GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 763
red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:16:24 PM | message detail |
Albion: I think this is a case where "lol x-stats" applies. KP: I like Red's placement. I've got him over MMX right now, and he should do as well as pretty much any Nintendo character can do against Link. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
voltch | Posted 12/15/2009 1:16:59 PM | message detail |
yoshi to beat crono, sure it's not like none of the night voters will back crono during the day. --- Shakes Fist! |
Lopen | Posted 12/15/2009 1:17:04 PM | message detail |
Kirby became stronger than Ganondorf last year when he beat Sonic Imhhhho --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/15/2009 1:17:23 PM | message detail |
Ken Masters (2002c) VS Albert Wesker (2007c) Ken Masters has a strength of 28.49. Albert Wesker has a strength of 17.55. Ken Masters wins with 69.20% of the vote! A win of 31,587 with 82,260 total votes cast. aww yeah time to start busting out teh XSTATS --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/15/2009 1:17:26 PM | message detail |
Also, Ike finally wins a match (potentially two matches). Huzzah! --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/15/2009 1:18:36 PM | message detail |
Kirby
face Sonic in the day while Ganondorf fights Sonic at night. Kirby will
need to be a fair bit stronger than Ganondorf to win if Ganondorf can't
do it. --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/15/2009 1:19:04 PM | message detail |
I'm thinking Revan beats Terra's face in. Am I the minority int his? --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
voltch | Posted 12/15/2009 1:19:11 PM | message detail |
ken will lose in R2 though. --- Shakes Fist! |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/15/2009 1:19:15 PM | message detail |
Damn you, work. This bracket's kinda disappointing honestly with so much wasted potential, but I can ***** about that after I get back. --- Not Wylvane |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/15/2009 1:19:28 PM | message detail |
though in all seriousness Crono isn't a top 10 anymore. Yoshi is top 20 And then use Cronos worst time vs. Yoshis best time, and you can easily get a toss up I'm going Yoshi myself --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:19:30 PM | message detail |
Ken Masters (2002c) VS Albert Wesker (2007c) Ken Masters has a strength of 28.49. Albert Wesker has a strength of 17.55. Ken Masters wins with 69.20% of the vote! A win of 31,587 with 82,260 total votes cast. aww yeah time to start busting out teh XSTATS but like five years why so long because no one cares --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet |
paulg235 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:20:22 PM | message detail |
Ngamer really should put up the xsts for 2008 on that site, already. --- The Gamer In Me "paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/15/2009 1:20:41 PM | message detail |
Okay, let's look at this. Time | Crono | Bowser | Demographic EBV | 58.50% | 41.50% | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 60.76% | 39.24% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 62.11% | 37.89% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 55.17% | 44.83% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 54.72% | 45.28% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 56.88% | 43.12% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 59.47% | 40.53% | (22:00-24:00) This is a fair comparison. Bowser and Yoshi are roughly equals, at least for the purposes of this argument. As you can see, although Bowser makes great strides during the day, he still doesn't come anywhere close to actually gaining votes on Crono. Yoshi will be about the same. And yes, this match was on Saturday, but weekends don't change the results. They only affect the trends a little. Oh, and whoever mentioned that 12 hour matches will mess up the trends is right. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:21:33 PM | message detail |
Actually, after thinking about it, people are being sillier than I thought. How many matches have you seen finish more than 2% off where they were at noon? 3%? 3% is approaching Master Hand/Kuja levels....This day/night thing isn't going to change the results of any match further than 53/47 or so, and that's a very extreme case. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
Liwakip | Posted 12/15/2009 1:22:10 PM | message detail |
I'll just hope that Valve repeats their Gamespot fiasco here. That'll be a nice monkey wrench in the gears. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/15/2009 1:22:27 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #207 I doubt Revan's strong enough to beat her soundly. I don't think HK-47 could beat Terra by a lot, and I have my doubts about Revan being any stronger than HK-47. That match kinda worries me, honestly. I've got Revan, but I can see it going the other way. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/15/2009 1:22:35 PM | message detail |
12-hour matches will mess up trends, but that's just something you have to take into account when making the bracket. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/15/2009 1:22:43 PM | message detail |
wasn't crono/bowser in 2006 when crono was still somewhat relevant? --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/15/2009 1:23:04 PM | message detail |
Oh, Zidane/Ike: Who you got? --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Zylo the wolf | Posted 12/15/2009 1:23:20 PM | message detail |
Crono isn't a top 10 anymore. Yoshi is top 20 What did I miss? Crono is equal to Vincent. Name ten characters that would win over Vincent... --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. KrahenProfit > Me |
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:23:35 PM | message detail |
Ike --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/15/2009 1:23:41 PM | message detail |
From: MyWorldIsCrono | #218 It was around the time his day vote became ultra abysmal (Captain Falcon did to Crono what Axel did to Mega Man, basically) and when he lost to Sonic. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
XxSoulxX | Posted 12/15/2009 1:23:53 PM | message detail |
Ike --- Good Times, Great Memories |
MegatokyoEd | Posted 12/15/2009 1:23:55 PM | message detail |
Hasn't Bowser always been bad in the day compared to most Nintendo characters anyway? --- Demyx is better than Axel. |
Master Moltar | Posted 12/15/2009 1:23:58 PM | message detail |
Ike for now, but I'm not sure about that one. --- Moltar Status: Solving a mystery and proving witches don't exist on an island. Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/15/2009 1:24:09 PM | message detail |
And people taking Yoshi to beat Crono need to remember how bad Yoshi looked last year. Squall absolutely obliterated him. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:24:22 PM | message detail |
But
once again, the match I'm really concerned about right now is
Snake/Sephiroth. I think that one would be within 53/47 normally, and
if Snake explodes off the start with the full power of the FFVII
anti-vote.....when does Seph catch up? --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/15/2009 1:24:31 PM | message detail |
From: Zylo the wolf | #220 Link Cloud Mega Man Snake L Block Samus Sephiroth Squall Mario ok so maybe he's 10 or 11 --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:25:16 PM | message detail |
L Block really in a one on one setting you're taking L Block to beat everyone --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet |
Zylo the wolf | Posted 12/15/2009 1:25:43 PM | message detail |
L Block One less bracket to worry about. You know Crono won twice over L-Block last year... --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. KrahenProfit > Me |
AmazingKirby | Posted 12/15/2009 1:25:46 PM | message detail |
So everyone was wrong about the vote-in polls. It was the top 28 percentages throughout all 6 polls got in! How odd. That means only 4 characters got in from days one and five, while the other polls had 5 entrants. --- caps |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/15/2009 1:25:53 PM | message detail |
btw leon where are you getting those trend charts? I only know where to get the graph ones --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/15/2009 1:26:26 PM | message detail |
Ike but Dissidia could throw a wrench in there --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/15/2009 1:26:52 PM | message detail |
Snake/Seph
could be the match of the contest. We haven't really seen Sephiroth
crack foos in years, and Snake has been biding his time, getting
stronger, all for this. Also, let's keep in mind that the day/night disparity in this contest shouldn't be as extreme as previous years. People can vote again, and thousands will do so every day. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:27:22 PM | message detail |
Albion,
Crono isn't that weak, and there isn't that much of a difference
between day and night. (Plus, Crono gets to skip out on his worst time,
the dead zone, while a good deal of his early vote will probably just
migrate to the new early vote in the afternoon). But if you really think he's no longer a top 10 character, and/or the time will make a huge difference......your loss. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/15/2009 1:27:24 PM | message detail |
From: MyWorldIsCrono | #232 I made them personally. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/15/2009 1:27:52 PM | message detail |
Also,
let's keep in mind that the day/night disparity in this contest
shouldn't be as extreme as previous years. People can vote again, and
thousands will do so every day. but then you realize that especially with stuff like the ASV, those kids always wait till after they get home to vote when they could have voted earlier... so they likely won't vote at all in the night match --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/15/2009 1:28:13 PM | message detail |
Seph/Snake reminds me of Mario/Sephiroth 2k5. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
edwardsdv | Posted 12/15/2009 1:28:38 PM | message detail |
Jecht or Zelda? --- Krahen Prophet really showed me what's what. PSN Name: Wakkaball NP: Kingdom Hearts Marathon |
Master Moltar | Posted 12/15/2009 1:28:42 PM | message detail |
Ugh it should've been Samus/Seph. I'd be all over that one. Snake I'm hesitant to pull the trigger on. --- Moltar Status: In despair. Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/15/2009 1:29:33 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #238 It might end up that way, but we need something to root for. Snake's 1-0 against Sephy, after all!! --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/15/2009 1:30:17 PM | message detail |
From: MyWorldIsCrono | #237 Which is why I think night characters might have a small advantage here. It's easier to imagine night owl voters finding time to vote during the day than the ASV voters voting at night. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/15/2009 1:30:29 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #214 Well, one match I pulled at random, Zelda Vs. Terra. Would have Zelda winning with 77.32% if it was a night poll, and winning with 81.30% if it was a day time poll. That's a whole 4%. Granted, the trends should be messed up a bit but no use trying to argue about something we have no use of predicting there. But as it is, a 4% swing in major cases is plenty. --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:30:33 PM | message detail |
but
then you realize that especially with stuff like the ASV, those kids
always wait till after they get home to vote when they could have voted
earlier... so they likely won't vote at all in the night match That's an insightful observation. We might see more night voters voting in both matches while more day voters vote only in the day match.....which would mean: 1. The night matches will get fewer votes. 2. Day characters will be hurt worse if they get put in night matches than night characters in day matches. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/15/2009 1:31:17 PM | message detail |
FFVI has one of the worst day votes ever, and LoZ has one of the best. That's a rarity. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/15/2009 1:31:25 PM | message detail |
night votes should have smaller vote totals all around, helping the more hardcore characters i would think --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2009 1:31:51 PM | message detail |
Well,
one match I pulled at random, Zelda Vs. Terra. Would have Zelda winning
with 77.32% if it was a night poll, and winning with 81.30% if it was a
day time poll. That's a whole 4%. Granted, the trends should be messed up a bit but no use trying to argue about something we have no use of predicting there. But as it is, a 4% swing in major cases is plenty. I meant the difference between the day poll results and the overall results, which are probably going to be right around 2% in that one. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/15/2009 1:32:55 PM | message detail |
someone should check a marcus fenix vs. kefka day vs night breakdown --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/15/2009 1:33:29 PM | message detail |
But the overall results is pointless to use as an indicator --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/15/2009 1:35:08 PM | message detail |
Time | Kefka | Fenix | Nook | Zelos | Demographic EBV | 35.13% | 30.72% | 18.47% | 15.68% | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 34.69% | 33.33% | 18.94% | 13.04% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 37.42% | 33.80% | 16.74% | 12.05% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 33.59% | 33.78% | 19.68% | 12.96% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 35.03% | 36.23% | 16.75% | 11.99% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 27.25% | 39.59% | 20.31% | 12.86% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 27.75% | 40.46% | 19.41% | 12.37% | (22:00-24:00) Aw yeah Tom Nook ASV --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
