GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 787

UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/19/2010 7:05:03 PM | message detail
"Lightning never strikes twice in the same place" is a lie, or else Ben Franklin would have never invented lightning rods.

I remove LFF and LPF for now, since we're not in a 4way contest at the moment. If anyone wants them back, feel free to yell.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
Is a momentary gleam all you need?
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 7:05:49 PM | message detail
YELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

Also, Spider-Man > Batman
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
AppreciateTrees | Posted 1/19/2010 7:06:08 PM | message detail
Wesker > Ken
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'The law' says I can't douse myself in butterscotch perfume and give surprise foot massages to anyone who walks past an open sewer grate, but I do it anyway.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/19/2010 7:06:38 PM | message detail
Batman > Link
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
WHAT'S THE MATTER, SCARED??
red sox 777 | Posted 1/19/2010 7:07:01 PM | message detail
Luke > Vader > Link >>> Batman
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/19/2010 7:07:41 PM | message detail
YOU'RE TOO SLO~OW!
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
This was a triumph.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:07:57 PM | message detail
Sonic you pathetic pile of crap.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/19/2010 9:08:26 PM | message detail
Balthier > Knuckles
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Not Wylvane
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 9:08:46 PM | message detail
Let's play the 'who does Sonic lose to' game!

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
red sox 777 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:08:55 PM | message detail
Bad news for everyone associated with Sonic last year!

Auron and Sub-Zero are so screwed!
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 9:09:00 PM | message detail
Man, only 388 perfects left after one division. That's gotta be some kinda record.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
paraboxx | Posted 1/19/2010 9:09:12 PM | message detail
Nearly 35% at the freeze, eh? Yeah, that works for me. Not worth a laugh, maybe, but definitely worth a grin! :D

No way in hell Sonic makes it out of this division.

Hey, does this mean Lightning beats Magus RIGHT NOW?

I'd have taken Lightning in that matchup without a second thought.

...then again, I'd probably take CATS over Magus at this point.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 9:09:22 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #010
Bad news for everyone associated with Sonic last year!

Auron and Sub-Zero are so screwed!


Aw yeah
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:09:46 PM | message detail
I'm really surprised by The Boss's prediction percentage, I figured it would be way lower. I guess the casuals remembered Drake losing to CATS.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
red sox 777 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:10:12 PM | message detail
Man, only 388 perfects left after one division. That's gotta be some kinda record.

For 1v1s, perhaps. For 4-ways, the entire board (or at least everyone in the Perfect Bracket Contest) had no perfects left after 3 matches for the 2008 character battle.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 9:10:14 PM | message detail
There are fewer casuals than usual this year though.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:10:18 PM | message detail
Tell...tell me Lightning did not just go up.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:10:28 PM | message detail
Lightning % ++
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:10:35 PM | message detail
I'm really surprised by The Boss's prediction percentage, I figured it would be way lower. I guess the casuals remembered Drake losing to CATS.

With less brackets they seem to be more hardcore.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 5/8 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Knuckles
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/19/2010 9:10:35 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #009
Let's play the 'who does Sonic lose to' game!


L-Block.

I honestly believe that, while being weaker than Kratos and Charizard, L-Block could defeat Sonic 1v1 through joke character SFF.
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Not Wylvane
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/19/2010 9:10:37 PM | message detail
haha wow lightning didnt even get the board vote
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 9:10:52 PM | message detail
Ha, Sonic still can't get separation. He's fast, but is he...

LIGHTNING FAST
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 9:10:54 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3738&region=ASI

Let's keep an eye on this.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 1/19/2010 9:11:48 PM | message detail
I officially give up on anything Sonic doing jack on this site ever again.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
paulg235 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:12:03 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3738&region=AU

Australia knows what's up.
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream
red sox 777 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:12:05 PM | message detail
Of course she didn't get the board vote. She's a Final Fantasy character, against Sonic.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 9:12:39 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #026
Of course she didn't get the board vote. She's a Final Fantasy character, against Sonic.


Yeah, but I think this board takes joy in Sonic failing now.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 9:12:43 PM | message detail
Damn, Sonic, just damn. I went with 70% and thought I might have been shortchanging him a bit. Her. Game. Isn't. Even. Out. She. Is. Like. Sackboy.
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Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
vcharon | Posted 1/19/2010 9:12:43 PM | message detail
Noble Nine on life support.
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:>
paraboxx | Posted 1/19/2010 9:12:48 PM | message detail
The comedy only gets better from here, folks!

I love you, night matches.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/19/2010 9:12:55 PM | message detail
sooo

whos ready to go with cecil > knux?
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 9:12:55 PM | message detail
...Cecil>Knuckles?

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 9:13:09 PM | message detail
Woah, Same Time Same Content

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:13:09 PM | message detail
Knuckles is lucky he draws Cecil in the day!

That match really has no reason to be close, but I'm more worried about it than Liquid/Altair at this point.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 9:13:33 PM | message detail
Wait...I think Knuckles should be fine because he's less involved in these new sucky Sonic games!

No Sonic Deboost for him! Knuckles > Sonic, let's go go go!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
AmazingKirby | Posted 1/19/2010 9:13:34 PM | message detail
Lightning is the first FF character we've seen thus far. Sonic sucks. Link sucked.

FF mega-boost.
Sonic de-boost.
Brawl de-boost part 2.

Cecil > Knuckles.
Rikku > Kirby.

Believe!
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caps
charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:13:46 PM | message detail
Only way the Noble Nine doesn't die is if Sonic gets some weird Brawl SFFing powers.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 5/8 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Knuckles
Master Moltar | Posted 1/19/2010 9:13:56 PM | message detail
Knux will redeem Sonic Team just wait
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Moltar Status: Bracket: The Boss > Drake (6/7)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
greatone10 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:14:34 PM | message detail
Sonic seems to want to lose to Kirby again, if he even makes it there.
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KrahenProphets's path to Best Game Ever '09.
If only I was half the guru he was, I may not have this sig.
Lopen | Posted 1/19/2010 9:14:52 PM | message detail
Man even assuming Sonic stock is dropping all that means is Cecil loses with 40% instead of 30% tbqh.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
AsurasKordoth | Posted 1/19/2010 9:14:52 PM | message detail
DISSIDI-FEAR! Knux still has this but I expect everyone to knock Knux down a few points in their Oracle.
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~AK~ // Merc
paulg235 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:15:11 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #037
Only way the Noble Nine doesn't die is if Sonic gets some weird Brawl SFFing powers.


The same Brawl SFFing powers which help him beat Kirby in 2008- oh wate lol snoic
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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 9:15:14 PM | message detail
Knuckles is the lone Sonic character who hasn't looked like ass recently. He did decently against Yoshi in 2007 and looked a hell of a lot better in losing to Zelda than Shadow did losing to Zidane.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/19/2010 9:15:21 PM | message detail
oh my god sonic
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:15:41 PM | message detail
Oh man
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 9:15:43 PM | message detail

From: Lopen | #040
Man even assuming Sonic stock is dropping all that means is Cecil loses with 40% instead of 30% tbqh.


Basically. Cecil is nothing but fodder. He won't lose to Knuckles.

But if Knuckles can't even get 60% on Cecil...Man, he sucks.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
CrocNRoll | Posted 1/19/2010 9:15:43 PM | message detail
I propose that the term "Noble Nine" be replaced with the term "Noble Eight & Sonic."
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Future Winner of the Ed Bellis Award for Excellence in the Field of Ed Bellis
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/19/2010 9:15:52 PM | message detail
Hahaha, Lightning went up about 1% there.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:15:55 PM | message detail
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
red sox 777 | Posted 1/19/2010 9:16:02 PM | message detail
Sonic will just have to rely on the Nintendo Deboost Part 2 to save him.

But really, he's very lucky to be facing the Nintendo and not the Square near-elites this year, with or without a second Deboost.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....