GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 804

LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 8:16:49 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #247
Its not a good performance by Chief... but luckily for him, Ryu laid a bomb as well. It'll just be about who is more pathetic, and Ryu looked more pathetic from the matches today.


Well, when the one thing that makes Chief what he is (the ASV) was completely taken away, I'd say that's a gigantic bomb for him.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 8:18:08 PM | message detail
Doesn't Valve have a really good ASV these days?

Regardless, Zelda or Kingdom Hearts is probably the ASV champion these days.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 8:18:37 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #252
Doesn't Valve have a really good ASV these days?

Regardless, Zelda or Kingdom Hearts is probably the ASV champion these days.


Define "these days," because the last time we saw them, Gordon, Spy, and Heavy had awful day votes.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 8:19:12 PM | message detail
Compared to like, Gordon 2002.
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 1/27/2010 8:20:16 PM | message detail
Ugh, what a terrible topic this has been. Wake me up when the next debateable match starts. The next few days are going to suck.

Goddamn it feels good to use that word without getting autoflagged.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 8:20:26 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #251
Well, when the one thing that makes Chief what he is (the ASV) was completely taken away, I'd say that's a gigantic bomb for him.


It doesn't help that Spy was rallying hard to counter that, though. I doubt they'd go crazy rallying for Ryu H against him since he doesn't have the 4chan memes and all so that should be a non factor
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 1/27/2010 8:21:29 PM | message detail
And who is this CCatalyst guy and why is everyone falling for his crappy, painfully obvious trolling?
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 8:24:32 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #254
Compared to like, Gordon 2002.


I don't know if anyone even knows what the trends were for characters back then...
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/27/2010 8:43:20 PM | message detail
charmander6000’s Prediction: Sora wins, 59.82% - 40.18%

Very unlikely. Midna barely broke 40% against Scorpion back in 2007 when you would expect her to be at her strongest due to TP still being somewhat new. With TP even farther away from the release date, I don't see Midna breaking 40% on the more powerful Sora (who I would easily take over Scorpion).
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ZFS | Posted 1/27/2010 8:43:41 PM | message detail
Spy rallying strikes me as one of those excuses you look back on in the next round and go 'whoops.' Is there even an indication that it was in any way significant?

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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 8:44:23 PM | message detail
You mean besides the horrific inconsistencies in Spy's votals, and the 300 extra votes every hour or so?

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ZFS | Posted 1/27/2010 8:45:02 PM | message detail
300 extra votes every hour compared to what match?

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 8:45:45 PM | message detail
Ask char, that's where I got it from!

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 8:49:53 PM | message detail
Very unlikely. Midna barely broke 40% against Scorpion back in 2007 when you would expect her to be at her strongest due to TP still being somewhat new. With TP even farther away from the release date, I don't see Midna breaking 40% on the more powerful Sora (who I would easily take over Scorpion).

How about looking at 2008 where she got 25% on Cloud and equalled Mewtwo. Midna obviously performed better.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
ZFS | Posted 1/27/2010 8:50:09 PM | message detail
Well, without knowing what that's compared to, I dunno. If it's compared to yesterday, that's not surprising. If it's compared to the highest voted match so far, maybe it's you're on to something. I still doubt how significant it was if Master Chief's day vote ended up with him losing percentage. And Master Chief without that day vote takes away a pretty big advantage that he had to begin with. Not that I'm saying he's going to lose next round, or that he's not the favorite -- though I probably give Hayabusa a better chance than most -- but this is pretty bad, rallying or not. Spy ain't hot stuff.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
ZFS | Posted 1/27/2010 8:50:51 PM | message detail
Not that Crash is or anything, don't get me wrong.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 8:51:35 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3753&type=2&seconds=60&max=0

You guys are way too smart to call those spikes legit.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 8:52:15 PM | message detail
When I said 300 votes I was only comparing the one hour when Spy was gaining percent like crazy. I'm not sure how the vote totals changed after that or whether or not all of them went to Spy.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 8:52:31 PM | message detail
Very unlikely. Midna barely broke 40% against Scorpion back in 2007

So.. what does this say about Mewtwo? He broke 40% on Ganondorf. It's not out of the possibility of Midna to come close especially with Sora not having the ASV to work with.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 8:53:36 PM | message detail
Also I did it by finding the projected vote totals before and after and finding the difference that the hour caused.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
GrapefruitKing | Posted 1/27/2010 8:58:46 PM | message detail
time for a boring 12 hours
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 38th
Today's prediction: Sora with 64.82% Status:
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/27/2010 8:59:58 PM | message detail
Midna > Sora upset woo
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:06 PM | message detail
Friday should be great though, with 4 interesting contest characters up.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:20 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Sora 57.14%

4
Midna 42.86%

3
TOTAL VOTES 7

I put Sora in the lead!
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Master Moltar | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:20 PM | message detail
oh man midna
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Sora > Midna (22/24)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
paulg235 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:21 PM | message detail
Sora 50%

11
Midna 50%

11
TOTAL VOTES 22
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:34 PM | message detail
Sora 57.43% 58
Midna 42.57% 43
TOTAL VOTES 101

This be the Nintendo board vote?
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
GrapefruitKing | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:41 PM | message detail
Midna with a decent board vote?
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 38th
Today's prediction: Sora with 64.82% Status:
charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:41 PM | message detail
Midna on fire

Also Master Chief with over 90% prediction rate.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 18/24 - Today's Winners: Sora and Neku
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:48 PM | message detail
Midna with the board vote.

Neat.
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Not Wylvane
ZenOfThunder | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:52 PM | message detail
I just don't like Sora so I voted Midna.
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digifreak642 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:00:58 PM | message detail
Sora 50%

20
Midna 50%

20
TOTAL VOTES 40
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Gooper Blooper | Posted 1/27/2010 9:01:02 PM | message detail
Sora 54.41%

37
Midna 45.59%

31
TOTAL VOTES 68

Good god, I voted the instant the poll appeared and I was still 68th. It IS hard to get one of the first votes!
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Master Moltar | Posted 1/27/2010 9:01:03 PM | message detail

From: paulg235 | #276
Sora 50%

11
Midna 50%

11
TOTAL VOTES 22


I was vote 23 and I also put Sora in the lead!
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Sora > Midna (22/24)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Achromatic | Posted 1/27/2010 9:01:21 PM | message detail
I was 10th, 6-4 sora
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 9:01:30 PM | message detail
woo Midna

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 9:01:32 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Sora 62.5%

5
Midna 37.5%

3
TOTAL VOTES 8
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 9:01:42 PM | message detail
Chief only topped by Link and Mario in prediction percentage so far

aww yea chief
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/27/2010 9:01:49 PM | message detail
Master Chief with a higher prediction percentage than everyone besides Link and Mario?

That's ****ing sick, man.
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Not Wylvane
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 9:02:00 PM | message detail
KH never ever gets a board vote. Bowser is going to be killing him early on.
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This was a triumph.
Julian_Caesar | Posted 1/27/2010 9:02:07 PM | message detail
midna ftw

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 9:02:21 PM | message detail
Did you guys really expect Midna to get thrashed after seeing Mewtwo?
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Krahen Prophet did a fatality.
charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:02:25 PM | message detail
I wonder how low Mega Man's prediction percent will be after he defeats Master Chief.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 18/24 - Today's Winners: Sora and Neku
Gooper Blooper | Posted 1/27/2010 9:02:44 PM | message detail
That was fast.

I know it was pretty impossible but I was hoping Midna could keep it close. We could use another back-and-forth match.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:02:49 PM | message detail
I don't know whether to call this good or bad for Sora, honestly.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/27/2010 9:03:04 PM | message detail
So it's the 60/40 affair everyone expected. How wonderful.

I miss the first two divisions.
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:03:22 PM | message detail
Uh, she is getting beaten pretty well. Sora's over 60% and we're only 3 minutes into the poll.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:03:23 PM | message detail
Did you guys really expect Midna to get thrashed after seeing Mewtwo?

You should have seen the Oracle, heck the spread betting was 68% for Sora.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 18/24 - Today's Winners: Sora and Neku
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:04:06 PM | message detail
Man, anyone expecting a doubling here was just kidding themselves. We saw what Sora did against Tingle, right?
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:04:37 PM | message detail
I say that having a 65% Oracle for Sora, but that's not a doubling!

Sora starting to get going now, at least.
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