GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 805
hellfire104 | Posted 1/28/2010 10:42:16 AM | message detail |
Lol, I guess I screwed this one up. Next! --- Point Total: 23/26 My Bracket Says: Night: Arthas Day: Bowser |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/28/2010 10:43:07 AM | message detail |
finally hit 10k votes at the 1:40 mark --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
voltch | Posted 1/28/2010 10:44:03 AM | message detail |
I guess people just went it's square and you losers vote for everything FF maybe? But Neku's cool, I hope he gets a sequel, heck if TWEWY2 was released i'd buy it real quick. --- Shakes Fist! |
KingBartz | Posted 1/28/2010 10:45:36 AM | message detail |
uh Laharl isn't Square... --- Contest score: 21/24 Today's picks: Sora & Laharl |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/28/2010 10:46:41 AM | message detail |
He was refering to Neku. --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..." |
voltch | Posted 1/28/2010 10:46:45 AM | message detail |
I'm saying because Neku is square people thought he wouldn't get crushed. Heck every single NIS game that isn't disgaea seems to get murdered in polls. --- Shakes Fist! |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/28/2010 10:47:47 AM | message detail |
Also, this poll completely and incontrovertibly proves that Dante>Ganondorf! --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
KingBartz | Posted 1/28/2010 10:51:06 AM | message detail |
oh i thought he was talking about why Laharl's winning. my bad. --- Contest score: 21/24 Today's picks: Sora & Laharl |
Lopen | Posted 1/28/2010 10:51:53 AM | message detail |
So I come in to ask "aren't these votals terrible?" Then I see talk about them. "So yeah" Shame this is probably my favorite match so far in terms of how much I like both entrants! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
voltch | Posted 1/28/2010 10:53:12 AM | message detail |
either way 7 square characters down and more whining to come because they are winning. and lopen has good taste in VG characters. --- Shakes Fist! |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/28/2010 10:54:28 AM | message detail |
From: Lopen | #309 Same here. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Seginustemple | Posted 1/28/2010 10:55:22 AM | message detail |
Eh, Ganon/Mewtwo probably takes that for me. --- http://i113.photobucket.com/albums/n237/Danielyoon10/B8sigbet-2.jpg tell me what to put here in my sig! |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 1/28/2010 10:56:44 AM | message detail |
From: MyWorldIsCrono | #296 Arthas > Bowser confirmed --- "I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/28/2010 10:57:04 AM | message detail |
This match is over 3000 votes behind Ike/Prinny. Laharl's votals are less than 1000 above Prinny's at this point. By adding their votals together, Prinny gets 46.41% on Laharl. I'm really hoping that Prinny gets more votes than Laharl. That would be utterly hilarious considering how Prinny failed to score 40% and Laharl's close to 60%. --- Not Wylvane |
Lopen | Posted 1/28/2010 10:59:03 AM | message detail |
Hmmm. I got curious. Other contenders: Kirby v Rikku, Big Boss v Miles Edgeworth, Alucard v Magus Ehhhh I guess the first two beat this match. So this would be #3 in terms of uhhh "overall likability factor." --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
EternalxCourage | Posted 1/28/2010 11:10:46 AM | message detail |
I
think if anything this match helps prove that Ezio and Altair are going
far in this contest (more so for Altair, as Ezio has not yet been seen
though it is most likely that he is around the same strength as
Altair.) I don't think there's a single person here that would have taken Midna over Liquid before Liquid vs. Altair. Even now, I doubt there is much argument for Midna beating Liquid other than 'lol Altari beat Liquid.' So taking the match of Altair vs. Liquid at face value, and assuming that Liquid lost strength and could only beat Midna 55 - 45 or worse, that still puts Altair at Sora's level. Even at this point people still say that Sora will beat Bowser and have a close match with Zelda (I don't know who is the favorite.) Taking this into account I'm feeling more and more confident with Ezio > Zelda, and less and less confident with Kirby > Altair. Anyway, I calculated it out and assuming everything in my bracket happens as I have it (with the upsets that is) I should win the contest by about 6 points (because I don't think anyone else with a serious bracket has the same upsets as I do.) This includes mistakes I've already made (like Drake > WCC and Aeris > Auron lol. The Upsets Charizard > Duke, Kratos, L-Block (loses to Sora) Zack > Mega Man, Master Chief (loses to Mario) Altair > Vivi (I doubt it's a common pick, loses to Kirby) Ezio > Zelda, Ratchet (Loses to Samus) Ryu > Dante, Leon Kennedy (Loses to Cloud) --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 1/28/2010 11:13:21 AM | message detail |
For someone gutsy enough to take Zack > Mega Man, I'm surprised you didn't take Charizard > Sora too! --- "I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg |
Lopen | Posted 1/28/2010 11:14:07 AM | message detail |
