GameFAQs Contests

Meh, I don't see what the big deal was. Sure, Kefka turned out to be far weaker than we originally expected him to be, but he's still generally able to beat most fodder. I'm guessing that most of the other B8ers had Arthas overrated based on his advancing to Round 2, ignoring the fact that he narrowly got by an SFFed Ike and that his 3rd place finish in exiting was also by only a couple of percent ahead of an SFFed Nintendo character. In other words...Pikachu made Arthas look better than he actually was. Yeah, that sounds really weird when you say it, but without Pikachu in the poll, Ike almost certainly beats Arthas and Captain Falcon might have as well.
---
CB8 record through 28 matches: 25-3
Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful

Unrealistic expectations? Hey now, I managed to stop myself from actually taking Frog > Bowser this year! And since I didn't take Crono > Sephiroth either (a far far worse pick), I only lost 1 point in picking CT-based upsets this year.

...so far. Oh, wait, that would be points lost taking a CT-based favorite, wouldn't it?
---
CB8 record through 28 matches: 25-3
Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful

Alucard was the favorite over Magus. Crono is favored over Missingno and Yoshi, and I didn't take him over Sephiroth, so it's not possible for me to lose any more points this year on a CT-based upset. I lost 1 point on Magus, and that's it.
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

crono > yoshi is an upset now tbqh
---
http://i50.tinypic.com/2cmp311.gif
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Did anyone notice Japan seems to vote for the losers the majority of the time?
---
"As I was walking up the stairs, I met a man who wasn't there, he wasn't there again today, i wish I wish he'd go away."

Not in the Guru it isn't.
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #154
crono > yoshi is an upset now tbqh

Silly Lumpy
---
"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

From: red sox 777 | #156
Not in the Guru it isn't.

The guru was made pre contest when we had no 1v1 data in 4 years.
---
http://i50.tinypic.com/2cmp311.gif
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #158
The guru was made pre contest when we had no 1v1 data in 4 years.

Hey, and guess who we still don't have 1-on-1 data from in 4 years?

Come on, this isn't hard.
---
"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

And I made my bracket before bracket lockdown too. I can't lose points picking an upset that wasn't an upset when I picked it.

Besides, Crono's still a big favorite over Yoshi. Bowser didn't go high enough today to make Yoshi's chances look good.
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

There's no problem with Kratos's pic, but he and Tails contrast 100%. Something like that could help out the weaker character. Tails did manage almost 43% against Dante in 2004 with a similar pic.
---
Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

From: LeonhartFour | #159
Hey, and guess who we still don't have 1-on-1 data from in 4 years?

Come on, this isn't hard.

magus losing a match he should win and Frog doing worse than expected are CT 1v1 data we've gotten this year.
---
http://i50.tinypic.com/2cmp311.gif
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Hint: Neither one of those characters is Crono, and Bowser's expected to get 63.80% on Frog based on LOL 4-WAY XSTATS, so he's not doing worse than expected.

Also, you seem to be forgetting we have zero data on Yoshi, too.
---
"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

If you're basing Crono on Magus, you may have an argument, although it's really hard to compare Alucard and Yoshi.

But not with Frog's match today. In 2005 Crono was would have scored at least a doubling on Frog indirectly, and looking at 2007 and 2008 the gap has only increased if anything.
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

True, but the trends are definitely showing that CT is down. I agree, though; Frog is actually doing better than I expected, so now I'm concerned about my Yoshi>Crono pick.
---
CB8 record through 28 matches: 25-3
Incorrect picks: Ocelot, Wesker, Fawful

China has flipped into Bowser's column now that it is morning over there.
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

I'm interested to see how Crono holds up, now that we've seen Sonic flop horribly and Mega Man do quite well. I'm not sure on which end of the scale he performs, but he'd have to be pretty far on the Sonic side to start being worried about Yoshi. But I guess we won't find out anything from the first round match anyway.
---
Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96

The fact his team mates look more like Sonic team and hasn't had a game in forever makes it logically to think he's closer to sonics fall then mega man.
---
http://i50.tinypic.com/2cmp311.gif
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Yukon, Northwest Territory and Nunavut (the three north ones) must get a combine total of 10 votes I bet. Looking over some matches have them grey which either means a tie or no votes.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 19/26 - Today's Winners: Kefka and Bowser

Magus and Frog don't look any worse compare to 2008 so Crono should be safe.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 19/26 - Today's Winners: Kefka and Bowser

From: charmander6000 | #170
Magus and Frog don't look any worse compare to 2008 so Crono should be safe.

How about compared to their 2006 versions? I'm talking about their 1v1 strength, not 4way.
---
http://i50.tinypic.com/2cmp311.gif
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Crono's downward spiral hasn't been nearly as vicious as Sonic's, though Magus' probably has. Crono's looked more like Mega Man over the duration of fourways - never particularly good, but not embarrassingly awful like Sonic.
---
Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96

Well Frog and Magus weren't in 2006 while Crono seems to have dropped from 51% to 49% on Vincent between 2006 and 2007.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 19/26 - Today's Winners: Kefka and Bowser

holy Duke

---
KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

How about compared to their 2006 versions? I'm talking about their 1v1 strength, not 4way.

Magus and Aeris have shown that characters in the same game aren't attached at the hip, but if you assume the proportion between Crono and Frog from 2005 hasn't changed.......

Setting Samus = Mario in 2005, Frog was worth 32.44% on Crono in 2005. Frog is worth more on Crono if you think Samus > Mario indirectly in 2005, less if you think Mario > Samus.

Holding that proportion and using Frog's current percentage, Bowser is projected to get 44.44% on Crono now, in a day match.
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

Oh, and props to whoever made that Isaac pic as well. Very nice.

---
KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

Hmm... Sora/Kratos would be March 14th. God of War 3 comes out March 16th... possible upset?
---
http://i50.tinypic.com/2cmp311.gif
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

45% update for Frog, second night vote arriving.
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

lol 50 vote spike for frog now back down to normal
---
http://i50.tinypic.com/2cmp311.gif
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

why are people worried about charizard? i thought most of you assumed it'd just be a blowout anyway.

I see no problem with most of these pictures anyway.
---
*is Dranze*
Krahen Prophet did a fatality.

Oh, and props to whoever made that Isaac pic as well. Very nice.

I think that's mine, although the one I submitted was flipped the other way (didn't think to check which way they should be facing at the time)... so it's either mine or someone who submitted something very similar flipped the right way ;>_>
---
For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet

Wide range of expectations for L-Block.

I put HK-47 between 18.79%-23.08% via Crono in 2K7. I peg Crono at 35% both years, so the block's performances in 2K8 against Crono puts him between 30.8% and 32.459%.

Based on those numbers, L could get between 71.06% and 62.53%.
---
gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery

From: MoogleKupo141 | #181
Oh, and props to whoever made that Isaac pic as well. Very nice.

I think that's mine, although the one I submitted was flipped the other way (didn't think to check which way they should be facing at the time)... so it's either mine or someone who submitted something very similar flipped the right way ;>_>

Bacon flipped my Alucard picture around because I submitted it facing the wrong direction, so it's probably yours.
---
"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"

Am I crazy for thinking HK has a shot tonight?
---
http://i50.tinypic.com/2cmp311.gif
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Even the original L-Block who got 40% on Kirby should be strong enough to beat HK.
---
gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery

charmander6000 | Posted 1/29/2010 8:31:04 PM | message detail
Yukon, Northwest Territory and Nunavut (the three north ones) must get a combine total of 10 votes I bet. Looking over some matches have them grey which either means a tie or no votes.

Probably. Those 3 territories have a low population, with each one under 50000 each.

I also looked at Australian provinces and it seems like almost no one is from the "Northern Territory". Almost every match (except Kefka/Arthas and Sora/Midna) shows one part of the Australian map shown in grey, which is the Northern Territory province.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!

Based on those numbers, L could get between 71.06% and 62.53%.

71.06% was the result I got when placed these 2 numbers into the Linear X-Stat Estimator:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/53?input_values=46.37%0D%0A26.84

I know that gives out 71.059%, but that could be rounded up to 71.06% anyways. 46.37 was L-Block's percentage against Crono in round 2 last year, while 26.84 was HK-47's percentage against Crono in 2007.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!

I know that gives out 71.059%, but that could be rounded up to 71.06% anyways

Thanks for that, Luster.
---
"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW

The following characters are indirectly stronger than Link meaning I can use a bunch of polls showing that character winning over Link. Note this doesn't include this contest.

Aerith
Altair
Alucard
Arthas
Auron
Bidoof
Big Boss
Bowser
Cloud
Crono
Dante
Diablo
Donkey Kong
Duke Nukem
Fox
Frog
Ganondorf
Gordon Freeman
Jill Valentine
Kefka
Kirby
Knuckles
KOS-MOS
Kratos
L-Block
Leon Kennedy
Liquid Snake
Luigi
Magus
Marcus Fenix
Mario
Marth
Master Chief
Max Payne
Mega Man
Mega Man X
Meta Knight
Mewtwo
Midna
Niko Bellic
Pac-Man
Pikachu
Princess Peach
Raiden
Revolver Ocelot
Riku
Rydia
Ryu
Ryu Hayabusa
Sam Fisher
Samus
Sandbag
Scorpion
Sephiroth
Solid Snake
Sonic
Sora
Squall
Sub-Zero
Tidus
Tifa
Tina Armstrong
Tommy Vercetti
Vivi
Weighted Companion Cube
Yoshi
Yuna
Zack Fair
Zelda
Zero

Total: 70

So far this contest has added Pokemon Trainer Red
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 19/26 - Today's Winners: Kefka and Bowser

I like that list
---
Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.

You forgot Jay Solano.

---
KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

He doesn't count, official GameFAQs matches only.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 19/26 - Today's Winners: Kefka and Bowser

oh hey, back on subject of match pics, Allen totally should have accepted my Samus it was like way better

http://i7.photobucket.com/albums/y263/MoogleKupo141/Samus.jpg

oh yeah

stole that SSB art idea from someone
---
For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet

The following characters are indirectly stronger than Link meaning I can use a bunch of polls showing that character winning over Link.

XD, that's good stuff right there.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!

China is back in Frog's column.

Tonight will be interesting, to see how much L-Block depended on 4-ways for his strength. I'm hoping he turns out to be a solid high midcarder in 1v1.
---
6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

Yeah, it's true that SSB64 has never shown itself in these contests. Not even through match pics.

First time looking at the poll, LOL Bowser looks like total crap today. Failing to marauder Frog in a day match is all sorts of failure.
---
"Dude, I play WoW. I'm on my PC on a pretty strict schedule." -red13n

Its like Sora all that much better on Midna, even though I do have Sora > Bowser
---
holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee

*its not like Sora did

>_<
---
holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee

Man... Why are there so few blowouts...?
---
"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia