GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 802

MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/26/2010 9:01:40 PM | message detail
Hm.. this would put Ryu Hayabusa right around....

... where he was in 1vs1?

Uh oh.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/26/2010 9:01:54 PM | message detail
anyone remember by "Obvious prediction" that peopel will be calling it for chief in the first 5 minutes?

well...
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Kamekguy | Posted 1/26/2010 9:01:59 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ZEuc81uD9I

Good job not looking like roadkill, Crash!
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paulg235 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:02:04 PM | message detail

From: Master Moltar | #299
this guy is gonna beat Chief, eh?


Certainly not. Ryu needs 70% here to have a good chance.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:02:13 PM | message detail
Hayabusa's rising now to make it more respectable.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
SHINE GET 64 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:02:38 PM | message detail
well I was more aughing at him losing to crash in those first few second

Of course I have Chief over Ryu so nothing to worry about
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 9:02:41 PM | message detail
You know, there was a part of me who wondered if Hayabusa was just a 4-way fluke. He got doubled by Dante in 2006, and all of a sudden, he's stronger than Riku and Roxas combined, and he can beat Zero? I dunno. Something felt "off" to me.

Maybe Crash is just stronger than he used to be though, but this isn't exactly an inspiring performance.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/26/2010 9:03:00 PM | message detail
He doesn't really NEED 70% or anything.
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bloodhawks return | Posted 1/26/2010 9:03:14 PM | message detail
now crash is falling, phew.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:03:17 PM | message detail
Again 70% is an impossible number for Hayabusa, no way is Crash that weak considering how well he did in the last two contests.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 9:03:19 PM | message detail
Man look at Ryu go

What in the world, Board 8. Voting for Crash?
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:03:21 PM | message detail
Over 64% we go and still rising fast. Maybe 70% isn't out of reach after all.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/26/2010 9:03:34 PM | message detail
well ryu h is looking quite a bit better now. still astonished Crash got such a strong board vote though..
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Lopen | Posted 1/26/2010 9:03:38 PM | message detail
Board vote favored Crash huh

You all make me sick!
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/26/2010 9:03:52 PM | message detail
XFD at thoughts of Ryu H > MC. This should be at least 70-30 for Ryu to have the slimmest of chances. I'd expect way higher for me to even be worried at all.

The day vote should bring Ryu H up though, and he should come up from this initial vote.
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CBVIII: 19/21 - 19 pts - Losses: Ocelot, Liquid
Day Pick:Zack Fair Night Pick: Ryu H
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:04:08 PM | message detail
Okay, I'm aware that Hayabusa has a bad board vote, but losing it to Crash? By like 5%? That's just weird.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/26/2010 9:04:11 PM | message detail
Since when did we care about Crash?
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:04:11 PM | message detail
The Fonz can't last that long.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
paulg235 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:04:14 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #308
He doesn't really NEED 70% or anything.


He doesn't have to get it, it just increases his chances. MC scored 70% on Crash 6 years ago.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:04:19 PM | message detail
go crash

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/26/2010 9:04:35 PM | message detail
I can't blame you guys for board voting Crash. Look at him, all stoked to even be back. First 1v1 match for him since 2004!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 9:05:03 PM | message detail
Can we please stop saying Hayabusa needs 70% as if a match from 2004 still means something?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/26/2010 9:05:33 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #322
Can we please stop saying Hayabusa needs 70% as if a match from 2004 still means something?


he would need to overperform from his 4way strength to give chief a match, though. so 70% isnt a bad mark to try to reach
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/26/2010 9:05:37 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #310
Again 70% is an impossible number for Hayabusa, no way is Crash that weak considering how well he did in the last two contests.


Not really, Crash sucks and is only getting worse.
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CBVIII: 19/21 - 19 pts - Losses: Ocelot, Liquid
Day Pick:Zack Fair Night Pick: Ryu H
Scott_Pilgrim | Posted 1/26/2010 9:05:41 PM | message detail
If Ryu need 70% on Crash what does Chief need on Spy?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 9:05:47 PM | message detail
Huh, Zack/Yuna surprisingly split. Only 56.41% for Zack.
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Master Moltar | Posted 1/26/2010 9:05:55 PM | message detail
what a 5 minute roller-coaster ride
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Ryu H. > Crash (20/22)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/26/2010 9:06:08 PM | message detail
Well considering this is the night vote and Hayabusa is going to miss out from his day vote, 63/64% is right around where he should get.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 1/26/2010 9:06:08 PM | message detail
He doesn't have to get it, it just increases his chances. MC scored 70% on Crash 6 years ago.

And Samus only scored 75% on him last contest. Guess which result is more relevant?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/26/2010 9:06:29 PM | message detail
Back on the leaderboard aw yeah

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/26/2010 9:06:30 PM | message detail

From: DaruniaTheGoron | #324
Not really, Crash sucks and is only getting worse.


The 25% he got on Samus in 2008 is a hell of a lot better than 30% on Chief in 2004.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/26/2010 9:06:38 PM | message detail
Ryu H is remarkably constant. He might finish with 65%.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/26/2010 9:06:40 PM | message detail

From: Scott_Pilgrim | #325
If Ryu need 70% on Crash what does Chief need on Spy?


a doubling.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:06:43 PM | message detail
Eh, I have no confidence in him beating Chief if he can't beat his 2004 number. Chief is probably stronger than he was then, and is supposed to suck at blowing anyone out. I don't understand why Crash wouldn't be weaker, but I guess why not.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Lopen | Posted 1/26/2010 9:07:13 PM | message detail
Look at the damage control.

I agree, let's forget that 2004 match. Cause Chief was never in danger from the star of Ninja Garden. Never.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:07:29 PM | message detail
No one can beat Chief unless they get 70% on Crash Bandicoot.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:07:50 PM | message detail
On the other hand, if this is a lack of confidence issue, let's just wait until Chief's had his say!
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/26/2010 9:08:23 PM | message detail
funny thing is, the 2003 chief beat felix by like 52%, then next year beat crash by 70%. He couldnt have been that strong back then, and Ryu H can't even outdo original Xbox Chief.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/26/2010 9:08:44 PM | message detail
Chief fans boasting = Chief loses to Spy tomorrow.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:08:48 PM | message detail
Based on the first 5 minutes my oracle prediction looks pretty great.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/26/2010 9:09:11 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
21------10----------90.0000000
20------109--------81.6513761
19------522--------78.3524904
18------1389------66.6666667
17------2679------62.4860022
16------3871------58.3311806
15------4393------56.6810835
14------3961------53.7490533
13------3171------52.8224535
12------2218------54.2831380
11------1389------53.2037437
10------830--------51.8072289
9--------410--------52.1951220
8--------232--------41.3793103
7--------118--------41.5254237
6--------58----------37.9310345
5--------35----------20.0000000
4--------32----------6.2500000
3--------22----------0.0000000
2--------13----------7.6923077
1--------33----------0.0000000
0--------73----------0.0000000

Despite the overall low prediction percentage, the top performs did very well. We only lost 1 perfects and over 80% of the -1s got the match right. On top of that we didn't lose any 0 brackets.

11 people fell off the Top 50 today. Mac_Arrowny, LiselTestify, Arioch8688, lolasdaddy, YummySamminch, nintendo_sp, nimbus0770, Riomalice, Tribaler, Emperata and Liltux27 did not have Zack beating Yuna.

1 person got it wrong and survived. Former second place edgewalker16 also did not have Zack beating Yuna.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/26/2010 9:09:21 PM | message detail

From: Lopen | #335
Look at the damage control.

I agree, let's forget that 2004 match. Cause Chief was never in danger from the star of Ninja Garden. Never.


I have Hayabusa > Chief, and my Oracle doesn't have Hayabusa breaking 70% here. Actually, he's almost exactly where I predicted him.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/26/2010 9:09:33 PM | message detail

From: Lopen | Posted: 1/27/2010 12:07:13 AM | #335
Look at the damage control.

I agree, let's forget that 2004 match. Cause Chief was never in danger from the star of Ninja Garden. Never.


I honestly can't tell if this is sarcasm, but people denying the Xbox hierarchy have flat-out never played Halo or new Ninja Gaiden. This is one of those "look at nothing but past stats, use no common sense" deals.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/26/2010 9:10:15 PM | message detail
LOL RYU H
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:10:31 PM | message detail
Ouch, that was a harsh hit.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 16/22 - Today's Winners: Ryu Hayabusa and Master Chief
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/26/2010 9:10:33 PM | message detail
Okay, we can officially call this a bad match for Ryu now.

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ExThaNemesis | Posted 1/26/2010 9:10:37 PM | message detail
I would gladly forsake the streak I have going on if it meant Chief would lose to Spy tomorrow.

Especially because Spy winning would give me hope for the ridiculous Heavy > Roxas pick I made.
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Lopen | Posted 1/26/2010 9:11:16 PM | message detail
Nah, Ulti, not sarcasm here. Like you said, very clear cut hierarchy.

If anything this is the Mario/Samus upset... though with less of stats favoring Ryu H and more people clinging to their hero Zero.
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nintendo girl | Posted 1/26/2010 9:11:25 PM | message detail
From: UltimaterializerX | #343
I honestly can't tell if this is sarcasm, but people denying the Xbox hierarchy have flat-out never played Halo or new Ninja Gaiden. This is one of those "look at nothing but past stats, use no common sense" deals.

Halo went even with KotOR. I'm not seeing a heirarchy here.
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Gotta be honest.
paulg235 | Posted 1/26/2010 9:11:28 PM | message detail
Crash is definitely doing a lot better than I estimated him to. And if this was a day match he'd possibly do better.
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