GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 797

voltch | Posted 1/24/2010 7:22:52 AM | message detail
Prinny kinda doubles up as a mascot though, but there's so few disgaea fans on the site that he'll explode once ike tosses him.
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Shakes Fist!
charmander6000 | Posted 1/24/2010 7:30:11 AM | message detail
Match XVIII: (8) Big Boss vs. (9) Miles Edgeworth

Information

Name: Big Boss
Game/Series: Metal Gear
Previous Contest: 2008
Performance: 3rd in round 2

Name: Miles Edgeworth
Game/Series: Phoenix Wright
Previous Contest: 2008
Performance: 3rd in round 1

Analysis

Sometimes it amazes me that Phoenix Wright characters can get massive nomination support years after they made their first splash on to the gaming scene. This is Edgeworth’s third contest and if the previous two were any indication his time in this contest will be a short one. Big Boss on the other hand surprised the board in the amount that he won by against Kirby before Raiden caused him to be eliminated in the following round.

I think the big question on everybody’s mind is whether or not Metal Gear underwent a cooling off period after their steroid induced run. Altair winning wasn’t as surprising, but by how much he won took even the Altair supporters by surprised. Big Boss is still decently strong with his Naked Snake picture if you look at his performance against Mario in 2007. Heck with how weak Edgeworth is I would take the Big Boss that was crushed by Auron in 2005 over him.

It seems like we’re heading for a slow stretch of matches, but the last time I said that we got Knuckles/Cecil and Ken/Wesker. Big Boss should comfortably get the doubling, but a tripling may be a bit much for the guy, remember this isn’t Solid Snake; he’s just the original clone.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Big Boss > Miles Edgeworth

charmander6000’s Prediction: Big Boss wins, 69.47% - 30.53%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 11/16 - Today's Winners: Mario and Big Boss
vcharon | Posted 1/24/2010 7:38:09 AM | message detail
If Aerith's got a good shot at Sonic, then she's got a good shot at Auron, which I don't think many of us believe she does.

Assuming she did have a good shot at Sonic (I don't believe she does), that wouldn't mean she could ever have a shot against Auron obviously. Auron will put a SFF beatdown on her, because most people that would vote for Aeris are Final Fantasy fans and most of those people much prefer Auron.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/24/2010 7:41:09 AM | message detail
People need to forget the Aerith that we use to know back in 2002/2003. That Aerith wouldn't lose to Zelda 57/43.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 11/16 - Today's Winners: Mario and Big Boss
voltch | Posted 1/24/2010 7:46:30 AM | message detail
Aeris just needs some more action scenes, she's just there in all the new material, nice and all, but she doesn't kick butt.
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Shakes Fist!
Master Moltar | Posted 1/24/2010 7:49:05 AM | message detail
Mushroom Division: Round 1 - Match 18 – (8) Big Boss vs. (9) Miles Edgeworth

Moltar’s Analysis

Big Boss
Depending on the picture, this guy is either a beast or a midcarder.

Miles
Miles is bound to be weak no matter what picture he gets.

What a boring 8 vs. 9 seed match. If anything, Big Boss is underseeded and Miles is overseeded. Oh well, Big Boss has easily got this.

Let’s see what kind of picture he’s getting so I can finalize my percentage.



Yep he looks like Solid. It was with a picture like this he was able to straight-up beat Kirby last year. No way is Miles going to be that strong, and he’s even going to be a step below Phoenix (who BB beat easily in 2007).

Moltar’s Bracket: Big Boss > Miles Edgeworth

Moltar’s Prediction: Big Boss: 76% - Miles: 24%



Lopen’s Analysis

Whoo Phoenix Wright fodder. Well Edgeworth is a pretty cool dude, at least.

Anyway we've seen Edgey get bashed pretty bad, and Phoenix be rather unimpressive. We've seen Big Boss hangin with Kirby with two dead weights chained to his stubby legs.

Our only hope for an interesting match is that Boss gets an old dude picture, people mistake him for Manfred Von Karma, and Edgeworth SFFs him into the dirt.

Lopen's prediction:
Naked Snake with 74.47% OR Old Man with 60.60% (depending on pic)

EDITOR'S (aka Lopen's cause I can't afford an editor) NOTE:
It turns out he got a good pic, go figure. Ignore the hopes and dreams and the low percentage contained within this analysis.



Transience’s Analysis

Do I see Solid goddamn Snake there? Against freaking Miles Edgeworth? Big Boss rolls Edgeworth with an old dude picture; with this one, he could outperform Mario.

I really wish he got this picture against Mario next round. If he gets something similar, could Mario go out in round 2? That would be kind of insane. Dammit Bacon, don't waste good pictures on guys like Miles Edgeworth!

transience's prediction: Big Boss with 83.44%



Ngamer’s Analysis

Fantastical writeup coming soon!

Ngamer Says: Big Boss > Edgeworth, 72.67%



Kleenex’s Analysis


http://objection.mrdictionary.net/go.php?n=3569757


Bracket: Big Boss
Favorites: Miles von Karma
Prediction: Big Boss with 72.12%



Red Sox’s Analysis

It used to be, a few years ago, that I would know who was in every match of the contest. During contest season, I’d even begin to use contest matches as my calendar. Instead of thinking, “ I went to that restaurant on Saturday night,” I’d think, I went to that restaurant on the night of Castlevania/Halo, or something like that.

I haven’t been able to remember matches nearly as well since the advent of 4-ways, and it appears this 128 character 1v1 bracket accomplishes the same thing. I had to look up who was in this match to do this write-up, and it isn’t the first time. Thinking back to the 2008 contest, I might be hard pressed to name even 1/4 of the matches off the top of my head, and I’d be even worse at ordering them.

Anyway, this match is going to be boring, and an easy blowout win for Big Boss. Miles Edgeworth is just fodder, while Big Boss could be considered a near-elite with a picture of him looking like Solid Snake. Edgeworth got 37% on Midna, who went even with Mewtwo who got 41% on Ganondorf, who’s probably close to Big Boss, so I’m going with Big Boss to get around 70% here, perhaps a bit higher.

Prediction: Big Boss with 71%
Upset Potential: 0%
Upper Bound: 75%
Lower Bound: 67%
Master Moltar | Posted 1/24/2010 7:49:16 AM | message detail
Guest’s Analysis - Kotetsu534

In the large scheme of things, this match is just Big Boss easing past some fodder. But to the crew, it's probably going to be looked at more for information on how strong other members of their respective series are than for the participants' individual strengths. Big Boss, with a picture that closely resembles Solid Snake, should be capable of putting a good number on Miles, given that the combined might of Kirby, Jinjo and Lucas could barely limit him to 48% of the vote in last year's round one match. Yet no character has broken 80% (except maybe Mario!), and given that Miles held onto 12% while being pummeled by Cloud and beaten by Midna you'd expect him to make at least 20%. Metal Gear is coming off a very disappointing result, and I need Miles to do well for Phoenix Wright's chances later, so I'm predicting Miles to show that when not being crushed by Cloud or Link, he can actually pull some votes.

Prediction:

Big Boss: 69%
Miles Edgeworth: 31%



Crew Consensus: Big Boss puts up a Big Victory on Edgey
charmander6000 | Posted 1/24/2010 7:50:03 AM | message detail
Also going back to Ganondorf/Zelda, wasn't the reason people took Zelda > Vincent because they thought she was stronger than Ganondorf?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 11/16 - Today's Winners: Mario and Big Boss
vcharon | Posted 1/24/2010 7:56:50 AM | message detail
Aeris just needs some more action scenes, she's just there in all the new material, nice and all, but she doesn't kick butt.

There's a good reason for that, you know.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/24/2010 7:56:50 AM | message detail
Yep.
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"Capcom aren't bad people, they're just IDIOTS." -Yahtzee
voltch | Posted 1/24/2010 7:58:30 AM | message detail
That reason doesn't seem to apply in a franchise like i dunno, Kingdom hearts maybe?
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Shakes Fist!
vcharon | Posted 1/24/2010 8:01:16 AM | message detail
It's not really in Aerith's character to "kick butt" though. Her time on Disc 1 was spent playing the part of a damsel in distress, and being the only character totally useless for physical combat. As a spellcaster, she's a healer... you can't expect "kick butt" from that. The FF characters in KH are, for the most part, true to their original personalities.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/24/2010 8:04:04 AM | message detail
The best she could do is hit some guy who's being rude to her with her staff
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 11/16 - Today's Winners: Mario and Big Boss
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 8:06:23 AM | message detail
I think Cid will get low 40s' on Mega Man. Just enough to stir doubt in Mega's abilities, but not enough for Cid to actually threaten to take the match or make Mega look pathetic.

I don't think Mega Man has fallen as much as Sonic. Sonic has huge backlash from his big games, while Mega Man simply hasn't had any big games besides MM9, which was DLC (granted, the biggest DLC this gen and one of the very few DLC games available on all three consoles). Mega Man's probably fallen a bit, but I'd probably put him around equal to Vincent, maybe even consider Mega the favorite against Vincent. I still think Mega Man could defend the Noble Nine at this point, honestly, though I wouldn't count out Vincent or Squall upsetting him.

The way I see it, Mega Man > elites, Crono = elites, and Sonic < elites. Not that it'll take Mega Man long to fall down to where Vincent could be considered the favorite in a match, but assuming we got that match-up this year, I'd still have taken Mega Man myself, while I'd have taken Vincent > Sonic, and probably would've flipped a coin for Crono vs Vincent (probably would've went with Crono just for fanboyism).

And Ulti, you do realize if you do PCA's this year you'll have to write twice as many as usual, right? Not that I'm complaining since I love reading them.
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Not Wylvane
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/24/2010 8:07:27 AM | message detail
She's also REALLY good at getting stabbed in the back, and I don't mean Cloud's wang.
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 8:13:43 AM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #415
She's also REALLY good at getting stabbed in the back, and I don't mean Cloud's wang.


To be fair, I think Sephiroth was the one who first penetrated Aeris.
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Not Wylvane
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 8:14:18 AM | message detail
That or Red XIII. Hojo was certainly into some sick ****!
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Not Wylvane
vcharon | Posted 1/24/2010 8:15:26 AM | message detail
Zack was all up on that for sure.
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voltch | Posted 1/24/2010 8:19:14 AM | message detail
My aeris was always a summoner, hehe fear my ifrit/titan/shiva/chocobo.
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Shakes Fist!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 8:35:58 AM | message detail
Zack doesn't count because, who hasn't had sex with Zack?
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 1/24/2010 8:36:20 AM | message detail
I've considered Vincent the favorite over Megaman since 2006, although I'm not sure who I'd take now. That's a match we really really need to see. Megaman's not had to face any of the near-elites since Sora in 2006, and has never faced the top end of the near-elite group.

As for Aeris/Sonic, I'd consider Sonic a pretty big favorite but the upset wouldn't be completely shocking. That doesn't necessarily imply she has a chance at Auron because Auron beat Sonic pretty good last year - almost 54%.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
ZenOfThunder | Posted 1/24/2010 8:42:40 AM | message detail
well it's too bad Bacon has Vincent losing in round 2

god dammit bacon SFF matches aren't fun
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(|| ' ' ||) Visio Vestri - Character Battle VIII Fanfiction Project
. /|_|\ http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53091233
HaRRicH | Posted 1/24/2010 8:57:06 AM | message detail
Mario with 98.84%,
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
voltch | Posted 1/24/2010 8:57:53 AM | message detail
lowball, Mario with 95.41%
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Shakes Fist!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 8:59:28 AM | message detail
Mario's going to have lower prediction percentage than Link. Low 90's, I expect, due to favorites brackets.
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Not Wylvane
Master Moltar | Posted 1/24/2010 9:00:12 AM | message detail
Big Boss 71.43%

5
Miles Edgeworth 28.57%

2
TOTAL VOTES 7
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Moltar Status: Bracket: BB > Edgeworth (15/17)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 9:00:22 AM | message detail
Should've swapped Cid and Lightning IMO. Seeing Sonic struggle to get 55% on Cid would've been hilarious.
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Not Wylvane
Chaotic Mind | Posted 1/24/2010 9:00:26 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Big Boss 57.14%

24
Miles Edgeworth 42.86%

18
TOTAL VOTES 42
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/24/2010 9:00:36 AM | message detail
Big Boss 50%

18
Miles Edgeworth 50%

18
TOTAL VOTES 36

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/24/2010 9:00:37 AM | message detail
Big Boss 40.91%

9
Miles Edgeworth 59.09%

13
TOTAL VOTES 22

YESSSS

...I don't want to refresh
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
GrapefruitKing | Posted 1/24/2010 9:00:40 AM | message detail
LOL Miles couldn't even take the lead with the board vote

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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 39th
Today's prediction: Mario with 79.36% Status: good
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 9:00:45 AM | message detail
Edgeworth's got one hell of a board vote.
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Not Wylvane
voltch | Posted 1/24/2010 9:00:47 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Big Boss 43.33%

13
Miles Edgeworth 56.67%

17
TOTAL VOTES 30

big boss is doomed.
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Shakes Fist!
Nomchan | Posted 1/24/2010 9:00:59 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Big Boss 62.5%

5
Miles Edgeworth 37.5%

3
TOTAL VOTES 8
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~ Birth by Sleep ~
A flat chest is a status symbol, it has immeasurable value. - Mayumi-chan
Haguile | Posted 1/24/2010 9:01:05 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Big Boss 50%

6
Miles Edgeworth 50%

6

Even if it's just for one second, Edgeworth held his own against Big Boss! THAT COUNTS FOR SOMETHING!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 1/24/2010 9:01:15 AM | message detail
uuuh Big Boss to break 75% easily
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 39th
Today's prediction: Mario with 79.36% Status: good
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 9:01:28 AM | message detail
Ohhhh...

This is going to be brutal.
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Not Wylvane
vcharon | Posted 1/24/2010 9:01:46 AM | message detail
Bringing the hurt
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 9:01:57 AM | message detail
Mario: 93.32%

Yep.
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Not Wylvane
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/24/2010 9:02:26 AM | message detail
Jecht > Phoenix
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
GrapefruitKing | Posted 1/24/2010 9:03:06 AM | message detail
In his 4-way match last year, Miles went from 17% at the freeze to 12.25% at the end...
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 39th
Today's prediction: Mario with 79.36% Status: good
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/24/2010 9:03:56 AM | message detail
If Edgeworth avoids getting tripled, I'd consider it a good performance for him. He's gotta be damn weak, and Naked Snake isn't a pushover.
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 1/24/2010 9:04:26 AM | message detail
Edgeworth seems to be holding up alright right now. Wonder if he'll do his usual collapse after the board vote today.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Nomchan | Posted 1/24/2010 9:05:15 AM | message detail
Goddamn MGS fans, where the hell were you when Liquid needed you?
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~ Birth by Sleep ~
A flat chest is a status symbol, it has immeasurable value. - Mayumi-chan
vcharon | Posted 1/24/2010 9:05:18 AM | message detail
Big Boss should crack 75%, I don't see a lot of reason why Edgeworth wouldn't totally collapse pretty much all day long.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/24/2010 9:05:29 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #443
Edgeworth seems to be holding up alright right now. Wonder if he'll do his usual collapse after the board vote today.


duh?
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
red sox 777 | Posted 1/24/2010 9:06:47 AM | message detail
Edgeworth actually gained ground from the 1 minute mark to the freeze, which usually doesn't indicate a collapse later. Next update will be big as far as that goes.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
voltch | Posted 1/24/2010 9:06:51 AM | message detail
bring on the Mario vs Big Boss debates.
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Shakes Fist!
HaRRicH | Posted 1/24/2010 9:07:20 AM | message detail
My first pity-vote of the contest...keep it respectable Miles!


This is only going to get uglier from here though guys.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
voltch | Posted 1/24/2010 9:09:22 AM | message detail
I voted Edgey, poor guy.
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Shakes Fist!