GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 799

Karma Hunter | Posted 1/25/2010 11:28:39 AM | message detail
I had a ton of faith in Altair to thrash after his R1 clinic last year and he failed to do much of anything. Vivi, whatever else you can say about him, has been consistent - unlike Liquid. That alone has to leave the door open.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 11:29:17 AM | message detail
And then Altair got 60% on Liquid Snake.

Come on, I know there's some crazy x-stat logic that can help me here. Something to do with A>B>C>A inequalities

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/25/2010 11:30:21 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 1/25/2010 2:29:17 PM | #402
Come on, I know there's some crazy x-stat logic that can help me here. Something to do with A>B>C>A inequalities


Simple. You be like me and pretend 4ways never happened.

Vivi wins.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 11:30:35 AM | message detail
some ffix fan you are to not believe in either vivi or zidane
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 1/25/2010 11:30:36 AM | message detail
Liquid is one of the most unreliable and inconsistent characters we've ever had in these things. I don't think Altair's 60% ownage of him says anything about Altair/Vivi.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 11:30:50 AM | message detail
But Vivi's best matches were in 4-ways

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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/25/2010 11:32:44 AM | message detail
If we assume Villains Contest Liquid = 2k10 day Liquid and 2k4 Vivi = 2k10 day Vivi (and that Vivi/Sephiroth had no SFF) and that Villains Contest Sephiroth (pre-semis) = 2k4 Sephiroth, Vivi beats Altair by a tiny bit.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 11:33:34 AM | message detail
That sounds perfectly reasonable

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 11:40:27 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #398
So, is anyone giving Vivi a sliver of a chance next round? I mean...I'm not, but maybe someone can convince me to be unreasonable!

=(


I just have a feeling that we're letting Altair do to us what he did last year. Awesome round 1 performance, dud round 2 performance.

GrrrrLIQUIIDDDDDD
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 11:42:09 AM | message detail
Also, Yuna doubled Liquid in 2007. If you assume Vivi = Yuna (or close enough), Vivi wins easily!

It also means Yuna creams Zack tomorrow!
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"I can set you free, mate."
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Karma Hunter | Posted 1/25/2010 11:44:04 AM | message detail
waitwaitwaitwait

back up

Zack's match is tomorrow?

Zack UNFair?

And no one sought fit to remind me!?!? Rejoice and despair, ye mortals, your dooming savior is at hand!
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G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 1/25/2010 11:47:17 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #354
I seriously doubt most of Prinny's votes are coming from Disgaea fans.


I've never even played the game, but Prinny is too awesome not to vote for, dood.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/25/2010 11:47:20 AM | message detail
Assuming Vivi = Altair, DK beats Liquid by a bit, which I have no trouble buying. The problem is, both winners were graced with their best 12 hour period. In Round 2, Altair gets the advantage again.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 11:49:36 AM | message detail
Well, it is a weekend match. Although that didn't seem to help Liquid much.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/25/2010 11:49:44 AM | message detail

From: Karma Hunter | #411
waitwaitwaitwait

back up

Zack's match is tomorrow?

Zack UNFair?

And no one sought fit to remind me!?!? Rejoice and despair, ye mortals, your dooming savior is at hand!




It's probably why the next batch of pics are late. If Zack/Yuna isn't one of Round 1's coolest pictures, Bacon did something wrong.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 11:49:58 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #414
Well, it is a weekend match. Although that didn't seem to help Liquid much.


The only thing the weekend match did was let Altair laugh at Liquid's nonexistent night vote.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/25/2010 11:57:55 AM | message detail
Even after this contest, Liquid getting his doors blown off while all the other MGS characters performed well enough will make absolutely no sense.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 11:59:54 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #417
Even after this contest, Liquid getting his doors blown off while all the other MGS characters performed well enough will make absolutely no sense.


Sounds like another year of Liquid being Liquid. Maybe he's not so far removed from the guy who only got 55% on Lavos after all.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 12:00:52 PM | message detail
Okay, its 3 o'clock

Ike has no excuse to not start pulling in the 70% updates now.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 12:01:28 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #419
Okay, its 3 o'clock

Ike has no excuse to not start pulling in the 70% updates now.


Other than realistic expectations anyway
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Karma Hunter | Posted 1/25/2010 12:01:34 PM | message detail
Eh, it depends. If Altair were to blow out Vivi in the same way, then it might line up better with pre-contest expectations. Alternatively, Red/The Boss/Big Boss/Snake could end up laying duds in their matches to come, which would more or less confirm the same thing. Remember, aside from Liquid, the best established competition an MGS character has faced so far has been Miles Edgeworth.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 12:01:48 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3745

http://doctorwendigo.files.wordpress.com/2009/07/big-bosses-mgs1-liquid-snake1.jpg

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3747

SNAAAAAAAAAAAKE

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 12:02:09 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #420
Other than realistic expectations anyway


realistic expectations had him pulling in 70% updates before the asv, then 75% once we got the asv.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 12:03:03 PM | message detail
Albion Land must be a happy place, filled with morphine

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 12:03:46 PM | message detail
expecting ike to put up 70%+ on a disgaea side character isnt unrealistic.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 12:05:34 PM | message detail
realistic expectations had him pulling in 70% updates before the asv, then 75% once we got the asv.

Pre-match, yeah. We're not pre-match anymore.
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swirIdude | Posted 1/25/2010 12:06:04 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #424
Albion Land must be a happy place, filled with morphine


And Warning_Crazy.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 12:06:19 PM | message detail
And funny enough, if you switch Big Boss and Liquid's places in the brackets, we probably have both of them in round 2!
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/25/2010 12:06:36 PM | message detail
Prinny wins the ASV imo.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/25/2010 12:07:14 PM | message detail
Also, in general, the ASV has been pretty diluted this contest anyway.
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 1/25/2010 12:07:36 PM | message detail
Ike is doing much better than I expected ( he might even get 64%) consider how awesome Prinny looks in his picture. To bad he didn't get a higher seed and faced someone like Lloyd or any other Tales character. I mean how can anyone vote against something like Prinny?

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 12:08:27 PM | message detail

From: KleenexTissue50 | #430
Also, in general, the ASV has been pretty diluted this contest anyway.


Which means good things for Hayabusa > Chief!
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/25/2010 12:09:36 PM | message detail
If Chief loses that match it's not gonna be because of a diluted ASV! It's gonna be because he sucks!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 12:10:02 PM | message detail
Why did I bank on Master Chief again

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/25/2010 12:10:26 PM | message detail
Which is exactly what I'm banking on!

*rocks out to Halo theme*
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 12:10:30 PM | message detail
Oh right, I forgot to post the chart from the night match.

Time | Zidane | Claptrap | Votes
0:05 | 66.02% | 33.98% | 1436
1:00 | 63.40% | 36.60% | 9887
2:00 | 63.93% | 36.07% | 5792
3:00 | 63.09% | 36.91% | 4161
4:00 | 64.33% | 35.67% | 3056
5:00 | 67.25% | 32.75% | 2446
6:00 | 68.80% | 31.20% | 2311
7:00 | 64.62% | 35.38% | 2900
8:00 | 64.05% | 35.95% | 3499
9:00 | 66.20% | 33.80% | 3834
10:00 | 63.71% | 36.29% | 4222
11:00 | 64.72% | 35.28% | 4351
12:00 | 62.99% | 37.01% | 4093

Don't mess with the Square night vote. Claptrap at least finished with his best hour, and Zidane died at sunrise, as expected, except for a weird 9th hour.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 12:10:49 PM | message detail

From: KleenexTissue50 | #433
If Chief loses that match it's not gonna be because of a diluted ASV! It's gonna be because he sucks!


Betting on this usually pays off, too!
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/25/2010 12:11:05 PM | message detail
Chief only loses when everyone picks him.

As soon as people give up and Lopen's the only one supporting the dude, he tears up the bracket.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 1/25/2010 12:11:53 PM | message detail
I've been burned by Master Chief and Ryu H both for the last two (three for MC!) contests and I still took MC there. I don't even know what's wrong with me.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 12:13:07 PM | message detail
Chief only loses when everyone picks him.

[Who Picked Whom]
Master Chief - 194 (85.46%)
Ryu Hayabusa - 29 (12.78%)
Spy - 4 (1.76%)
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Biolizard28 | Posted 1/25/2010 12:14:20 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #440
[Who Picked Whom]
Master Chief - 194 (85.46%)
Ryu Hayabusa - 29 (12.78%)
Spy - 4 (1.76%)


This bodes well for me!
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/25/2010 12:14:36 PM | message detail
Looks like he's losing to Spy in Round 1!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 12:14:39 PM | message detail
I have this theory that involves MC losing to Spy in the first round but I don't feel like sharing it because it's too awesome

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 12:15:27 PM | message detail

From: KleenexTissue50 | #442
Looks like he's losing to Spy in Round 1!


I'm okay with this!
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/25/2010 12:15:29 PM | message detail
Remember when TF2 was on sale for $2.50 and the entire board bought it?

Spy wins the board vote.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/25/2010 12:16:33 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #445
Remember when TF2 was on sale for $2.50 and the entire board bought it?

Spy wins the board vote.


This is my theory, except replace 'entire board' with 'everyone on the internet' and 'board vote' with 'the match'

Also MC is gonna get antivoted like the punk he is!

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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/25/2010 12:16:39 PM | message detail
Remember when Master Chief existed?

Spy wins the board vote.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/25/2010 12:16:50 PM | message detail
If Chief loses to Spy, I'm done with these contests xD
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G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 1/25/2010 12:17:02 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #443
I have this theory that involves MC losing to Spy in the first round but I don't feel like sharing it because it's too awesome


I demand you post it
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/25/2010 12:17:16 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #448
If Chief loses to Spy, I'm done with these contests xD


Time to rally for Spy then
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