GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 813

YoAriel33 | Posted 2/1/2010 4:47:35 PM | message detail
Here's a "Star of the Round" award. It may be helpful if you, the STAR OF THE ROUND, take it with you.

(shut your face, Kefka)

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.

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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 2/1/2010 6:18:25 PM | message detail
Kefka vs Jill

Go!
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http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 6:18:46 PM | message detail
Star of the round until Tidus rocks face tomorrow, son!
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 2/1/2010 6:24:07 PM | message detail
Just looking at the Guru, and I'm surprised not too many people too Roxas over Tidus/Subby. I would consider Riku near that level, and Roxas just got his own DS game, exposing him to a whole new audience.
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http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 6:27:59 PM | message detail
Do you think a lot of people who weren't KH fans bought 358/2 Days?
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/1/2010 6:50:02 PM | message detail
You can't take Kefka's STAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARS from him!

Or he'll put Jill SMACK









dab in the middle of a sandwich.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 6:51:07 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #005
Do you think a lot of people who weren't KH fans bought 358/2 Days?


Actually, yes. I originally got into the series through Chain of Memories. It wouldn't surprise me for Nintendo fans without a PS2 to go and pick it up.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
paulg235 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:00:12 PM | message detail
Roxas 55.56%

5
Heavy 44.44%

4
TOTAL VOTES 9
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The Gamer In Me
My Signature's broken, just like your front door.
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/1/2010 9:00:21 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Roxas 62.82%

49
Heavy 37.18%

29
TOTAL VOTES 78
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
Biolizard28 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:01:29 PM | message detail
Just wait until the bracket votes fall asleep.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
vcharon | Posted 2/1/2010 9:01:49 PM | message detail
lol Master Chief
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:>
charmander6000 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:02:05 PM | message detail
lol Heavy
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 26/34 - Today's Winners: Roxas and Sub-Zero
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/1/2010 9:02:13 PM | message detail
Jill with 62.59%
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 35th
Today's prediction: Roxas with 58.87% Status:
Master Moltar | Posted 2/1/2010 9:02:15 PM | message detail
well this is decent
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Roxas > Heavy (30/34)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 2/1/2010 9:02:17 PM | message detail
Heavy WAS leading.

Then the board vote ended.
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CBVIII: 32/34 - 32 pts - Losses: Ocelot, Liquid
Night Pick: Roxas Day Pick: Sub-Zero
greatone10 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:02:34 PM | message detail
62% of brackets for Jill. I expected worse.
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KrahenProphets's path to Best Game Ever '09.
If only I was half the guru he was, I may not have this sig.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/1/2010 9:02:40 PM | message detail
Roxas 60.85%

443
Heavy 39.15%

285
TOTAL VOTES 728

Better late than never.

CRUSH HIM, HEAVY.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:02:46 PM | message detail
I can't read Roxas without hearing DiZ's voice.
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Mustache...and Green...
ZFS | Posted 2/1/2010 9:03:00 PM | message detail
bring on sub-zero

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:03:16 PM | message detail
Heavy is just free falling now. Down to 37%
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http://i47.tinypic.com/28gtj5g.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/1/2010 9:03:21 PM | message detail
I hate Kingdom Hearts so much.

I can't wait til Charizard(or Bowser) rips Sora limb from limb.

I hate Kingdom Hearts.
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 9:03:44 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #021
I hate Kingdom Hearts so much.

I can't wait til Charizard(or Bowser) rips Sora limb from limb.

I hate Kingdom Hearts.


You'll be waiting for a long time for that!
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:03:47 PM | message detail
Hmm

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
red sox 777 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:03:49 PM | message detail
lol Master Chief
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/1/2010 9:03:54 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #021
I hate Kingdom Hearts so much.

I can't wait til Charizard(or Bowser) rips Sora limb from limb.

I hate Kingdom Hearts.


Why? Awesome series.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:04:23 PM | message detail
Can't wait until Tidus/Sub-Zero
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 26/34 - Today's Winners: Roxas and Sub-Zero
ZFS | Posted 2/1/2010 9:04:32 PM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts or Pokemon, not sure which is worse here!

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/1/2010 9:05:21 PM | message detail
Darn. I was actually holding on to the slight hope that Heavy could pull it off.

Decent performance for both characters.
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 9:05:39 PM | message detail
Hayabusa > MC now, right?

