GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 794

UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/21/2010 9:17:16 PM | message detail
*steals from a machina*

CRASHHHHHHHHHHHH



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
WHAT'S THE MATTER, SCARED??
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 9:19:38 PM | message detail
*Kirby swallows Rikku*

...What power does he get? Mix?
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/21/2010 9:22:12 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #002
*Kirby swallows Rikku*

...What power does he get? Mix?


He can suck TWICE as fast now
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/21/2010 9:28:38 PM | message detail
OH SNAP
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Not Wylvane
paulg235 | Posted 1/21/2010 9:29:41 PM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #003
He can suck TWICE as fast now


3 posts in and this already the best post of the topic, in my eyes.
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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/21/2010 9:29:43 PM | message detail
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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:10:34 PM | message detail
Fury > Chortles
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 1/21/2010 10:10:56 PM | message detail
Too much DK hate going around,
even if he is a joke contest wise :(
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:10:56 PM | message detail
If Altair beats Liquid, it's because Liquid bombed. Altair isn't beating Vivi.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/21/2010 10:11:28 PM | message detail
M&L1 > M&L3 > Portal
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
red sox 777 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:12:19 PM | message detail
But we have a better idea of Liquid's strength than Altair's, and that was true even in 2008. Since then AC2 has come out which has made Altair's range even wider.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:12:43 PM | message detail
Since then AC2 has come out which has made Altair's range even wider.

I still don't agree with this, but whatever.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/21/2010 10:13:00 PM | message detail
If Altair's there, Vivi wins. If Liquid's there...It's trickier.

I just realized, it's a day match... and Vivi's not so hot during the day, now is he? Not to mention what happened with Vivi and Zero during the second night vote...
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/21/2010 10:13:43 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #488
I expect GLaDOS to win with like 56% or so. It's Fawful.


I expect Pokemon Trainer Red/Nathan Drake/Shadow/Knuckles/Ken Masters to win with like 56% or so. It's Revolver Ocelot/Amaterasu/The Boss/Cecil Harvey/Albert Wesker.
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"You guys have electricity? How do you manage that?"
"We have 2 giant hamsters running on a massive wheel in our secret underground cave..."
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:13:51 PM | message detail
Portal and GLaDOS impressed me enough last year that I don't think she should struggle...Geno's not worth anything and I'd be surprised Fawful is was even his equal.

GLaDOS was also better at night but she wasn't that bad during the day...most of Falco's gains in that match were at the expense of Vincent.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:13:51 PM | message detail
Oh hey, Kirby's first percentage increase in a while!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/21/2010 10:15:06 PM | message detail
Liquid's beating Altair and Vivi. Bank on it.
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"You guys have electricity? How do you manage that?"
"We have 2 giant hamsters running on a massive wheel in our secret underground cave..."
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:15:39 PM | message detail
Geno hasn't been in a game in 14 years now (Well, Superstar Saga, but that doesn't count). Fawful's coming off of a game that's sold pretty well.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/21/2010 10:16:10 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #015
Portal and GLaDOS impressed me enough last year that I don't think she should struggle...Geno's not worth anything and I'd be surprised Fawful is was even his equal.

GLaDOS was also better at night but she wasn't that bad during the day...most of Falco's gains in that match were at the expense of Vincent.


I agree, I took GlaDOS, but with the way this contest is going.. who ****ing knows.
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"You guys have electricity? How do you manage that?"
"We have 2 giant hamsters running on a massive wheel in our secret underground cave..."
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:16:28 PM | message detail
39% hit. Nice.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/21/2010 10:16:42 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/21/2010 10:16:57 PM | message detail
Problem is it's a handheld game. Golden Sun > Mario and Luigi, Isaac > Fawful. I would probably take GlaDOS over Isaac.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:17:11 PM | message detail
Golden Sun > Mario and Luigi

Hmmm...I wonder. That feels like a FFTA > FE situation.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
creativename | Posted 1/21/2010 10:17:15 PM | message detail
If Altair beats Liquid, that means he's likely boosted quite a bit and would probably beat Vivi.
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gamefaqscontests.com
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creativename | Posted 1/21/2010 10:18:30 PM | message detail
Golden Sun > Mario and Luigi

I would think the other way around on this site.

We know nothing about Fawful, so that match could be all over the place. Glados could double him, or lose outright.
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gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:19:08 PM | message detail
After these last few days, every match scares me now!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:19:34 PM | message detail
After seeing what cube did, I have a hard time believing a super cult rpg character from a game that couldn't even beat a KH side game or a pokemon directors cut is going to do much. I'm expecting a doubling from Glados.
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/21/2010 10:20:47 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=774
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1485

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3119
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3512

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:20:48 PM | message detail
Eh, Fawful would destroy Sandal.

But that match has a wide range. Who knows?
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:22:08 PM | message detail
why did you post a poll where golden sun lost to mario and luigi
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/21/2010 10:23:07 PM | message detail
Liquid's beating Altair and Vivi. Bank on it.

Hmmm... Liquid tends to give performances that you just can't come up with any explanation for (case in point: Losing to Alucard by OVER 9000 votes after virtually tying him the round before)...
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Gaddswell | Posted 1/21/2010 10:26:30 PM | message detail
Random thought:

How about that Gordon / Peach match? With the way matches have been going lately, and with that being the last match of the round (you know, the one with the whole 15 > 2 upset thing going), anyone starting to think Peach takes it?
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Thanks Anagram!
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:27:21 PM | message detail
I guess Peach could win (I'm not ruling anything out as impossible anymore!), but...I don't like her chances. She should do decently well, I figure.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/21/2010 10:27:35 PM | message detail
...what kind of logic is that? "We're seeing some 15 > 2 upsets. That must mean Gordon loses to Peach!"

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/21/2010 10:28:03 PM | message detail
Well, these contests have a history of wacky "last match of the first round" upsets, at least.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:28:14 PM | message detail
Last time Gordon faced a woman he was expected to beat with ease (I think), he lost 60/40. Nothing is out of the realm of possibility with him.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 1/21/2010 10:28:53 PM | message detail
Honestly, I'd take Vault Boy > Leon before I'd take Peach > Gordon. But maybe I'm just saying that because I have Gordon beating Tifa, a decision that could very well blow up in my face.

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Fawful > GlaDOS. Let's see it happen, GameFAQs!
CURRENTLY PLAYING: Electroplankton (DS), Pokemon Gold (GBC)
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/21/2010 10:28:55 PM | message detail
...8 years ago

Gordon has only gotten stronger from last year. Peach's chances are very slim.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/21/2010 10:29:33 PM | message detail
We shall see the return of GFNW!

And I'll be laughing my ass off. I wouldn't even care if I lost that point.
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CBVIII: 11/12 - 11 pts - Losses: Ocelot > Red
Night Pick: Kirby Day Pick: GlaDOS
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:30:09 PM | message detail
Now KP why you gotta point out the obvious flaw in my logic that I'm obviously choosing to ignore in my sarcastic attempt to make Peach beating Gordon 60-40 seem plausible!

You're no fun.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
red sox 777 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:30:30 PM | message detail
Kirby's making a move in Europe right now, possibly the European morning vote.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
Chaotic Mind | Posted 1/21/2010 10:31:36 PM | message detail
If Peach beats Gordon, i'll eat my hat!

And i don't even own a hat!
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/21/2010 10:38:22 PM | message detail
Regarding Alucard/Magus... I expected it to be closer than it actually was. We all know that Castlevania is just terrible with the day vote, and Chrono Trigger's day vote is even worse - possibly the worst ever. I suppose that it was just a case of whoever didn't suck as much with the day vote winning?
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/21/2010 10:42:19 PM | message detail
Alucard would won no matter what the circumstances. Magus wasn't swinging 10% of the vote in his favour.
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CBVIII: 11/12 - 11 pts - Losses: Ocelot > Red
Night Pick: Kirby Day Pick: GlaDOS
red sox 777 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:42:44 PM | message detail
Rikku gets her first 45% update.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:48:15 PM | message detail
It being a night match wouldn't have changed much because if CT is any stronger than Castlevania in the night compared to the day, it would have been offset by Magus getting completely murdered in the Europe vote.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/21/2010 10:50:20 PM | message detail
Alucard would won no matter what the circumstances. Magus wasn't swinging 10% of the vote in his favour.

And here I thought that Alucard was weakening... Either Alucard's stronger than I gave him credit for or CTDS wasn't much help... Though I really think that it'd be easier to draw conclusions after Crono and Frog's matches.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:51:47 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger's potential patheticness has been swept under the rug (for now) by what Sonic and Knuckles pulled off.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
GrapefruitKing | Posted 1/21/2010 10:52:03 PM | message detail
augh Kirby stop dropping you're ruining my prediction
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 59th
Today's prediction: Kirby with 59.45% Status:
red sox 777 | Posted 1/21/2010 10:53:31 PM | message detail
Thinking Rikku can hit and maybe end at 43%.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....