GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 784

charmander6000 | Posted 1/18/2010 7:28:16 PM | message detail
I've always had the feeling that it's pretty difficult for fodder to blow out bottom of the barrel fodder. Would CATS really get 87% or whatever he's supposed to get on Tanner? I have my doubts about whether he'd break 80%- at some point most of the voters simply won't recognize either character, and then if they still vote anyway, they'll just split 50-50 or vote based on the picture. It's true CATS/Tanner would get extraordinarly low votals, but there's a certain base level that contest matches really don't drop below.

Didn't Ryo get 72% on Guybrush?

Then again Ryo wasn't that weak in 2002.
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Character Battle VIII - 2/4 - Today's Winners: Luigi and Shadow
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/18/2010 7:31:11 PM | message detail
Getting 60-40'd by Lara Croft isn't weak?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/18/2010 7:31:49 PM | message detail
ryo in 2002 is a case of only 30% of people actually knowign who guybrush even was. the other 70% prolly just went for ryo cuz he looked cooler
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/18/2010 7:33:57 PM | message detail
Getting 60-40'd by Lara Croft isn't weak?

Compare to 2k3 and 2k4 no.
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Character Battle VIII - 2/4 - Today's Winners: Luigi and Shadow
marsman57 | Posted 1/18/2010 7:34:35 PM | message detail
I was thinking about it tonight. Which character from 2002 do you guys think would do worst if they were brought back in a modern match?

I am thinking Ulala would do pretty terrible. I didn't even know who she was THEN (I later discovered Space Channel 5 and regret not being aware of it). But really, do you think 95% of teens today would have even heard of her, much less prefer her in a bracket.
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marsman57 | Posted 1/18/2010 7:35:15 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #453
ryo in 2002 is a case of only 30% of people actually knowign who guybrush even was. the other 70% prolly just went for ryo cuz he looked cooler


I remember there being an outrage on the board when Guybrush lost. He had a lot of support here.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/18/2010 7:35:27 PM | message detail
I've always had the feeling that it's pretty difficult for fodder to blow out bottom of the barrel fodder. Would CATS really get 87% or whatever he's supposed to get on Tanner? I have my doubts about whether he'd break 80%- at some point most of the voters simply won't recognize either character, and then if they still vote anyway, they'll just split 50-50 or vote based on the picture. It's true CATS/Tanner would get extraordinarly low votals, but there's a certain base level that contest matches really don't drop below.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=949
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=959
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=960

It's 2k2, so who knows if things like that are repeatable. However, it does suggest that weak character can serious beatdown their opponent if their opponent is weak enough. I'm not sure what happens if you get to truly weak fodder.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=969

Is ~58% Serious Sam's ceiling or is there an opponent weak enough for Sam to aim for 70-80+%?
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/18/2010 7:38:06 PM | message detail
Personally I'd like to have Ms. Pac-Man return since I believe that Mega Man SFF her.

She'd still be weaker than Pac-Man though.
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Character Battle VIII - 2/4 - Today's Winners: Luigi and Shadow
charmander6000 | Posted 1/18/2010 7:41:18 PM | message detail
Match VII: (7) Weighted Companion Cube vs. (10) Sandal

Information

Name: Weighted Companion Cube
Game/Series: Portal
Previous Contest: 2008
Performance: 3rd in round 4

Name: Sandal
Game/Series: Dragon Age: Origins
Previous Contest: N/A
Performance: N/A

Analysis

Even the most biased against joke characters people must take at least one to the second round. With 128 spots and a handful of joke characters one would think SBAllen would have separated them a little. Heck this match isn’t even debated though there is no consensus as to the percent the winner will get. While I still stand by joke characters being weaker in this format that kind of gets thrown out the window in this match as this match becomes who is the bigger joke.

WCC has the main advantage of being in a contest before and scoring a few major upsets so it at least has some recognition. Another advantage is that WCC is seen throughout most of the game and while the same can be said about Sandal the scene that made him famous happens near the end of the game while Portal reminds you of the cubes.

While I feel that Portal has been slipping over the years and Dragon Age would probably win in a match from playing the game I feel that Sandal is not recognizable to even fans of the game. When the bracket was released I didn’t even know that he was the Enchantment guy until someone brought it up. I would like to bet that Sandal would perform better if site ran Enchantment in the background or his name was changed to Enchantment guy from Dragon Age.

Interestingly enough Sandal made it to the bracket with no previous appearances or board support so I feel that there is support for him, but as seen in the past nominations doesn’t mean that he will have a respectable performance. It's a shame that he's the only Dragon Age representitive.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Weighted Companion Cube > Sandal

charmander6000’s Prediction: Cube wins, 69.24% - 30.76%

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Character Battle VIII - 2/4 - Today's Winners: Luigi and Shadow
creativename | Posted 1/18/2010 7:49:34 PM | message detail
I really wish I had Kirby>Sonic in my bracket now.

At the current moment, who would you consider the favorite in that match?
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/18/2010 8:02:09 PM | message detail
Sonic. No one likes Shadow anymore, this match means nothing.
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paulg235 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:07:46 PM | message detail
Kirby.

As Ulti said, Shadow's match means nothing. Ammy was, and always has been a solid (low) midcarder. It's just that she's been in SFF/LFF matches in every match before this one.

But that doesn't mean I think Sonic's got the advantage. The Kirby defeat is still in many people's heads. I still see Sonic edging out Ganon thanks to the sprite round then losing to Kirby.

(I'm just hoping Ganon doesn't make it out of his division, otherwise Link meets the pig and lol xstats)
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:09:37 PM | message detail
You people put way too much stock in Kirby.
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FFDragon | Posted 1/18/2010 8:10:46 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=961

best ever
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/18/2010 8:10:54 PM | message detail
Magus sucked much harder than expected despite CTDS and Shadow's losing a winnable match. Kirby is VERY tempting, but I just don't have the kind of faith in Kirby. Sonic's not in a four-way and Kirby's not pulling off a string of upsets...plus Ganon should beat Sonic before Kirby does, so probably not, but who knows.

And curses, I still have only gotten Auron > Shadow in R1 from 2007 right in all of Shadow's matches. This is ridiculous.
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LOLContests | Posted 1/18/2010 8:11:57 PM | message detail
I see nothing wrong with Ryo/Guybrush as Guybrush matches up well with other years based off of it. It does imply that there were no anti-votes in Lara/Ryo, which is odd, but possible I guess.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/18/2010 8:13:30 PM | message detail
. It's just that she's been in SFF/LFF matches in every match before this one.

Um.. with who?
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:16:48 PM | message detail
There's the obvious tendency to overreaction around here...but Sonic Team has looked godawful in *every* match since 2007, and they just lost their fourway excuse. I think it qualifies as a trend by now.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/18/2010 8:17:46 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 1/18/2010 11:16:48 PM | #468
There's the obvious tendency to overreaction around here...but Sonic Team has looked godawful in *every* match since 2007, and they just lost their fourway excuse. I think it qualifies as a trend by now.


They have the Nintendo overlap excuse, at the very least.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:19:44 PM | message detail
I don't see any Nintendo here.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/18/2010 8:21:01 PM | message detail
They have the Nintendo overlap excuse, at the very least.

Yeah, that one went out of the window because if that qualified, Shadow wouldn't be sucking.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:21:31 PM | message detail
I think Sonic is still the favorite. Today's match at least, changes very little: Shadow isn't really embarassing himself considering Ammy put up very solid numbers last year too, and we really don't have a good idea of the proportion between Sonic and Shadow these days.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:22:22 PM | message detail
And in many of the matches where you can cry Nintendo overlap, there's something for the other character too. Yoshi/Knuckles? Rikku/Vaan. Zelda/Tails? Vincent/The Boss. Sonic/Sandbag? Auron/Magus. There aren't any excuses left for Sonic Team.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/18/2010 8:22:38 PM | message detail
Oh, and Sonic is still the favorite to beat Kirby unless you think Big Boss/Naked Snake has a real shot at upsetting Sonic.

I'm okay with that if you are though!
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paulg235 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:23:17 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #467
. It's just that she's been in SFF/LFF matches in every match before this one.

Um.. with who?


2007
R1 - Dante
R2 - Dante and Ada Wong
R3 - Dante and Leon

2008
R1 - Frank West
R2 - Ryu

Correct me if I'm wrong, but Okami is published by Capcom. While I know Ammy didn't originate from that game, her game/character does have some Capcom overlap with other Capcom characters. That's the way I see it.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/18/2010 8:23:41 PM | message detail
Capcom LFF?

Uhhhhhh
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/18/2010 8:23:45 PM | message detail
oh god Capcom SFF

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/18/2010 8:24:07 PM | message detail
There are no excuses left for Sonic Team, and it's now time for KNUCKLES to rSFF Sonic and give us one of the most inexplicable moments in contest history, YO YO YO best Sonic character in da house!
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 1/18/2010 8:24:36 PM | message detail
Capcom SFF...? Really?
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/18/2010 8:24:56 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 1/18/2010 8:22:38 PM | #474
Oh, and Sonic is still the favorite to beat Kirby unless you think Big Boss/Naked Snake has a real shot at upsetting Sonic.

I'm okay with that if you are though!


Don't you mean Mario?
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paulg235 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:25:14 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #474
Oh, and Sonic is still the favorite to beat Kirby unless you think Big Boss/Naked Snake has a real shot at upsetting Sonic.

I'm okay with that if you are though!


I would take Big Boss to defeat Mega Man if he had his Naked Snake pic. Otherwise, he wouldn't beat Kirby to begin with.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:25:51 PM | message detail
And yes, it is obvious that Sonic Team sucks now and they've fallen a long long way. But 2006 Sonic 60-40'd Luigi; he could afford to fall a long way and still pull out a narrow win against Kirby.

I expect it should be fairly close, and I'll be rooting for Kirby unless my winning a prize depends on Sonic winning or something like that. Ganondorf would probably take down Sonic before Kirby, although with the sprite round, perhaps not.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/18/2010 8:26:44 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #478
There are no excuses left for Sonic Team, and it's now time for KNUCKLES to rSFF Sonic and give us one of the most inexplicable moments in contest history, YO YO YO best Sonic character in da house!


Knuckles already did it once, he can do it again!

From: KanzarisKelshen | #480
Don't you mean Mario?


No, I mean Sonic. Big Boss got 48% in a 4-way with Kirby in it last year. If you're willing to say Kirby > Sonic is the probable result, then you have to give Big Boss at least a shot at beating Sonic.
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AmazingKirby | Posted 1/18/2010 8:32:21 PM | message detail
If Rikku gets the FFX pic I made for her, you guys won't even see Kirby make it to Sonic!
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creativename | Posted 1/18/2010 8:32:50 PM | message detail
Naked Snake can always wreak havoc, I don't think Naked Snake>Sonic is far-fetched if he's given a good Naked Snake pic like he got against Kirby in that match.
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paulg235 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:33:32 PM | message detail
If Rikku defeats Kirby, I'd highly consider closing my account.
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creativename | Posted 1/18/2010 8:34:26 PM | message detail
If Rikku gets the FFX pic I made for her, you guys won't even see Kirby make it to Sonic!

Uhhh...correct me if I'm wrong, but your name is AmazingKirby not AmazingRikku right? Perhaps I'm missing something... :)
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:35:23 PM | message detail
But 2006 Sonic 60-40'd Luigi; he could afford to fall a long way and still pull out a narrow win against Kirby.

2006 Sonic beat Crono who beat Auron pretty easily. 2008 Sonic lost to Auron pretty easily. Given the augh fourway percentages caveat, that works out to 2008 Sonic getting less than 43% on 2006 Sonic given a constant Auron (seems more or less reasonable, he had KHII by then). Sonic falling even more this year does not seem terribly unreasonable.
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AmazingKirby | Posted 1/18/2010 8:35:41 PM | message detail
Uhhh...correct me if I'm wrong, but your name is AmazingKirby not AmazingRikku right?

If only...*cries for my Heroic Rikku account*
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/18/2010 8:36:41 PM | message detail
I'd be very tempted to take Big Boss > Sonic if it was guaranteed that he'd get a Naked Snake pic, but I still don't know if I'd pull the trigger on it. Besides, Kirby didn't even really look that impressive in round 2 either. He stands out like crazy against Chief, Big Boss, and Raiden, and he barely beats the Chief by 1%. Heck, he only gets 54.60% on Big Boss being held back by Raiden. Not very impressive.

I'm a big Kirby fan and I'm rooting for him to pull the upset, but we're not going to see the Kirby we saw in the quarterfinals and semifinals. We're going to see round 1 and 2 Kirby.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/18/2010 8:37:33 PM | message detail
For the record, AmazingKirby was originally my account. I gave partystar that account after his, uhhh..."suicide," if you can call it that!
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/18/2010 8:39:42 PM | message detail
I've always thought Kirby beating Sonic was truly a one-shot deal, due to "WHOAOMG HE BEAT MONSTAR CHEIF CONTEST FINALIST!" in the eyes of the casuals. Thus he gained a pretty big boost due to how it surprised those not in the know, kind of like how Frog went to 48% Snake after his struggle with Chief. Does that sound plausible?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/18/2010 8:40:51 PM | message detail
That's pretty much exactly what most of us think, I imagine. I don't know many people who actually consider Kirby > Sonic a legit result, which is why it confuses me that so many people are considering it this year.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/18/2010 8:41:25 PM | message detail
Who's to say that Kirby won't be bandwagoned again this year?
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:41:36 PM | message detail
2006 Sonic beat Crono who beat Auron pretty easily. 2008 Sonic lost to Auron pretty easily. Given the augh fourway percentages caveat, that works out to 2008 Sonic getting less than 43% on 2006 Sonic given a constant Auron (seems more or less reasonable, he had KHII by then). Sonic falling even more this year does not seem terribly unreasonable.

Auron actually projects 2008 Sonic to around 41% on 2006 Sonic I think, even worse for Sonic, but then, Kirby was only at 38% on Sonic in 2006.

Round 1-2 Kirby from last year won't be enough to cut it, but Kirby from the later rounds would probably be the favorite. We can toss round 5 clearly, but other than that, it's hard to know for sure which round was most accurate- 4-ways are confounding like that.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:41:49 PM | message detail
For the record, I have Ganondorf beating Sonic!
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/18/2010 8:42:37 PM | message detail
Knuckles > Sonic in the board vote

We are accomplish.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/18/2010 8:42:38 PM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | #494
Who's to say that Kirby won't be bandwagoned again this year?


What match is going to bandwagon him? Beating Rikku? Beating Liquid/Vivi/Altair?

Those aren't bandwagon builders.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/18/2010 8:43:17 PM | message detail
Big Boss > Mario
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shutdown56 | Posted 1/18/2010 8:43:22 PM | message detail
LOL gg
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