GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 786

KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/19/2010 12:59:21 PM | message detail
Red is still a huge question mark. How Ocelot really looked this year remains to be seen.
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/19/2010 12:59:54 PM | message detail
Overperformance on Red? Red is crap that shouldn't have won. No one gives a damn about him.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 1:00:02 PM | message detail
Red? apparently you didn't see the Crew !

Because the opinion of the crew = the opinion of the board. Red had around 75% support.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
Dark_Spiral | Posted 1/19/2010 1:00:42 PM | message detail
Overperformance on Red? Red is crap that shouldn't have won. No one gives a damn about him.

He won his match, so apparently some people do, imo. Sour grapes?
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 1:01:24 PM | message detail
Red had 51% of the casual bracket support, and the casuals have actually been smart this year. It was a debatable match that we all sided on Red for because Ocelot tends to choke.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 1:01:28 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #118
Man, Boss' result today is more impressive than anything Ocelot has done...ever.


Nah, beating Jill is more impressive than beating Drake. Jill beats Drake pretty easily.

Snake >> Big Boss (Naked Snake) > Liquid >> Ocelot > The Boss > Raiden

Not sure where I'd stick old man Big Boss in there though. I wonder how he'd do against Liquid.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 1:01:55 PM | message detail
The Boss' percent by the hour

1:00 | 52.41%
2:00 | 53.04%
3:00 | 51.95%
4:00 | 50.99%

Fear the Uncharted ASV.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/19/2010 1:02:15 PM | message detail
Although if you do think she's more popular outside of the fanbase.. I don't really know anything that even indicates that. That would have to require that base to play MGS3 more than the other 3 games.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/19/2010 1:02:18 PM | message detail
> Raiden

How dare you.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 1/19/2010 1:02:53 PM | message detail
My too-long experience with the Crew leaves me with no illusions of it being a good barometer for the board by any metric. The Guru, the BOP, the Oracle, these had decisive support for Red.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 1:03:12 PM | message detail
Actually, we should get Solidus and/or Gray Fox in next year to see how they'd do, just for kicks. I think Gray Fox could do halfway decently though if he gets awesome cyborg ninja pics.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 1/19/2010 1:04:24 PM | message detail
Snake >> Big Boss (Naked Snake) > Liquid >> Ocelot > The Boss > Raiden

Not sure where I'd stick old man Big Boss in there though. I wonder how he'd do against Liquid.


He would win. Not sure how that reflects on his indirect strength (I suspect it is higher...), but BB would win.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 1:04:42 PM | message detail
Decisive support doesn't always mean the match is a lock. Often times it just means the match is debatable (which it was, I saw arguments everywhere over it) but one pick just feels a lot 'safer'. 75% of people picking Red means he should've been the favorite, not the clear favorite.

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Karma Hunter | Posted 1/19/2010 1:06:33 PM | message detail
Decisive support doesn't always mean the match is a lock. Often times it just means the match is debatable (which it was, I saw arguments everywhere over it) but one pick just feels a lot 'safer'. 75% of people picking Red means he should've been the favorite, not the clear favorite.

Right, but you can measure the intensity and confidence of support to at least some degree using the Oracle. And just at a glance, it is littered with Red blowout picks.
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Dark_Spiral | Posted 1/19/2010 1:06:49 PM | message detail
Given the votes The Boss is getting, Drake's not going to be able to even tie it up at this point. It looks like this match is nearly over
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 1:07:06 PM | message detail
But I'm surprised you're not giving Ocelot credit for nearly beating Red, KP, considering how high you were on the guy!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 1:07:17 PM | message detail
The Oracle is full of people who don't know what they're doing. >_>

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 1:07:51 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #167
The Oracle is full of people who don't know what they're doing. >_>


Yeah, but it still gives you a general idea of what the board thinks, even if they're wrong.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 1:07:53 PM | message detail
I figured Ocelot was going to give Red a heck of a match the second I saw that fugly Brawl pic.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 1:08:23 PM | message detail
Psh, blaming that on the Brawl pic is as bad as blaming Drake's loss on his pic today!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 1:09:34 PM | message detail
But I'm surprised you're not giving Ocelot credit for nearly beating Red, KP, considering how high you were on the guy!

I think he was one of guys that thought Ocelot winning was a crazy idea back when the bracket was released. Maybe he came down to Earth.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
LOLContests | Posted 1/19/2010 1:09:57 PM | message detail
How is the Brawl pic bad? That's like the best possible picture he could have gotten.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 1:11:05 PM | message detail
I saw several people on the board asking whether or not it was Red from the Pokemon games (who they would vote for) or Pokemon Trainer from Brawl (who they would not). I don't think the pic made a huge difference, but it definitely did not inspire confidence in a close match.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 1/19/2010 1:11:31 PM | message detail
How is the Brawl pic bad? That's like the best possible picture he could have gotten.

Picture of Ash or a sprite would be better.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
swirIdude | Posted 1/19/2010 1:24:05 PM | message detail
Picture of Ash or a sprite would be better.

How would a picture of an ENTIRELY DIFFERENT CHARACTER be better?

If anything, the best pic outside of the sprite and Brawl would be Red from the manga.
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KingBartz | Posted 1/19/2010 1:43:33 PM | message detail
Drake now needs to cut 17.2 votes an update to tie.
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Lopen | Posted 1/19/2010 1:45:19 PM | message detail
Boss's percentage hasn't actually been going down much and the lead certainly hasn't been going down.

Just saying.
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KingBartz | Posted 1/19/2010 1:46:44 PM | message detail
with each update drake just gets further in a whole he will never even begin to climb out of...
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 1:47:05 PM | message detail
The Boss has lost a grand total of .3% since the ASV started.

Fear the Drake.
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"I can set you free, mate."
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 1/19/2010 1:56:57 PM | message detail
From: LeonhartFour | #179
The Boss has lost a grand total of .3% since the ASV started.

(And gained 500 votes)
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lol Drake.
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/19/2010 2:01:10 PM | message detail
Aw yeah The Boss. I wonder if she'll have lower bracket support than Ammy?
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 2:03:17 PM | message detail
The Boss' percent for each hour.

1:00 | 52.41%
2:00 | 53.04%
3:00 | 51.95%
4:00 | 51.67%
5:00 | 52.03%

Vote totals are also picking up.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 2:04:38 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #181
Aw yeah The Boss. I wonder if she'll have lower bracket support than Ammy?


It's gotta be lower. Seeing the "2" by anyone's name will mean much to any bracket maker who isn't completely sure.
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Mr3790 | Posted 1/19/2010 2:07:27 PM | message detail
Nice, keeping The Boss>Drake was a good decision afterall.
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 1/19/2010 2:08:43 PM | message detail
So, who do you guys have for The Boss/WCC?

I'm taking the Cube, even if he is a joke.
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Dark_Spiral | Posted 1/19/2010 2:09:30 PM | message detail
The Boss will take the Cube. The only real powerful joke character this contest is Missingno
charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 2:10:18 PM | message detail
It's gotta be lower. Seeing the "2" by anyone's name will mean much to any bracket maker who isn't completely sure.

I don't think it will make much of a difference overall. Amaterasu was able to get only 36% while being a 6 seed while Mega Man X got 75% being a 13 seed.

I think Nathan Drake being fresh off of the GotY poll will be a larger factor.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
HaRRicH | Posted 1/19/2010 2:10:48 PM | message detail
Yeah, Drake is unimpressive with the ASV -- he's only cut a little into the percentage. It should continue to improve, but this is not what he needed to win.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 2:12:04 PM | message detail
So, who do you guys have for The Boss/WCC?

I'm taking the Cube, even if he is a joke.


I'd wait for GlaDOS/Fawful and L-Block/HK-47 before giving one the green light.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
KingBartz | Posted 1/19/2010 2:12:26 PM | message detail
The Boss will take the Cube. The only real powerful joke character this contest is Missingno

How can we know? Because of the vote-in poll? Joke characters always overperform in widespread polls
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Contest score: 6/7 Today's picks:Weighted Comp. Cube &
The Boss
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 1/19/2010 2:13:15 PM | message detail
Big Boss' opinion on the outcome of this match:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z195aCfuRSU
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/19/2010 2:13:50 PM | message detail
Most surprising first round results!

1. Tales of Symphonia - 16.10% vs Oblivion, God of War, San Andreas in 2009
2. The Secret of Monkey Island - 18.97% vs Super Mario Bros. 3, SimCity, Tecmo Super Bowl in 2009
3. Sub-Zero - 20.27% vs Master Chief in 2006
4. StarCraft - 24.09% vs Halo in 2004
5. KOS-MOS - 30.09% vs Mega Man, Arthas, Diablo in 2007
6. Castlevania - 31.49% vs Halo in 2006
7. Portal - 32.29% vs Metal Gear Solid 4, Bioshock, LittleBigPlanet in 2009
8. L-Block - 32.77% vs Kirby, Laharl, Nathan Hale in 2007
9. Sandbag - 33.03% vs Sonic, Magus, Commander Shepard in 2008
10. HK-47 - 33.24% vs Zero, Lloyd, Jak in 2007
11. Diablo II - 33.75% vs Halo, Knights of the Old Republic, Grand Theft Auto III in 2009
12. Big Boss - 33.79% vs Mario, Pac-Man, Wander in 2007
13. Warcraft - 33.94% vs Grand Theft Auto in 2006
14. Mudkip - 34.50% vs Luigi, Pit, Tingle in 2007
15. Bidoof - 34.56% vs Link, Edgeworth, Agent J in 2007
16. Knuckles - 35.08% vs Magus in 2005
17. Vivi - 35.13% vs Donkey Kong in 2004
18. Hogger - 35.55% vs Dante, Ramza, Laharl in 2008
19. Amaterasu - 36.27% vs Shadow the Hedgehog in 2010
20. Vercetti - 37.66% vs Kefka in 2005
21. Arthas Menethil - 37.86% vs Pikachu, Ike, Spy in 2008
22. Vergil - 37.99% vs Ganon, Thrall, Ratchet in 2007
23. Meta Knight - 38.02% vs Sephiroth, Peach, CATS in 2007
24. Weighted Companion Cube - 38.04% vs Tidus, Donkey Kong, Tails in 2008
25. Zidane Tribal - 38.26% vs Link, Shadow, Luke in 2008

Falling off:
Ocelot vs Pac-Man

Seasonal Representation

* Games '04 - 1
* Characters '04 - 1
* Characters '05 - 1
* Series '06 - 2
* Characters '06 - 1
* Characters '07 - 8
* Characters '08 - 5
* Games '09 - 4
* Characters '10 - 1

Ammy breaks into the top 20. If The Boss has under 30%, which I think she has a shot at, she'll be in the top 5.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 2:15:04 PM | message detail
I changed to Cube a day or two before closing and don't see why this result should make me worry. It's not like one character is crushing the other enough to shock people. Yesterday's awful votals worry me more than today's result.
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 1/19/2010 2:15:24 PM | message detail
The Cube more than doubled Tails, beating Tidus and DK at the same time:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3260

The Boss barely beat Tails:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2876

In order for The Boss > Cube to happen, we'd need to see a much weaker version of the Cube, which judging by his demolish job yesterday, we're not going to.

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Dark_Spiral | Posted 1/19/2010 2:18:13 PM | message detail
The cube against Sandal proved nothing. That was supposed to be a squash match. If you're saying the Boss is in trouble over a gimme match in contrast to putting out decent numbers against a GOTY contender and winning? The Boss takes it
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 1/19/2010 2:18:45 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #192
16. Knuckles - 35.08% vs Magus in 2005
.


I think this is when LOLX-Stats really started, and MMXcalibur had the Rocky Balboa theme on the Knuckles page.
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/19/2010 2:18:54 PM | message detail
Oh, and Ocelot is pretty obviously stronger than The Boss. You don't even have to think hard about that - Tails vs Jill is a pretty damn easy match to call. Ocelot's on the low side of midcarders and The Boss is on the high side of fodder, but there's definitely a difference there.
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/19/2010 2:19:42 PM | message detail
If The Boss has under 35.08% support, she makes the top five upsets for one-on-one battles according to that list.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 2:21:18 PM | message detail
Kojima needs to make a prequel detailing the Boss's exploits in WWII.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 2:22:09 PM | message detail
1. Tales of Symphonia - 16.10% vs Oblivion, God of War, San Andreas in 2009

Best Match Ever

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.