GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 803

TheCodeisBosco | Posted 1/26/2010 10:48:17 PM | message detail
Guess I gotta hope for strong showings by Kratos, Ryu and Gordon, then. I have all three of them making the division finals, and Gordon in particular doesn't seem to be the popular choice.

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VOTE FOR MISSINGNO.!
Characters who messed up my bracket: Shadow, Drake, Fawful, Liquid
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 1/26/2010 10:48:39 PM | message detail
So who voted for Crash?

*Raises hand*

>_>

DAT NOSTALGIA VOTE
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ZFS | Posted 1/26/2010 10:49:13 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero got this.

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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 1/26/2010 10:49:43 PM | message detail
I voted for Crash too. If it wasn't for Prinny, his match picture would be the best yet!

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VOTE FOR MISSINGNO.!
Characters who messed up my bracket: Shadow, Drake, Fawful, Liquid
Kotetsu534 | Posted 1/26/2010 10:50:47 PM | message detail
Picked Ryu. In cases where I have no preference, I pick whoever I played a game with them in last - in this case, NGS.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 10:52:24 PM | message detail
Voted for Hayabusa as a bracket vote. Haven't played a game featuring either one.
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machinegungeek | Posted 1/26/2010 11:00:43 PM | message detail
Voted Crash for nostalgia purposes.

Have 19/22, w/ Drake losing to WCC in Round 2, Wesker over Ken, and Liquid in round 3 (but Altair winning will screw over most serious brackets in this regard to w/e).

Worried about Kefka>Arthas, and Phoenix to round 3 (and I like Jecht...). Also, Falcon > Riku and Kratos (come on GoW3 hype...) > Sora. Yeah...
creativename | Posted 1/26/2010 11:01:01 PM | message detail
Setting Samus=Snake and using the Hayabusa:Zero ratio from round 1 last year, Hayabusa is expected to get 63.74% on Crash this match. Looks like I was wrong and Crash's 25% performance on Samus last year was indeed relevant. Interesting how Crash is now stronger than back in the day.

DAT NOSTALGIA VOTE

Nostalgia as in NES Ninja Gaiden nostalgia, oh yes.

Never played one of them thar newfangled XBox Ninja Gaiden games.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/26/2010 11:27:52 PM | message detail
Crash and Ryu are nearly even in Europe, and Ryu is only up 57% in Asia

Methinks Crash is gonna cut a lot of percentage over the dead hours
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Redtooth | Posted 1/26/2010 11:28:39 PM | message detail
Even as a huge proponent of Crash, voting and noming him diligently since 2k3, I refuse to believe he's gotten stronger, or can even get any stronger ever.

Obviously every other contestant simultaneously got weaker.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 11:29:42 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #059
Crash and Ryu are nearly even in Europe, and Ryu is only up 57% in Asia

Methinks Crash is gonna cut a lot of percentage over the dead hours


Crash's night vote isn't that great. He'll do better with the morning vote though, for sure.
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paulg235 | Posted 1/27/2010 12:19:08 AM | message detail
Crash is actually winning in the UK.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 1/27/2010 3:53:50 AM | message detail
Voted Hayabusa, but only for the totally awesome NES Ninja Gaiden games. I didn't really care for the new ones.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 1/27/2010 4:07:58 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3

This is absolutely hilarious.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/27/2010 4:44:24 AM | message detail
Crash's night vote isn't that great.

Although Ryu's night vote seems to suck even worse if his % is going down. Crash has already attempted to force in some cuts, but has failed in every attempt to cut Ryu. Crash managed to break 47% on one update so far and gotten several updates above 45%.
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 1/27/2010 5:00:23 AM | message detail
This is a pretty sad showing by Ryu Hayabusa. Unless Master Chief looks worse against Spy he makes the 3rd Round. Good thing I didn't take that upset.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1731

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 5:03:59 AM | message detail
Will you people stop pointing to that match. This is not 2004 Crash!
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 5:12:27 AM | message detail
Wow, this match is on pace for easily getting the lowest vote total of the contest.

What happened?
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Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 5:17:18 AM | message detail
Also what's with all of these 70% predictions for Sora against Midna when Ganondorf couldn't even get 59%?
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Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
Seginustemple | Posted 1/27/2010 5:36:59 AM | message detail
MIDNA LFF DUH

I have 19/22, Missed on Shadow, Wesker, and Liquid. I still think the Wesker upset choice was a smart move, even if it didn't pay off.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 5:40:06 AM | message detail
Midna made Mewtwo weaker? That's not exactly how it works.

Besides Midna in round 1 and Mewtwo in round 4 basically got about the same thing on Cloud, which is 25%, I guess a lot of people are jumping the Sora > Mario train if they think Sora can get 70%.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
Seginustemple | Posted 1/27/2010 5:43:07 AM | message detail
I was all sarcasming. Sora is the pretender, though I still respect his damn contest strength
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/27/2010 5:47:43 AM | message detail
We could see 2007 Midna and not 2008 Midna. I don't think Sora has trouble getting 70% in that case
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/27/2010 5:48:37 AM | message detail
Granted that was when TP was still young so there's a reason for her to grow but...

IT'S POSSIBLE
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/27/2010 5:54:18 AM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #073
We could see 2007 Midna and not 2008 Midna. I don't think Sora has trouble getting 70% in that case


There isn't a difference between the two! At least not a significant one.

But man, Hayabusa's percentage has dropped like crazy. Well done, ninja man.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/27/2010 5:54:27 AM | message detail
*wakes up*

Nice job Ryu

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/27/2010 5:58:42 AM | message detail
Whoa, Ryu is barely above 62%. LOL Ryu H > Chief backers.
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Seginustemple | Posted 1/27/2010 5:59:30 AM | message detail
MC put up seventy percent on Crash back in 04...MC has only increased since then so is it reasonable to say MC is a lock over Hayabusa
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/27/2010 6:05:27 AM | message detail
And now Ryu H falls below 62%. LOL
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 6:22:58 AM | message detail
We could see 2007 Midna and not 2008 Midna. I don't think Sora has trouble getting 70% in that case

2008 is more likely for reasons you've said, but even if it was 2007 Sora would struggle to hit 70%
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Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/27/2010 6:25:43 AM | message detail
Eh, she was barely better than Kratos A that year(which wa doubled by Alucard the next year)
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 6:27:24 AM | message detail
Match XXIV: (2) Master Chief vs. (15) Spy

Information

Name: Master Chief
Game/Series: Halo
Previous Contest: 2008
Performance: 3rd in round 3

Name: Spy
Game/Series: Team Fortress 2
Previous Contest: 2008
Performance: 4th in round 1

Analysis:

This is another example of a match that everyone knows who would win, but the percent the winner gets is a mystery. Master Chief matches have always been interesting to watch because of that though it would take a massive choking effort to lose this match.

One of the biggest things people are wondering about is whether or not Master Chief still suffers from anti-votes. It is harder to successfully anti-vote a character in four-ways than it is in one on one. While Halo is a bit more respected on GameFAQs the haters are still there, heck if 4chan wants to it could easily give Spy a respectable performance.

Spy isn’t weak either. He may have come in last in the previous contest, but his overall performance was decent. There’s no shame in getting doubled by Pikachu anymore and with Team Fortress 2 still being a popular game to play I don’t exactly see Spy rolling over dead here. If anything I feel that the game has rose in popularity since the previous contest.

I don’t see Master Chief blowing Spy out given his contest history. The way anti-votes work is that it gets the best results when the character is against a weak character, but as the opponent gets stronger it becomes more likely that the anti-voters would have voted for the opponent regardless that the character was Master Chief.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Master Chief > Spy

charmander6000’s Prediction: Master Chief wins, 63.61% - 36.39%

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Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 1/27/2010 6:32:31 AM | message detail
And Spy has the VALVE fanbase. Watch Valve make this contest its daddy.

GLaDOS doubles Fawful
Spy breaks 40% on MC
Heavy breaks 40% on Roxas (oh wait, Roxas isn't that strong to begin with, right? Then WHOSE IDEA WAS IT TO GIVE HIM A 5 SEED???)
Ellis upsets Shepard
Gordon breaks 60% on Peach

I just had to say it all.
charmander6000 | Posted 1/27/2010 6:37:17 AM | message detail
Not like Heavy is that strong in the first place. 25% on Kratos vs. 33% on Luigi plus a new game.
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Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
Seginustemple | Posted 1/27/2010 6:42:50 AM | message detail
Why would it make the contest it's daddy

you are bad at this
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Nomchan | Posted 1/27/2010 6:51:15 AM | message detail
20/22 here. Got screwed over by Drake (still can't believe this) and Liquid.

I also have Kefka > Arthas and I'm not that worried. The Dark Knight made evil clowns popular again, and the Dissidia boost will help nicely.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/27/2010 6:59:49 AM | message detail
I also have Kefka > Arthas and I'm not that worried. The Dark Knight made evil clowns popular again, and the Dissidia boost will help nicely.

Why? I can't help but think Chokefka is going to do what he does best. Mainly because I could never trust him to NOT make himself look like crap. Well, that, and I can't trust ANY FF6 character.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/27/2010 7:03:19 AM | message detail

From: Nomchan | Posted: 1/27/2010 9:51:15 AM | #086
20/22 here. Got screwed over by Drake (still can't believe this) and Liquid.

I also have Kefka > Arthas and I'm not that worried. The Dark Knight made evil clowns popular again, and the Dissidia boost will help nicely.


You should be. Kefka was a bomb as usual last year, while Arthas has been pretty decent in fourways, while Thrall put up 20% on Link, better than what Kefka could do. Factor in that Arthas>Thrall, and that he's getting a hype boost from finally becoming a boss you can fight around match time and things look pretty grim for Kefka.
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irriadin | Posted 1/27/2010 7:04:20 AM | message detail
20/22 and I have Kefka > Arthas, but I definitely am not resting easy over the decision. In fact, this may be a blowout 60-40 split in Arthas' favor.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/27/2010 7:10:18 AM | message detail
You know there's a problem when you're lagging quite far behind Sandal Vs. Weighted Companion Cube in vote totals.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/27/2010 7:11:25 AM | message detail
You should be. Kefka was a bomb as usual last year, while Arthas has been pretty decent in fourways, while Thrall put up 20% on Link, better than what Kefka could do. Factor in that Arthas>Thrall, and that he's getting a hype boost from finally becoming a boss you can fight around match time and things look pretty grim for Kefka.

Also, Kefka is to Square what DK is to Nintendo, GameFAQs contest-wise.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/27/2010 7:26:52 AM | message detail
Hayabusa is doubling Crash in North America and at 55% or lower everywhere else.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 1/27/2010 7:27:22 AM | message detail
We should see Kefka against Crash. AND WHOSE IDEA WAS IT TO GIVE KEFKA A 5 SEED??? HE'S NEVER DONE A THING WORTH SUCH???
MegatokyoEd | Posted 1/27/2010 7:27:30 AM | message detail
Hayabusa is doubling Crash in North America and at 55% or lower everywhere else.

I think that alone says how Xbox centric Ryu's strength is.
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KrahenProphet | Posted 1/27/2010 7:30:40 AM | message detail
AND WHOSE IDEA WAS IT TO GIVE KEFKA A 5 SEED???

Pretty sure SBAllen played around with the seeding quite a bit.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/27/2010 7:42:28 AM | message detail

From: Seginustemple | #078
MC put up seventy percent on Crash back in 04...MC has only increased since then so is it reasonable to say MC is a lock over Hayabusa


No, it isn't, because:

1) We haven't seen MC yet.
2) Crash today is still not Crash 2004. Even if MC ended up being the favorite, it wouldn't be because of 2004's performance. If you still think Chief can get 70%, you should worry about NOT having him over Mega Man at this point.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 7:56:42 AM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #059
Crash and Ryu are nearly even in Europe, and Ryu is only up 57% in Asia

Methinks Crash is gonna cut a lot of percentage over the dead hours


seems I was right... didnt expect THIS bad though!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/27/2010 7:59:21 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3752&region=EUR

and lol Crash winning in europe
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 1/27/2010 8:03:50 AM | message detail
Woah, Crash actually looks somewhat decent due to this being a night match!

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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/27/2010 8:09:04 AM | message detail
I'm not sure he'd look much worse in a day match either
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