Well I'm convinced Laharl vs Altair who ya got. SFF match and all. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
voltch | Posted 1/28/2010 11:14:58 AM | message detail |
If you think Ezio's beating Zelda, might as well go all the way and say Altair's beating Sonic. --- Shakes Fist! |
paulg235 | Posted 1/28/2010 11:14:59 AM | message detail |
From: Lopen | #318 WHoever wins, I lose points. Damn those two for ruining my perfect. --- The Gamer In Me "paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/28/2010 11:16:59 AM | message detail |
I
think I've mentioned this before, but you're right that if 2008 Liquid
Snake was his real strength and he hasn't fallen since then, Altair is
going to clean house. If Ezio is as strong as Altair, he's going to
wreck people brackets as well. --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..." |
EternalxCourage | Posted 1/28/2010 11:17:03 AM | message detail |
Sonic is stronger than Zelda, @_@ Also, at this point it's hard to say whether or not Altair can put up good numbers on Sonic and Kirby. I think he can beat Kirby if he's as strong as he looks, and put up a good fight with Sonic. --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
EternalxCourage | Posted 1/28/2010 11:18:04 AM | message detail |
I
said before that I think Liquid has fallen a bit, but not enough to
take Altair out of contention with Kirby or Zelda (and the same goes
for Ezio, I would imagine.) --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
voltch | Posted 1/28/2010 11:26:31 AM | message detail |
Though looks like Altair is fast becoming the strongest new gen character. So it's a success, we got 1 guy that can enter the mid midcarders who is new! YAY! now for uncharted 3 and maybe, just maybe Drake can join him. --- Shakes Fist! |
Seginustemple | Posted 1/28/2010 11:27:25 AM | message detail |
Ryu > Dante, Leon Kennedy This is the one I'd be most worried about --- http://i113.photobucket.com/albums/n237/Danielyoon10/B8sigbet-2.jpg tell me what to put here in my sig! |
HaRRicH | Posted 1/28/2010 11:29:42 AM | message detail |
Midna
> Liquid. Midna barely lost to Mewtwo in 2008, and Mewtwo did a
little better against Ganondorf than Liquid against Altair. Anybody
taking Liquid > Midna should consider Altair > Ganondorf. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
voltch | Posted 1/28/2010 11:30:27 AM | message detail |
Has dante got any reasons to boost or stay constant? I suppose Bayonetta indirectly boosts him, cos the game feels so much like DMC that Dante just reappears in people's minds, but other than that, what of say Leon, RE5 could boost him even if it's chris you play as, has Darksie chronicles been released? --- Shakes Fist! |
MadGamer_11 | Posted 1/28/2010 11:37:22 AM | message detail |
Why do I have Belmont>Ezio? --- "To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/28/2010 11:39:00 AM | message detail |
Because you like losing points intentionally? --- ¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸ Has it never occurred to you that this planet is overpopulated? |
Lopen | Posted 1/28/2010 11:43:15 AM | message detail |
Belmont vs Ezio isn't a lock. Or at least, it wasn't before the contest. Looking bleak now and I'm not sure I believe it's possible anymore. But I'm just saying Belmont probably would've beaten or come close to beating Nathan Drake-- lot of reasons to think Ezio might be in the same ballpark. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/28/2010 11:49:16 AM | message detail |
Belmont was a distant third behind Sam Fisher. Him winning that match was always a pipe dream. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/28/2010 11:51:01 AM | message detail |
Distant fourth, even. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Seginustemple | Posted 1/28/2010 11:52:00 AM | message detail |
Darkside Chronicles is out, yeah. I doubt it did very well. --- http://i113.photobucket.com/albums/n237/Danielyoon10/B8sigbet-2.jpg tell me what to put here in my sig! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/28/2010 12:05:19 PM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #277 Quick, Frog vs. Mewtwo, who you got? From: ExThaNemesis | #295 Liquid probably would, too, at this point. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
voltch | Posted 1/28/2010 12:05:48 PM | message detail |
DC still had an awesome trailer, i'd vote leon just for that epic trailer. --- Shakes Fist! |
Lopen | Posted 1/28/2010 12:06:46 PM | message detail |
Belmont got old school SFFed by Crono every time we saw him. We saw his true strength in the vote in. "Cid Level" hail. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
HaRRicH | Posted 1/28/2010 12:09:20 PM | message detail |
LFF'd Cid at that! --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/28/2010 12:12:38 PM | message detail |
I'd take Midna over Liquid easily after that egg Liquid went and laid. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
EternalxCourage | Posted 1/28/2010 12:32:14 PM | message detail |
Belmont
probably would've beaten or come close to beating Nathan Drake-- lot of
reasons to think Ezio might be in the same ballpark. lol wut What reasons are there to think that Ezio would be on the same level as Drake? There is no comparison...at all. --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
LOLContests | Posted 1/28/2010 12:44:15 PM | message detail |
Does
anyone else find it odd that we have so few perfects? Thinking about
things logically, there have really been only 7 50/50 matches so far,
where there is no clear favorite (I mean in a logical sense, not a
predictive sense. Just because Red had more brackets doesn't mean you
couldn't make a clear argument against him.) Those matches are:
Alucard/Magus, Red/Ocelot, Amaterasu/Shadow/, Nathan Drake/The Boss,
Wesker/Ken, GladDOS/Fawful, and Altair/Liquid. Every other one has a
clear favorite from a logical sense, based on what we know. Taking this
into account, assuming someone always picks the clear favorite and only
differentiates on the 50/50 matches, ~7.5% of the predictors should
have perfect brackets (.5 x 7) Obviously, all 50/50 matches are not
really 50/50 splits in predictors, but over time I would expect this to
even out. However, the totals are far far less than that. Now the reason behind this is obvious. People make "illogical" decisions, and the prediction percentages prove as such. Still, that's a large discrepancy. But it's not just the predictors at large. Look at the Gurus. These are people are allegedly trying their best to predict the contest, and thus would not make "illogical" decisions on any grand scheme. And yet, there's only 1 perfect left out of over 100 entrants, and there is only 1 additional person who would have a perfect if not for an "illogical" choice. Now, I think at least one possible explanation for this is that people do not make their predictions in a vacuum. People make predictions based on what they assume trends will be, but if those trends are not consistent, their vision is broken. Drake/The Boss and Altair/Liquid contradicted themselves in their results, and had one or the other gone the other way, that the amount of perfects we have would be noticeably increased. Once again, this doesn't explain anything, but it is interesting to think that we tend to have less perfects than we statistically should. --- "Duh, it's the company's fault for making it cost so much."--Donkey Kong Yesmar |
LOLContests | Posted 1/28/2010 12:46:17 PM | message detail |
*doesn't explain everything. --- "Duh, it's the company's fault for making it cost so much."--Donkey Kong Yesmar |
nintendo girl | Posted 1/28/2010 12:48:31 PM | message detail |
There has only been 4 seeding upsets in the 26 matches so far. Woah. --- o.0 |
Darth_Voltch | Posted 1/28/2010 12:54:30 PM | message detail |
I'm
just wondering how many non-B8ers can fare well in these contest
environments, even if you take lurkers into account, how on earth do
some of the casuals who don't access our ressources are able to compete
with us? I honestly can't imagine doing well without some of the tools like the B8 wiki. --- Join the Dark Side |
nintendo girl | Posted 1/28/2010 12:56:32 PM | message detail |
Eh,
if you truly want to calculate the supposed number of perfects,
multiply the prediction %ages. That's what tells you how hard a match
was. The actual result is irrelevant. And as it happens, after the first 10 matches, there's a 0.8% chance of a perfect based on the prediction %ages. After 2 divisions, there's a 0.096% chance of success. --- Those are pretty steep odds. |
nintendo girl | Posted 1/28/2010 1:00:05 PM | message detail |
From: Darth_Voltch | #343 I'm just wondering how many non-B8ers can fare well in these contest environments, even if you take lurkers into account, how on earth do some of the casuals who don't access our ressources are able to compete with us? I honestly can't imagine doing well without some of the tools like the B8 wiki. 82.8% of the Gurus are in the 87th precentile. 60.8% of the Gurus are in the 94th percentile. In short, the casuals CAN'T compete with us. --- We're powerhouses. |
Mac Arrowny | Posted 1/28/2010 1:08:42 PM | message detail |
From: LOLContests | #340 19/20 Guru perfects were eliminated by Altair/Liquid. Pretty amazing the effects a single match can have, eh? --- All the stars in the sky are waiting for you. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/28/2010 1:17:24 PM | message detail |
From: Darth_Voltch | Posted: 1/28/2010 3:54:30 PM | #343 Only one B8 regular has ever won a contest. --- I am the Dragon of Blood, a relentless prince of pain Renouncing God on His throne, my blood is forever stained. |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/28/2010 1:17:52 PM | message detail |
According
to the Guru contest, 80% of the people who had The Boss over Drake had
Liquid beating Altair. Compare that to only 47% of those who Drake
winning having Liquid beating Altair. That's a larger difference than I
thought it would be. --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..." |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/28/2010 1:30:25 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #347 You mean Jakyl25? --- holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 1/28/2010 1:33:05 PM | message detail |
Quick, Frog vs. Mewtwo, who you got? My bias is still giving me Frog --- "I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg |