GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 795

KamikazePotato | Posted 1/22/2010 4:36:13 PM | message detail
Hmm...fiction. DK has to have enough left in him to get 40%.
Fact. Altair's best time will be the very beginning of his match. If he isn't winning then, he never will be.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 4:37:34 PM | message detail
I dunno. Altair's board vote and first hour were pretty atrocious last year.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:38:11 PM | message detail
And that would matter a lot more if the match started at midnight.
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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:38:24 PM | message detail
No way should Altair win the board vote over Liquid. MGS is actually liked here.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 4:39:25 PM | message detail
Plus, Liquid has brackets, I think. But Altair does get to start the match in his best part of the match and Liquid's worst, so if he's losing big right away, he's probably done.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/22/2010 4:39:32 PM | message detail
I'm not talking about the board vote, just overall trends. Anything from 1 EST on is more like the night than the day.

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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:40:11 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #106
I'm not talking about the board vote, just overall trends. Anything from 1 EST on is more like the night than the day.


Going by last year, Altairs % raised the entire day. He'll start off slow and get better.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/22/2010 4:40:16 PM | message detail
The sad thing is, I had DK > Vivi in my bracket for awhile until the stats topic reminded me that Vivi already kicked DK's ass.


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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 4:40:52 PM | message detail
Going by last year, Altairs % raised the entire day.

When your night vote is that horrendous, you have nowhere to go but up.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:41:29 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/22/2010 4:41:36 PM | message detail
Vivi/DK is probably going to be another casual bracketbuster.

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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:41:47 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #109
Going by last year, Altairs % raised the entire day.

When your night vote is that horrendous, you have nowhere to go but up.


No, I mean he even went up during the night. I meant day as in the entire match.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3247&type=2&seconds=60&max=0
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3277&type=2&seconds=60&max=0

Thats just how bad his early vote is.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 4:42:43 PM | message detail
Yeah, his early vote is awful, but we've yet to see a big swing in a day match.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:42:53 PM | message detail
That was incomprehensible, let's try again.

On the last weekend day match, it took Price, who I have to believe is not at all liked on the board, all of fifteen minutes to get to his ending percentage against X, who is. There just isn't much of a board vote on noon matches. If Altair's losing half an hour or so in he's going to lose the match.
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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:43:42 PM | message detail
I'm expecting Liquid to lead at least the first hour based off bracket and power hour voters, then Altair to take the lead by 3 or 4 PM for good.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/22/2010 4:44:17 PM | message detail
But Altair isn't going to....

You know, you're right, Albion. Trends do work that way!

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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:45:14 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #116
But Altair isn't going to....

You know, you're right, Albion. Trends do work that way!


All the data we have on AC and Altair have it starting off slow, and rising through the day. Why do you think it won't happen this time as well? I'm just going by the stats. The Altair in the first hour was always a different beast from the rest of the day.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:46:08 PM | message detail
You do realize that the second night vote hits around 6 or 7 on weekends, yes? If Altair takes the lead at 3 or 4 he's not winning.
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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:47:08 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:47:26 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #118
You do realize that the second night vote hits around 6 or 7 on weekends, yes? If Altair takes the lead at 3 or 4 he's not winning.


You seem to think that just because its a weekend vote, more night voters will magically appear? Its still the same people voting, just people will vote earlier since they aren't at work or school.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 4:47:47 PM | message detail
The day matches have had more votes than the night matches almost without exception. That seems to tell me that we have more traditional night voters voting during the day.
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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:48:26 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #121
The day matches have had more votes than the night matches almost without exception. That seems to tell me that we have more traditional night voters voting during the day.


No, I think it tells you that people aren't sleeping for more than half of the match during the day.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:48:51 PM | message detail
I have no idea what you're talking about, the night vote on weekends always starts around 6 or 7. That has nothing to do with 12 hour matches.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 4:50:06 PM | message detail
No, I think it tells you that people aren't sleeping for more than half of the match during the day.

