GameFAQs Contests

Rev-loser Lossalot

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days.

Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples)

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

So, is Red now a lock for this match?

Time to see X unleash his stuff against Price.
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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane

Pretty much. 83 votes is a lot when there's only 5 updates left and the other character just took over the lead.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. KrahenProfit > Me

Red used Agility!

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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
Haruhi/Mikuru vs Kyon/Koizumi: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GskPbsYVyKQ

damn ocelot I hate you
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...

Way to ruin the fun, Bio. Absolutely astounding that you haven't been humbled and cwumbled when many of the Pokemon faithful were hoping for the upper 50s.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Plus you screwed up ReSTALLver LOSSalot. Your version is redundant and not as witty!
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

See, that's the difference between typical Pokemon fans and me.

I believe.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

From: HaRRicH | #008
Plus you screwed up ReSTALLver LOSSalot. Your version is redundant and not as witty!

I'm not a conformist pig I march to the beat of my own drum god leave me alone
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

Good match today. Red did bad enough to stop that silly hype about him being an elite character, but he won so I get some pointz.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart

Ocelot vs Pac-Man 2005
Ocelot vs Jill 2007
Ocelot vs Jill 2008
Ocelot vs Red 2010

Ocelot may have a rather bad contest career, but he's certainly provides a lot of entertainment in these contests.
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream

24 hours and this wouldn't be close at all.
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Shakes Fist!

From: voltch | Posted: 1/17/2010 11:48:38 AM | #013
24 hours and this wouldn't be close at all.

Yep. Red would have crushed it.
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.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.
You're not a good person. You know that, right?

well, I got this match wrong but eh, it was within variance.
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"it is a friggen beam so it is moving light speed" - MWC on Samus beam weapons. Seriously.
Sir Chris

Given the full day, Red could shoot for 52%.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

From: ZFS | #011
Good match today. Red did bad enough to stop that silly hype about him being an elite character, but he won so I get some pointz.

pretty much this
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Red > Ocelot (Go Ocelot) (2/2)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Hell yeah, Red!

Vote Accepted
Captain John Price 15.53%

16
Mega Man X 84.47%

87
TOTAL VOTES 103

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Shakes Fist!

aww yea price
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Oh wow Price
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

that was a board vote!

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

Price, not bad at all, especially after that horrid start.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

hmm, that is an overperformance
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Oracle Challenge 2k10
Today's prediction: Pokemon Trainer with 52.13% Status: omg close match

price getting 30%+ for sure. maybe even 35%
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Price is escaping the tripling. Not too bad.

The question is will he go above 30% after the board vote finishes and we get the CoD day vote in full force?
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Not Wylvane

He's nearing 30% after starting with about negative 500...

SOAP MACTAVISH
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

told you he'd perform better then you all expected

now about soap...
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Yeah I'm not sure why anyone took MMX to break 75% on this guy

Especially during a day match

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

And as I type that, Price is already approaching 30%.

I wonder how much of this is Price being strong and how much is MMX being weaker than expected.
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Not Wylvane

From: KamikazePotato | #029
Yeah I'm not sure why anyone took MMX to break 75% on this guy

Especially during a day match

Gimme a break (the answer is because he's up against Captain John Price).

Also, this makes me lose confidence in Boss.
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Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Soap MacTavish winning confirmed

Pokemon Trainer Red 51.22%

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

Pokemon Trainer Red 51.22%

only a slight favorite
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The question to everyone's answer.

He's already up to 32% on X. God damn.

At this rate, he may escape a doubling!
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Not Wylvane

I think Price can keep 30% this match. He's a popular character among the Modern Warfare 2 crowd, even thought I know games! =/= characters.
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TGtBatU could only consist of its soundtrack and its final standoff, and it would still be better than most movies.- EndofDisc1 on The Good the Bad and the Ugly

Price is a major character in both CoD games. Not being able to break 25% on MMX during the day would've made him bad fodder. Were people thinking of MacMillan or something?

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

My bracket might have been shot into imperfect land due to Ocelot's loss, but if Price keeps this up I'll be doing fine in the spread betting!

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Currently Playing: Final Fantasy Tactics, Ocarina of Time

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #036
I think Price can keep 30% this match. He's a popular character among the Modern Warfare 2 crowd, even thought I know games! =/= characters.

oh he'll only go up from here. He's got an ASV to look forward to.. don't forget MW2 beasted at it during the goty polls
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Captain Price outperforms Red?
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

From: PartOfYourWorld | #040
Captain Price outperforms Red?

He should, yeah. I can't see red doing this.
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

From: PartOfYourWorld | #040
Captain Price outperforms Red?

I'd say so. I think Price would have little trouble with Ocelot.
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Not Wylvane

If Price keeps it up, yeah, he'll probably do better than Red.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart

What the **** is up with Asia and Call of Duty? It randomly does great there all the time.
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"The black wind howls... One among you will shortly perish... "--Magus
Yesmar

He's got an ASV to look forward to

a Sunday ASV
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Oracle Challenge 2k10
Today's prediction: Mega Man X with 76.00% Status: bad

Perfect Bracket so far, 26th in oracle.
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(\__/) Vincent Valentine's #3 Fanboy, Knuckles' #1 Homeboy
(='.'=) My Bunny Ziggy

Modern Warfare 2 received a huge marketing push in Japan and was published by Square-Enix there.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

isn't the day a bad time for the MM crew though?
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Shakes Fist!

From: GrapefruitKing | #045
He's got an ASV to look forward to

a Sunday ASV

Wait until all the kiddies get home from church!
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Not Wylvane

From: GrapefruitKing | #045
He's got an ASV to look forward to

a Sunday ASV

K day vote then.
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism