GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 803

KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 10:49:22 AM | message detail
I'm not sure what happens if it's a 100% fair match. I'm pretty sure that Luigi would lose if Mudkip was in that Bacondorf match, though.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 10:50:39 AM | message detail
Yeah, but why?
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 10:51:05 AM | message detail
And I'm sure the results will be roughly the same (though Luigi did only barely defeat Ganondorf)
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 10:51:51 AM | message detail
Because Mudkip overlaps more with Luigi than Ganondorf? Seems pretty intuitive to me. Cartoonish hero or badass villain.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 10:52:55 AM | message detail
And I have to go, but I'm pretty sure people are going to argue that point, to which I say: come on.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 10:55:11 AM | message detail
I understand the reasoning, but...I dunno. Ganondorf seems pretty susceptible to SFF in general though. Design alone doesn't seem to be a reason why one Nintendo franchise LFFs one harder than another. Do Pokemon fans in general like Mario more than Zelda? Would Mewtwo LFF Ganon more than Luigi?
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 10:55:37 AM | message detail
Because Mudkip overlaps more with Luigi than Ganondorf? Seems pretty intuitive to me. Cartoonish hero or badass villain.

Based on? This is almost ridiculous as saying an RPG Villain and a Action Hero overlap because they have silver hair.

The match was so close that random variation could cause the results to flip.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 10:55:45 AM | message detail
So now we're talking about LFF within LFF?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 10:57:08 AM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #408
So now we're talking about LFF within LFF?


Triple LFF, as if regular LFF isn't volatile enough. I wouldn't draw any sort of conclusion out of an LFF match, much less an LFF match.

Look at Mario and MMX last year. Why does Zelda apparently LFF Mario more than X, but Link apparently LFFs X more than Mario? LFF in general is just wacky.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 10:57:50 AM | message detail
Much less a triple LFF match, that should say.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 10:58:44 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 10:59:30 AM | message detail
My brain hurts.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 11:08:20 AM | message detail
Good job, Spy! Get as much as you can before that ASV starts!

Speaking of which, this match should give us a very good indication if the ASV is diluted at least somewhat this year. Spy is definitely a night character, so Chief should have high levels of performance for the next 7-8 hours or so based on general ASV trends.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 11:10:14 AM | message detail
How much would Spy have now if this was started at the 12AM mark?
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/27/2010 11:13:38 AM | message detail
I've never liked the argument that Mudkip hurt Luigi more than Ganon, especially enough to cost him the match. That's a stretch at best whereas we see Luigi's sprite against Bacondorf...that's a clear and obvious factor that will benefit Luigi. We don't have any proof or much reason to think Pokemon/Mudkip affects LoZ/Ganon more than SMB/Luigi. It's already hard enough to predict how joke-characters affect matches, let's not get into casual assumptions where we "know" who the joke LFFs more in triple-LFF-situations.

If it wasn't for Pikachu surprising us all by advancing to R4 in 2007, Luigi would have likely beaten Dante. I mean, if Mudkip affects Luigi that much, Pikachu should affect Luigi more, and that'd be enough to win over Dante...and I'd still take Ganon to beat Luigi. Even if Luigi really should be stronger than Ganon based on the sprite-match, I'd have taken Ganon > Dante in 2007 anyway if it wasn't for Pikachu.

I'm with Leonhart on this one. Dante should, by all means, make it a close match and it'd be hard to rule him out as an upset...but we've not had a lot of reasons to take him over Ganon, either. Remember when Dante had every reason to beat YOSHI and still lost? Well, this is Ganon, and Dante doesn't have a lot of reasons on his side at this time.
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/27/2010 11:17:46 AM | message detail
Also, just because I think it's a fun comparison: Luigi got 44.13% on Pikachu in 2007's four-way...and Ganondorf got 41.35% on Mewtwo one-on-one this year. It's hard to imagine Pikachu and Mewtwo being very far apart from this angle, assuming Ganon > Luigi.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 11:24:24 AM | message detail
How much would Spy have now if this was started at the 12AM mark?

Based on my calulations 39.01%
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 11:29:45 AM | message detail
Of course that's only assuming if this was the end of the match.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
Childproof | Posted 1/27/2010 11:37:09 AM | message detail
Spy is going absolutely berserk right now
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 11:37:36 AM | message detail
Okay, I'm caught up.

Chief is doing better than I expected, and he'll go up a couple percents during the ASV. 4chan is rallying their asses off for Spy (I'm surprised Steam hasn't linked yet, but they obviously see the match as unwinnable and/or they respect Chief too much -- and thinking there's no overlap between Valve and Halo is just silly), and Chief is having no issues at all. No one will be rallying for Ryu H, because he isn't a vote draw. The Ryu > Chief upset is all but dead. Ryu dropped like a stone against Crash and his match finished with the lowest vote total of the entire contest. He doesn't have the day vote to take full advantage of early Chief anti-voting, plus there's that whole Xbox hierarchy to worry about. Ryu might still do well on design alone, but winning would be a miracle at this point.

Mudkip clearly hurt Luigi more than Ganondorf. Wasn't that round 1 match where we all decided Pokemon overlaps with the Mario series more than the Zelda series? Ganondorf > Luigi with Mudkip in the poll. Take out Mudkip and have those two as the only Nintendo characters, and Luigi > Ganondorf. The variable in the equation is extremely easy to spot here.

I'd kill to see Dante upset Ganondorf, but I don't think it would happen. Dante is notorious for looking good against weak characters, then bombing when he's up against characters of similar strength.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 11:38:02 AM | message detail

From: Childproof | Posted: 1/27/2010 2:37:09 PM | #419
Spy is going absolutely berserk right now


4chan, and they aren't going to bother with Ryu.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 11:39:30 AM | message detail
Oh and Spy would absolutely annihilate Crash. Anyone arguing otherwise knows nothing about Team Fortress 2.

And that's okay! It means you get to go discover it still :D
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 11:40:25 AM | message detail
Wasn't that round 1 match where we all decided Pokemon overlaps with the Mario series more than the Zelda series?

Which match?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 11:43:03 AM | message detail
Luigi/Ganondorf/Mudkip
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 11:44:49 AM | message detail
The variable in the equation is extremely easy to spot here.

Yeah, Bacondorf.

Oh look, Ulti with the insider intuition as usual
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 11:47:10 AM | message detail
Chief was doing pretty mediocre even before "4chan" intervened.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 11:47:22 AM | message detail
That wasn't round 1 and I would like to here those arguments since I was out of town during that match. From what I can see Mudkip did better in round 2 because joke characters retain their base strength a lot better. People blamed Bacondorf for Luigi's win.

Besides if Mudkip was a factor that means Bacondorf is a less factor which means if Sonic defeats Ganondorf, he'll likely defeat Kirby (I said IF)
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 11:48:04 AM | message detail
Luigi looks like total crap in that picture, too
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 11:49:10 AM | message detail
If 4chan really is rallying spy, then maybe Chief isn't as weak as I though. Still a bad performance though
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 11:49:49 AM | message detail
Luigi was Luigi in that match, anybody could see that.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
Biolizard28 | Posted 1/27/2010 11:50:11 AM | message detail
Ryu > MC confirmed.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 11:50:49 AM | message detail
4chan is rallying Spy.
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vcharon | Posted 1/27/2010 11:51:45 AM | message detail
4chan doesn't even have good taste in their own memes. "Pretty cool guy" is much better.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 1/27/2010 11:51:46 AM | message detail
>Implying a 4chan rally means anything around here.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 11:53:24 AM | message detail
Looking at the updater it looks like they are slowing down.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 11:54:41 AM | message detail

From: Biolizard28 | Posted: 1/27/2010 2:51:46 PM | #434
>Implying a 4chan rally means anything around here.


How quick you forget how awful Super Mario World looked in the first round last contest. It means enough to sway a couple percents now and again.
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LOLContests | Posted 1/27/2010 11:54:41 AM | message detail
The variable in the equation is extremely easy to spot here.

But what about Bacondorf? There's another match with that picture that implies the same thing.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 11:55:50 AM | message detail
How quick you forget how awful Super Mario World looked in the first round last contest. It means enough to sway a couple percents now and again.

Didn't know 4chan was rallying for Final Fantasy.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 11:56:14 AM | message detail
It probably means a lot, but Luigi looks equally bad. To me, anyway.
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WHAT'S THE MATTER, SCARED??
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 11:57:05 AM | message detail
4chan loves the original FF. I'm positive a lot of Battletoads' rallied votes went to FF1.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/27/2010 11:57:54 AM | message detail
Y'know, if 4chan is rallying and not doing much, I'm feeling proud of GameFAQS and how it doesn't roll over as easily as Gamespot. Everyone wins, it seems: Chief gets to be better than he looks, Spy gets to go out with pride, and we all get to lol at Gamespot for being so bad at policing their own polls.
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LOLContests | Posted 1/27/2010 12:00:26 PM | message detail
The only thread on 4chan I can find for this has people supporting Chief.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 12:00:54 PM | message detail
4chan loves the original FF. I'm positive a lot of Battletoads' rallied votes went to FF1.

Considering that they were trying to get Battletoads over Final Fantasy and that Battletoads only got about 3k votes according to SBAllen I'm sure that Final Fantasy got a negligible difference.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
ffmasterjose | Posted 1/27/2010 12:01:14 PM | message detail
I'm all for a rally for Spy. Heck if it could beat the odds and get him over MC then my Ryu > Chief in R2 is practically guaranteed!

Go Spy!

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20/23 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VIII
NP: Ryu Hayabusa > Crash Bandicoot | Master Chief > Spy
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 12:01:51 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #443
4chan loves the original FF. I'm positive a lot of Battletoads' rallied votes went to FF1.

Considering that they were trying to get Battletoads over Final Fantasy and that Battletoads only got about 3k votes according to SBAllen I'm sure that Final Fantasy got a negligible difference.


3k votes here would have chief at an easy doubling.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/27/2010 12:03:21 PM | message detail

From: KanzarisKelshen | Posted: 1/27/2010 2:57:54 PM | #441
Y'know, if 4chan is rallying and not doing much, I'm feeling proud of GameFAQS and how it doesn't roll over as easily as Gamespot. Everyone wins, it seems: Chief gets to be better than he looks, Spy gets to go out with pride, and we all get to lol at Gamespot for being so bad at policing their own polls.


People proxy-stuffed the Gamespot polls, it wasn't exactly a legit rally.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 12:04:29 PM | message detail
3k votes here would have chief at an easy doubling.

Looking at the updater the time where Spy was cutting percent like crazy the poll got 4k votes, so I'm sure it's a lot less than 3k.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
Seginustemple | Posted 1/27/2010 12:04:58 PM | message detail
I'm all for a rally for Spy. Heck if it could beat the odds and get him over MC then my Ryu > Chief in R2 is practically guaranteed!

He's five thousand votes down brah, not to burst your bubble but nobody has ever come close to that massive a comeback
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 12:05:19 PM | message detail
its 3 PM, so chief has no excuse now. he better start getting big percentage gains.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/27/2010 12:07:05 PM | message detail
Come back 3 hours later and Chief went nowhere. Hell we went down.

Chief I am disappoint.
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