GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 813

PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/1/2010 9:38:41 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #098
I wonder if this is what we could have expected the kind of updates Spy would have gotten on Chief at this time.


Well, you've gotta wonder where you draw the "rally line." If Spy was at 45% right now, would that be close enough to convince the Valve/TF2 faithful to really rally?
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:39:43 PM | message detail
more like 49.99% after Heavy picks up the pace and starts making cuts!

Heavy needs 8.70 votes per update to tie.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 26/34 - Today's Winners: Roxas and Sub-Zero
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:40:34 PM | message detail
47% update... Heavy may cut soon.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/1/2010 9:40:43 PM | message detail
Man, Heavy is beasting these percentage cuts.

At the rate we're going, there's nothing that can happen now or in 12 hours that could make Roxas anything but a huge underdog.
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Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:40:51 PM | message detail
Heavy still hasn't broken 45% in an update yet, and the lead is up to 1192, so a comeback seems just about impossible.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/1/2010 9:41:22 PM | message detail
If Heavy comes back and wins this match I will make love to yoblazer.
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:41:34 PM | message detail
Or rather, he didn't have a 45% update until that one. But either way, the lead's over 1200 now.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 9:41:45 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #100
more like 49.99% after Heavy picks up the pace and starts making cuts!


Go back to self-promoting Snake/Sephy, this one's over!
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:41:55 PM | message detail
Roxas is doing better in Europe and Asia then North America. This makes no sense. Maybe he's a night guy?


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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/1/2010 9:42:04 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | Posted: 2/2/2010 12:40:43 AM | #104
Man, Heavy is beasting these percentage cuts.

At the rate we're going, there's nothing that can happen now or in 12 hours that could make Roxas anything but a huge underdog.


People act silly about obvious matches. Heavy > Roxas with the way KH has trended up was a silly hype train.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
There's no point in hiding!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/1/2010 9:42:09 PM | message detail

From: Lightslayer987 | #103
47% update... Heavy may cut soon.


I'm not even sure if Roxas is out of the woods. At first glance, 58/42 doesn't seem insurmountable. All the Valve maniacs need is some hope.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:43:43 PM | message detail
I think I may pay 4chan and Steam boards a little visit >_>;;
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 9:44:49 PM | message detail
Chart from yesterday's match:

Time | Niko B. | Jill V. | Votes
0:05 | 30.07% | 69.93% | 898
1:00 | 30.39% | 69.61% | 9055
2:00 | 31.03% | 68.97% | 7608
3:00 | 32.26% | 67.74% | 7098
4:00 | 33.90% | 66.10% | 7440
5:00 | 34.41% | 65.59% | 7337
6:00 | 33.77% | 66.23% | 7019
7:00 | 34.61% | 65.39% | 6490
8:00 | 33.81% | 66.19% | 5122
9:00 | 32.76% | 67.24% | 5272
10:00 | 33.03% | 66.97% | 4804
11:00 | 32.37% | 67.63% | 4514
12:00 | 31.58% | 68.42% | 3610

Jill gets off to a great start, but Niko brings her down a good bit with the ASV. RE's day vote is still pretty pitiful, looks like.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/1/2010 9:45:20 PM | message detail
I have never played TF2, or done ANYTHING Steam/Valve related.

But if you show me where to go, I would definitely be inclined to try and start a rally. Especially if Heavy can keep doing this for several more updates.
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
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KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:46:05 PM | message detail
This probably is the rallying, you realize.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 9:46:09 PM | message detail
Especially if Heavy can keep doing this for several more updates.

Keep doing what? Letting Roxas gain 75 votes per update?
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/1/2010 9:46:45 PM | message detail
ROXAS ONLY INCREASED BY ~100 IN THE LAST 10 MINUTES, GUYZ. O MANZ OH GODZ OH MANZ

lol
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
Make me a perfect lie.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 9:47:33 PM | message detail
Based on last year's trends, TF2 characters are very, very night oriented. They dropped like a rock once we hit the day last year.

Which makes what Spy did against Chief all the more perplexing.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
charmander6000 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:47:59 PM | message detail
Yeah Heavy would need a rally so big it would put Starcraft to shame.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 26/34 - Today's Winners: Roxas and Sub-Zero
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:48:16 PM | message detail
Hmm, I see an Ariel picture in the Heavy rally threat at 4chan

I wonder who that is.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/1/2010 9:48:26 PM | message detail
Heavy's really impressing with the percentage cuts.

Too bad he's doing jack **** lead-wise, the part where cuts actually matter!
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Not Wylvane
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:49:05 PM | message detail
I mean, Roxas is doing worse in North America than Europe. Let me repeat that: a Kingdom Hearts character is doing worse against a PC character in North America than Europe. Heavy is probably being rallied right now.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/1/2010 9:50:10 PM | message detail
Shouldn't it be easy enough to determine rallying by comparing votals?
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 9:50:47 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #123
Shouldn't it be easy enough to determine rallying by comparing votals?


We can get a decent idea from it, but not always. MC/Spy did have very high vote totals though.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/1/2010 9:50:56 PM | message detail
Roxas is just falling off the map here.
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Not Wylvane
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:51:08 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #123
Shouldn't it be easy enough to determine rallying by comparing votals?


