GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 797
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 2:18:49 PM | message detail |
I
love Yuna and Zack both though. I picked Yuna because I thought she was
underrated and Zack was overrated, and I thought it was a worthwhile
shot to take since it's just a 1-point match anyway. I honestly think
it's wrong to completely discount Yuna's chances here. Maybe she loses
easily, but the most reasoning I've seen from anyone other than red sox
for that is "FFVII > FFX." --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:20:33 PM | message detail |
Hmm....another angle on Luigi, to avoid FPF: I took the round 2 match and gave 100% of Bowser's votes (yes, 100% to be as generous to Luigi as possible) to Luigi. Luigi then got 62.31% on Liquid, which using the current results gives Altair 45.38% on Luigi. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/23/2010 2:20:42 PM | message detail |
The
issue with Yuna is that we have nothing reliable on her either. On 2k8,
she wasn't in the bracket. On 2k7, she had to ride along with Monster
Chief. On 2k6, she benefitted from Female Bracket weirdness. So that
leaves us with...2k5 as the closest reliable year, where she wasn't too
impressive. Considering that, I'll take Zack's Round 3 showing vs. Link
over Yuna. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:22:12 PM | message detail |
Yeah,
Leon I actually have to agree that Yuna's chances are not zero. She
always had that really impressive match against Zelda where she almost
equaled Aeris, and 55% on Alucard looks a lot better now after
Alucard/Magus. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 2:24:15 PM | message detail |
Well,
I think Zack/Yuna is a match that I think people are taking for granted
just a little too much. I think Yuna gets undervalued and underrated
the same way Rikku does. In 2005, she had to face 'roided Ganondorf,
which isn't going to be a fair assessment of how she looks now. We dismiss the female bracket as "weirdness" and don't take anything from it seriously mostly because of Samus/Tifa and Samus/Zelda, but I don't see any reason to discount Yuna's performance on Zelda that year, which was pretty good. If anyone should have overperformed in that match, it would've been Zelda and not Yuna. In 2007, Yuna admittedly didn't look the greatest, but I'm not depending on her to be a near elite to win. I just don't think Zack's as strong as everyone else does. Altair doing as well as he is right now does make Zack look a little better, but we'll see. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:25:34 PM | message detail |
Ignoring Phoenix and giving 80% of Bowser's votes to Luigi and 20% to Liquid..... ...gives Luigi 56.72% on Liquid, and gives Altair 52.03% on Luigi. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 2:26:08 PM | message detail |
Ignoring Phoenix BLASPHEMY --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 2:28:07 PM | message detail |
And
based on how Cloud did in 2006 after Sephiroth was eliminated, Luigi
probably gets more than 80% and Liquid almost definitely gets less than
20% of those votes. I'd say he and Phoenix probably split those evenly,
and if anything, Phoenix gets a larger cut because he's on the DS. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:29:00 PM | message detail |
Ok, good, I think that round 2 comparison satisfies me that if there was FPF in the round 1 match, it wasn't a huge amount. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 2:29:15 PM | message detail |
Actually, probably not more than 80%. My math was wrong, but Liquid certainly wouldn't get a larger cut than Wrighto. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:31:50 PM | message detail |
And
based on how Cloud did in 2006 after Sephiroth was eliminated, Luigi
probably gets more than 80% and Liquid almost definitely gets less than
20% of those votes. I'd say he and Phoenix probably split those evenly,
and if anything, Phoenix gets a larger cut because he's on the DS. Luigi probably gets more than 4 times what Liquid gets from Bowser, but that's okay. I wouldn't take Altair to beat Luigi anyway, and by the time this poll is over, Altair may be pushing for 53% in that comparison. Luigi would probably also not get close to 100% of Bowser's votes, so that would predict Luigi/Altair to be a fairly close match. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/23/2010 2:32:56 PM | message detail |
Luigi would beat Altair 60-40. What is with you today red sox. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:33:42 PM | message detail |
Blame
the math, not me. I was generous enough to give Luigi 100% of Bowser's
votes, and Altair was still projected to break 45%! --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 2:34:16 PM | message detail |
Let's try to find something to talk about with tomorrow's matches! Fact/Fiction: Mario scores the blowout of the contest against Falco (At least the blowout of round 1, if not the contest) Fact/Fiction: Big Boss triples Edgeworth --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 2:34:44 PM | message detail |
Fact Fact boring day tomorrow --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
XxSoulxX | Posted 1/23/2010 2:34:57 PM | message detail |
This is what happens when you argue with stats and not with logic. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 2:35:07 PM | message detail |
I think I'll just spend tomorrow staring at the Big Boss/Edgeworth pic. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 2:35:26 PM | message detail |
From: XxSoulxX | #066 Yes, because these things are always mutually exclusive. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/23/2010 2:35:49 PM | message detail |
Are you assuming a constant Liquid or something Why would you do that --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 2:36:54 PM | message detail |
In fact, why are we judging anything based off of Liquid? --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:38:35 PM | message detail |
Yes,
those numbers are assuming a constant Liquid- what else would you
assume? As for what I would predict though, if I were assuming a
constant Liquid, I would actually take Altair over Luigi, since the
reality should be closer to the 80-20 split than the the 100-0 split.
And this is the round 2 match, so there's no FPF excuse here. But I
wouldn't actually take Altair, though I wouldn't be terribly surprised
if he won. And if you want to say that common sense should override stats here......I would like to remind you of Squall/Luigi. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
XxSoulxX | Posted 1/23/2010 2:39:17 PM | message detail |
Yes, because these things are always mutually exclusive. You're right, but when you use stats in lieu of logic to try to make sense of things, you just end up looking bad. Liquid was a freak last year, and he's dropped down to his regular self this year. Altair boosted because of AC2. That's using logic, and it explains this match pretty well. Using the stats to try and prove that Altair would now beat Kirby or that Luigi has fallen because of this match is incredibly stupid in my eyes, since you can't use Liquid or Altair as constants from the last contest. --- Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename |
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/23/2010 2:39:23 PM | message detail |
...you are using a constant Liquid Ooooookay, moving right along --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:41:06 PM | message detail |
How
much do you think Liquid fell this year then? Would he 60-40 his former
self? Even that big a drop would still leave Altair well north of 40%
on Luigi. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
XxSoulxX | Posted 1/23/2010 2:41:07 PM | message detail |
And if you want to say that common sense should override stats here......I would like to remind you of Squall/Luigi. Why would you remind me of that? It's pretty obvious that Squall is stronger than Luigi. --- Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:41:42 PM | message detail |
Why would you remind me of that? It's pretty obvious that Squall is stronger than Luigi. Tell that to this board in 2003. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/23/2010 2:42:27 PM | message detail |
I
forgot about this, but it looks as though any chance for Bayonetta
being the strongest character of this generation has gone flying out
the window. Sad. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
XxSoulxX | Posted 1/23/2010 2:42:36 PM | message detail |
How
much do you think Liquid fell this year then? Would he 60-40 his former
self? Even that big a drop would still leave Altair well north of 40%
on Luigi. I don't care about stats like that. Luigi would beat Altair pretty handily (60-40 actually sounds about right). That's all that matters here. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
XxSoulxX | Posted 1/23/2010 2:43:19 PM | message detail |
Tell that to this board in 2003. Good thing it's not 2003 and that we're arguing for matches happening now, and not back then. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 2:44:23 PM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #077 soap > bayonetta imo --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 2:46:31 PM | message detail |
Well,
I think I'm pretty much done with this argument. I'm frankly astonished
at how much people are willing to defend Luigi while Altair is at 58.5%
here, and the only good argument I heard defending him was the First
Place Factor thing. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 3:10:09 PM | message detail |
Wow, what the hell. Liquid doing so badly here wasn't even my biggest surprise today. I woke up today to find that my "neutered male" guinea pig, Snickers, was a female after all. There was a stillborn in the "boy's" cage. If you'll excuse me, I have a vet to go murder. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "We're only gonna score 17 points?" -LOL Tom Brady |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/23/2010 3:12:55 PM | message detail |
Snickers vs. Liquid Snake who ya got? --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 3:13:24 PM | message detail |
Snakes prey on rodents more than any other type of animal. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ 11/15/2009 - Never forget 4th and 2. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 3:15:19 PM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #077 Bayonetta no chance against Lightning --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 3:16:58 PM | message detail |
Oh yeah I forgot about Lightning. She's stronger then Bayonetta could be at her peak without a game even out! --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 3:26:03 PM | message detail |
By the way, who's our strongest character from the last gen? Auron? Dante? Sora? --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 3:27:05 PM | message detail |
Auron for now, probably. Eventually it'll probably be Sora though. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
paulg235 | Posted 1/23/2010 3:27:12 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #087 Either Auron or Sora. Dante's weaker than Kirby. --- The Gamer In Me "paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/23/2010 3:27:18 PM | message detail |
I'm siding with Auron at this point. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/23/2010 3:30:42 PM | message detail |
From: paulg235 | #089 Very unlikely. Dante put up almost 47% on Kirby in 2008, and that was despite Leon and Chief in the poll (Chief might not hurt Dante any more than Kirby, but he definitely gives Kirby more Stand Out Factor). Until he took steroids and beat Sonic/Seph, almost every piece of evidence we've seen in the last few years suggests Dante would take Kirby, and probably without much trouble. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/23/2010 3:32:17 PM | message detail |
Although I hope you're right. The weaker Dante is, the less I regret that Ryu>Dante pick oh god. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/23/2010 3:33:42 PM | message detail |
Yoshi
beat Dante when he didn't have much for him, and of course the rat beat
Dante as well. I'd choose Kirby to beat Dante without thinking too much
about it. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/23/2010 3:34:46 PM | message detail |
yes YES YEEEESss --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/23/2010 3:41:49 PM | message detail |
I dunno. I'd take Dante. I'm convinced Leon had something to do with most of his losses, but it'd be close. --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
Japago | Posted 1/23/2010 3:44:04 PM | message detail |
I'd
give Dante a shot against Kirby. Wasn't Brawl hype at it's peak that
year he lost to Yoshi? Leon beat down the Rat pretty easily too the
round before, so I wouldn't put to much stock on Pikachu > Dante.
Something weird happened there. --- -Heals severely dry skin -18 hour moisturization -Fragrance free -With Vitamin E |
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/23/2010 3:46:56 PM | message detail |
I originally blamed Leon for the Pikachu/Dante match, but then last time we got Dante/Leon/Riku and Riku fell flat on his face. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/23/2010 3:48:06 PM | message detail |
Yeah but that's Riku. Who knows what happened to that guy. I'm not even 100% convinced he beats Falcon. --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 3:49:30 PM | message detail |
Dante/Kirby would be an interesting match, especially because of ertyu. Not sure who I'd pick to win. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 3:50:05 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #099 imagine the board vote --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |