GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 803
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 9:04:22 AM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #148 Chiefs board vote + massive asv is a good recipe to jump from the board vote Though to be fair, when I said 70% he was at 63% and climbing. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/27/2010 9:04:24 AM | message detail |
Well Chief probably ends with 65 or so at least. Not bad enough to make his match against Ryu interesting. --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 9:04:49 AM | message detail |
This seems to be stabilizing. Spy wrecked the board vote, which was then canceled out by the bracket votes, and...here we are. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:04:53 AM | message detail |
From: The n00b Avenger | #152 Still overestimation, likely. Sora's ASV > Chief's, by the way --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/27/2010 9:04:58 AM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 1/27/2010 12:03:59 PM | #149 ...Best ASV of all time? KP, you just lost a ton of respect. I mean, that MIGHT make sense if you said "best ASV of all time relative to character strength" or something, but...seriously? --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 9:05:00 AM | message detail |
Well
I'll say this: 70% is certainly out of reach right about now. Also,
Spy/Crash seems to be debatable to most people, so.. I'd say both guys
have done around expected so far... --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 9:05:35 AM | message detail |
From: KanzarisKelshen | #155 What in the world did you think I meant? --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
KingBartz | Posted 1/27/2010 9:05:36 AM | message detail |
Ryu Hayabusa 74.80% not bad predicting, all the perfects got the match too. --- Contest score: 19/22 Today's picks: Ryu Hayabusa & Master Chief |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:05:46 AM | message detail |
And
I think people are really underestimating Crash because of how bad he
used to be. I really don't think he's that bad anymore. You have to
throw away any results before 2005 because that was before the site
shift. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/27/2010 9:05:47 AM | message detail |
Score-Brackets-% Right 22------9------------100.0000000 21------90----------97.7777778 20------429--------92.3076923 19------1039------86.7179981 18------2137------83.9026673 17------3263------79.2828685 16------4103------77.1874238 15------4032------74.6527778 14------3507------72.4265754 13------2700------69.9629630 12------1753------69.2527096 11------1080------68.3333333 10------614--------66.2866450 9--------292--------65.0684932 8--------185--------63.2432432 7--------91----------53.8461538 6--------43----------32.5581395 5--------30----------30.0000000 4--------30----------13.3333333 3--------23----------8.6956522 2--------12----------8.3333333 1--------33----------3.0303030 0--------73----------0.0000000 Nothing really special today either. 2 people fell off the Top 50 today. Sandyoso and alexcri90 thought Crash could take down Ryu Hayabusa. --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..." |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:05:49 AM | message detail |
Didn't SSBM beat Halo and KH with the ASV in the games contest? Nothing wrong with saying Ike has a claim to the best ASV ever. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/27/2010 9:05:51 AM | message detail |
I'll choose this as a sign that Spy has legit strength! All aboard the Heavy > Roxas train! --- Not Wylvane |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 9:06:21 AM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #154 you think projecting 4.5% from the board vote for a guy with a bad board vote and an amazing asv is overestimation ... ? --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/27/2010 9:06:33 AM | message detail |
I had the first vote for the Chief. Bad start for the Chief, but GAME FUEL should give him the power to rise up to around 66% by the end of the match to make my Oracle look good. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:07:07 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #161 KH and Halo don't seem to have as great of a day vote as Sora and Chief though, for whatever the reason. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 9:07:16 AM | message detail |
People are really overestimating how much Chief can rise here. The ASV isn't quite what it used to be. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:07:46 AM | message detail |
From: MyWorldIsCrono | #163 Yep. You seem to underestimate how much of an increase that is. If Chief jumps up to like 62%+ on this next update, then maybe. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 9:07:59 AM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #166 its mid day versus a board 8 fad character --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 9:08:00 AM | message detail |
Wow, I typed that comment when Chief was at like 63%. I had no idea Chief is barely above 60%. Well, I guess over-confident Chief backers are just clinging to dear life now. --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 9:08:27 AM | message detail |
Spy is a B8 fad character what --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:08:27 AM | message detail |
From: MyWorldIsCrono | #168 Sounds like Ike vs. Prinny to me! --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 1/27/2010 9:08:29 AM | message detail |
This needs to be legit Spy strength so my Heavy > Roxas blunder ends up not being a blunder. Go Spy! |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:08:35 AM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3489&type=2&seconds=60&max=0 Actually, SSBM/KH was on a weekend I think, so it's inconclusive when talking about ASV power, but here is the graph for SSBM/Halo. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/27/2010 9:09:02 AM | message detail |
Well
you count on Master Chief jumping nearly a percent just within the next
10 minutes so, going from like 61.5 or 62% to 65% through the course of
the entire match isn't all that implausible. Of course if he decides to go in the opposite direction or something in the first 15 minutes then it's a different story --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
yoshifan823 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:09:07 AM | message detail |
Dear Master Chief, My Oracle prediction is 66.66%. Get that, and stay there. love, Yoshifan --- Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? Guru winnah Explicit Content, that's quis. |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/27/2010 9:09:14 AM | message detail |
I
don't get why people would hate Crash before and suddenly like him now
that he's irrelevant. It's not like Pokemon or Master Chief, both of
which are still going strong today. Nobody even notices Crash's
underwhelming games anymore. He hasn't done anything worth noting since
the PS1. Why would he have a big fan base all of a sudden? Not to mention the horrible votals his match had. If anything, it shows Ryu H is not the vote drawer we think he is, and thus it only hurts his standing against the more well-known Master Chief. If Ryu H can't get votes at all from his character design, how is he going to beat someone established? --- Not Wylvane |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/27/2010 9:09:26 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 1/27/2010 12:05:49 PM | #161 But that's a mistake. The best ASV likely belongs to the most powerful contest entrant with the highest % jump during that timeframe, or, in other words, Link, most likely, and Sora after that. Ike PROBABLY does not pull in the same amount of % increase during that time of the day, though it might be debatable. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
yoshifan823 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:09:48 AM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #172 I'll take that. Sub-Zero > Heavy too. --- Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? Guru winnah Explicit Content, that's quis. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 9:10:19 AM | message detail |
hmm, maybe 63-64% is a better prediction for chief here --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 9:10:21 AM | message detail |
I don't get why people would hate Crash before and suddenly like him now that he's irrelevant. It's called a different site shift. Last time we saw Crash before 4-ways, the poll option was barely noticeable as well. In fact, a lot of mainstream characters have slowly come back to life in these things: Lara Croft, Scorpion, etc. --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:10:22 AM | message detail |
I
think the fact that Crash is no longer relevant probably means that
nobody really hates him anymore. He doesn't get anti-voted like he used
to, I figure. And there's nostalgia. Not a big increase for Chief there. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 9:10:41 AM | message detail |
From: KanzarisKelshen | #177 What in the world No one uses trends like that --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:11:07 AM | message detail |
And
yeah, even Lara Croft isn't as bad as she used to be either, likely for
the same reasons. In 2004, she got quadrupled by Samus. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/27/2010 9:11:09 AM | message detail |
Decent increase by MC, but is it enough to propel him to over 65%? --- Not Wylvane |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 9:11:36 AM | message detail |
From: Not_Wylvane | #184 Probably not. I was hoping about 1% at least. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:12:07 AM | message detail |
But
that's a mistake. The best ASV likely belongs to the most powerful
contest entrant with the highest % jump during that timeframe, or, in
other words, Link, most likely, and Sora after that. Ike PROBABLY does
not pull in the same amount of % increase during that time of the day,
though it might be debatable. Um, what? Percentage increase does not have to do with strength. If you're talking about ASV strength (and no one does), then it goes Link > Cloud > Sephiroth > Snake > Samus > etc. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:12:43 AM | message detail |
Oh,
and I told you guys you shouldn't be going around calling Chief >
Hayabusa a lock before we see Chief pulling his usual antics! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 9:13:01 AM | message detail |
So let's be generous and say MC finishes at say, 63/64%. Do we amount this to a Spy increase? --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/27/2010 9:13:05 AM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 1/27/2010 12:10:41 PM | #182 Well, there's two measuring sticks for "strongest ASV" as I see it: the literal version, AKA the one where a character scoops up the most votes out of every single ASV ever, and "strongest ASV in relation to character strength", where a character suddenly spikes WAY up during the ASV. Unless I'm missing something, Ike has VERY strong competition for the latter, and obviously is not in the running for the former. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 9:13:12 AM | message detail |
It mostly is a lock. Spy would beat Crash fairly easily. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 9:13:25 AM | message detail |
If
it was a night match I'd say Ryu H would be the favorite after this
match. Chief is doing worse on Spy then ARTHAS. Granted, Ryu H didn't
look good either, but still. Chief isn't outdoing a low midcard. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 9:13:28 AM | message detail |
Kan, look at what red sox just posted. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/27/2010 9:13:58 AM | message detail |
From: MarioSuperstar | #188 Spy has definitely boosted. TF2 and Steam in general are a lot more well known and liked than they were last year. Selling games for pennies will do that. <3 --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 9:14:21 AM | message detail |
Spy would beat Crash fairly easily. I still have problems accepting this for some reason. Win, sure, but 'fairly easy'? --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 9:14:31 AM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #190 ...Why? What did Spy do last year to make you think this? --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 9:14:37 AM | message detail |
55% is fairly easily to me! --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/27/2010 9:14:41 AM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 1/27/2010 12:13:28 PM | #192 If it is not percentage during the ASV compared to other hours, then what exactly are we discussing, then? Because I honestly don't see anything else you could use to give Ike claim to one of the most powerful ASV's ever. :-/ --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 9:14:43 AM | message detail |
From: MarioSuperstar | #194 I'd take Crash in a 55% win. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 9:14:57 AM | message detail |
Well,
there's two measuring sticks for "strongest ASV" as I see it: the
literal version, AKA the one where a character scoops up the most votes
out of every single ASV ever, and "strongest ASV in relation to
character strength", where a character suddenly spikes WAY up during
the ASV. Unless I'm missing something, Ike has VERY strong competition
for the latter, and obviously is not in the running for the former. No one has used trends in the former sense in years. And of course Ike has very strong competition for the latter, namely Master Chief, Sora, and pure Smash characters like Master Hand. It's perfectly reasonable to say that he's in the running for top ASV though. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/27/2010 9:15:12 AM | message detail |
GAME FUEL! Wow Chief, quite some jump there. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