We're actually a bit below average for a night match.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/1/2010 9:51:14 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #117
ROXAS ONLY INCREASED BY ~100 IN THE LAST 10 MINUTES, GUYZ. O MANZ OH GODZ OH MANZ

lol


Ulti, what are you doing exactly? 97% of the Gurus have Roxas. There was no conflict here.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:51:14 PM | message detail
Roxas is probably going to finish the Power Hour around a 1500 vote lead. That means he'll probably have at least a 2000 vote lead by 2 AM. Heavy shouldn't be able to begin making consistent cuts until after 3 AM, or more likely, past 4 AM or never.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:53:05 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #128
Roxas is probably going to finish the Power Hour around a 1500 vote lead. That means he'll probably have at least a 2000 vote lead by 2 AM. Heavy shouldn't be able to begin making consistent cuts until after 3 AM, or more likely, past 4 AM or never.


The late night is the best time for rallying due to the low votals.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:53:14 PM | message detail
Kefka/Arthas: 7655
L-Block/HK-47: 8044
Samus/Prince at this time: 8488
Roxas/Heavy: 8755


yeah

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:53:48 PM | message detail
Also, Sora/Midna: 8255

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:53:50 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #130
Kefka/Arthas: 7655
L-Block/HK-47: 8044
Samus/Prince at this time: 8488
Roxas/Heavy: 8755


yeah


I like how you skipped Zard/Duke.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/1/2010 9:53:59 PM | message detail
I'm not even convinced Heavy's being rallied right now. I doubt many people are going to be on the Steam forums, especially now. Even if Valve linked the match on Steam, it won't do much for Heavy when most people are asleep, and they probably won't get on Steam in the morning since they have to go to school/work.

Just saying, rallying likely won't actually work unless it's a day match, and even then it won't be that strong. Plus Heavy's percentage gains are more a decrease in Roxas's votes than Heavy gaining votes.
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:54:14 PM | message detail
So the rallying has probably already started then?
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:54:53 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #134
So the rallying has probably already started then?


Theres like 4 topics on 4chan I can tell.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
red sox 777 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:55:35 PM | message detail
Actually, I think this match was already beating all of those at the 5 minutes mark. So we just have higher votals tonight for whatever reason.
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:55:56 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #136
Actually, I think this match was already beating all of those at the 5 minutes mark. So we just have higher votals tonight for whatever reason.


Because of....

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
red sox 777 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:56:38 PM | message detail
Well, it seems unlikely they were rallying in the first 5 minutes. Although, it's possible that we had higher than normal votals AND rallying.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
HaRRicH | Posted 2/1/2010 9:57:29 PM | message detail
Yeah, but rallying usually doesn't start in the first five minutes, plus Heavy started off poorly in comparison to where he's at now. With the vote total being that low, rallying should have influenced it a lot more.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
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KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:58:17 PM | message detail
Rallying can very easily start in the first five minutes. Then it would get far more pronounced as the match would go no, which it is.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:58:26 PM | message detail
*go on

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 10:00:29 PM | message detail
aww yea cut
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/1/2010 10:00:40 PM | message detail
This isn't Gamespot. 12 hours is a hell of a lot shorter than a few days, and even our night matches get more votes than most Gamespot matches. And even then, 4chan rallying couldn't get Bub & Bob past Samus.

You guys seriously overestimate rallying, at least in the sense of rallying during a match. It's much more effective if the character/game has already pulled an impressive performance, allowing word of mouth to spread and get more people behind them to boost their strength in future rounds. You know, the kind of hype that boosted entities like Starcraft and L-Block. But you're not going to see, say, L-Block going from 2007 R1 self to 2007 Semi-Final self during one match. Even 4chan can't accomplish much here other than boosting Battletoads to win some poll nobody gave two ****s about. They certainly didn't get Battletoads to advance!
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Not Wylvane
HaRRicH | Posted 2/1/2010 10:01:04 PM | message detail
Even still, it's not like Roxas/Heavy was hyped, Roxas is some hated character, Heavy is any more loved than Spy, or that we suspect rallying right off the bat for any other match.

In any case, will somebody check to see when the 4chan-topics were made?
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
MegatokyoEd | Posted 2/1/2010 10:01:13 PM | message detail
Obviously Heavy just brings in the votes.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/1/2010 10:01:23 PM | message detail
Well, there's that cut finally.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 10:01:31 PM | message detail
Let's see if Heavy can keep that up.
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"I can set you free, mate."
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/1/2010 10:01:36 PM | message detail
Whoa, a 21 vote cut to end the power hour.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/1/2010 10:01:42 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #143
This isn't Gamespot. 12 hours is a hell of a lot shorter than a few days, and even our night matches get more votes than most Gamespot matches. And even then, 4chan rallying couldn't get Bub & Bob past Samus.

You guys seriously overestimate rallying, at least in the sense of rallying during a match. It's much more effective if the character/game has already pulled an impressive performance, allowing word of mouth to spread and get more people behind them to boost their strength in future rounds. You know, the kind of hype that boosted entities like Starcraft and L-Block. But you're not going to see, say, L-Block going from 2007 R1 self to 2007 Semi-Final self during one match. Even 4chan can't accomplish much here other than boosting Battletoads to win some poll nobody gave two ****s about. They certainly didn't get Battletoads to advance!


cut
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/1/2010 10:02:07 PM | message detail
If Heavy can do that again, we might have ourselves a match.
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Not Wylvane