GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 780

PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/16/2010 2:15:42 PM | message detail
Funny how despite all the talk and hype, Pokemon's biggest win in a 1v1 Character Battle is Parappa the Rapper.
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voltch | Posted 1/16/2010 2:18:16 PM | message detail
then again, pokemons have never gotten favourable matchups for a proper beatdown.
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LOLContests | Posted 1/16/2010 2:21:21 PM | message detail
Funny how despite all the talk and hype, Pokemon's biggest win in a 1v1 Character Battle is Parappa the Rapper.

That's the only Pokemon win in a 1v1 Character Battle.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 2:22:57 PM | message detail
Pikachu and Nidoran F are the only Pokemon characters ever to be in a one-on-one Character Battle, so that's to be expected.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 2:24:50 PM | message detail
And Alucard's just getting better as the match goes along. He's got a shot at hitting 59% here soon at the rate he's going.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/16/2010 2:29:14 PM | message detail
I want Frog and Crono to look great just to make this more perplexing and hilarious.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/16/2010 2:29:28 PM | message detail
lol fourway percentages, but, on Alucard since 2007:

47.78% Ness
44.41% Captain Falcon (with Diddy!)
42.02% Arthas
41.35% Magus (and falling)
40.62% Zidahn
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 2:29:49 PM | message detail
What percentage would Crono and Frog need not to be considered disappointing in their first round matches?
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/16/2010 2:30:50 PM | message detail
40.62% Zidahn

Who invented this "Zidahn" thing anyways? Also, it should really be "Zidane".
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 2:31:04 PM | message detail
Arthas > Magus? Man, I don't think anyone would have ever picked that.

And speaking of something nobody would have expected, I wonder if Alucard might end up winning by 10,000+ votes.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/16/2010 2:38:44 PM | message detail
I have no idea what to expect from Missingno...anything above 70% for Crono is probably good, and the high 60s are probably decent enough.

For Froggy...Night!Frog got 36% or so on Ganondorf, so Frog could conceivably push for 40% but high 30's would look good.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/16/2010 2:41:32 PM | message detail
Crono is good as long as he wins that match.
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KrahenProphet | Posted 1/16/2010 2:42:05 PM | message detail
Wow Magus this is pathetic.
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paraboxx | Posted 1/16/2010 2:45:31 PM | message detail
Not sure I like this night/day gimmick after all. I completely forgot about this match until like half an hour ago. Missed all the hype...

Going pretty much as I expected, though. Well, maybe I didn't expect 59-41...but Magus is just not a smart bet in these contests. I don't think you can say he's been dropping faster than other CT characters, either. Wasn't his only good year 2003? Wasn't everyone from Square overinflated that year?

Missed the first match too, but I'm not as annoyed about that. I'm more excited about good matches than just the contest in general, and even with Thrall breaking 20% Link/Thrall was not a good match. Might mean some of Link's future matches will be better than expected...but I doubt it.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 2:46:20 PM | message detail
Missed all the hype...

There wasn't much to miss!
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Master Moltar | Posted 1/16/2010 2:47:25 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #315
Missed all the hype...

There wasn't much to miss!


Oh boy the match has started!

...

wow magus sucks
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Alucard > Magus (1/1)
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/16/2010 2:47:27 PM | message detail
High 30s would look great for Frog. That wouldn't put him too far removed from what Magus is doing now, and against much stronger competition. I'm willing to give Crono a pass in Round 1 because Missingo is unknown and his range is huge. If he gives Yoshi the 55/45 and avoids looking like ass against Sephiroth, I'd call it a good contest for him. The only way Magus's CT cohorts can compete with what he's doing is if Frog gives up a doubling and if Crono is in danger against Yoshi. This is really, really bad.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/16/2010 2:48:30 PM | message detail
Not many people debated it and considered it 50/50.
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Draco1214 | Posted 1/16/2010 2:51:59 PM | message detail
I just realized Cid Highwind is in this bracket and he's wasted. Switch him and Vault Boy and tell me that bottom half doesn't suddenly get a lot more interesting.

dammit bacon
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/16/2010 2:53:14 PM | message detail
Isn't it about time he lets someone from board 8 who actually knows what he's doing make the bracket.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/16/2010 2:56:06 PM | message detail
If I made the bracket I'd set it up so that arthas and vault boy can make at least round 4
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paraboxx | Posted 1/16/2010 2:59:17 PM | message detail
There wasn't much to miss!

Heh, the hype before the match, not during. :P

I just realized Cid Highwind is in this bracket and he's wasted.

I don't know if getting a match against a non-FF7 Noble Niner is a waste. At least we'll be able to gauge his strength a little bit.

Now, the Jenova division...that's a waste.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/16/2010 3:03:00 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 1/16/2010 5:06:51 PM | #296
And Leon I hope you used young Revolver doing hand gesture pic or something.

Nope, MGS4 Ocelot. If he wins though, I plan on making a Young Ocelot pic for round 2.


Already done!
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/16/2010 3:08:31 PM | message detail
charmander6000 | Posted 1/16/2010 12:06:17 PM | message detail
Breaking the percent down by continent

North America - 72.06%
South America - 2.03%
Europe - 18.05%
Asia - 4.41%
Oceanic - 3.45%

Normally NA gets 77%, Europe gets 15% while SA/Asia/Oceanic get 2-3%


Not bad from Europe with breaking 10000 votes on a 12 hour poll. I don't expect Europe to break 10000 votes in the day match, knowing that it already broke 10000 votes on the night match. I bet Europe will get around 8-10% of the votes in a day match, compared to around 18-20% in night matches.

After the first 6 hours of the night match compared to the first 6 hours of the day match, the day match is ahead of the night match by 7782 votes already. The night match had 33395 at 6:00 AM and the day match has 41177 at 6:00 PM.

BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 1/16/2010 12:14:21 PM | message detail
And what happened to the Twitter/Facebook links under the poll?


They only show up when you vote. You can make the link show up again by attempting to vote, even though your vote wouldn't be accepted since you already voted.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/16/2010 3:10:43 PM | message detail
Bacon would never take a contest assistant, for legal reasons. Plus he really enjoys doing these so long as he gets a ton of picture help, so we're good on contests for quite awhile.

Not the gesture, but still a good Young Ocelot pic: http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/4468/ocelotr2copycopy.jpg
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Biolizard28 | Posted 1/16/2010 3:23:35 PM | message detail
I've already decided on my nomination if I win the guru.

I hope you all like Mara! (SMT)
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voltch | Posted 1/16/2010 3:43:53 PM | message detail
you know, I always liked the bad CJayC pics, because for boring matches at least they tended to provide a few laughs.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/16/2010 3:45:42 PM | message detail
what kind of legal reasons are there?
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/16/2010 3:46:37 PM | message detail
REGGIE BUSH
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/16/2010 3:48:29 PM | message detail
46% update for Magus there. his best yet

And I'm loving these 12 hour matches. IT really is fast paced.. we're already more than half done this match.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/16/2010 3:49:24 PM | message detail
It really is awesome. We get our 1v1s, Bacon gets his fast-paced chaos. And it really makes the blowouts bearable.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/16/2010 4:03:39 PM | message detail
what kind of legal reasons are there?

Well first we are not employees, but the major problem is that we know enough about the contest to fix the bracket so that one of us could win.
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/16/2010 4:05:06 PM | message detail
The trends are different too to help keep things a bit more unpredictable. It's a solid set-up.

I'm still a man of accuracy though, but our hard work will make these twelve-hour polls be close enough.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 4:10:00 PM | message detail
Fact/Fiction: Red/Ocelot will be decided within the first hour
Fact/Fiction: There will be at least one lead change
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/16/2010 4:10:42 PM | message detail
Fact
Fiction
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/16/2010 4:11:35 PM | message detail
Red/Ocelot will be decided in the first 5 minutes after Red fails to hold on to any kind of lead.
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LOLContests | Posted 1/16/2010 4:11:49 PM | message detail
I thought the legal reasons justification was back in '04 when we wanted to help Ceej make the bracket ourselves. If someone was employed as a Contest Admin that would take care of the problem, since they obviously couldn't enter themselves. Being knowledgeable is not a crime. At the very least some sort of Add/Remove function could be used to move characters around.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/16/2010 4:13:21 PM | message detail
What kind of lead will Red need at the freeze to feel he's safe?

I'm thinking 56-57%
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 4:14:06 PM | message detail
If Red has 55%+ at the freeze, then Ocelot's probably done. He's not going to be making any big turnarounds.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/16/2010 4:14:52 PM | message detail
Red would need a huge lead before I would call the match, probably 55% at least. His board vote should be almost 2007 L-Block like.
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 1/16/2010 4:15:15 PM | message detail
I actully think Red will win with like 60% at least
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/16/2010 4:17:23 PM | message detail
Come to think of it.

Does this format even allow for a comeback? >_> I guess a day vote match on a week day(although not a very impressive one) and a night vote mach on a weekend would allow for it.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 4:18:27 PM | message detail
Nah, there won't be huge comebacks in this format. If a character ever gets a 1000 vote lead, it's probably over.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 4:18:53 PM | message detail
I mean, that's usually true in a 24 hour match anyway, but it'll especially be true with only 12 hours.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/16/2010 4:19:18 PM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #342
Come to think of it.

Does this format even allow for a comeback? >_> I guess a day vote match on a week day(although not a very impressive one) and a night vote mach on a weekend would allow for it.


Night vote/morning vote, I guess. If its close enough. But we aren't gonna have any major comebacks.
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 1/16/2010 4:19:34 PM | message detail
*Is pulling for Red tomorrow* Probably a bad move, but whatever.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/16/2010 4:23:41 PM | message detail
I thought the legal reasons justification was back in '04 when we wanted to help Ceej make the bracket ourselves. If someone was employed as a Contest Admin that would take care of the problem, since they obviously couldn't enter themselves. Being knowledgeable is not a crime. At the very least some sort of Add/Remove function could be used to move characters around.

I prefer the use of the term "Contest Moderator", as it avoids the use of the word "admin", which has been associated with the fact that a site admin is an actual paid position (moderators don't get paid for their service to the site). If someone was appointed to help out with the contests, they wouldn't be getting paid for helping out. So "Contest Moderator" is a more appropriate term to use, because "Contest Admin" would imply they are being paid for doing their job.
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paraboxx | Posted 1/16/2010 4:25:48 PM | message detail
For the brackets, I'd be happy if Bacon just did what he did with the games contest: let the board recommend changes. This contest would be a lot more interesting with just a few simple swaps.

Of course, it'd be better if the whole site could have a vote, like with the play-ins...but I'm not sure how it could be done. "Bracket Switch, Crono-Soap, Yes/No"?
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/16/2010 4:30:14 PM | message detail
The casuals won't really care about stuff like switching characters around in the bracket, so running a poll for making bracket switches won't really work that well.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/16/2010 4:52:11 PM | message detail
I wonder who the bracket favorite overall is.
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