GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 767
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/18/2009 10:18:11 AM | message detail |
I
switched to Kratos Aurion and don't think I'll be switching back. MGS4
SFF or not, LittleBigPlanet was just a weak game, and I was surprised
with Tales of Symphonia's strength. Kratos is that game's most popular
character, and I've seen him in action a few times. The Sackboy upset
can pay off, but it's not one I trust enough right now. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Xeybozn | Posted 12/18/2009 10:20:52 AM | message detail |
LBP is aging beautifully, and I think is more mainstream than some TOS character. Being mainstream didn't help GTA and God of War against ToS in the game contest, and LBP isn't nearly as big as those two. --- Congrats to KrahenProfit |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:22:51 AM | message detail |
Yuna > Zack is very possible. Chun Li or Wario, who would you take? I have Sackboy right now, but I'm betting on some Snake SFF last year and that LBP isn't totally forgotten. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |
draarrowgant | Posted 12/18/2009 10:23:20 AM | message detail |
Sackboy
is the underdog based on previous performance- agreed. I have seen TOS
too- and he has never made it out of the first round. I am just betting
on the growth of LBP - whether you think it is a good game or not is
irrelevant. --- Dream3ater: I've played every FFgame from I-XII and I barely payed attention to the story in any of them...There are a ton of people like me |
transience | Posted 12/18/2009 10:23:57 AM | message detail |
this
12 hour thing is going to wreak havoc on our usual board contests.
there is no way Moltar is going to have time to post two sets of
writeups a day, for example. the Oracle is pretty much automated, but
I'm not sure how the Guru works. I think that's why we haven't seen too
much there. I think a lot of our regulars are suffering from contest fatigue too. you can only do this stuff for so long. --- xyzzy |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:23:59 AM | message detail |
Isn't Tales of Symphonia considered FFVI-lite when it comes to ensemble cast? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |
transience | Posted 12/18/2009 10:25:48 AM | message detail |
nah, there's a clear pecking order there. it's more like FF10. --- xyzzy |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:25:55 AM | message detail |
this
12 hour thing is going to wreak havoc on our usual board contests.
there is no way Moltar is going to have time to post two sets of
writeups a day, for example. the Oracle is pretty much automated, but
I'm not sure how the Guru works. I think that's why we haven't seen too
much there. I can tell you right now that my write-ups will be a lot shorter this contest, but that also has to do with there only being two entrants in each poll instead of four. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:26:19 AM | message detail |
I don't see why crew writeups would be a problem. Just post both sets for the day before the night match. Really, Oracle is the only thing that needs to change and I talked to Kax about it and it's a 5 second code change to make the site update twice a day. --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:26:38 AM | message detail |
So
who do you think will get the highest blowout in round 1? Link's
probably the favorite, and I'm guessing 5 characters can break 80%:
Link, Mario, Zelda, Cloud, and Sephiroth. Also going to guess that no
one breaks 85%, which would be a first for a 1v1 contest. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
transience | Posted 12/18/2009 10:27:25 AM | message detail |
it's not just Moltar, it's everyone having to write two sets. that's a lot of writing. I bet there are some enthusiastic people who haven't written for the crew who would gladly do this, but the old regs will probably have a hard time getting it up! --- xyzzy |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/18/2009 10:27:45 AM | message detail |
Yuna
> Zack is possible, but man, it's hard to bet against the black
haired Cloud in that scenario. Zack doubled Zidane and would have
(probably) done even better against him in a 1v1. Even if Yuna has that
kind of intrinsic strength, Zack is bringing the FFVII hammer of SFF
into this. As for Sackboy, I wouldn't take him over HK-47, and based on Lloyd/HK, Kratos is probably around that area. Figure it's better to go with the known guy in this case. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
transience | Posted 12/18/2009 10:28:20 AM | message detail |
though
I guess you can argue that it's still four characters per day.. I
dunno, still waiting to see what Moltar has to say about it. --- xyzzy |
voltch | Posted 12/18/2009 10:28:29 AM | message detail |
I know you can do it Tran! You show enough contest passion to write twice as much as before. --- Shakes Fist! |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:28:37 AM | message detail |
Analazy Crew --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
transience | Posted 12/18/2009 10:29:19 AM | message detail |
Yuna/Zack
is pretty cool. Zack is more liked, Yuna is more known. I'll be
interested to see how that one shakes out. if Zack has a big enough
audience, he's got it. if not, he could lose this one badly. this is
the match where we find out how legit Zack's popularity is. --- xyzzy |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:29:48 AM | message detail |
So
who do you think will get the highest blowout in round 1? Link's
probably the favorite, and I'm guessing 5 characters can break 80%:
Link, Mario, Zelda, Cloud, and Sephiroth. Also going to guess that no
one breaks 85%, which would be a first for a 1v1 contest. It seems like the weaker characters have avoided the noble nine pretty well. Right now I'd say Mario/Falco is most likely because of SFF, but Cloud/Ridley is possible. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:29:52 AM | message detail |
It
may still be 4 characters a day, but you can't dismiss half of them as
fodder who won't be in contention anyway. On the other hand you don't
have to sort through a tangled mess of LFF and SFF to get anywhere
either. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
transience | Posted 12/18/2009 10:32:02 AM | message detail |
yeah,
sorting through the web is what made old crew writeups so long. for 60%
of these matches, you could say everything you needed to say in 2-3
lines. I don't think I would want to extend myself for stuff like
Link/Thrall or Snake/Proto Man. --- xyzzy |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/18/2009 10:32:51 AM | message detail |
Personally, I'd rather write two 1v1 analyses than a single 4way. The 4way write-ups could became mazes so quickly. Not like it matters, since I won't have time to join the Crew this year (even if Moltar would have let me back in), but best of luck to the guys who make it. Stay on top of things! --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Xeybozn | Posted 12/18/2009 10:33:46 AM | message detail |
Mario
should have the biggest blowout of the round 1, since he should be able
to SFF Falco pretty bad. Nobody else has any chance of breaking 85%,
but Mario should probably do it - he did get more than 80% on Fox in
'07, although the picture wasn't helping Fox there. --- Congrats to KrahenProfit |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/18/2009 10:35:48 AM | message detail |
Boss is pretty much guaranteed to get badass pictures these days, so he should wallop Edgeworth pretty good. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 10:38:30 AM | message detail |
this is the match where we find out how legit Zack's popularity is. Well, that, and the Mega Man match, if he beats Yuna. And Link could break 85% against Thrall and I wouldn't be surprised. Thrall is fodder, folks. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
Achromatic | Posted 12/18/2009 10:39:24 AM | message detail |
Thrall is going to get 21%, book it. --- The difference between arrogance and confidence is confidence acts rather than speaks. Sir Chris |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:39:36 AM | message detail |
Yeah, he was losing hours to Ratchet in 2007 --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/18/2009 10:40:24 AM | message detail |
My
Oracle for Link will be around 85%. Thrall put up about 17% against
Ganon/Vergil/Ratchet in a format where people were voting for him out
of obligation. Feed him to Link in a pointless match and things will
get ugly fast. I wouldn't be surprised if the HYLIAN HAMMER made a run
for the high 80s. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 10:40:50 AM | message detail |
Thrall isn't above the fodder line. The guy lost to Vergil, for cryin' out loud. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
voltch | Posted 12/18/2009 10:41:09 AM | message detail |
Cloud gets too much antivoting to ever blow anything by massive margin anymore, he can break 80 easy, but upper 80s no uh. --- Shakes Fist! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 10:42:40 AM | message detail |
Ridley's decently high fodder anyway. If he breaks 20% on Cloud, I won't be too surprised. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/18/2009 10:46:22 AM | message detail |
Oh man, I just realized Oracle predictions will be one line again. Link - 85% IT'S LIKE CHRISTMAS ALL YEAR ROUND --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:46:22 AM | message detail |
Make
that 6 characters- I forgot just how weak Guybrush was. For some reason
I thought he was above Kerrigan, and Kerrigan broke 20% on Vincent, but
it seems Guybrush is actually a good deal weaker than Kerrigan. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
