GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 800

Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/25/2010 5:51:41 PM | message detail
Zelda isn't even going to beat Travis Touchdown! NMH2 boost, baby!
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Not Wylvane
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 5:51:46 PM | message detail
huh been away for a couple hours, and Prinny has become pretty stable? Wow, the west coast kiddies must love him
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 1/25/2010 5:52:12 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #149
Zelda? Not a chance. Nintendo could release The Legend of Zelda: Zelda Goes to Kyoto, in which you play as Zelda and go around the world selling copies of Wii Fit and then trading the money for gold which you then deposit into Nintendo's giant gold pool in Kyoto, and Zelda would still win.


It would also be a better game than the last couple of Zelda installments, so that weren't hurt either.
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/25/2010 5:54:06 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | Posted: 1/25/2010 8:50:12 PM | #149
Zelda? Not a chance. Nintendo could release The Legend of Zelda: Zelda Goes to Kyoto, in which you play as Zelda and go around the world selling copies of Wii Fit and then trading the money for gold which you then deposit into Nintendo's giant gold pool in Kyoto, and Zelda would still win.


BEST. GAME. EVER.
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Jmast7 | Posted 1/25/2010 5:54:18 PM | message detail
No, no, no, Ike. You're supposed to keep increasing % the rest of the match to give me a decent Oracle for once. Don't make me sic the Black Knight on you. <_<
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Currently playing: FE8, Zelda: Spirit Tracks
Currently Watching: BSG: Season 3, LOST: Season 5 (rewatch)
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/25/2010 5:54:38 PM | message detail

From: G0EMONIMPACT | Posted: 1/25/2010 8:50:09 PM | #148
"You, beat me? YOU CAN'T EVEN HOLD A BOOK!" *Jecht shots Wright*


You mean ULTIMATE Jecht Shot in which Jecht hurls a ****ing boulder and nukes the ground.
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hellfire104 | Posted 1/25/2010 5:56:54 PM | message detail
Haha, based on Zack's match pic, he's going to slaughter Yuna.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb8/cb8-22.jpg

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Point Total: 18/20
My Bracket Says: Night: Megaman Day: Zack
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/25/2010 5:57:44 PM | message detail
That's the one Zack pic I don't like.

darn you hm
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hellfire104 | Posted 1/25/2010 5:58:57 PM | message detail
heck, the buster sword alone would beat Yuna. It should be buster sword V Yuna in this match. That's basically what it is anyway.
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Point Total: 18/20
My Bracket Says: Night: Megaman Day: Zack
voltch | Posted 1/25/2010 5:59:44 PM | message detail
HM has no taste in match pics.
I want happy zack, not I'll kill you to death Zack.
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Shakes Fist!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/25/2010 6:00:05 PM | message detail
There aren't that many good Zack pics.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/25/2010 6:01:19 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 1/25/2010 8:57:44 PM | #158
That's the one Zack pic I don't like.

darn you hm


It's his strongest pic by a long shot, though...and it provides an AWESOME contrast to the ultra-colorful Yuna pic.
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hellfire104 | Posted 1/25/2010 6:02:29 PM | message detail
regardless, bye bye yuna. Another 50% correct match. A lot of people will miss it regardless.
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Point Total: 18/20
My Bracket Says: Night: Megaman Day: Zack
red sox 777 | Posted 1/25/2010 6:02:54 PM | message detail
I love the contrast between the black and white Zack pic and the colorful Yuna pic. It brings out the style difference between FFVII and FFX very well.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
voltch | Posted 1/25/2010 6:03:04 PM | message detail
ya think?Moody looking Zack does look cool, I'll agree, but Zack for an FF lead is rather cheerful and smiles often, so like you know, casts dispel on the notion that FF is emo!!!!
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Shakes Fist!
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/25/2010 6:05:29 PM | message detail
Yeah, Zack is awesome precisely because he's so upbeat despite everything that happens to him. That picture makes him look like just another modern FF lead.

Which is probably good for his strength, but whatever. I want cheerful Zack!
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Mustache...and Green...
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voltch | Posted 1/25/2010 6:06:59 PM | message detail
if anything, Yuna should be the sad looking one, FFX felt like a funeral march in tone for so long.
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Shakes Fist!
ToadYoshi | Posted 1/25/2010 6:10:29 PM | message detail
I haven't posted much in these topics, but that hasn't stopped me from enjoying them greatly through the years. All you stats guys are fun to listen to, and your ability to constantly engage in interesting discussion is much appreciated. I think I speak for all lurkers in this topic when I say keep it up!
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redrocket | Posted 1/25/2010 6:52:43 PM | message detail
if anything, Yuna should be the sad looking one, FFX felt like a funeral march in tone for so long.

It literally was a funeral march for a while!


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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 6:53:25 PM | message detail
thats part of why Rikku is my favorite of the FFX cast. she's like the only one not constantly in the dumps
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 6:54:04 PM | message detail

From: ToadYoshi | #168
I haven't posted much in these topics, but that hasn't stopped me from enjoying them greatly through the years. All you stats guys are fun to listen to, and your ability to constantly engage in interesting discussion is much appreciated. I think I speak for all lurkers in this topic when I say keep it up!


Thanks! Glad you're being entertained by our incoherent ramblings.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
voltch | Posted 1/25/2010 7:11:57 PM | message detail
Are we really that fun to read?
Oh well if one person does, then yay?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 7:16:46 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #170
thats part of why Rikku is my favorite of the FFX cast. she's like the only one not constantly in the dumps


Oh, you mean Rikku and Tidus, too, right?

Oh wait, nevermind.
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General_Zimbad | Posted 1/25/2010 7:18:15 PM | message detail
But Rikku is smoking hot. This tends to help popularity a lot ;D
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voltch | Posted 1/25/2010 7:19:25 PM | message detail
having just played FFX, Rikku sure is jolly, except for when she's basically crying and real sad due to what's supposed to happen should you complete your journey.
Now i wonder how much of the game is about that...
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Shakes Fist!
General_Zimbad | Posted 1/25/2010 7:21:15 PM | message detail
On another note... What do you guys think the percentages will be for Cid vs Megaman?
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The first flame in sleepless skies
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 7:21:30 PM | message detail

From: General_Zimbad | #176
On another note... What do you guys think the percentages will be for Cid vs Megaman?


Cid with 50.00001%
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General_Zimbad | Posted 1/25/2010 7:26:22 PM | message detail
Haha, I hope so even though that would **** my bracket.
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The first flame in sleepless skies
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/25/2010 7:30:53 PM | message detail

From: ToadYoshi | Posted: 1/25/2010 9:10:29 PM | #168
I haven't posted much in these topics, but that hasn't stopped me from enjoying them greatly through the years. All you stats guys are fun to listen to, and your ability to constantly engage in interesting discussion is much appreciated. I think I speak for all lurkers in this topic when I say keep it up!


Why is this stuff only said in topics that end in "00".
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"MMOs are not good. Someone can always mess with how you're playing the game." -The Real Truth living up to his name
TheMightyPeanut | Posted 1/25/2010 7:32:42 PM | message detail
Congrats on 800 to all the stats guys. As another long time lurker I can say these topics have helped/entertained me many times over the years. And thanks in part to their help, I finally made it in the top 50 this year.

Also, I have...

Neku>Laharl
Kefka>Arthas

I'm not totally confident in either, but I think both can pull it out, especially Neku. I'm banking on casuals thinking Neku is from Kingdom Hearts to help push him over the top.
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voltch | Posted 1/25/2010 7:40:54 PM | message detail
This is feeling sooo creepy right now.
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Shakes Fist!
Biolizard28 | Posted 1/25/2010 7:43:39 PM | message detail
Did I REALLY just get modded for that post?

Keep drilling, mods, I'm sure you'll hit that new low eventually.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
Master Moltar | Posted 1/25/2010 8:07:07 PM | message detail
Mushroom Division: Round 1 - Match 22 – (3) Mega Man vs. (14) Cid Highwind

Moltar’s Analysis

Mega Man
“At least I don’t look as bad as Sonic these days.”

Cid
“Man, I wish I could have faced Sonic instead.”

Hey it’s a Noble Niner. Hey it’s a 14-seed. Mega Man wins easily yawwwwwwww-

Wait…Mega Man? And he’s facing…a FF7 character? Cid? Hmm, this could actually be interesting! Mega’s a character who has, like just about half the field, gotten weaker over the years. 2008 wasn’t a great year for the Blue Bomber, as he was taken down by a Cube (yeah yeah Zero was in the poll too I know). Still, MM (Mega Man) is definitely on the weak end of the NN (Noble Nine), and many near-elites have a very good shot at taking him out. Hell, Sora broke 45% on him in 2006. Who knows what Vincent/Ganon/Squall could do to him today?

While Cid is a newcomer, he’s got the FF7 name attached to him. Everything FF7 looks good in these contests. If he’s at Vincent level, he can outright win this match. However, I don’t believe he’ll be that high. During the vote-in poll, he matched what Aerith did. If you put Cid there, he’ll get close to Mega Man, but it won’t be enough.

Summary: Mega Man should win this, but the margin of victory will be slim. If Cid is as strong as the Tifa’s and Aerith’s of FF7 land, then he’s looking to break 40% and does have a good shot at breaking 45%. If he can hang with Vincent, then watch out Mega Man!

Moltar’s Bracket: Mega Man > Cid

Moltar’s Prediction: MM: 56% - Cid: 44%



Lopen’s Analysis

Cid Highwind I'm not too sure on. I don't really see him being on the level of the Vincents and Tifas (who would arguably still be beaten by Mega Man pretty easily regardless) of the world. He's probably got some decent strength in him, but I think today (and tomorrow) is when we'll see that FFVII is indeed not infallable.

I dunno, I guess I could look up some favorite FF7 character polls, but I'm pretty sure Cid typically placed the highest of the people we haven't seen in the contest, but decisively below all of them (except Aeris). Perhaps my memory is off on that.

Anyway, it's an interesting match, but not one there is much to say on. Mega Man's NOBLE NINE, and unless you think Cid's on the level of Vincent or Mega Man's dropped again, Mega Man should win easily. Not to say this is impossible, but it's not something I'm banking on. I'm thinking Cid does about as well as Tidus did back in the day. Tidus would probably beat Cid. AGH STOP WITH THE FRUIT OUCH.

Lopen's prediction:
Mega Man with 63.09%



Transience’s Analysis

This here is a dangerous match. If Cid were a more known quantity -- say, select other FF7 characters -- this match would get a LOT of talk. We're talking about the most beloved name in the Final Fantasy series, and a guy that's pretty popular on his own, against Mega Man, a guy that's been on the downswing for the last five years. It's a classic trap match.

I don't believe in Cid though, not like I do Tifa or Vincent. There's two ways to look at side characters from FF7:

1.) there's a clear hierarchy; Tifa and Vincent at the top, Aeris in the middle, and guys like Cid or Red XIII at the bottom.
2.) any FF7 character would be able to put up Aeris numbers.

I think that 2 makes a lot of sense, weirdly enough. Zack looks to be at Aeris's level if not higher and we're talking about a NPC with a PSP exclusive spinoff game. That's not exactly the best pedigree for a contest juggernaut, but Zack looks pretty good despite this.

We'll get to him tomorrow though.
Master Moltar | Posted 1/25/2010 8:07:22 PM | message detail
Cid's only contest performance was that vote-in poll where, despite never making a character battle and being more of a fan-favourite than Aeris, he still lost to her. That doesn't inspire a lot of hope, and you need a lot of believe when you're talking about picking an unknown over a Noble Nine guy. Cid definitely doesn't inspire confidence. If this were Sonic I would think long and hard about it, but Mega Man hasn't shown that pathetic level that Sonic's slipped to recently. He's close, but he's not QUITE there yet.. so I'll feel safe picking Mega Man.

transience's prediction: Mega Man with 56.11%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Fantastical writeup coming soon!

Ngamer Says: Mega Man > Cid, 57.11%



Kleenex’s Analysis

If there's any match I'm really upset about in the bracket, it's this one. There's plenty other places in this bracket where Cid could have really messed some guys up. Hell, even putting him against Sonic could have caused some craziness. Cid's really wasted here, and it's kinda disappointing. Still, Cid is an FF7 character, and as we all know, being from FF7 guarantees you upper-midcarder status at least. Unless you're put against Cloud first round. I mean, let's not mince words here, Zolom totally got screwed.

Anyway, Cid probably puts up pretty solid numbers against Mega Man in this match. Could even give him a scare for all we know, Mega Man didn't exactly look impressive last year. Doubt he's on Sonic levels though, at the very least Mega Man has MM9 and more MM10 coming up! So yeah, summary: Mega Man wins, Cid does well, but is ultimately wasted on this match. Doubt we ever see Cid show up again because of this, but oh well.


Bracket: Mega Man
Favorites: Mega Man
Prediction: Mega Man with 57.77%



Red Sox’s Analysis

Our 4th Noble Niner steps up to the plate to defend the Noble Nine against the first threat to it of the year. Cid is an FFVII character, and it seems merely being a likable and important character in that game is sufficient to make you a high midcarder or even a near-elite. As an unknown, Cid could potentially be as strong as Vincent or weaker than Aeris, although both of those are unlikely. The vote-in poll suggests that Cid is about equal to Aeris, although it isn’t really reliable, and my guess based on intuition alone is that he is a step above Aeris and below Tifa. Megaman has been one of the 3 vulnerable members of the Noble Nine since 2006: however, he has not had to face any near-elite challenger since Sora in 2006, and has never had to faced the stronger near-elites like Vincent and Squall. As of 2008, Megaman and Crono were probably quite close, with Sonic being by far the most vulnerable member of the Noble Nine. Megaman and Crono were probably also very close to the top members of the near-elite, namely Vincent and Squall. As such, the Blue Bomber should be able to handle Cid without too much trouble here.

Nonetheless, don’t be surprised if Cid gives him a scare, or even if he wins. As a newcomer, Cid inherently has a good sized range, and when you add that to year-over-year variation and how Megaman and Vincent looked like equals in 2008, the upset is very far from being out of the realm of possibility here.

Prediction: Megaman with 54.50%
Upset Potential: 20%
Upper Bound: Megaman with 61%
Lower Bound: Cid with 52%



Guest’s Analysis - Xcarvenger

ohh a fallen icon versus an FF7 character. such an exciting setup!

Too bad no one likes Cid. He may be a badass and has the best character theme ever, but he lost to Aerith in that vote-in poll, and losing to Aerith who almost lost to Lara Croft once upon a time isn't exactly such an encouraging precedent for our good ol' Cid !
Master Moltar | Posted 1/25/2010 8:08:14 PM | message detail
Well, what I was basically saying is that Cid is kinda low on the FF7 totem pole. Sure he'll get the minimum 24% FF7 votes in any poll no matter what, but he ain't really as well-known as an optional character from said game. In fact, we needed a huge NRT rally from the board to push him into... well NOT the contest, but just into the vote-in poll! Pretty sure he'll miss the contest without these polls too... I am a firm believer that there are quite a few people out there (around 50 maybe including yours truly this year ^_~) that would always nominate ALL FF7 playable characters into the contest (plus Seph and recently Zack minus Cait Sith because no one likes Cait Sith), and any big board rally like what Cid got would have been enough to push any FF7 PC into the contest assuming no character limit from a game (maybe not Barret though because we are on RacistFAQs - I mean he's not even in the database!)

ANYWAY... both best times are during the night, except Mega Man stops being useful after 3 hours because the Europe hates Mega Man and kinda loves their FFs (case in point: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3284&region=EUR). When the Europe votes kick in high gear (aka "Europe ASV" which is from 4AM till around the BSV), Cid will go about even with Mega Man with Mega Man having a slight advantage in the Morning Vote due to FF7 Anti-Votes from Americans. But I will make a guarantee here that Cid WILL win the 4th hour easily!

So let's see here: 24% for FF7 THA BEST!!1!! + 10% for falling icon + 10% for Europe vote + 2% Asia vote + 2% Highwind factor + 2% badass factor + 1% Square boostTM - 3% bracket votes - 1.5% pic factor - 1% Noble Nine factor - 1% top option factor

And we end up with... Mega Man with 54.5%

That doesn't make sense? Fine! I will use LOL X-stats from 2007 then. Mega Man is expected to get 63.72% on Aerith, but Mega Man is getting weaker as the 2008 Contest indicated and he has to look forward to that dreaded Europe votes, so 55%-60% range would be most likely unless MM has fallen further than anticipated (which I actually anticipated tbqh). Coupled this with FF7 board vote which is the worst thing ever (CATS would have beaten Cloud during this time!), if Mega Man does not have over 60% by the first freeze, he is in HUUUUGE trouble~



Crew Consensus: Mega Man better watch out, because Cid will probably do well here.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 8:09:08 PM | message detail
Cid is the main character for a short while of the game. Hell, he's a MC longer then Tifa is. I think people are underestimating him; plus the whole Cid in every FF thing should help him.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/25/2010 8:15:42 PM | message detail
With all these lowball picks, watch Mega Man get 65%.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/25/2010 8:16:59 PM | message detail
I think Megaman is going to clobber Cid with the board vote. It's Megaman who has an excellent early vote against an FFVII character, and Megaman has both brackets and Noble Niner status on his side. Crono/Vincent 2007 comparisons will be kind of relevant tonight, since Megaman and Crono's trends don't really diverge much until the ASV.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/25/2010 8:19:23 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #187
With all these lowball picks, watch Mega Man get 65%.


Yeah, Mega Man crushing Cid would be the only surprising result at this point. Hell, I don't think many people would find Cid > Mega Man surprising at this rate.
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Not Wylvane
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 8:20:09 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #188
I think Megaman is going to clobber Cid with the board vote. It's Megaman who has an excellent early vote against an FFVII character, and Megaman has both brackets and Noble Niner status on his side. Crono/Vincent 2007 comparisons will be kind of relevant tonight, since Megaman and Crono's trends don't really diverge much until the ASV.


honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if the board vote looks good for Cid. I hope I'm not the only one who wants to see the noble nine broken.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/25/2010 8:27:24 PM | message detail
That 2007 Crono/Vincent match still astounds me. Crono had 60.59% at the freeze; how on earth did he lose?
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 1/25/2010 8:27:40 PM | message detail
Male FFVII characters having a horrible board vote has pretty much been a rule, so I wouldn't expect it to change here.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/25/2010 8:28:36 PM | message detail
If Megaman is only 60-40 at the freeze, CID WINS
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 8:29:26 PM | message detail
so how badly would cid be losing for you to still consider him to have a shot at the freeze?
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/25/2010 8:29:42 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | Posted: 1/25/2010 11:27:24 PM | #191
That 2007 Crono/Vincent match still astounds me. Crono had 60.59% at the freeze; how on earth did he lose?


Because Crono is horrible and Vincent rocks.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 8:29:44 PM | message detail
Within 47%.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
red sox 777 | Posted 1/25/2010 8:31:33 PM | message detail
Uh, I wouldn't count Cid out if it was 58-42. Anything less than 55-45 and I'd consider Cid the favorite.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/25/2010 8:32:12 PM | message detail
If Mega Man has 55% I'll be worried. 55-60% I'll feel all right, 60%+ I'll feel good.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/25/2010 8:34:50 PM | message detail
Actually, Zack gained 9% on MMX from the freeze to noon last year, and MMX didn't have brackets or Noble Niner mystique working for him, so I won't feel 100% confident in Megaman even if he has 60% at the freeze.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
AsurasKordoth | Posted 1/25/2010 8:35:00 PM | message detail
Ci

From: Not_Wylvane | #151
Zelda isn't even going to beat Travis Touchdown! NMH2 boost, baby!


Hmm forgot NMH2 is coming out soon, Travis is definitely going to overperform but I won't be holding out for a victory.
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~AK~ // Merc