy wanking off to Zelda to bother fighting.
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Not Wylvane
MegatokyoEd | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:50 PM | message detail
Look at the person who Ezio is going to beat!
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Demyx is better than Axel.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:51 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #172
Jack Black got doubled by a squirrel.

So awesome.


Lombax
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:52 PM | message detail
Boring match is boring.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 30/38 - Today's Winners: Zelda and Ezio
Nomchan | Posted 2/3/2010 9:00:52 PM | message detail
Wow, go Zelda!
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~ Birth by Sleep ~
A flat chest is a status symbol, it has immeasurable value. - Mayumi-chan
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/3/2010 9:01:01 PM | message detail
hmm maybe not 80% after all
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 24th
Today's prediction: Zelda with 74.54% Status:
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/3/2010 9:01:08 PM | message detail
This Ezio > Zelda hype is the most useless nonsense ever.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:01:31 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #191
This Ezio > Zelda hype is the most useless nonsense ever.


wait till Ezio gets 80% tomorrow ... !
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/3/2010 9:01:36 PM | message detail
Good god this contest has spoiled us. Easy matches are only 12 hours and people still complain.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
charmander6000 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:02:16 PM | message detail
This Ezio > Zelda hype is the most useless nonsense ever.

I don't think this match should change anyone's opinions.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 30/38 - Today's Winners: Zelda and Ezio
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 9:02:25 PM | message detail
Zelda's not tripling Travis, time for the Ezio > Zelda upset train!
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/3/2010 9:02:26 PM | message detail
Meh, kinda disappointed in Zelda here, but maybe NMH2 did do something for Travis.

77%+ bracket support for Ratchet.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
MegatokyoEd | Posted 2/3/2010 9:02:42 PM | message detail
I'd laugh so hard if Ezio goes and puts up less on Simon than Altair did on Liquid.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/3/2010 9:03:03 PM | message detail
Especially since Travis is Wii exclusive character. He'd be SFF'd by any of Nintendos top dogs.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/3/2010 9:03:17 PM | message detail
Even the casuals had no faith in Eddie Riggs.

Makes me feel even dumber for picking him.
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Not Wylvane
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/3/2010 9:03:45 PM | message detail
Woo Travis. He's probably going to fall off after the board vote, though.
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Mustache...and Green...