...Right?
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:05:45 PM | message detail
revelation: if Bowser beats Sora and then beats Charizard with some like SFF action maybe even, he goes on to get super SFFed by Mario and then Mario goes on to get super SFFed by Link and Professor Layton looks like the weakest character in the history of characters


poor guy
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:05:46 PM | message detail
Spy=Heavy
Roxas>MC
Subby=MC

Roxas to Round 3, baybee

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Master Moltar | Posted 2/1/2010 9:05:54 PM | message detail
wrong
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Roxas > Heavy (30/34)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
vcharon | Posted 2/1/2010 9:06:31 PM | message detail
Hayabusa > Chief before this.

Hayabusa to break 55% after.
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:>
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:06:32 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be surprised if this ends up like 58-42% when its all said and done. KH is horrible at night, while TF in the past has done best at night.
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http://i47.tinypic.com/28gtj5g.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/1/2010 9:06:52 PM | message detail
I gotta say, Chief will look even worse if Roxas outperforms his percentage in a night match. I know some people think Spy was stronger, but I think he and Heavy will be about equal. It's kinda hard to picture a fan voting for one and not the other.
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Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:07:37 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #035
I gotta say, Chief will look even worse if Roxas outperforms his percentage in a night match. I know some people think Spy was stronger, but I think he and Heavy will be about equal. It's kinda hard to picture a fan voting for one and not the other.


To be fair, Spy got heavily rallied to the point he actually won the ASV over Chief. I think its fair to say Chief woulda gotten 63-64% without that rallying.
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http://i47.tinypic.com/28gtj5g.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/1/2010 9:07:41 PM | message detail
That said, I do expect our communist friend to end up in the 40s. The night should be kind to him.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:07:43 PM | message detail
I voted for one and not the other ;>_>
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:07:49 PM | message detail
It's kinda hard to picture a fan voting for one and not the other.

*whistles nonchalantly*


I think Spy>=Heavy. Heavy is the face of the game, but Spy has more casual appeal, I think.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/1/2010 9:07:56 PM | message detail
Someone get on Steam and get them to link to this match, damnit.
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:08:26 PM | message detail
I'm not sure how much Heavy rises. KH has a historically awful early vote.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:08:30 PM | message detail
lol extha
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
ZFS | Posted 2/1/2010 9:08:47 PM | message detail
Chief would probably beat Roxas without too much trouble, but he wouldn't put up any kind of big number.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 9:08:55 PM | message detail

From: Lightslayer987 | #036
To be fair, Spy got heavily rallied to the point he actually won the ASV over Chief. I think its fair to say Chief woulda gotten 63-64% without that rallying.


Spin spin spin
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
charmander6000 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:09:09 PM | message detail
Spy would destroy Heavy, the guy is a huge fan favourite.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 26/34 - Today's Winners: Roxas and Sub-Zero
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/1/2010 9:09:47 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
33------1------------100.0000000
32------20----------100.0000000
31------119--------80.6722689
30------416--------71.1538462
29------868--------64.6313364
28------1447------65.9295093
27------2011------63.2023869
26------2519------62.9614927
25------2812------63.0156472
24------2925------60.9914530
23------2846------62.1222769
22------2392------63.2525084
21------2070------62.0772947
20------1573------62.3649078
19------1140------61.3157895
18------794--------64.7355164
17------565--------60.3539823
16------328--------65.8536585
15------209--------63.6363636
14------108--------63.8888889
13------67----------67.1641791
12------37----------62.1621622
11------26----------61.5384615
10------26----------46.1538462
9--------23----------43.4782609
8--------17----------35.2941176
7--------24----------25.0000000
6--------20----------25.0000000
5--------24----------33.3333333
4--------16----------43.7500000
3--------16----------25.0000000
2--------13----------7.6923077
1--------36----------2.7777778
0--------60----------0.0000000

The perfects and -1s go perfect. There's a fair sized drop off to 80% at -2 and again to 71% at -3s. The prediction percentage slowly decreased from the -4s downward.

8 people fell off the Top 50 today. Mewtwo59, metroidcomposit, itschang, Faulty_Wiring, 1337Patriarch, finalfantasy690, megamaniac19 and ChrisBrainLayko thought Niko could beat Jill.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/1/2010 9:10:17 PM | message detail
Not much of a shift there.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
Lightslayer987 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:10:17 PM | message detail
Yeah Roxas got the board vote.
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http://i47.tinypic.com/28gtj5g.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
red sox 777 | Posted 2/1/2010 9:10:35 PM | message detail
Looks like Roxas took the board vote.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/1/2010 9:10:59 PM | message detail
Or maybe this place just hates Sora

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.