GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 771

UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/31/2009 3:25:48 PM | message detail
Happy 2010!


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days.

Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples)

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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"There are no fingerprints deep under water, nothing to tie one to a crime
And if you seek vengeance, all you need are instruments of pain." -Dethklok
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/1/2010 1:05:51 AM | message detail
Well, this is new.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
AmazingKirby | Posted 1/1/2010 1:40:25 AM | message detail
Superb end to the last topic.
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caps
Mr3790 | Posted 1/1/2010 2:25:34 AM | message detail
First Stats topic of 2010.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 1/1/2010 2:27:12 AM | message detail
5th post
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/1/2010 6:50:18 AM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 1/1/2010 2:09:30 AM | message detail | filter | #489
You know, regarding that legendary overperformance, it makes you wonder: how much is the NN dependent on appealing designs? If you had to break down their popularity, what parts would it boil down to? Thinking something like this:

1) Design.
2) Opinion on their games.
3) Actions.
4) Nostalgia.
5) Bracket.

Plus anything else I might be missing. On a scale from 1 to 10, how would you rate our strongest characters?


Depends on the character. Games is the most important for all of them, or else Crono and Sonic wouldn't be getting weaker, and Snake wouldn't have boosted from the joke that almost lost to Bowser to the guy who many are seriously picking over Sephiroth. Design's pretty important, though moreso for characters like Sephiroth and Snake than characters like Mario. Nostalgia's in there, keeping the FF7 characters and all the other mascots strong, and probably the main force in keeping Crono afloat all these years. Actions, eh, that'd be better replaced with character design in general, and even then I don't think having an in-depth character really matters when it comes to strength. There's, what, Cloud, Sephiroth, and Snake, and their strength is more from being in some of the largest games on the site. As for bracket votes, I doubt that's a real factor, and if anything there's more people looking to upset the status quo these days, thus bandwagons like L-Block and Kirby.
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Not Wylvane
voltch | Posted 1/1/2010 7:00:00 AM | message detail
Big Boss to pull a shadow on Mario!
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Shakes Fist!
paulg235 | Posted 1/1/2010 7:12:43 AM | message detail

From: voltch | #007
Big Boss to pull a shadow on Mario!


Are you saying that after that, Big Boss will go off to lose to the likes of Ryu and and then look absolutely terrible a few years later by losing to someone like Balthier thanks to SFF?

And we lready know Big Boss is not a pushover. Shadow was just new at the time, not to mention half of those newcomers (Magus, Zero) overperformed in their matches and were exposed in later contests.

Big Boss has went the exact opposite way; went from looking horrible to pulling off surprising performances. Big Boss is getting anywhere from 37-44% in my books.
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/1/2010 8:12:19 AM | message detail
KH has taken the lead :(
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/8493/wtfalistair3383895.gif
red sox 777 | Posted 1/1/2010 8:14:25 AM | message detail
I doubt it's happening, but I'd love for Big Boss to pull a Shadow. Maybe after that people will finally realize that Mario isn't all that strong anymore, and was never as strong as some people seem to think he still is.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/1/2010 8:15:35 AM | message detail
Also has anyone noticed the incredibly low votals for this poll? We may not even get 50k...
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/8493/wtfalistair3383895.gif
red sox 777 | Posted 1/1/2010 8:17:24 AM | message detail
I'd blame New Year's Day for that. Lot of people were out somewhere last night, and lots of people are still asleep now. Voting will probably pick up later in the day.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/1/2010 8:19:27 AM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | Posted: 1/1/2010 11:12:19 AM | #009
KH has taken the lead :(


Good.
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"How's this for a headline? 'French Fries' " -James French, last words
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/1/2010 8:20:25 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #013
Good.


you have ... bad taste?
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/8493/wtfalistair3383895.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/1/2010 8:44:15 AM | message detail
Have you even played 358/2 Days, Albion?
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
smitelf | Posted 1/1/2010 8:54:47 AM | message detail
So the best DS game of the year according to GameFAQs is either a mediocre Kingdom Hearts game or Pokemon version #782?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/1/2010 9:00:37 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #015
Have you even played 358/2 Days, Albion?


No, but I've played KH1, and if its anything like it, its crap.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/8493/wtfalistair3383895.gif
smitelf | Posted 1/1/2010 9:08:38 AM | message detail
No, but I've played KH1, and if its anything like it, its crap.

Pssh, the original Kingdom Hearts was some of the best fun I've had this decade, but after that the series started taking its terrible storyline too seriously.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/1/2010 9:12:43 AM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #017
No, but I've played KH1, and if its anything like it, its crap.


I see.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/1/2010 9:19:42 AM | message detail
I grew up hating Disney, and a game focused on Disney, no matter how much FF there is as well, is a recipe for disaster for me. I gave it a chance, but I just couldn't stomach it any more by the time I got to Tarzans level.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/8493/wtfalistair3383895.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/1/2010 9:21:10 AM | message detail
Disney's involvement in the game itself becomes less and less with each game.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/1/2010 9:39:17 AM | message detail
how do you hate Disney

Is your soul a cavern of discontent

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
ZFS | Posted 1/1/2010 9:40:16 AM | message detail
Gotta agree with Albion here about Kingdom Hearts. KH1 was a disaster, but KH2 was fun enough at least. Nothing great, but at least it was playable.

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the journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/1/2010 9:40:25 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #022
how do you hate Disney

Is your soul a cavern of discontent


Never watched Disney growing up, so by the time I ever saw any of it, it was totally kiddy to me and had no point. Maybe it would be different if I grew up watching it.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/8493/wtfalistair3383895.gif
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/1/2010 9:40:43 AM | message detail
Man Albion proves to suck even more.
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*is Dranze*
Krahen Prophet did a fatality.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/1/2010 9:41:37 AM | message detail
KH1 wasn't that bad. I still enjoy playing it. Hollow Bastion is great, at the very least.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/1/2010 9:42:43 AM | message detail
From the time I played it, the storyline was very weak as well, and there wasn't much reason to connect to it unless I assume you knew the disney stories. Not knowign the stories, nothing really made sense.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/8493/wtfalistair3383895.gif
ZFS | Posted 1/1/2010 9:44:08 AM | message detail
I grew up watching Disney movies and I can safely say I don't care for them! I don't hate them or anything, but my opinion of them is pretty low compared to most people on the board.

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the journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step
AmazingKirby | Posted 1/1/2010 9:46:25 AM | message detail
358/2 Days is as fun as any other DS game.

everyone go away
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caps
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/1/2010 9:47:15 AM | message detail
Me too, I watched most of the big Disney movies when I was kid but the only one I ever had any attachment to was Lion King.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/1/2010 9:48:24 AM | message detail
Aladdin and The Lion King are about the only Disney movies I would bother to watch now as an adult, but I still enjoy Kingdom Hearts!
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
ZFS | Posted 1/1/2010 9:52:07 AM | message detail
I like the FF part of Kingdom Hearts, but the rest of it is pretty bleh.

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the journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step
AmazingKirby | Posted 1/1/2010 9:53:44 AM | message detail
Man, it's a good thing KH is still popular anyway, and there's nothing the lamers in this topic can do about it.
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caps
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/1/2010 9:54:46 AM | message detail
Being called a lamer by AmazingKirby is a compliment, you know.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/1/2010 9:55:59 AM | message detail

From: AmazingKirby | #033
Man, it's a good thing KH is still popular anyway, and there's nothing the lamers in this topic can do about it.


sadly
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/8493/wtfalistair3383895.gif
AmazingKirby | Posted 1/1/2010 9:57:23 AM | message detail
Being called a lamer by AmazingKirby is a compliment, you know.

Aaaaand...who are you?
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caps
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/1/2010 9:59:08 AM | message detail

From: AmazingKirby | #036
Aaaaand...who are you?


That doesn't work when the person without an entry on the board8wiki is saying it to the person with one
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
AmazingKirby | Posted 1/1/2010 10:06:22 AM | message detail

That doesn't work when the person without an entry on the board8wiki is saying it to the person with one


And why,exactly, would I feel the need to have my own wiki page about my incredibly important role as a user on a sub-sub-sub message board on a gaming website?

Nobody's ever heard of about half of the people in that thing who just made themselves a page to feel special. Yours kinda seems that way, Mr. 'finest mind.'
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/1/2010 10:10:46 AM | message detail
I don't really think anything of it, I just brought it up because you pulled the pointless "lol who are you then" card. I personally disdain that kind of thing. OMG YOU ARE NOT A BIG NAME, LOLOL YOU SUCK. Yeah, no.

From: AmazingKirby | #038
Nobody's ever heard of about half of the people in that thing who just made themselves a page to feel special. Yours kinda seems that way


But I guess I'm speaking with someone without the mental capacity to even check the history bar to see if that's the case or not(you will see that it is not the case) so, eh.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/1/2010 10:12:55 AM | message detail
I'd say n00b Avenger is more well known then you are, Kirby.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/8493/wtfalistair3383895.gif
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/1/2010 10:14:47 AM | message detail
I would say I am not, because I haven't posted regularly in 3 years. But I don't see why that has to be a measure of the value of what I have to say
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
smitelf | Posted 1/1/2010 10:15:03 AM | message detail
When did this topic get renamed from "Contest Stats and Discussion" to "Contest Stats and Bickering Like 12-Year-Old Girls"?
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/1/2010 10:15:28 AM | message detail
People don't know partystar?
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
AmazingKirby | Posted 1/1/2010 10:16:25 AM | message detail
But I guess I'm speaking with someone without the mental capacity to even check the history bar to see if that's the case or not(you will see that it is not the case) so, eh.

Again, not having mental capacity? How about...not caring so intensely about some dude's gaming message board wiki page?

Also, lol at pulling the 'not a big name' card. I think you're plenty recognizable. I was saying "who are you that knows me so well (after all, you couldn't do your research on me on B8 Wiki) to insult me like you did?"
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/1/2010 10:18:03 AM | message detail
I thought your intention was the whole "YOU'RE NOT A VET SO YOU SUCK" mentality, which is a pet peeve of mine and unfortunately, all too common around these parts.

I apologize for my rude and immature behavior, this was all a result of my misunderstanding.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Biolizard28 | Posted 1/1/2010 10:18:19 AM | message detail

From: smitelf | #016
Pokemon version #782?


See this ****?

Stop it.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/1/2010 10:18:55 AM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W0H8YHAuaNg

I come for the fanservice. I stay for the fun gameplay and beautiful music.

Also, welcome back, smite!
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/1/2010 10:19:16 AM | message detail
(but the part about being called a lamer by you being a compliment still stands, because it's true. I come on, you like Rikku and stuff)
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/1/2010 10:20:57 AM | message detail
http://i41.tinypic.com/16aa0co.jpg

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/1/2010 10:22:15 AM | message detail
I'd blame New Year's Day for that. Lot of people were out somewhere last night, and lots of people are still asleep now. Voting will probably pick up later in the day.

And second, the polls for the portable consoles will get less votals than the console polls will. Console gaming is more popular than portable gaming anyways.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!