GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 786

TheCodeisBosco | Posted 1/19/2010 11:16:49 AM | message detail
The bright side to this match, for me anyway: Liquid Snake seems a lot more likely to make it to Round Three now!

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Drake? DRAKE? DRAAAAAAAAKE!
CURRENTLY PLAYING: Electroplankton (DS), Pokemon Gold (GBC)
charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 11:17:50 AM | message detail
Glad I went with my instinct on this one. I just hope that Boss can beat WCC next round. I don't know how people thought Drake would easily best THE BOSS, when he was sooooo bad before.

A non-existent character should technically get 0% on CATS yet we see them defeat him when the game is released.

Nathan didn't need Uncharted 1 in order to win.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
croy3 | Posted 1/19/2010 11:18:56 AM | message detail
So, any chance of Drake comein back?
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(\__/) Vincent Valentine's #3 Fanboy, Knuckles' #1 Homeboy
(='.'=) My Bunny Ziggy
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/19/2010 11:19:17 AM | message detail
XFD at that 222 vote update for Drake.
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"You guys have electricity? How do you manage that?"
"We have 2 giant hamsters running on a massive wheel in our secret underground cave..."
Jmast7 | Posted 1/19/2010 11:30:58 AM | message detail
I knew I shouldn't have bought into the Drake hype and changed my pick - ruins my perfect bracket too. Good thing I at least came to my senses and didn't have him going to the third round. :P
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Currently playing: FE8, Zelda: Spirit Tracks
Currently Watching: BSG: Season 3, LOST: Season 5 (rewatch)
Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/19/2010 11:31:26 AM | message detail
drake is starting to stall.. maybe we're starting to see some of the asv trends coming
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 11:34:00 AM | message detail
drake is starting to stall.. maybe we're starting to see some of the asv trends coming

The Boss' percent for each half hour

12:30 | 52.01%
1:00 | 52.89%
1:30 | 52.12%
2:00 | 53.97%
2:30 | 52.31%

Maybe, the next two half hours will be important.

Nathan Drake needs 8.42 votes per update to tie.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/19/2010 11:35:33 AM | message detail
A non-existent character should technically get 0% on CATS yet we see them defeat him when the game is released.

Yet that wouldn't happen if the voting habits of voters mostly stay intact in a contest. Look at this poll:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3680

Considering "Least popular" got 0.96% there, even the weakest character should have a floor of at least 1% against even the most popular characters like Link. And even the weakest known characters would probably do a bit better than 1% from voters voting for them because they are the bottom option in a match and also from randomly voting.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 11:40:00 AM | message detail
In practice a Link vs. Link match with the same picture would lead to the top Link winning.

What I'm trying to say is that "weaker than CATS" is a bad argument to use in this case because Uncharted 1 has nothing on Uncharted 2.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
Dark_Spiral | Posted 1/19/2010 11:40:51 AM | message detail
Drake's not winning, imo
machinegungeek | Posted 1/19/2010 11:41:15 AM | message detail
Oh well, losing a perfect bracket on a Boss win is probably the best way to lose it. I was even listening to the MGS 3 version of the main theme last night. Classic.

So, does spell doom for Sackboy's first round match,given that the PS3 boost isn't that great?

And curious to see the ASV here as well. I expect ND will make a match of it at least, especially given the current low votals.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 11:41:24 AM | message detail
Boss kneebars her way to 1000.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/19/2010 11:42:25 AM | message detail
1000 vote barrier broken.

This one is probably over. I doubt a PS3 exclusive character will have a fantastic ASV.
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"You guys have electricity? How do you manage that?"
"We have 2 giant hamsters running on a massive wheel in our secret underground cave..."
CrocNRoll | Posted 1/19/2010 11:44:39 AM | message detail
Looks like it's time for another modified match pic.

http://img205.imageshack.us/img205/56/99262924.png
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Future Winner of the Ed Bellis Award for Excellence in the Field of Ed Bellis
HaRRicH | Posted 1/19/2010 11:44:52 AM | message detail
Yeah, this is looking over, but this will also be our first real ASV in this format...who knows what it has in store for us.

So what was your secret evidence for The Boss > Drake, yo?
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
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wedny | Posted 1/19/2010 11:45:55 AM | message detail
Any estimates of what percentage have Drake to win? I could see this being another 36% correct like Ammy but I could also see it being 50% or higher.
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sigh.....
Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/19/2010 11:46:02 AM | message detail
drake'd
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 11:46:39 AM | message detail
Oh, just the substitute teacher theory. Look at Drake, he looks like your cool substitute teacher (could be high school, junior high, elementary, whatever). The cool substitute teacher ain't bad, but he ain't beating The Boss.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/19/2010 11:48:14 AM | message detail
I have to think Boss has less than 30% of the brackets. I mean, casual brackets on the fence almost certainly go for the 2 over the 15, right?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 11:48:18 AM | message detail
An ASV preview from Drake? Let's see if he can manage another one.

And going back to the last topic for a sec, I really don't know what to expect from Sonic/Lightning tonight. That one has a wide range to it, kinda like I thought Cube/Sandal had. Lightning could get like 35% or she could get 15%. Who knows? I went with her getting 30% though, but I dunno.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 11:49:48 AM | message detail
And I think The Boss will have decent support. We've already seen that bracket makers aren't opposed with going with the lower seed this year. Ocelot had 48% as a 12, X had 75% as a 13, and Shadow had 65% as an 11. Heck, even Meta Knight and Sandal had 25% support, for whatever the reason.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
charmander6000 | Posted 1/19/2010 11:49:57 AM | message detail
I have to think Boss has less than 30% of the brackets. I mean, casual brackets on the fence almost certainly go for the 2 over the 15, right?

MMX did pretty well for himself despite being a 13 seed.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 3/6 - Today's Winners: WCC and The Boss
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 11:51:38 AM | message detail
Yep, just a fluke update from Drake. Nothin' to see here, folks.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/19/2010 11:51:39 AM | message detail
The Boss just had to reload her Patriot.
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"You guys have electricity? How do you manage that?"
"We have 2 giant hamsters running on a massive wheel in our secret underground cave..."
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 11:52:16 AM | message detail

From: DaruniaTheGoron | #074
The Boss just had to reload her Patriot.


INFINITE AMMO

See, the chamber is shaped like an infinity symbol. That means it has infinite ammo.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Karma Hunter | Posted 1/19/2010 11:52:20 AM | message detail
But it's got infinite ammo!
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Cecil XIX | Posted 1/19/2010 11:53:07 AM | message detail
DaruniaTheGoron
Posted 1/19/2010 2:51:39 PM
The Boss just had to reload her Patriot.


But the feeding mechanism is shaped like an infinity symbol! It doesn't have to be reloaded!
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
Congrats to Krahenprophet for his well-deserved victory.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/19/2010 11:53:41 AM | message detail
XD at everybody jumping on me for that.
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"You guys have electricity? How do you manage that?"
"We have 2 giant hamsters running on a massive wheel in our secret underground cave..."
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 11:53:46 AM | message detail
But the Patriot has- damnit guys

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 11:53:55 AM | message detail
*points to headband*

Infinite ammo.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
wedny | Posted 1/19/2010 11:54:24 AM | message detail
I have no idea what future matches hold but I'm perfect so far with Boss and I only have three #2 seeds advancing. A lot of them just seemed really weak. In fact a lot of the seeding seemed pretty bunk overall.
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sigh.....
Biolizard28 | Posted 1/19/2010 12:00:44 PM | message detail
You know what?

**** you, MGS.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
Lightslayer987 | Posted 1/19/2010 12:01:28 PM | message detail
3 o'clock. No excuses for Drake now. Lets see what he can do
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 12:02:15 PM | message detail
Ocelot already came through for the Pokemon fans. Let's not pretend that anyone actually cares about Nathan Drake here.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Biolizard28 | Posted 1/19/2010 12:03:02 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #084
Ocelot already came through for the Pokemon fans. Let's not pretend that anyone actually cares about Nathan Drake here.


I care about my bracket.

One point lost is one point I can never get back, dammit!
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/19/2010 12:03:05 PM | message detail
I have no idea what future matches hold but I'm perfect so far with Boss and I only have three #2 seeds advancing. A lot of them just seemed really weak. In fact a lot of the seeding seemed pretty bunk overall.

Are they Kratos, Dante and Squall? Master Chief and Gordon Freeman probably won't lose, though.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
xp1337 | Posted 1/19/2010 12:03:19 PM | message detail
*Sees match for the first time*

Aha! The strategy of, "If you lose to CATS that badly, there's no boost that can save you" seems to be succeeding.

Or is it thought that Drake still has a reasonable shot at coming back?
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 1/19/2010 12:03:21 PM | message detail
Still not feeling confident in Drake's comeback potential, but you never know, I guess.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 12:03:41 PM | message detail
I think the ASV is going to be one big stall.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/19/2010 12:04:37 PM | message detail
Drake still has a chance. Not a big one, but he can't waste time. If he hasn't made any serious progress in the next 90 minutes, then forget it.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/19/2010 12:06:17 PM | message detail
Not looking good for Drake.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Biolizard28 | Posted 1/19/2010 12:06:39 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #089
I think the ASV is going to be one big stall.


Called it.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
Biolizard28 | Posted 1/19/2010 12:08:38 PM | message detail
Also

From: xp1337 | #087
*Sees match for the first time*

Aha! The strategy of, "If you lose to CATS that badly, there's no boost that can save you" seems to be succeeding.


Please, stop pretending that losing is enough to discount any progress a character has made strength wise. Most people would agree that Ike would be a monster with good placement yet he's never won a match.

This clearly isn't the same entity that got doubled by CATS last year, and even though coming close to The Boss is nothing to brag about, it's much better than what he had done in 2008.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 12:08:54 PM | message detail
You know, I'm seeing a lot less whining/confusion topics than I saw with Shadow/Ammy. Either people care more about Shadow the Hedgehog than Drake, or the casuals weren't as fooled by the 2 Seed as we thought they would be.

Of course, we're likely to see a lot more as the ASV progresses.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
topher28 | Posted 1/19/2010 12:10:39 PM | message detail
If by "a chance" you mean that Drake is sitting in the cockpit of a jet-fighter with all its engines shot out, nosediving towards a lake filled with crocodiles, piranhas, and evil polar bears that just happens to be located in the middle of the Sahara desert 200 miles from any water source and he has "a chance" of survival, then yeah, I agree that he has a chance.

Oh..yeah and the lakewater is skin-burningly acidic and poisonous in case Drake gets any wise ideas.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 1/19/2010 12:11:49 PM | message detail

From: Biolizard28 | #093
Also

[quoted text]

Please, stop pretending that losing is enough to discount any progress a character has made strength wise. Most people would agree that Ike would be a monster with good placement yet he's never won a match.

This clearly isn't the same entity that got doubled by CATS last year, and even though coming close to The Boss is nothing to brag about, it's much better than what he had done in 2008.


Woah woah woah... Ike a "monster"? Maybe against a weak 4pack.

And I picked the Boss based on how bad he lost to CATS. I mean really now... I knew his boost would be big enough to give him a potential victory (and I DID have him initially because of Uncharted 2 hype) but then I realized the PS3 exclusivity would probably hurt him, plus Uncharted was well received (and even had Drake's name in the title!) and yet he still did horrible in 2008. He's definitely not terrible Sandal fodder, but he's still no better than high fodder level.
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"You guys have electricity? How do you manage that?"
"We have 2 giant hamsters running on a massive wheel in our secret underground cave..."
Dark_Spiral | Posted 1/19/2010 12:13:46 PM | message detail
Drake wasn't going to win this one. When people see The Boss, their first thought is,"MGS," and that's what they associate her with. Uncharted 2, while a good game just can't compare with MGS. People who enter this contest, at least most of them want to go for safe bets. Boss was the safe bet, and because of it she took in the majority of votes.
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/19/2010 12:20:09 PM | message detail
Is Drake even going to cause a stall? I think The Boss slowed down her gains a tiny bit, but the lead is still increasing at a fair rate.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/19/2010 12:21:10 PM | message detail
Drake will cut. I don't think the ASV gets fully rolling until the CA kids get home.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/19/2010 12:21:30 PM | message detail
Apparently not.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.