GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 807

LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 9:58:22 PM | message detail
*shrugs*
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/28/2010 9:58:57 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #088
I'm more shocked about Arthas than I am about Kefka to be honest. Are we sure he isn't Kerrigan V2?


Kerrigan sucked in 4ways, yet Arthas did well in them. Dunno how to really compare them.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/28/2010 9:59:11 PM | message detail
Come on, let's get me on the leaderboard for the first time in my 8 years of picking. I always lose a match RIGHT before I come close to getting on it.. and I was positive the curse would strike again and Kefka would lose.

Lucky for me, I got on on the leaderboard as a result of the last match and just on time too, because I got burned today.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 10:00:52 PM | message detail
All right, first hour's over. Let's see if Arthas starts slicing percentage, at least.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
red sox 777 | Posted 1/28/2010 10:01:02 PM | message detail
And that's the power hour. Kefka stands at 62.82% and a lead of 2253.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/28/2010 10:01:42 PM | message detail
Kerrigan sucks at everything, though.

We don't have a good read on Arthas for 1v1. This could just be a big Old Square/Dissidia boost. Of course, it could just as easily be Knux/Arthas being weak (both understandable).

Tidus/Sub-Zero should be a good indicator on whether there really is a Dissidia boost. If Tidus crushes Sub-Zero, the boost likely exists.
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Not Wylvane
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/28/2010 10:02:15 PM | message detail
But if Subby beats Tidus... what then? lol. This contest is so confusing
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/28/2010 10:02:20 PM | message detail
'Arthas is a 4-way wonder' is a cop-out answer considering every other match leading up to now has pointed us in the exact opposite direction.

Kefka just...augh, this match just can't be explained.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
GameBopAdv | Posted 1/28/2010 10:02:46 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/29/2010 12:59:11 AM | message detail | #103
Come on, let's get me on the leaderboard for the first time in my 8 years of picking. I always lose a match RIGHT before I come close to getting on it.. and I was positive the curse would strike again and Kefka would lose.

Lucky for me, I got on on the leaderboard as a result of the last match and just on time too, because I got burned today.


I'm in a similar situation. Never been on the leaderboard before this contest (or even close to being on it) and this year I'm on for 1/2 a day before my first mistake comes up and then I don't make another mistake for awhile.

Now I'm one of the 13 people that have only missed one match but aren't on the leaderboard, and here's my mistake number 2. I probably won't even be close with other predictions of mine, like Tidus, Belmont, and Missingno. Not to mention Snake > Cloud near the end.

Although my alt was on the leaderboard for the first 3 matches because I made it quick enough.
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Silverliner says: MEI LING, SAMUS JUST TOOK HER CLOTHES OFF
zemzam says: What???
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 10:03:27 PM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | Laharl | Neku S. | Votes
0:05 | 57.50% | 42.50% | 680
1:00 | 58.29% | 41.71% | 6553
2:00 | 58.34% | 41.66% | 5485
3:00 | 58.35% | 41.65% | 5107
4:00 | 55.62% | 44.38% | 5437
5:00 | 55.37% | 44.63% | 5297
6:00 | 54.68% | 45.32% | 5117
7:00 | 55.33% | 44.67% | 4681
8:00 | 54.13% | 45.87% | 4336
9:00 | 55.26% | 44.74% | 3878
10:00 | 56.53% | 43.47% | 3423
11:00 | 56.73% | 43.27% | 3159
12:00 | 55.90% | 44.10% | 2812

Pretty traditional trends today. Laharl goes 58%+ until the ASV, and Neku goes 55/45 with him the rest of the way. Makes me wonder what happened to Ike and Chief.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
AsurasKordoth | Posted 1/28/2010 10:03:27 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #108
Kefka just...augh, this match just can't be explained.


Dissidi-fear baby. Zidane was a fluke.
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~AK~ // Merc
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 10:03:54 PM | message detail

From: AsurasKordoth | #111
Dissidi-fear baby. Zidane was a fluke.


More like Claptrap > Magus
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
ExThaNemesis | Posted 1/28/2010 10:04:08 PM | message detail
well I have to be up in 5 hours to work out and then spend all day at school. I am just in awe at this match. Simply astounded.
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/28/2010 10:06:19 PM | message detail
Yeah and he's not slowing down much at all. He'll keep this up.. build a huge lead before Arthas comes close to making any cuts, if at all. This is over.
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CBVIII: 24/26 - 24 pts - Losses: Ocelot, Liquid
Night Pick: Kefka Day Pick: Bowser
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/28/2010 10:06:36 PM | message detail
Well, our only real solution left is to see other Square characters or see what Kefka can get on Bowser.
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*is Dranze*
Krahen Prophet did a fatality.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 10:06:54 PM | message detail
I don't expect Arthas to make any cuts. If he had any semblance of a morning vote, maybe, but his morning vote is about as bad as Kefka's.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/28/2010 10:07:01 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #108
'Arthas is a 4-way wonder' is a cop-out answer considering every other match leading up to now has pointed us in the exact opposite direction.

Kefka just...augh, this match just can't be explained.


What other explanation is there? Either Kefka is now some kind of mid carder, or hell, even a high midcarder, Arthas has fallen from low midcard to fodder level, or Arthas was just better in 4ways.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
SonicRaptor | Posted 1/28/2010 10:07:35 PM | message detail
I guess this ends the "Kefka is a choker" viewpoint once and for all.

Or at least shuts that side up for another year.
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...Just repeat to yourself / It's just a show / I should really just relax...
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 10:07:56 PM | message detail

From: SonicRaptor | #118
I guess this ends the "Kefka is a choker" viewpoint once and for all.

Or at least shuts that side up for another year.


Until we all pick him and he loses to Protoman next year.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
tgs2 | Posted 1/28/2010 10:08:15 PM | message detail
My bracket is on the wrong end of most of these "debatable" Matches. :/ You fail Arthas.
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"tgs is taking it alone"
red sox 777 | Posted 1/28/2010 10:08:45 PM | message detail
To be fair, WoW has been talked about as something that would benefit from 4-ways since before the first 4-way contest, I believe. There is a real difference between that fanbase and most fanbases.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/28/2010 10:08:53 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #116
I don't expect Arthas to make any cuts. If he had any semblance of a morning vote, maybe, but his morning vote is about as bad as Kefka's.


http://images2.wikia.nocookie.net/board8/images/2/22/Graph2015.png

Eh, Arthas may make a couple cuts. The percentages we're dealing with should shift quite a bit in the night vote if this match is any indication.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 1/28/2010 10:09:10 PM | message detail
I feel ya, tgs2. Just look at my signature.

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Where's lettuce when you need it?
Wrong choices: Shadow, Drake, Fawful, Liquid, Arthas
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 10:09:28 PM | message detail
Arthas and Diablo don't really have the same trends though.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
deadeyedllv | Posted 1/28/2010 10:09:47 PM | message detail
Not surprised by this match at all. Kefka has cost my bracket in each of his last 5 appearances, most of them right before I crack the top 50. So what do I do this year? Tell myself no matter how much you love Kefka, you must finally pick him to lose. Stop getting burned by him every year. So I pick him to lose. Anybody wanna guess how many points I have. That's right, 25.

Wouldn't be a contest without Kefka costing me points.

*votes for Kefka*

I only wish he had an easier second round opponent. Would have been fun to see him battle a lot of the other people in round 2.

Kefka vs Knuckles, who you got?
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
red sox 777 | Posted 1/28/2010 10:09:55 PM | message detail
Arthas has an even worse opening vote than Diablo.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 10:11:00 PM | message detail
Kefka vs Knuckles, who you got?

...

...

...

...
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 10:11:35 PM | message detail
And Arthas is starting to go up in percentage a good bit now.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
XxSoulxX | Posted 1/28/2010 10:11:54 PM | message detail
>_<

This is almost as bad to me as Gordon Freeman winning a match was for AT.
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"Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/28/2010 10:12:35 PM | message detail
Arthas is gonna make losing by 10k votes in style
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 10:13:19 PM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | #129
>_<

This is almost as bad to me as Gordon Freeman winning a match was for AT.


Oh come on, this isn't even in the same UNIVERSE!

Because that universe doesn't exist anymore after Gordon won! That universe imploded upon itself.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/28/2010 10:13:41 PM | message detail
Hey, no Knuckles/Cecil comparisons yet! I was going to wait until Frog gets beat up tomorrow to post a Rank 'Em with Kefka/Terra/Cecil/Kain/Rydia/Frog/Magus!
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Mustache...and Green...
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/28/2010 10:14:22 PM | message detail

From: deadeyedllv | #125

Kefka vs Knuckles, who you got?


Man...I know this match already happened before, but Team Sonic is looking pretty LOL-worthy, and Kefka roided up. And Kefka has got to be stronger than CECIL, right?
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
SonicRaptor | Posted 1/28/2010 10:15:43 PM | message detail
Kefka in a heartbeat.

He's a beast right now and, as mentioned, Team Sonic has been ****ing the bed this year.
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...Just repeat to yourself / It's just a show / I should really just relax...
TheResurrECtion | Posted 1/28/2010 10:16:13 PM | message detail
I'm not going to claim Kefka was an obvious pick here... but looking at the last stats topic... jesus christ, why did ANYONE think 4-way stats were legit? I mean come the **** on. Do you not remember how much absolutely ridiculous crap happened in 4-ways once we switched to it? I can't believe people actually had faith in any of that crap.

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Can't stop, won't stop.
PegasusLover123 | Posted 1/28/2010 10:16:25 PM | message detail
If Kefka is known for one thing, its messing up peoples' brackets......
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"If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus
SonicRaptor | Posted 1/28/2010 10:17:40 PM | message detail
I agree, there were just too many variables in 4-packs to make me take them with any concrete confirmation. At best, they were a decent way to calibrate old 1v1 stats but by themselves I would not trust them.
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...Just repeat to yourself / It's just a show / I should really just relax...
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/28/2010 10:18:27 PM | message detail

From: TheResurrECtion | #135
I'm not going to claim Kefka was an obvious pick here... but looking at the last stats topic... jesus christ, why did ANYONE think 4-way stats were legit? I mean come the **** on. Do you not remember how much absolutely ridiculous crap happened in 4-ways once we switched to it? I can't believe people actually had faith in any of that crap.


The problem is that quite a few of the things we had already thought were 4way wonders, like Zack, Sonic Team falling, and Magus being junk like he's seemed since 4ways kinda gave us faith in it.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/28/2010 10:19:25 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #138
The problem is that quite a few of the things we had already thought were 4way wonders, like Zack, Sonic Team falling, and Magus being junk like he's seemed since 4ways kinda gave us faith in it.


Don't forget Ammy, who was awesome in 4ways and managed to beat Shadow this year.
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
XxSoulxX | Posted 1/28/2010 10:20:56 PM | message detail
I'm not going to claim Kefka was an obvious pick here... but looking at the last stats topic... jesus christ, why did ANYONE think 4-way stats were legit? I mean come the **** on. Do you not remember how much absolutely ridiculous crap happened in 4-ways once we switched to it? I can't believe people actually had faith in any of that crap.

Kefka lost to Diablo soundly. Arthas is pretty close to Diablo's strength. Pretty easy to see why people thought Kefka would lose. That and Kefka is Kefka, the biggest contest loser that these contests have ever seen.
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"Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
MegatokyoEd | Posted 1/28/2010 10:21:15 PM | message detail
**** Kefka, seriously **** him.

After years of picking him and getting burned, I finally pick against him and then he does this?
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Demyx is better than Axel.
TheResurrECtion | Posted 1/28/2010 10:21:18 PM | message detail
see that's the problem... why would you use 4-way stats and try to justify them against results we've had so far this contest? most of those people were complete unknowns to begin with, and Sonic team has been falling since forever. All you had to do is look at 1v1 stats, and then see what happened the first time we had a 4-way... or the 2nd.

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Can't stop, won't stop.
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 1/28/2010 10:22:46 PM | message detail
So, if Kefka is pulling this off, I wonder if Magus could make a comeback som-

I can't say that with a straight face, sorry.

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Where's lettuce when you need it?
Wrong choices: Shadow, Drake, Fawful, Liquid, Arthas
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/28/2010 10:24:00 PM | message detail
If you want to use 1v1, then Diablo beat Kefka... and in general, Diablo and Arthas are the two main icons of Blizzard. So even if you don't want to look at 4ways, why would it be that out there to consider Diablo = Arthas, so Arthas would beat Kefka?
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/28/2010 10:24:17 PM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | #140
I'm not going to claim Kefka was an obvious pick here... but looking at the last stats topic... jesus christ, why did ANYONE think 4-way stats were legit? I mean come the **** on. Do you not remember how much absolutely ridiculous crap happened in 4-ways once we switched to it? I can't believe people actually had faith in any of that crap.

Kefka lost to Diablo soundly. Arthas is pretty close to Diablo's strength. Pretty easy to see why people thought Kefka would lose. That and Kefka is Kefka, the biggest contest loser that these contests have ever seen.


Next to Gordon Freeman, who is actually the favorite to win a match this yearh. And even Laharl won!

WTF at this contest
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
red sox 777 | Posted 1/28/2010 10:27:31 PM | message detail
And there it is. Kefka's first update in which he gains less than 100 votes.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Silverflash-x | Posted 1/28/2010 10:27:37 PM | message detail
Neku > Laharl, Arthas > Kefka...

My bracket is going down the tubes.
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Q. If your canoe is in a tree with its headlights on, how many pancakes does it take to get to the moon?
A. None. Snakes don't have armpits.
General_Zimbad | Posted 1/28/2010 10:29:58 PM | message detail
Does this change the expectations for Terra's performance?
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The first flame in sleepless skies
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/28/2010 10:32:43 PM | message detail
What the hell... Kefka, one of the biggest contest losers who's made multiple contests...actually winning? I'm sure this is just Arthas being weak...
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
creativename | Posted 1/28/2010 10:33:32 PM | message detail
whooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa there kefka

what is this?? this is funny as hell!

Man, kefka is even more pic sensitive than Snake himself.
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