Zylo the wolf | Posted 12/18/2009 10:46:34 AM | message detail |
So who do you think will get the highest blowout in round 1 Vincent. It's a moral victory for Guybrush if he gets above 15%. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. KrahenProfit > Me |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 10:48:29 AM | message detail |
Oh
yeah, Vincent could probably quadruple Guybrush. Bowser scored 83% on
him once upon a time. Guybrush seems stronger nowadays, though that's
probably just the format talking. His new games might help him out a
little though. Man, Vincent could score the blowout of the contest. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/18/2009 10:49:45 AM | message detail |
Eh, Link will be hard to top. Mario could do it, but I don't know about anyone else. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 10:50:14 AM | message detail |
Oh man, Vincent/Guybrush is a day match. Yeah, Guybrush is gonna get wasted. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
Zylo the wolf | Posted 12/18/2009 10:52:40 AM | message detail |
Just a thought, Guybrush might top Tanner as the weakest character ever in x-stats if Sephiroth can SFF Vincent really bad. <3 Guybrush --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. KrahenProfit > Me |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/18/2009 10:54:23 AM | message detail |
It would have to be one HELL of an SFF disaster. Snake had a bad loss to Mega Man who was disemboweled by Link. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
transience | Posted 12/18/2009 10:55:00 AM | message detail |
Seph gets to lose to Cloud too. --- xyzzy |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 10:55:30 AM | message detail |
Yeah, I think people forget just how weak Tanner is. It's almost mind-boggling, really. And that was at his peak strength! I wonder how he'd do now... --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 10:56:17 AM | message detail |
From: transience | #088 Yeah, but this shouldn't be an SFF fest, I think. Sephiroth will get his usual 44-45% here, I figure. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/18/2009 10:56:31 AM | message detail |
Tanner was supposed to lose to CATS about as badly as CATS lost to Link, if I recall correctly. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 10:58:34 AM | message detail |
I
think every character from Sora up was projected to get 90% on Tanner
that year, and even Guybrush is projected to get 82% on him that year. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
transience | Posted 12/18/2009 10:58:47 AM | message detail |
I dunno, Seph's gotten bombed the last two years. --- xyzzy |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 11:00:27 AM | message detail |
Those
are different circumstances, I think. Sephiroth gets abandoned to help
Cloud kind of thing. I don't think it'll be a problem in a 1-on-1
match. Of course, we haven't seen Cloud/Sephiroth one-on-one since
2004, before the site shift. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/18/2009 11:00:53 AM | message detail |
Tanner would probably do better now just from the fame he's gotten as the weakest character ever. --- 6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno 'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared.... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 11:01:55 AM | message detail |
Psh,
I think we could get a bigger Board 8 contingent to NOT vote for Tanner
than to vote for him. That was what we were supposed to do to Jay
Solano if he ever got in the main contest. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/18/2009 11:03:24 AM | message detail |
Yet the board voted him over Link. Maybe I'll use my guru nomination on him. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Submit bracket here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=52670380 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2009 11:04:22 AM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #097 Well, that was a different set of circumstances. When Board 8 realized they could vote Solano over Link, they figured it'd be funnier to have Solano beat Link than to have Link get 99% of the votes. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Master Moltar | Posted 12/18/2009 11:07:03 AM | message detail |
From: KleenexTissue50 | #059 Yeah that's what I was planning to do. Perhaps I'll post the night matches a few hours before that starts, and then post the day matches before I go to bed for the night so it's less reading to do all at once. From: transience | #061 If you start early, it'll be less work! From: PartOfYourWorld | #070 Yeah, doing 1v1 write-ups again should be good for all of us. --- Moltar Status: In despair. Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
transience | Posted 12/18/2009 11:10:23 AM | message detail |
do we know who the crew is? --- xyzzy |