GameFAQs Contests

DRAKE TO THE FINALS BASED ON TODAY'S POLL



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days.

Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples)

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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http://wp.advancednflstats.com/nflarchive.php?year=2009&team=IND&gameid=54609

Magus > Sonic
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

Squall > Magus
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"

Squall > Sonic!
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

lol at anyone who thinks The Boss has a chance at this point
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

LOL anyone who thinks this poll means anything for the contest

I thought we learned our lesson from the Games Contest.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

This poll tells us that if a character from Comet Crash was in the contest, he would probably lose to Drake

Wait does that game even have characters
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Comet Crash vs. Adventure: Who you got?
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

Feeling confident with my Kratos > Sackboy pick, btw.

Don't make me pull out that Half-Life 2 2005 Xbox GotY poll.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380

I was expecting Littlebigplanet to get at least half of Dissidia..

Yeah, this was never going to happen.

---
the journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step

I'd feel confident with Kratos > Kratos based on the Games Contest, personally.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

Adventure for being sort kinda known

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

I'd feel confident with Kratos > Kratos based on the Games Contest, personally.

lol just because ToS beat GoW doesn't mean Kratos will beat Kratos

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380

Half-Minute Hero hooray
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!

I guarantee Kratos beats Kratos!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Monster hunter just cut littlebigplanet that time...

Whatever your expecations for littlebigplanet in this poll, it has NO excuse to lose to something like Monster Hunter!
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://i45.tinypic.com/2ljlus3.jpg

Hmmm...Uncharted did worse in North America and the U.S. than it did overall. In fact, it did the best in Europe and the UK.

Since you posted a trend chart for Nathan earlier, I decided to take that and do a trend chart for Uncharted 2 and see how that compares to Nathan.

Time | Nathan | Uncharted 2
EBV | 6.99% | 42.36%
PHV | 6.67% | 44.21%
FNV | 6.65% | 43.77%
BSV | 7.00% | 44.67%
DSV | 7.26% | 44.51%
ASV | 6.83% | 43.26%
SNV | 6.34% | 42.56%

Not to mention Albion wanted to see what kind of day vote Uncharted 2 has, so that's also why I did that.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!

Yep, not much difference.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."

Dissidia was always going to win this poll. Don't let the much less advertised PSP-version of LBP reflect what LBP on the PS3 means for Sackboy. Since we haven't seen Sackboy since 2008, we've never seen him with a game behind him before...so you still have to consider both versions of LBP, and they're clearly not identical games in terms of strength. It doesn't hurt that they're on different systems, either.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

The argument supporting Drake is that Uncharted 2 was so much bigger than the first, mainly because it didn't have a MGS4 to deal with. I'm still wishy washy on that whole situation.


On the same notion, I doubt 1 v 1 helps Sonic Team much, if at all. In 2k6 Sonic get absolutely pasted by Snake.


So did Mega Man. So did Samus. If it wasn't the 4-way format, it may have been Sonic the Hedgehog 2006 turning people off of the blue blur, because in 2006 almost everything makes sense (well, at least on the REAL side of the bracket)
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http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg

LBP PSP is a joke that nobody played. I'm amazed it's in second.

this entire poll is a joke really. Dissidia is the only game with any name recognition and so it naturally cleans up.
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xyzzy

So did Samus.

Oops.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!

Oops indeed. Not sure what I was thinking of there.
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http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg

Dissidia's percentage is similar to Uncharted 2's. What FF character does this make Drake closest to: Cloud, Squall, Tidus, Kefka, Kuja, or Bartz?
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Not Wylvane

Plus, I'd rather see Ryu vs Ryu than Kratos vs Kratos.

Hell, if we ever get fourways again, we could rally Ryu from BoF and some other Ryu and have one hell of a poll.
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Not Wylvane

Pah, just rally all the Cids.
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SFF is fun!

Is Comet Crash close to Tanner or CATS? If it's Tanner, then Drake is only beating Link with 80% instead of 95%.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

Although LBP PSP is not a proper representative, it's still strange to see it barely beat something like Monster Hunter. In a poll like this, franchise votes are pretty much all that's shown. I guess LBP sucks as a franchise.
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*is Dranze*
Krahen Prophet did a fatality.

if you want to mock something's franchise votes, look at Gran Turismo. that's much worse.
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xyzzy

That makes sense. LBP is only one game to most people; it doesn't have any real 'franchise' pull yet. I wouldn't take this to mean LBP's forgotten, or unpopular, or that Sackboy is screwed, though. Dissidia dominating everything else is the only way this poll could have gone, because it's the only game that people are both familiar with and have actually played.

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the journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step

because it's the only game that people are both familiar with and have actually played.

people suck
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!

save us half minute hero

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the journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step

better than gran turismo confirmed
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!

Franchise voting is overrated. Just look at the difference between OOT and MM or FFVII and FFIV. It does exist though.....let the NES sink into history for a few more years, and Zelda 1 will be able to beat Mario 1 on franchise voting from younger voters!
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....

True. Give it a few more years and a warm reception for Zelda Wii, and LoZ might have enough to overcome that 55/45 deficit. Even if it doesn't, the Zelda series still has the stronger game on 4/5 Nintendo consoles. Bow down, moustache man!
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

I think GOTY polls usually have a lot of franchise voting because, let's be honest, how many new games does the average gamer play per year?
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3422

May be a decent amount. Not sure.
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*is Dranze*
Krahen Prophet did a fatality.

Monster Hunter is gonna rape LBP once we get into the Asian hours.

Monster Planet is one of the biggest things in Japan atm.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://i45.tinypic.com/2ljlus3.jpg

Well, the majority of GameFAQs buys 5 games or less per year. When you take into account the number of games in these GOTY polls, there's bound to be a lot of franchise voting. People will just vote for the franchise they like best in polls where they haven't played/didn't like any other game in the poll. I know I do it.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

I love Gamefaqs taste though. I haven't seen a single site to give Dissidia PSP game of the year, yet its murdering the poll
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://i45.tinypic.com/2ljlus3.jpg

Yeah, GameFAQs doesn't tend to stray too far from its comfort zone when it comes to games. Anything from an established will almost always best a new, unique game, regardless of the quality of the former. That's why it's such a Nintendo/Square fest come contest time!

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the journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step

So then it's settled: Dissidia's winning because of franchise-votes!
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

From: HaRRicH | #043
So then it's settled: Dissidia's winning because of franchise-votes!

Well, yeah, that's why we knew Dissidia was going to win regardless of the competition.

Not that the PSP had a great lineup this year anyway, but still.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

What are some of the biggest multiplatform games set to hit this year? I wonder if Bayonetta can actually do well...
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

From: PartOfYourWorld | #045
What are some of the biggest multiplatform games set to hit this year? I wonder if Bayonetta can actually do well...

Final Fantasy XIII.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"

Gamespot PSP Winner: GTA Chinatown Wars
IGN PSP Winner: Patapon 2
Gamespy PSP Winner: Littlebigplanet
Gametrailers PSP Winner: Resistance: Retribution

Nobody is agreeing on a consensus goty though
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://i45.tinypic.com/2ljlus3.jpg

I wouldn't bet on Bayonetta doing very well. That's not a game that GameFAQs will get into.

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the journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step

Heh, forgot about FFXIII. I'm also expecting another big-selling CoD; that's gotta be a yearly thing now.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Isn't Bayonetta supposed to be an action game of some kind? I haven't kept up with it much because I'm not too interested.

If it is, it'll probably bomb.
---
"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."