Uh huh.
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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:50:26 PM | message detail
Since you know, its kinda hard to vote if you're asleep.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/22/2010 4:50:44 PM | message detail
Why are you still responding to him

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red sox 777 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:51:32 PM | message detail
The problem is, Albion, that in a 24-hour match, about as many people vote in the first 12 hours as the second 12 hours. The advantage the second half gets from sleep is nullified by the first half being the first half.
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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:52:02 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #126
Why are you still responding to him


I'm trying to figure out why I'm responding to people who think Altair can win the first hour against Liquid Snake after we've seen time after time he's got one of the worst, if not the worst, early votes. I almost thought people weer just joking around but apparently they are serious!
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:52:50 PM | message detail
Why are you still responding to him

I've been telling you people this for two years.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:53:00 PM | message detail
Altair has a terrible vote at midnight. Are you really that dumb?
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Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:54:43 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #130
Altair has a terrible vote at midnight. Are you really that dumb?


Magus got the board vote on a Saturday, so one must think that the board vote still favors the characters it typically does even at midnight.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 4:55:16 PM | message detail
[insert Picard facepalm here]
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/22/2010 4:55:25 PM | message detail
Magus' board vote lasted for all of 10 seconds.

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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/22/2010 4:56:03 PM | message detail
And Magus' board vote advantage was largely gone at the 10 minute mark.

Just like X's was.

This is not rocket science.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 5:15:38 PM | message detail
So what would have to happen tomorrow for people to feel good/bad (depending on what's in your bracket, of course) about Vivi losing in round 2?
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/22/2010 5:16:27 PM | message detail
Albion is the same guy that blocked me because I laughed about the Ed Reed fumble. You'd get farther arguing with a mirror.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 5:17:29 PM | message detail
By the way, red sox, I didn't realize you had a "sports troll" side to you!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/22/2010 5:18:47 PM | message detail
Vivi should put up a clean 56%. If he can't do that...I'll be a bit worried, yeah.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
red sox 777 | Posted 1/22/2010 5:27:07 PM | message detail
By the way, red sox, I didn't realize you had a "sports troll" side to you!

I'm not really sure what that means, but if you're talking about MWC's topic, I honestly had no idea my sentiments on that weren't common. I just hate the idea of people being deceived.
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Jmast7 | Posted 1/22/2010 5:28:36 PM | message detail
I still think Altair is going to lose, but if it's close his match pic could be the difference - simply awesome:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb8/cb8-16.jpg
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/22/2010 5:34:55 PM | message detail
Did Moltar stop posting Crew writeups in the stats topic, or am I just blind?
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Biolizard28 | Posted 1/22/2010 5:36:01 PM | message detail
I think he did. I only saw charmander's write ups for the past few matches.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/22/2010 5:36:57 PM | message detail
Moltar has his own topic. I think he only posts them for hyped matches.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 5:51:46 PM | message detail
Yeah, Moltar doesn't post them in here for every match. He uses the Crew topic for the most part.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
SonicRaptor | Posted 1/22/2010 5:52:12 PM | message detail
Everyone here is talking about Altair, I really want to know how Ezio does given how not only is he more badass than Altair but he is a complete pimp as well during AC2.
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Master Moltar | Posted 1/22/2010 5:58:39 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #143
Moltar has his own topic. I think he only posts them for hyped matches.


Pretty much this.

I probably should post them here more often though, at least for the matches that aren't super predictable blowouts.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/22/2010 6:00:43 PM | message detail
No, don't. Enough people see my awful predictions as it is.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/22/2010 6:01:15 PM | message detail
Everyone here is talking about Altair, I really want to know how Ezio does given how not only is he more badass than Altair but he is a complete pimp as well during AC2.

...I dunno. I wouldn't be surprised if he embarrasses himself against Simon.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/22/2010 6:01:47 PM | message detail

From: KleenexTissue50 | #147
No, don't. Enough people see my awful predictions as it is.


Silly Raphael, there's a reason why you're the worst turtle!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
charmander6000 | Posted 1/22/2010 6:13:12 PM | message detail
The problem with Ezio is that he's pretty much a lock to defeat Simon and lose to Zelda.

Guess how many characters said the same thing.
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