GameFAQs Contests

It's about damn time this Red/Ocelot match got here. 2 months worth of arguing!




~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days.

Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples)

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
The wheel of fate is turning.

http://i52.photobucket.com/albums/g12/Mantis-A/Ocelot.gif
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UhkGx0QGVDY
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

To the top with you.
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Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

this is gonna get ugly

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

ocelot cuttin'
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Red is kicking ass.
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~ Birth by Sleep ~
A flat chest is a status symbol, it has immeasurable value. - Mayumi-chan

The Pokemon board vote is hilarious.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
All you love is a lie.

Goodbye to any chances of beating MMX.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

Red in trouble.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png

Ocelot making a run for the doubling already. Insane match; I am actually doing backflips by my computer.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Here comes the Hand Gesture!
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

Stallfest. Boring.

Someone do some cutting.
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Not Wylvane

I'm liking Ocelot here. If thats all that Red could do with the board vote, then I'm not impressed
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

And if you don't stop dropping like a rock you may not even beat Ocelot, Red!
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

Ocelot you suck ass. I don't care if you're probably going to win.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

Yeah Ocelot wins. I would call this for Red if it was 24 hours long, but night vote is gonna hurt.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

MGS typically has a fine board vote, yes? Pokemon's is just beastly. That, and brackets.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

go ocelot show em your handgesture
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Alucard > Magus (1/1)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Come on Ocelot don't die now.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 1/2 - Today's Winners: Ocelot and Mega Man X

Getting the bad feeling that Ocelot will win this one in the overnight hours and Red won't have the steam to catch up in the morning.
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SSBB FC: 4425-1156-3590
According to the Krahenprophet, Dweebenheimer!

Red's got the morning vote ahead of him too. Too early to call it.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

Pokemon Trainer Red 54.24%

652
Revolver Ocelot 45.76%

550
TOTAL VOTES 1202

100 vote lead.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Red finally passes the 100-vote barrier.
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Not Wylvane

And the lead is over 100!
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

From: red sox 777 | #022
Red's got the morning vote ahead of him too. Too early to call it.

Sadly for Red, theres less morning hours then night hours on a weekend.
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

From: red sox 777 | #022
Red's got the morning vote ahead of him too. Too early to call it.

Didn't give Link enough time to pass 80% on Thrall.
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Not Wylvane

Apparently Red's putting up a better fight than i thought.

Thought for sure Ocelot was just gonna pop Red with the SAA and move on to his next opponent.
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"If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus

Wow looks like Ocelot just gave up after that. I wonder if he had the bracket vote?
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*is Dranze*
Krahen Prophet did a fatality.

Red up by 124 votes, next update is important.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 1/2 - Today's Winners: Ocelot and Mega Man X

Alucard with 53.09% of the brackets.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"

Uh, this being a weekend match gives Red hope. Morning vote is basically an ASV, which he wouldn't have it was a normal match.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

hmm ocelot kinda fell that last minute. Lets see how this next update is. It can be very telling... if Red stabilizes he probably has it.
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

From: Not_Wylvane | #027
Didn't give Link enough time to pass 80% on Thrall.

The higher your %, the harder it is to increase it.
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SSBB FC: 4425-1156-3590
According to the Krahenprophet, Dweebenheimer!

Red spiked for about 40 votes within 10 seconds once the lead passed 100.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
This was a triumph.

Red did very well in the last minute to extend his lead to 126.

And Link may not have gotten to 80%, but he finished higher than he was at at the 1 hour mark.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

That said, I do think Red will hold on to the lead. He spiked up a bit that last minute, and Ocelot isn't really strong enough to wrestle power away from him.

What a stupid rally.
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Not Wylvane

not liking this last minute for Red.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 1/2 - Today's Winners: Ocelot and Mega Man X

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3732&region=CA

Canada loves Pokemon.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 1/2 - Today's Winners: Ocelot and Mega Man X

Red has an hour of this. If the next update is huge, Ocelot's night vote might not matter.
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.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.
"Oh that the world were more like Ulti." -Meeks54

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3732&region=EUR

...

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

Hmm. On the one hand, I'm satisfied to see Red brought down to earth, but on the other, I picked him to win here. Don't disappoint us too much, dammit!

Meanwhile, only 53% of the brackets went with Alucard. Guess Magus still has some people behind him.

I see. Europe hates me, obviously.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

Look on the bright side: Australia loves you, mate!
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

From: KamikazePotato | #041
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3732&region=EUR

Red is toast over night.
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism

Surprised the casuals were so split between the two.

Looking forward to the prediction percentages for this match.
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Not Wylvane

From: KamikazePotato | #041
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3732&region=EUR

...

Europe had 1/6 of the votes in Link/Thrall, so this could actually give Ocelot a good chance.
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Congrats to KrahenProfit

Hmmm...

I think Red's okay.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW

Red wins.
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Not Wylvane

well... I'd say Red has a good shot at this
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http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli Fanboyism