GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 775

WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 5:37:52 PM | message detail
In the raw 2k7 stats, Jill only beats Isaac 52-48!

(Isaac > Ocelot let's do this)
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 5:39:19 PM | message detail
And to show just how awful 2k7 stats are, if you take Peach to be stronger than Ocelot, then you're looking at an obvious seeding upset (but not strength-wise upset) over Gordon in round 1!
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voltch | Posted 1/11/2010 5:40:57 PM | message detail
I thought we agreed 4 ways stats are worthless for anything ivolving precision though.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 5:41:52 PM | message detail
Hey now, Dranze asked for them, I'm just the one manipulating them.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/11/2010 5:43:25 PM | message detail
I just don't know if I can trust Trainer after looking after that pic. Hardly anything from Brawl has succeeded in these contests. I guess it depends on what Brawl characters I'd actually take over Ocelot.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 5:45:30 PM | message detail
Meh, my logic is "So it's a Brawl pic, it's not like Red got in on being a Brawl character. He got in because his main game might be the #3 game on GameFAQS. Do I take Red to be leading Pac-Man after twelve hours?"
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/11/2010 5:56:50 PM | message detail
It's okay, KP, Red will just get 65% instead of 67% or whatever the old target was.

Anyways, for people theorizing or just hoping for a second deboost, here's how the Wii has done in polls in the past:

2006 System of the Year: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2631

39.62% overall, 63.73% on the Xbox 360

2007 System of the Year: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2992

33.64% overall, 50.20% on the Xbox 360

2008 System of the Year: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3362

16.59% overall, 29.97% on the Xbox 360

2009: The Wii is currently at 8.76% overall, 18.64% on the PS3, and 21.13% on the Xbox 360.

If you hold the Xbox 360 constant, the 2009 Wii gets 35.25% on 2008 Wii, which gets 29.85% on 2007 Wii.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 5:59:21 PM | message detail
lol Red getting mid-60s even as best case scenario. Pikachu wouldn't even get that.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/11/2010 5:59:51 PM | message detail
Pikachu wouldn't beat Megaman X either!
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:03:47 PM | message detail
So why would do you think Red would be able to?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/11/2010 6:09:12 PM | message detail
Red Sox is awfully close to Black Turtle grasp of reality now..
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:11:33 PM | message detail
Approaching?
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:12:06 PM | message detail
I mean I can see your reasoning if you think Mega Man doubles X before SFF, but I don't think anyone is claiming that.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/11/2010 6:13:06 PM | message detail
Looking at past Ocelot polls, how much is 39/40% on Kratos worth? Or doubling a Team Forretress character?
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*is Dranze*
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:13:37 PM | message detail
I should also stop leaving a sentence half done then finishing it before reading the entire thing.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:14:48 PM | message detail
Looking at past Ocelot polls, how much is 39/40% on Kratos worth? Or doubling a Team Forretress character?

Low mid-carder.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/11/2010 6:17:50 PM | message detail
Yeah, Ocelot is low midcarder. Always has been, probably always will be.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:18:33 PM | message detail
40% on Kratos is...not impressive. I dunno, depends on where you think Kratos is. The last 1-on-1 contest we had Kratos in he was around Rikku levels (pre-God of War II), but the year before that he would get whipped by her. Kratos (really, it seems like anyone based on losing to Ryu) is weird.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/11/2010 6:19:54 PM | message detail
I've never understood why Ocelot wasn't stronger. He's from one of the top series on the site, and he's the most badass villain from the series. But he's like MGS version of Kefka with his ineptitude.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/11/2010 6:20:57 PM | message detail
I always thought the problem was not enough screen time and the fact that he does all of his awesome stuff behind the scenes.

Then MGS4 came out, and...well...
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:22:03 PM | message detail
Ocelot was MGS's deus ex machina before deus ex nanomachina happened, which probably hurts him a lot.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:23:30 PM | message detail
Maybe Ocelot did get a boost and we didn't see it because of the format.

Being called Liquid for the entire game probably didn't help.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:23:53 PM | message detail
Gerontophobia, clearly. MGS3 Ocelot in the villains contest was noticeably better than Old Ocelot (55% on Wily vs 55% on Nemesis). Have we seen a Young Ocelot pic since?
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:27:32 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 6:27:58 PM | message detail
I am stupid and, you know, all that kinds of cool stuff.

Woo stupid.
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SonicRaptor | Posted 1/11/2010 6:49:42 PM | message detail
I've never understood why Ocelot wasn't stronger. He's from one of the top series on the site, and he's the most badass villain from the series. But he's like MGS version of Kefka with his ineptitude.

As mentioned, he's really a behind-the-scenes villain who mostly pull strings and puts on a personal show for the hero. Not to mention his expanded role in the series is really a huge twist given he was just a goon for most of MGS1. That doesn't really translate well into publisher marketing material because it's more of an in-game impact.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/11/2010 6:54:24 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #473
Gerontophobia, clearly. MGS3 Ocelot in the villains contest was noticeably better than Old Ocelot (55% on Wily vs 55% on Nemesis). Have we seen a Young Ocelot pic since?


Nope. If Ocelot beats Red, I'm going to submit a Young Ocelot pic for round 2.
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/11/2010 7:19:01 PM | message detail
I don't claim to know the Pokemon-fanbase as well as, well, most people in here...but it really seems frivolous to be condemning Red's chances now that he has a SSBB-pic. "Red" is still in his name both for the pic and option to pick him, RBY/GSC have been played by enough people here for his name to be recognized, and the SSBB-model still looks quite a bit like what his sprite and original artwork presents.

http://images4.wikia.nocookie.net/nintendo/en/images/thumb/7/7b/Red_Pok%C3%A9monRB.png/180px-Red_Pok%C3%A9monRB.png
http://images3.wikia.nocookie.net/nintendo/en/images/6/6f/Red_Pok%C3%A9monFRLG.png
http://i91.photobucket.com/albums/k297/Koopatroopa2k6/High%20Quality%20SSBB%20Renders/PokemonTrainer.png
(looks to me like the first picture's the oddball if anything, but I'm not a Pokemon-guy)

This isn't a case of Solid **** or ZSS where nobody will recognize him; this is a hyped playable character's model from SSBB, not a terrible sprite from a game few people have played anymore. This is more like a Naked Snake-situation, and that didn't hurt Solid because they look nearly the same. For a 2D-to-3D conversion based off of the artwork, Red looks like a success to me. Pokemon-fans are going to see both "Pokemon" and -- more importantly -- "Red" in the title, plus maybe having "Pokemon Trainer" can snag some extra votes.

If Ocelot wins, I don't want to hear a thing about the picture. If Red gets his artwork in R2 and beats MMX, I don't want to hear a thing about the picture then either. The sprite, well, you likely have an argument, but right now I'm unconvinced this matters at all.
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HaRRicH | Posted 1/11/2010 7:24:17 PM | message detail
Also, here's a loosely-related hypothetical situation: say Squall Leonhart was only called "Squall" in his matches until KH came out (that's right, all one of them, work with me here) since he was mainly called Squall in FF8. Since Squall's called Leonhart in the KH-series, his name in polls became "Squall Leonhart" instead of only being "Squall" or "Leonhart." Do you think that would have kept any FF8-fans from voting for Squall, even when KH-pictures are used?

If you'll give fans of his enough credit to recognize Squall Leonhart as Squall or Leonhart regardless of where his pics come from, have faith that Pokemon-fans will recognize Red as Pokemon Trainer Red with the SSBB-picture. I get the issue is that it is canonically Squall Leonhart in both FF8 and the KH-series whereas it's not proven it's Red in SSBB...but he's named "Pokemon Trainer" and looks like Red. People who know Red from before SSBB should at least see the association, and that's much better than Solid **** and ZSS were able to do in the past.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/11/2010 7:25:59 PM | message detail
I'm glad to see the return of the sprite round in round 3. I don't really believe the theory that sprites help CT characters, or at least, I don't believe the effect is anything more than very small, but it's one more thing that can help Crono impress against Sephiroth. I mean, I'd be glad to see the sprite round without any benefit to Crono too.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 7:31:47 PM | message detail
The Squall from Kingdom Hearts was the same one from Final Fantasy VIII through and through. The only memory people had of Red in Pokemon was that he was the character that you controlled, the Brawl character doesn't feel like the same guy.

It's hard to explain it, but I guess you can say that the connection is not there.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/11/2010 7:33:02 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #481
The Squall from Kingdom Hearts was the same one from Final Fantasy VIII through and through. The only memory people had of Red in Pokemon was that he was the character that you controlled, the Brawl character doesn't feel like the same guy.

It's hard to explain it, but I guess you can say that the connection is not there.


Yeah, but KH Squall looks a lot less like FFVIII Squall than Brawl PT looks like Red.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 7:36:41 PM | message detail
I'm not arguing that they don't look like alike, I'm saying that the Brawl picture doesn't represent the memories of the Pokemon version.

Squall on the other hand still had the same personality in Kingdom Hearts.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/11/2010 7:38:23 PM | message detail
But they're not voting for the Brawl pokemon trainer, they're voting for Pokemon Trainer Red. The voters can read, as the picture is quite recognizable, they're not going to be confused like with ZSS.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/11/2010 7:39:21 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #484
But they're not voting for the Brawl pokemon trainer, they're voting for Pokemon Trainer Red. The voters can read, as the picture is quite recognizable, they're not going to be confused like with ZSS.


if they were confused by ZSS, I see no reason why this would be any different.

Like you said, voters can read.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/11/2010 7:40:11 PM | message detail
See, I don't think there's anything wrong with PT's picture, but then again, I didn't grow up a Pokefanatic, so that nostalgia isn't there for me.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/11/2010 7:40:37 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #485
if they were confused by ZSS, I see no reason why this would be any different.

Like you said, voters can read.


Because they look exactly the same. This isn't like Samus without a suit.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/11/2010 7:40:51 PM | message detail
I'm saying that the Brawl picture doesn't represent the memories of the Pokemon version.

I look at the picture, and because I'm not blind, I realize that's the Pokemon Trainer from the Pokemon games. If there's someone who doesn't realize this, then that person has never played a Pokemon game.

This whole picture thing is incredibly stupid. I guarantee you that if one more of those SSBB "newbies" performed decently last year, then this entire picture argument would not be happening.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/11/2010 7:42:33 PM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | #488
I'm saying that the Brawl picture doesn't represent the memories of the Pokemon version.

I look at the picture, and because I'm not blind, I realize that's the Pokemon Trainer from the Pokemon games. If there's someone who doesn't realize this, then that person has never played a Pokemon game.

This whole picture thing is incredibly stupid. I guarantee you that if one more of those SSBB "newbies" performed decently last year, then this entire picture argument would not be happening.


Duh. He's just another brawl fodder character now.
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 7:43:10 PM | message detail
Well it doesn't matter since I think Ocelot will beat Red regardless of picture...
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/11/2010 7:44:26 PM | message detail
Duh. He's just another brawl fodder character now.

Actually, he's Pokemon fodder. But that will still be enough to beat Ocelot.
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Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
transients | Posted 1/11/2010 7:45:04 PM | message detail
I am floored that people are using this picture to condemn Red. wasn't a Brawl picture expected? he's very clearly a Pokemon trainer and has a pokeball in his hand. seriously, what's the problem here? that he's not a crappy GBC sprite and therefore no one will vote for him? if people will only vote for him based on a crappy oldschool picture then people don't like him in the first place. if he loses, it's because he sucks, not because of a picture.
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 1/11/2010 7:45:56 PM | message detail
Just so you guys know, Pokemon being the #3 game on GameFAQs is stupid and a fluke.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/11/2010 7:46:10 PM | message detail
Duly noted.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/11/2010 7:46:56 PM | message detail
No. It's top 5 for sure, but I can see it being top 3.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/11/2010 7:47:08 PM | message detail
Well, it hasn't got #3 locked down yet. It has to face one of LTTP/SM64/CT first to give us a good idea of where it stands relative to that trio.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/11/2010 7:47:58 PM | message detail
FFX beat it straight up, so it's stronger than RBY!

After all, it doesn't get SFF'd, right...?!
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charmander6000 | Posted 1/11/2010 7:49:35 PM | message detail
No Pokemon doesn't get SFF and that's why it was a top 10 game after defeating 3 Nintendo 64 games.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/11/2010 7:49:57 PM | message detail
Exactly, so FFX beats it!

FFX #3!
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/11/2010 7:50:03 PM | message detail
Just so you guys know, Pokemon beating Dante and Leon on GameFAQS is stupid and a fluke.
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