GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 778

Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/15/2010 6:26:16 AM | message detail
Sweet, this topic was dead all night.

Now if only you guys won't post anything or have any more debates about close matches, I won't have to catch up too much after getting back from work. So don't post anything, you wordy bastards.
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Not Wylvane
voltch | Posted 1/15/2010 6:29:07 AM | message detail
the board itself is dead at this time of day anyway.
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Shakes Fist!
charmander6000 | Posted 1/15/2010 6:40:29 AM | message detail
While true the stats topic had about seven posts from the time I went to bed to the time I woke up. On a normal day it's usually around 20-30.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2010 7:26:26 AM | message detail
I think a lot of people vote in contests, but don't fill out a bracket.

And it makes sense- it's not that easy to fill out a bracket, especially a 128 character bracket. Plus it's virtually impossible to win unless you've followed past contests or at least looked at their stats, although I'm not sure how many casuals realize that. I think they do realize that 40,000 to 1 odds, at least, make winning highly improbable, so the real motivation for submitting a bracket would have to be for the fun of predicting more than for a shot at a prize.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/15/2010 8:49:15 AM | message detail
Heh, everyone got bummed by the delay that no one feels like posting! It's okay though! Only about 12 hours remaining!
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/15/2010 9:31:12 AM | message detail
Heh, everyone got bummed by the delay that no one feels like posting!

That's my case!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 1/15/2010 9:31:58 AM | message detail
We could be watching AlucardMagus right now

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 1/15/2010 9:33:52 AM | message detail
Well, I suppose it's just as well, as it gives me one extra day to be productive...

Yeah, right, like that's gonna happen...
Dilated Chemist | Posted 1/15/2010 9:34:38 AM | message detail
Tidus/Sub-Zero is making me think now...

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2010 9:35:28 AM | message detail
I got bummed by the delay so I voted no on the poll.
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3rdTimesDeCharm | Posted 1/15/2010 9:37:35 AM | message detail
Truths^^^

I looked at my bracket one last time and my only remaining qualm lies in tifa versus gordon...
I know gordon was always trash in 1v1 but i somewhat expect more from him because of the gamespot contest and i assume he is stronger

So i have gordon and the thing is i know the winner of this matchup heads to their division final :P
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2010 10:16:53 AM | message detail
This delay has severely damanged my productivity.

How am I supposed to get to work without a contest match going on?
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
charmander6000 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:06:35 AM | message detail
Actually I'm glad for the delay (not really a delay, but reality), would've missed most of both matches.
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White_Turtle | Posted 1/15/2010 11:34:37 AM | message detail
I'm actually disappointed because now I'll be missing the start of Link/Thrall (and probably Magus/Alucard since I'm likely sleeping in tomorrow)
voltch | Posted 1/15/2010 11:36:14 AM | message detail
I'll most likely miss the start of Magus/alucard, but europe's likely to struggle to stay awake for the start of the night matches.
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Shakes Fist!
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 1/15/2010 11:36:40 AM | message detail
True. I've actually got Tifa advancing because it's 1v1, but Gordon would end up advancing out of the bracket if this was 4-way because the rest of that half-division is so weak that Gordon would easily survive long enough for Tifa to get SFF'ed out by Sephiroth.

Anyway, the bracket is definitely an interesting one. There are some seedings that are downright bizarre--Marth WON his opening fourpack in the 2008 contest, which was long before Shadow Dragon came out, yet he got saddled with a 16-seed this time around--but true to any tournament, the 8-9 matchups are mostly toss-ups. Alucard vs. Magus could go either way; Big Boss vs. Miles Edgeworth could hinge on whether or not Big Boss gets a Naked Snake pic; Cecil vs. Knuckles is...well, it's interesting, to say the least; Laharl vs. Neku is a coin flip because NEITHER has any decent past performance...okay, the other half aren't as good. Seriously, the Jenova Division is the most screwed-up division ever. Vincent Valentine, widely recognized as the most likely breaker of the Noble Nine, gets stuck with an 8-seed and a second-round battle with Sephiroth, and his first-round opponent, a "9"-seed, is the fodderrific Guybrush Threepwood. (9)-seed is more like it. Meanwhile, after an SFF-beatdown of Vincent (which is possibly intended to make sure Guybrush is 128th in the extrapolated stats, since getting blown out in the first round by someone who is then blown out in the second round is sure to do a number on your overall strength), his third-round opponent would be...another Noble Niner? Or maybe not; Crono's been getting weaker as he becomes less and less relevant, and if he manages to scrape through two rounds (the second is with Yoshi), letting another Noble Niner take him out is probably an act of mercy. On the other half of the division, you have an unknown quantity at 3-seed, two old-school characters in the 6-11, and a 10-seed that could easily make the division finals, with the 2-seed the only threat to stop her.

Furthermore, the Jenova Division is the last one, so once we get done with each round of that mess, it's back to the division of many toss-ups--the Hyrule Division. Although, most of those toss-ups are in the first round--Alucard-Magus (8-9), Red-Ocelot (5-12), Luigi-Meta Knight (3-14), Amaterasu-Shadow (6-11), and possibly Drake-The Boss (2-15--okay, not really a toss-up, but a 15-seed as a huge favorite just doesn't sit right with me). After that, it's all obvious--Mega Man X beats the Red-Ocelot winner, Weighted Companion Cube beats the Drake-The Boss winner, the Luigi-Meta Knight winner beats the Ammy-Shadow winner and WCC, and Link beats the Alucard-Magus winner, Mega Man X (why the hell is he a 13-seed?), and the Luigi-Meta Knight winner. (High comedy--if Meta Knight manages the first-round upset over Luigi, it's quite possible that Link will make it out of the Hyrule Division without facing anyone seeded higher than 8th--or 9th, if Magus wins. Call it the "anti-chalk" division.)
CP724 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:41:50 AM | message detail
Terra or Darth Revan? So stuck on that one.
charmander6000 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:42:39 AM | message detail
Just a few points...

- IMO a Big **** picture could be used and Big Boss would still defeat Edgeworth
- Luigi is stronger than Kirby therefore Meta Knight has no chance
- Despite picking The Boss I consider Nathan Drake to be the overall favourite.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2010 11:42:50 AM | message detail
I got Revan, but it can go either way I think. But its hard to bet against a Darth with lightsabers.
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voltch | Posted 1/15/2010 11:43:25 AM | message detail
uuh, you know, seriously, are you new at this?
seeds are downright irrelevant and you should stop discussing luigi/meta-knight.
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Shakes Fist!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/15/2010 11:44:42 AM | message detail
Man, this contest is going to carry one crazy pace. I'm sure I'll miss the start of at least a few matches due to just plum forgetting.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/15/2010 11:45:10 AM | message detail
Please stop discussing Luigi/Meta-Knight. Why don't you discuss a harder match, like Sonic/Knuckles?
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:45:45 AM | message detail
I wonder...

HK-47 or Darth Revan before any SFF?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2010 11:46:11 AM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | #322
Please stop discussing Luigi/Meta-Knight. Why don't you discuss a harder match, like Sonic/Knuckles?


we already saw this match

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1752
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/15/2010 11:46:29 AM | message detail
...
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2010 11:46:50 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #323
I wonder...

HK-47 or Darth Revan before any SFF?


I'd take Darth Revan, myself. Hk-47 likely would do better among the kotor fanbase, but outside of it, would people rather vote for a weird looking robot or a Darth with lightsabers?
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voltch | Posted 1/15/2010 11:46:50 AM | message detail
Sonic/Knuckles to have the exact same percentages as Mega/Man zero from back in 04.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:47:07 AM | message detail
Knuckles > Sonic

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=581
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:47:10 AM | message detail
I'm sure I'll miss the start of at least a few matches due to just plum forgetting.

I'll probably miss the start of a few matches this contest (or maybe more than a few, not going to be around at noon all the time). I only missed the start of one match last contest, OOT/RBY/MGS/FF8, because I was so distraught over the FFVII/CT/SM64/GE match that I just lost interest in the contest.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2010 11:48:17 AM | message detail
Only match I've missed the start of in the last couple years was RE4/KH/Gears/SotC cuz I was at a concert.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:49:46 AM | message detail
Oh, and on the off chance that Crono somehow manages to lose to Yoshi, I think I'll be pretty much finished with contests.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2010 11:50:17 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #331
Oh, and on the off chance that Crono somehow manages to lose to Yoshi, I think I'll be pretty much finished with contests.


but then who will hype CT and Crono to unrealistic heights?!
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/15/2010 11:51:15 AM | message detail
I'll guess HK-47 just because he's the only SW:KotOR-guy we've seen in a contest so far and he's made several contests, including the contest after SW:KotOR's release. I hate to rest on that for strength since we know Vincent and Tifa should beat Aeris easily enough, but the fanbase never got behind anybody else from SW:KotOR until this year's NRT and we're counting on Darth Revan having a sweet picture to beat Terra.
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voltch | Posted 1/15/2010 11:51:24 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=582
knuckles more hated than rouge, but people still hate sonic more than knuckles, the blue hedgehog's fate is sealed.
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Shakes Fist!
red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:52:12 AM | message detail
If Crono loses to Yoshi, then he'll be nothing more than a midcarder, which probably also relegates Magus and Frog to high fodder, so, there won't be anything left of the CT crew to hype.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
voltch | Posted 1/15/2010 11:53:16 AM | message detail
don't worry man, chrono beak is just around the corner.
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Shakes Fist!
HaRRicH | Posted 1/15/2010 11:53:21 AM | message detail
Dammit red, Crono isn't losing to Yoshi.

He's losing to Missingno, who Yoshi will beat afterward.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2010 11:53:45 AM | message detail
Yoshi is a near elite isn't he? Losing him barely during a day match would still make Crono a near elite
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:54:52 AM | message detail
Not after getting 58-42'd by Squall he isn't. Incidentally, Yoshi beating Crono would imply that Squall beats down Vincent hard nowadays, which is a really good argument for that it has almost no chance of happening.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
charmander6000 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:56:56 AM | message detail
Crono may not suck during the day for the reason that Europe will be less represented.

I guess we'll know by how much over the next couple of days.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:57:52 AM | message detail
Now that the contest's been delayed, we may not know until Frog's match. Magus/Alucard is now on a weekend.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
charmander6000 | Posted 1/15/2010 11:59:21 AM | message detail
We can still predict it by looking at the geolocation.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/15/2010 12:09:43 PM | message detail
Luigi-Meta Knight winner

Meta Knight wins that match and gets all the way to the divisional final. Don't let these people steer you wrong.

I *made* Meta Knight's picture, so I know what's up.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2010 12:10:18 PM | message detail
I still don't know why so many people are debating luigi/meta knight

its like nobody paid attention to meta knight in the past
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Lopen | Posted 1/15/2010 12:11:13 PM | message detail
People are picking Meta-Knight?

Cool. I thought about it but it seemed kinda dumb-- but I'd love to see it happen.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/15/2010 12:12:37 PM | message detail
Nobody is picking Meta Knight, just look at the BOP. It's the same person that keeps bringing it up.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2010 12:13:33 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #346
Nobody is picking Meta Knight, just look at the BOP. It's the same person that keeps bringing it up.


No, quite a few casuals have brought it up on the board, just not in this topic.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/15/2010 12:14:16 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | Posted: 1/15/2010 3:12:37 PM | #346
Nobody is picking Meta Knight, just look at the BOP. It's the same person that keeps bringing it up.


And he is 100% correct. Meta Knight will win 3 matches and lose to Link.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/15/2010 12:15:55 PM | message detail
Well if Meta Knight does beat Luigi he's obviously going to round 3.

Then again if Thrall beats Link he'll win the contest.
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/15/2010 12:18:49 PM | message detail
I do have an odd feeling about MK impressing for whatever reason -- had it ever since I saw the match. Anybody paying attention knows who will win that match though.
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