GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 804

RPGuy96 | Posted 1/27/2010 2:24:18 PM | message detail
You have never played Halo, Ninja Gaiden or Team Fortress 2, and are one of the many people in the stats topic who constantly misfires with regard to how casual characters will perform. These are facts, not sarcasm. But if jabs at me help you sleep at night, have fun :D

I missed Altair/Liquid. You missed The Boss/Drake - and I seem to recall you calling that an obvious match. I say that's about even as far as predicting casual characters goes.

Plus I totally watched Meet the Spy and that counts.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:24:27 PM | message detail
Zelda is nowhere near the Noble Nine. She's Top 20.

Which is pretty damn close to Noble Nine. She's probably near the bottom of Vincent's tier but above the Bowser tier. I have never seen a new character get anywhere close to that level.
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/27/2010 2:24:55 PM | message detail
It's a sweet picture, yeah, and MC doesn't look so cool in his either. I'm not going to get over-dramatic about the match-picture (it's no sprite-Luigi against Bacondorf...!), but I could see TF2-fans being excited about the pictures' comparison.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 2:25:26 PM | message detail
I distinctly remember Ulti saying that Boss/Drake was a coinflip match on more than one occasion.

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:26:01 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:20:18 PM | #041
Ulti clearly doesn't know me if he thinks I get jollies from taking jabs at him more than I get jollies from taking jabs at anyone else. Clearly. Or he clearly thinks too much of himself if he thinks I'm being serious. One of these may be clearer than the other.

He also clearly missed the post last topic where I said I own an XBox and I've played plenty of Halo.

There is way too much clarity in this topic for my own good.


I have nothing against you, but you're part of a huge contingent of people in this topic who routinely misfires on casual characters. I'm not trying to piss you off or anything, but it's true. Ryu H is flat-out nowhere near Chief in popularity on this site, and is 100% relying on anti-votes to win. And he might pull it off, who knows, but it's a bad thing to rely on.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 2:26:23 PM | message detail
I have never seen a new character get anywhere close to that level.

That's a good point. If we're looking at characters created after the first contest, the strongest is Sora, but he only reached the near-elites after KH2. Next is Kratos who is probably not on Zelda's level yet.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:26:25 PM | message detail
and are one of the many people in the stats topic who constantly misfires with regard to how casual characters will perform.

Also, just for kicks on this one:

Ulti's Oracles:

MMX - 70.25%
Nathan Drake - 55%
WCC - 62%
GlaDOS - 57%

Mine:

MMX - 70.18%
The Boss - 51.01%
WCC - 64.86%
GlaDOS - 55.55%

Admittedly, you got a better Oracle than me for today by a lot (but Spy last year didn't impress me. That's got nothing to do with "Ohhhhh, I don't know casual characters!" Spy didn't exactly light it up last year), but I don't know how in the world you predict 70% for Hayabusa, 60% for Chief, and then somehow say Chief > Hayabusa is a lock.

But really, I think using the whole "You don't know gaming like I do!" angle is pretty lame.
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TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 1/27/2010 2:27:40 PM | message detail
Yeah, KingOfKoopas, I agree, although Bowser's path into the Noble Nine is most likely an indirect one. See, there are no Noble Niners in the Heart Division, so he'd have to win a quarterfinal match to break it directly. Seeing as how Mario is the favorite to win the Mushroom Division, a direct assault seems foolish.

However, there is a back door for Bowser. While it obviously wasn't the principle that founded the Noble Nine, the current requirements of the Nine is that they've never lost to a non-member in a 1v1, and also, if any one member were to do so, removing the member that lost would not restore the perfect status as each of them has beaten another at least once. Therefore, the only way to maintain this perfect status is to add more members, though if a large expansion would be needed, it is widely agreed that it would be better to just axe the whole thing. Bowser himself is a chain ender (no non-Nine losses in his past), and he's the only non-Niner that has beaten Yoshi in a 1v1. As it turns out, Yoshi's bracket placement has him set to take on Crono in round 2 as long as he doesn't inexplicably lose to the fodderiffic Jak in round 1. (Crono's first-round opponent has no history at all and would therefore be allowed seamless entry if it were to pull the upset.) Crono may have been one of the stronger members of the Nine in the past, but 2006 and 2007 suggested he's becoming one of the weak links of the Nine. (Crono had a deceptively strong 2008 run, taking advantage of Link SFFing both Mario and Samus in their semifinal fourpack to advance to the finals--although Crono deserves credit for avenging his '07 loss to Vincent in the quarterfinals, and there wasn't even any L-factor because Pikachu had helped Crono knock off the block a round earlier) It's possible that Yoshi could break the Nine, and if he does, Bowser's 2003 victory over him would make the King of the Koopas a member, as well. (Yeah, I noticed that about your username.)

Some users have told me that that's not how the Noble Nine works. The wiki says otherwise.
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Terrific_Ten
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:28:26 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:24:18 PM | #051
I seem to recall you calling that an obvious match.


And once again you fail. I hyped Drake during the GOTY polls and said there was writing on the wall for an upset. I never once called it an obvious match, and it was a tossup all the way. And -- huge surprise here -- it ended up being a tossup.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 2:29:03 PM | message detail
Some users have told me that that's not how the Noble Nine works. The wiki says otherwise.
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Terrific_Ten


*looks at the history*

*sees a long history of vandalism, people trying to get it taken down, and originally being created by Dr Pizza*

Yeah

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:29:25 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:26:25 PM | #057
But really, I think using the whole "You don't know gaming like I do!" angle is pretty lame.


That's not an "angle", rofl

You have clearly never watched wrestling a day in your life
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/27/2010 2:29:49 PM | message detail
http://thengamer.com/stats/Pt751-800/Pt776/Stats%20and%20Discussion%20Pt776%20Pg3.htm

UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/11/2010 9:02:44 PM | message detail
Do people still think The Boss is beating Drake?


Luckily that was the second one I clicked. TRE, you need to stick everything in one place for easy grepping!
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FFDragon | Posted 1/27/2010 2:29:58 PM | message detail
'Terrific Ten' was Dr. Pizza just trolling the board for three months.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:30:02 PM | message detail
And you're not really ticking me off. I'm just arguing for the sake of arguing.

Oh, and you got me on Liquid/Altair, yeah. But again, that had everything to do with last year and nothing to do with "Oh, I don't know gaming!"

And I have a pretty good track record for predicting Master Chief, for what it's worth. I'm not even sure what my knowledge of casual characters has to do with this.
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Lopen | Posted 1/27/2010 2:30:37 PM | message detail
Kurt was winning Halo and Team Fortress tournaments with a broken freakin neck.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:31:03 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #061
That's not an "angle", rofl

You have clearly never watched wrestling a day in your life


Oh no I used the wrong word because I couldn't think of the right one

Whoops
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:31:18 PM | message detail

From: TsunamiXXVIII | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:27:40 PM | #058
Some users have told me that that's not how the Noble Nine works. The wiki says otherwise.
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Terrific_Ten


I should delete that page on principle.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:31:42 PM | message detail
Nice .15% gain there, Spy.
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/27/2010 2:31:53 PM | message detail
For what it's worth, being a potential Noble Nine-breaker doesn't mean as much as it used to since Sonic seems to be ****ing it up lately.


I also thought Ulti called Drake the obvious pick. I remember him saying the writing was on the wall and I think I remember him calling it a toss-up close to the match...but I'm pretty sure you've called Drake the obvious pick at some point. I'm leaving and don't care enough to look it up though.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:32:14 PM | message detail
That's a good point. If we're looking at characters created after the first contest, the strongest is Sora, but he only reached the near-elites after KH2. Next is Kratos who is probably not on Zelda's level yet.

Sora's first year he lost to Aeris, who would get smoked by Zelda every single year. AC2 was not as hyped or loved on this site as much as Kingdom Hearts.

Kratos lost to Alucard and to Ryu, two characters who are weaker than Zelda. Hell, I wouldn't even put Kratos on Zelda's tier yet, and God of War is a bigger series here than Assassin's Creed.

This is another case of people (or maybe just one person) blindly following stats and not using any sort of logic.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 2:32:15 PM | message detail
Uh.....

Why is Master Chief falling in percentage during the ASV?
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:32:43 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/11/2010 9:02:44 PM | message detail
Do people still think The Boss is beating Drake?


You seriously think this translates to "100% DRAKE, LOCK IT UP FOLKS"?

At least bust out me calling people delusional for picking Squall > Magus or something. You have nothing here. Again.
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CCatalyst | Posted 1/27/2010 2:32:58 PM | message detail
Ulti you did accept the account bet -- I don't know why you would go back on it now.

Anyway, I've already provided my reasoning as to why Ezio would be able to beat Zelda. It's pretty firm (assuming Ezio is around Altair strength.) No one has provided any kind of solid evidence other than (ZOMG ITS ZELDA!!!)
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 2:33:02 PM | message detail
Spy's vote total is going ballistic.

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:33:30 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:31:53 PM | #069
calling it a toss-up close to the match


Because it was a tossup.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 2:34:12 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:34:16 PM | message detail
Yeah, looks like we've got some rallying going on now.

Well, so much for using this match to gauge trends.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:34:55 PM | message detail
You seriously think this translates to "100% DRAKE, LOCK IT UP FOLKS"?

Oh, and explain what it means if that's not what it means. That seems to be the implication.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:35:08 PM | message detail
Anyway, I've already provided my reasoning as to why Ezio would be able to beat Zelda. It's pretty firm (assuming Ezio is around Altair strength.) No one has provided any kind of solid evidence other than (ZOMG ITS ZELDA!!!)

All you provided is stats that don't make any sense whatsoever (Altair already proved that Liquid was nowhere near his 2008 level). You're seriously using BT stats in order to make your pick seem worthwhile.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:35:24 PM | message detail

From: CCatalyst | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:32:58 PM | #073
Ulti you did accept the account bet -- I don't know why you would go back on it now.

Anyway, I've already provided my reasoning as to why Ezio would be able to beat Zelda. It's pretty firm (assuming Ezio is around Altair strength.) No one has provided any kind of solid evidence other than (ZOMG ITS ZELDA!!!)


Neither one of us will follow through, and you full well know this. It's friendly nonsense above all else. I do sort of hope Ezio does really well, because I'm loving the Western shift. Just add video games to the list of things America beats Japan in.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 2:35:33 PM | message detail
I think the confidence in Drake sort of melted once we saw the Game of the Decade poll.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:35:55 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:34:16 PM | #077
Yeah, looks like we've got some rallying going on now.

Well, so much for using this match to gauge trends.


There's been off and on rallying at 4chan all day.
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voltch | Posted 1/27/2010 2:35:58 PM | message detail
who the **** made that terrific 10 page, it's BLARGH.
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FFDragon | Posted 1/27/2010 2:37:05 PM | message detail

From: voltch | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:35:58 PM | #083
who the **** made that terrific 10 page, it's BLARGH.


Somebody with a Dramatic Encyclopedia entry about them. That should say everything.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 2:37:55 PM | message detail

From: FFDragon | #084
Somebody with a Dramatic Encyclopedia entry about them. That should say everything.


Link to that entry.

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:38:01 PM | message detail
If you guys truly find that TT page offensive and useless, I can nuke it.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:38:38 PM | message detail
It's not offensive, but it's certainly useless.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:38:44 PM | message detail
Please nuke it.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 2:39:06 PM | message detail
Keep it for another hour. I'm still reading through that history.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 1/27/2010 2:41:41 PM | message detail
maaan I was editing the Terrific Ten article and then it died.
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CCatalyst | Posted 1/27/2010 2:41:50 PM | message detail
I fully plan on following through. I don't make bets I don't keep.

All you provided is stats that don't make any sense whatsoever (Altair already proved that Liquid was nowhere near his 2008 level). You're seriously using BT stats in order to make your pick seem worthwhile.

All the stats make sense. How did Altair prove that Liquid is nowhere near his 2008 level? The only thing it really proves is that Altair is far above the level people thought he would be at. WSF + AC2 provide this. How much he improved depends on how Liquid changed from 08 to now. Like I said, I think it would be able 55/45 for Zelda (maybe a bit better for her.) I think that Altair and Ezio are both stronger than she is.

But anyway we'll see how good they really are when Altair beats Vivi down.

You guys are just being pretty ignorant though with your blind 'ZOMG ZELDA WILL WIN SHE'S ZELDA.' While I provide actual reasoning. Even any reasoning you (and you I mean the group, not you in particular because you have said nothing of value) have provided only proves it will be a close match, if anything.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 2:42:03 PM | message detail
(cur) (prev) 07:08, October 25, 2007 Dr. Pizza (Talk | contribs) (The birth of the Terrific Ten) (undo)

07:27, October 25, 2007 74.132.208.94 (Talk) (Replacing page with 'NO NO NO, you can't judge a characters abilities in a 4 way battle.') (undo)

(cur) (prev) 07:29, October 25, 2007 Dr. Pizza (Talk | contribs) (Revert, please do not vandalize this page. I worked for quite a few hours on it, and this does NOT dis the Noble Nine at all. read it yourself.) (undo)

(cur) (prev) 08:43, October 25, 2007 193.1.100.110 (Talk) (Replacing page with '=The Terrific Ten= * '''Sonic''' is the only furry member of the Terrific Ten. Category:Terminology Category:Contest Rivalries') (undo)

(cur) (prev) 01:46, October 26, 2007 67.165.48.197 (Talk) (Replacing page with 'The Terrific Ten doesn't exist. If you think the Terrific Ten exists you're ****ng retarded, plain and simple.') (undo)

(cur) (prev) 04:11, October 26, 2007 Dr. Pizza (Talk | contribs) (Stop vandalizing n00bs....) (undo)

(cur) (prev) 06:46, October 26, 2007 71.194.67.119 (Talk) (Replacing page with 'Nothing.') (undo)

(cur) (prev) 07:52, October 26, 2007 Dr. Pizza (Talk | contribs) (Stop it guys... your giving Board 8 a bad name...) (undo)

(cur) (prev) 00:47, October 27, 2007 137.222.232.120 (Talk) (Replacing page with 'DEY TOOK OUR JERBS!') (undo)

(cur) (prev) 00:51, October 27, 2007 Dr. Pizza (Talk | contribs) (Reverted) (undo)

(cur) (prev) 00:52, October 27, 2007 Meow1000 (Talk | contribs) (Replacing page with 'Lol no.') (undo)


the best

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:42:46 PM | message detail
How did Altair prove that Liquid is nowhere near his 2008 level?

By beating him with 59%
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:42:56 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:39:06 PM | #089
Keep it for another hour. I'm still reading through that history.


Don't even bother. It's a massive string of vandalism and spam, and has been deleted as such. I cannot believe that page was allowed to live for two years as if it were a fact.

Feel free to IM zach or ngamer if you disagree, but stats stuff on the wiki should probably be as accurate as possible. That page was trolling and little else.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:44:46 PM | message detail
I cannot believe that page was allowed to live for two years as if it were a fact.

Probably because no one ever read it.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:45:28 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 1/27/2010 5:44:46 PM | #095
I cannot believe that page was allowed to live for two years as if it were a fact.

Probably because no one ever read it.


XFD

So simple it was amazing.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:48:48 PM | message detail
Hey Leon, defend you BOI here.

Jay Cutler, supposedly, is such an ass that the Bears can't find an offensive coordinator. EXPLAIN YOURSELF.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/27/2010 2:50:08 PM | message detail
Tag
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 2:50:18 PM | message detail
Cutler ain't my BOI, Kornulti. Just 'cause he played football in the state of Tennessee don't mean he's my BOI! But I do think it's funny that someone would rather go work for Cable and Jamarcus Russell than Lovie and Cutler. What does this say about your franchise?

Granted, I liked him when he played at Vandy, but that was before I knew anything about him as a person.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/27/2010 2:52:03 PM | message detail
All the stats make sense.

You're basing your stats off of Liquid from 2008. I already went over plenty of times during and before the Liquid/Altair match that those stats were completely wrong. That's why they make no sense. It would be like judging Bowser during his match with Frog and saying he could beat Mario because of how close Frog got to Snake.

How did Altair prove that Liquid is nowhere near his 2008 level?

Altair proved that Liquid was near his 2007 level. Otherwise, it would put Altair near Ganondorf and Zelda, which makes no sense at all.

(I'm going to continue to say that until you get it through your head, btw).

The only thing it really proves is that Altair is far above the level people thought he would be at. WSF + AC2 provide this.

I was a big supporter of Altair before the contest, and I still am. I argued for a big AC2 boost and a WSF boost pre-contest as well. Everything went exactly as planned. The only difference is, I'm not delusional enough to think that Altair boosted from losing to Duke Nukem to being almost even with Auron and Squall.

Like I said, I think it would be able 55/45 for Zelda (maybe a bit better for her.) I think that Altair and Ezio are both stronger than she is.

Zelda would smoke Liquid like no tomorrow. Again, this entire argument is stupid and if you actually back away from your stats you would realize that.
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Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename