GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 796
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Lucid Faia | Posted 1/23/2010 1:07:48 PM | message detail |
Add me to Team Altair. 8/8 in this division. --- The Ohio State Buckeyes Our honor defend, we will fight to the end |
Janus5000 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:07:50 PM | message detail |
Very impressive showing from Altair. I had a feeling he'd win, but not by this much. His match against Vivi's during the day, too. Altair's getting to round 3 in all likelihood. --- http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg Stay a while and breathe me in. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 1:08:24 PM | message detail |
Leon didn't say anything hilariously quotable, but he picked Liquid too. I'm not to brag past that, since anyone who says this wasn't a tossup is a liar. But Liquid dying like this is a surprise. Where was this MGS day vote fail during THE DRAKE match? --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ Writhe in my cage of torment, my friend. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 1:10:39 PM | message detail |
And
based on the 2007 stats, Vivi beats Liquid with 55.13% (though I don't
know whose stats Ngamer's LOL XSTATS machine uses or how the numbers
were arrived at), so yeah. Based on Liquid 2007, Altair 2010 gets 51.52% on Altair 2008, which isn't a big boost, but it's a little. Now I'm sure a lot of you guys aren't going to take this stuff seriously (I don't entirely believe all of it myself). It's just something to think about more than anything else. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/23/2010 1:10:48 PM | message detail |
There WAS fail, it's just that Drake was too weak to capitalize on it. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 1:11:57 PM | message detail |
Where was this MGS day vote fail during THE DRAKE match? It helps when you have a day vote. I told you Drake wasn't going to have one, and lo and behold, he didn't. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
paulg235 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:12:27 PM | message detail |
To
be fair, I actually had Altair in my bracket at first, but then looked
at how well Liquid did last contest and changed the pick to him. I
still considered it a tossup match, though. --- The Gamer In Me "paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 1:13:25 PM | message detail |
But
I figured THE DRAKE could beat Boss in a close match (which it was)
since he's in the same boat as the other casual characters I picked.
The guy still had a massive boost, just not quite good enough. I blame
Zen, rofl --- http://board8.speedrunwiki.com/interviews/theshow/ngirlreaction.gif |
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 1/23/2010 1:13:43 PM | message detail |
...Stupid Liquid and MATEL GAER. cost me 2 matches, and now I see Ima lose 100 bucks :( --- Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 1:14:20 PM | message detail |
Honestly,
I thought Liquid would win this one fairly easily. Altair's surprising
me with how well he's doing. I'm not trying to make excuses for Altair
or anything, but this feels more like a Liquid turd (gross) than Altair
impressing, like Alucard/Magus was. All that said, I'd still lean toward calling Altair the favorite over Vivi next round. Don't see him beating Kirby either way though. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
voltch | Posted 1/23/2010 1:14:22 PM | message detail |
This board made me pick Liquid, screw you guys, man i changed to magus and liquid, i can't believe this. i coulda been perfect and Leon would have been stopped by me for good on that leaderboard. --- Shakes Fist! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 1:14:31 PM | message detail |
From: paulg235 | Posted: 1/23/2010 4:12:27 PM | #457 See I virtually ignored 4ways completely. All you can pull from them are time-of-day trends and eye tests, and even then I would have picked Liquid with an eye test. He was on steroids last year. --- "Final Fantasy XI is a bad game that no one should care about for any reason." -FFDragon |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 1:15:42 PM | message detail |
You can keep thinking 4-ways are entirely useless, but my top ten Oracle ranking (...well, until today anyway) says differently. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 1/23/2010 1:16:25 PM | message detail |
So the next interesting match will be.... Zack/Yuna. Going to be a boring 3 days. |
hellfire104 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:17:06 PM | message detail |
eternalXcourage you are a moron. Sorry but Zack isn't beating Megaman OR MC. Ryu DEFINATELY isn't being Dante. Any many many other picks you made that are ridiculous. --- Point Total: 12/14 My Bracket Says: Night: Vivi Day: Altair |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:17:26 PM | message detail |
Honestly,
I thought Liquid would win this one fairly easily. Altair's surprising
me with how well he's doing. I'm not trying to make excuses for Altair
or anything, but this feels more like a Liquid turd (gross) than Altair
impressing, like Alucard/Magus was. It's really impossible to know this until we them in action next round. You can't tell just from one match. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 1:18:00 PM | message detail |
It's really impossible to know this until we them in action next round. You can't tell just from one match. Then stop talking about Luigi Deboosts! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
paulg235 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:18:05 PM | message detail |
From: Wii_TuRtLe | #464 Unless... we get another SUPRISE CLOSE MATCH. I'm looking at you, Mega Man/Cid! --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 1:18:31 PM | message detail |
Cid having an unexpectedly close match with Mega Man would be epic. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
voltch | Posted 1/23/2010 1:21:16 PM | message detail |
but cid/mm being close is already expected by some, we need a bigger surprise. --- Shakes Fist! |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/23/2010 1:22:15 PM | message detail |
Zack > MM. Let 'er fly. --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:22:23 PM | message detail |
I'm
not saying this is all Liquid doing bad though. If you assume half of
this result is from Altair boosting and half is from Liquid/Luigi being
overrated, Luigi still looks really bad. Make it 2/3 or 3/4 and Luigi
still looks bad. It may not be conclusive, but I don't see how this
match doesn't make Luigi look bad. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:23:22 PM | message detail |
I think you're the only person that thinks this is the same Liquid that we saw last year against Luigi. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
voltch | Posted 1/23/2010 1:26:00 PM | message detail |
I
think right now AC2 was a much bigger game than we thought, AC1 was
mixed, but the second had a fantastic reception an Altair's got "the
look", so he's the Kratos of this generation. --- Shakes Fist! |
Gaddswell | Posted 1/23/2010 1:27:09 PM | message detail |
Whoa, Altair! What happened to that boost last year, Liquid? --- http://img190.imageshack.us/img190/188/poster35802475.jpg Krahenprophet does. That's why he won the 2009 BGE Guru Contest! |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:32:07 PM | message detail |
I think you're the only person that thinks this is the same Liquid that we saw last year against Luigi. He may not be the same, but the gap between Altair's percentage here and what he was expected to get is suggestive nonetheless. You'd need an absolutely huge boost from Altair and/or a huge overperformance or drop by Liquid to explain this otherwise, and there's a very easy explanation that matches up with what we saw from the rest of Nintendo in 2008 that makes this match substantially easier to explain. It's not like I just started saying Luigi deboosted now; I've been calling Zack > Luigi since round 2 of last year. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 1:33:34 PM | message detail |
From: Gaddswell | Posted: 1/23/2010 4:27:09 PM | #475 rofl 4way stats --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.· "As always Ulti, I bow to thou wisdom." -Meeks54 |
LOLContests | Posted 1/23/2010 1:34:38 PM | message detail |
rofl 4way stats What does Liquid boosting have to do with 4 way stats? --- "I see now that the circumstances of one's birth are irrelevant; it is what you do with the gift of life that determines who you are."---Mewtwo Yesmar |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 1:36:17 PM | message detail |
I
gotta agree with Bostonboy here. this match just feels too weird to
just blame it all on liquid just dropping hard. And I wouldn't even
expect much of a MGS4 boost for him last year...<spoilers> he's not even in the game outside of an arm as far as I know. </spoilers> And with AC2 being a popular new game, and with Altair looking almost identical to Ezio, this could be the Big Boss kinda phenomenon. That both Ezio and Altair will just give eachother strength since they look so close to eachother.. so it won't matter who is in what game, voters will think of them as the same. Basically, in summary, I'm sayign that this is the AC2s boost all around, that has made Altair a high mid carder. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:39:08 PM | message detail |
Sigh.
That's about as sensible as saying Zelda is going to crash and burn
because she only got 54% on Knuckles, who was terrible this year. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:40:22 PM | message detail |
Or, if you want to go the other way, that Vivi is a near elite because Wesker did well. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:41:47 PM | message detail |
Sigh.
That's about as sensible as saying Zelda is going to crash and burn
because she only got 54% on Knuckles, who was terrible this year. Zelda had Mario in that match, so no, it's quite different. Though if you want, yes, Knuckles doing badly is a bad sign for Mario and Zelda- just a pretty weak sign. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 1/23/2010 1:42:08 PM | message detail |
So
Albino thinks that an Assassin's Creed game that only mentions Altair a
few times boosted him, while it's ridiculous that a Metal Gear Solid
game that only mentions Liquid a few times boosted him last year? lol albino --- http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 1:42:46 PM | message detail |
From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #483 ocelot --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:43:42 PM | message detail |
And
Luigi could well be the victim of OFPF and a similar LFF as Zelda - you
seem eager enough to discount any bad performance by last place
characters like Altair Rd3 and Liquid in 2007, I don't see why you
wouldn't do the same for first place characters when there's just as
much evidence supporting it. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/23/2010 1:46:00 PM | message detail |
Oh hey, I got on the leaderboard before I lost my perfect today just like I wanted. --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 1:47:19 PM | message detail |
DK was the bracket favorite against Vivi? What the hell? --- "B8 really needs to get over its fascination-yet-claim-they-don't-care-at-all relationship with Ulti." -KamikazePotato |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:47:49 PM | message detail |
And
Luigi could well be the victim of OFPF and a similar LFF as Zelda - you
seem eager enough to discount any bad performance by last place
characters like Altair Rd3 and Liquid in 2007, I don't see why you
wouldn't do the same for first place characters when there's just as
much evidence supporting it. That's true, I agree with that. I think FPF probably didn't do too in that match for the reason that it usually happens in matches where the margin is much wider. Though I guess SMW/FF1 had a similar margin and a ton of FPF, so it's possible. I would give Luigi a lot more slack here if it weren't for Yoshi and Bowser (and to a lesser extent, a lot of the other Nintendo characters). --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:48:42 PM | message detail |
It's
even more weird when we've seen plenty of Nintendo characters in action
- including Luigi- and they've looked pretty good. And yet you are so
insistent on this match making Luigi look bad. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 1:49:36 PM | message detail |
Who is Luigi up against in round 2? --- MUSIC CAN BE OBJECTIVELY DEFINED AND ITS QUALITY EMPIRICALLY MEASURED BY THE INEQUALITY [WHAT I LIKE > WHAT YOU LIKE]. -Jaraqua Lefty Jones |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 1:49:45 PM | message detail |
Ammy I think? --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:51:25 PM | message detail |
I
disagree that the Nintendo characters have looked pretty good, and I'm
not saying Luigi deboosted worse than normal for a Ninty character or
anything. I don't buy that he's going to stay at this 2007 strength
while the other Nintendo characters fall. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:51:29 PM | message detail |
Luigi's path sucks, he gets Ammy next round and then either Cube or The Boss before getting destroyed by Link. This bracket would be better if some of the Square in the lower half switched with some of the Nintendo in the upper half, but oh well. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 1:51:42 PM | message detail |
My
Oracle there will be around 70%. There's no way Luigi stayed constant
while everyone else in Nintendo has looked pretty good. DK was the bracket favorite against Vivi, when casuals love picking the higher seed and the match had already happened once. I can't get over this. --- I've been burnt so bad but I still play with fire. Sometimes naked truth is what I don't believe in. |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/23/2010 1:52:26 PM | message detail |
Casuals don't remember what happened almost 6 years ago. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/23/2010 1:52:35 PM | message detail |
Amaterasu, yes. Then WCC/Boss, then Link. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/23/2010 1:53:30 PM | message detail |
To be fair, everyone's path sucks when you throw Link in. spoilers link wins --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ If anyone is fit to shine, it is I. |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 1/23/2010 1:54:10 PM | message detail |
What
do you mean by that? The fact that Ocelot lost to Jill after MGS4? I
think it's pretty much universally agreed that those 2 matches don't
make any sense, and to try and base any arguments off of them is
moronic. There could have been any number of factors to explain it,
Cloud SFFing Jill harder than Ocelot, Kratos SFFing Ocelot harder than
Jill, MGS' hardcore fanbase making a bigger difference in the match
with less votes (because Cloud was eating up 2/3 of the votes) --- http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 1:54:41 PM | message detail |
play shining force 2 --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 1:54:46 PM | message detail |
now --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism |