GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 775
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 1/10/2010 9:49:14 AM | message detail |
Well,
finally finalised my bracket. Decided to go with the Terra > Revan
upset, and convinced myself that Magus > Alucard was a safe pick. --- http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
HaRRicH | Posted 1/10/2010 10:00:48 AM | message detail |
Revan
does scare me, but I think as long as he gets a decent Star Wars'y pic
then he should be fine. I've also taken Magus and am not looking back,
pretty much solely because of CTDS and seeing Frog straight-up win a
vote-in poll (I'm not big on treating those polls like they're legit,
but Frog had little business winning that over Rikku and Liquid). --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/10/2010 10:06:25 AM | message detail |
I
just looked up Terra's match history, and golly gee willickers, I
forgot the kind of votals we had here in 2006. Terra vs. Kerrigan drew
100K. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 1/10/2010 10:22:39 AM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #053 I don't know whether to laugh or cry. I'd probably pick HK-47 over Terra, and as long as Revan gets a good pic, which he should, he'd be recognizable and ooze enough badassedness to easily beat her. Shouldn't hurt that he has one of the biggest video game spoilers under his belt. --- Not Wylvane |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/10/2010 10:23:25 AM | message detail |
a Darth named character with lightsabers should beat Terra no problem. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Lolicon Fanboyism |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/10/2010 10:45:27 AM | message detail |
Revan
does scare me, but I think as long as he gets a decent Star Wars'y pic
then he should be fine. I've also taken Magus and am not looking back,
pretty much solely because of CTDS and seeing Frog straight-up win a
vote-in poll (I'm not big on treating those polls like they're legit,
but Frog had little business winning that over Rikku and Liquid). Erm.. what about stats wise? --- *is Dranze* Krahen Prophet did a fatality. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/10/2010 10:57:53 AM | message detail |
ve also taken Magus and am not looking back, pretty much solely because of CTDS LOL CTDS --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
charmander6000 | Posted 1/10/2010 10:59:02 AM | message detail |
I took Magus > Alucard because I think Magus is stronger, CTDS just makes me feel better. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |
voltch | Posted 1/10/2010 10:59:29 AM | message detail |
the CTDS Boost will make us all cry. --- Shakes Fist! |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:13:28 AM | message detail |
CTDS Deboost, even more dramatic then the Brawl Deboost. Crono loses to Missingno with 28%. Red Sox hypes Missingno to beat Sephiroth. Missingno get 39% on Yoshi. Everyone lols. --- True prophecy. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/10/2010 11:14:07 AM | message detail |
And Charizard still loses to Kratos! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/10/2010 11:14:33 AM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #061 fixed --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Lolicon Fanboyism |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:17:38 AM | message detail |
Not happening, ngirl! And LOL to the people who think that CTDS will do absolutely nothing. And even if you do that, Magus/Alucard is still even, or even slightly favorable to Magus. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/10/2010 11:19:04 AM | message detail |
you know alucard is stronger if the CT favorable outlook from Red Sox is that Magus might only be even to him --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Lolicon Fanboyism |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:20:54 AM | message detail |
Magus/Alucard during the day is the worst kind of cripple fight. --- http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/Celes.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/10/2010 11:21:35 AM | message detail |
And LOL to the people who think that CTDS will do absolutely nothing. Why is it going to do something again? Because of the stellar sales? And even if you do that, Magus/Alucard is still even, or even slightly favorable to Magus. Based on what? Losing to Sandbag? --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:21:54 AM | message detail |
Hey now, I've been pretty objective on CT since 2008. Just ignore the 3 years before that please! But the facts are these: Magus: 40% on Sonic. Alucard: 36% on Crono, 39% on L-Block Slayer Pikachu. Your call. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/10/2010 11:23:12 AM | message detail |
Magus: 40% on Sonic. And what about Sandbag's doubling by Sonic in round 2? --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:23:32 AM | message detail |
40%
on Sonic doesn't look that good when you factor in that Sonic got
decisively beaten by a guy who at best in 53% on Big Boss....who
whipped Magus pre-MGS4. --- http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/Celes.png |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:23:38 AM | message detail |
I still say Missingno winning would be the funniest upset ever. --- Don't think it's going to happen though. |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:24:48 AM | message detail |
If the Missingno/Crono poll doesn't have some sort of glitch I'm going to be disappointed. --- http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/Celes.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:25:28 AM | message detail |
Why is it going to do something again? Because of the stellar sales? It sold decently, which is all a game like CT with very little exposure needs to boost. If it had gotten stellar sales, the potential for a huge boost would have been there. It also showed itself worth 48-49% on LTTP in the Games Contest, while FFVI looks like it'd be very hard pressed to break 40% on LTTP now 1v1. I mean, I'm fine with you thinking the boost will be small. But no boost at all? That's horribly unlikely. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/10/2010 11:26:15 AM | message detail |
And then there's Bomberman and Phoenix Wright's 44% on Magus. Alucard got 63% on Bomberman once! --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/10/2010 11:26:55 AM | message detail |
It also showed itself worth 48-49% on LTTP in the Games Contest Which tells us NOTHING because we have no idea how that match goes before CTDS. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:28:03 AM | message detail |
And what about Sandbag's doubling by Sonic in round 2? Magus didn't lose to that Sandbag though- he lost to the one who got 40% on Sonic. As it is, putting Magus = Alucard in 2008 already gives Crono more than 55% on Sonic, and that's in 2008 before CTDS. I mean, I'm fine if you want to take Crono to put up even larger numbers on Sonic..... --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
HaRRicH | Posted 1/10/2010 11:28:34 AM | message detail |
Erm.. what about stats wise? LOL CTDS They should be pretty even, I'm just using CTDS as more of a tie-breaker than anything else. I've not been big on it doing much for any of the characters, but given the choice of it doing something for Magus to win an otherwise-even match or allowing Alucard to win said match despite CTDS, I feel better giving it some tie-breaking potential. Plus, again, Frog had little business beating Rikku or Liquid in the vote-in poll regardless of the poll's correlation to strengths and that's the only poll we've seen with a CT-character post-CTDS, so I'll give CTDS a little bit of credit. It shouldn't be a big game-changer for any CT-character though. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/10/2010 11:30:18 AM | message detail |
Magus didn't lose to that Sandbag though- he lost to the one who got 40% on Sonic. So what's the difference exactly? We don't know. As it is, putting Magus = Alucard in 2008 already gives Crono more than 55% on Sonic, and that's in 2008 before CTDS. Well, Auron got nearly 54% on him. Crono getting 55%+ isn't out of the realm of possibility if you believe Crono >= Vincent > Auron in 2008. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:30:30 AM | message detail |
Which tells us NOTHING because we have no idea how that match goes before CTDS. I know you supported CT > LTTP in a rematch for a long time (I did too), but by 2007, it was pretty obvious that the CT characters had fallen a long way. Expecting the game not to do so is just absurd. And again, FFVI tells you rather a lot- the characters experienced a similar fall to that of the CT characters, and the game tanked against LTTP. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:30:38 AM | message detail |
Basing Magus on a match where he had every reason to overperform by a huge amount? That logic never goes wrong. Ever. --- http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/Celes.png |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/10/2010 11:30:46 AM | message detail |
CTDS boost ain't happening, people. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/10/2010 11:31:45 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #078 Yeah, because CT and FFVI are going to drop proportionately, right? We don't know. And if you think CTDS kept CT from losing with less than 45%, that's pretty silly. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
voltch | Posted 1/10/2010 11:50:37 AM | message detail |
Now if only alucard had been the main character of Lord of Shadows this match wouldn't have been as hard to predict. But I'm going for the logic that Alucard loses to Magus to avoid facing link. --- Shakes Fist! |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/10/2010 12:07:59 PM | message detail |
Their
characters' drops were close enough that yeah, LTTP or SM64 would
probably have won with more than 55% over CT without CTDS. And Crono over Sonic with 55% in 2008 is quite believable, but that sets Magus and Alucard as even. To say the stats in 2008 favor Alucard, you have to take Crono over Sonic with more than that. I said that Magus/Alucard was an even matchup in 2008, and slightly favorable to Magus if anything, not that Alucard had no chance in that year or that it wouldn't be close. War, you're correct that Sonic/Magus is not trustworthy, for the reason that we saw almost every other Noble Niner underperform in round 1 (with the exception, it seems, of Crono, who did pretty similarly on Ammy in both round 1 and 2). It still doesn't make Magus any worse than even against Alucard in 2008 though. The other thing is that Magus was extrapolated to 40% on Crono back in 2005, and while Knux probably overperformed on Squall, and Magus has fallen relative to Crono since then, he's still probably worth no less than 35% on Crono now. It look very even before CTDS. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Xeybozn | Posted 1/10/2010 1:06:56 PM | message detail |
I've
got a question about Alucard/Magus: Why is it being a day match
considered a bad thing for Magus? I thought it would be good for him
since there would be less of a Europe vote, which usually makes Chrono
Trigger look terrible. It's isn't like Alucard is going to kill him
with the day vote, after all. --- Congrats to KrahenProfit |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/10/2010 1:07:55 PM | message detail |
Why is it being a day match considered a bad thing for Magus? are you joking --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Lolicon Fanboyism |
LOLContests | Posted 1/10/2010 1:10:42 PM | message detail |
Alucard got 63% on Bomberman once! So did Squall! --- "Heh, heh...The wind...it is blowing."--Ganondorf This is Yesmar. |
voltch | Posted 1/10/2010 1:12:54 PM | message detail |
bomberman should be in a fourpack with kirby again. --- Shakes Fist! |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/10/2010 1:14:28 PM | message detail |
It being a day match is not generally being considered a bad thing for Magus. Both characters suck at it. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
voltch | Posted 1/10/2010 1:17:04 PM | message detail |
the votals, for Alucard/Magus will probably end up being stupidly low tbh. --- Shakes Fist! |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/10/2010 1:19:47 PM | message detail |
I
don't think so. It's probably going to be as a lot of people have said-
most of the night voters will still vote in the day matches. The night
matches will probably be affected a bit more (though still not as
catastrophically as you might expect). It'll be interesting to see
whether Link/Thrall or Magus/Alucard draws more votes. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
voltch | Posted 1/10/2010 1:23:15 PM | message detail |
I think the first hour will be bigger than usual for the day matches, but other than that I an't see influxes being that big. --- Shakes Fist! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/10/2010 1:24:09 PM | message detail |
From: voltch | #091 Day matches will start when most people are in school or work. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/24ytvz8.png Albion Hero is the Cream of Lolicon Fanboyism |
charmander6000 | Posted 1/10/2010 1:25:20 PM | message detail |
I think the first hour will be bigger than usual for the day matches, but other than that I an't see influxes being that big. It'll probably have more votes than usual, but not everybody has that time off on GameFAQs. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |
red sox 777 | Posted 1/10/2010 1:26:55 PM | message detail |
The
trends are probably going to be a lot less pronounced in the day
matches, with people who normally vote early in the poll voting
throughout the ASV and evening. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/10/2010 1:31:01 PM | message detail |
Magus
and Alucard may both suck during the day, but the difference is that
Magus relies on that first couple hours a lot more than Alucard does,
and Magus doesn't have that in this match. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
charmander6000 | Posted 1/10/2010 1:32:24 PM | message detail |
Magus
and Alucard may both suck during the day, but the difference is that
Magus relies on that first couple hours a lot more than Alucard does,
and Magus doesn't have that in this match. I'm sure that almost everyone who voted in the power hour will vote in the day match at some point. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |
voltch | Posted 1/10/2010 1:33:22 PM | message detail |
Anyone else believes that 12 hours is somewhat beneficial to joke characters as well? Jokes tend to start off strong, so they can probably ride off an early start and just keep hanging in there. --- Shakes Fist! |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 1/10/2010 1:33:34 PM | message detail |
I don't think as many people are going to vote in both polls as some of you seem to think. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
voltch | Posted 1/10/2010 1:35:21 PM | message detail |
but if its just the power it's a small yet significant percentage still. --- Shakes Fist! |
charmander6000 | Posted 1/10/2010 1:37:40 PM | message detail |
A
large portion of the site visits GameFAQs more than once a day. While
vote totals will be a lot lower the extremes between night and day will
be a lot lower in this contest and will continue to drop as the contest
progresses. Also Alucard is just as bad in the night and if any continent takes a hit it will be Europe which likes Castlevania and doesn't care for Chrono Trigger. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |