GameFAQs Contests

It's bracket time, boys!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days.

Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples)

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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The Gamer In Me
My Signature's broken, just like your front door.

Squall to the Final Four, book it!
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"

Squall/Auron? Ellis going to round 2? Charizard/Duke???

Crazy contest!
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Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename

Sora/Bowser is also an awesome match, and kickass that Tifa and Vincent get killed by Sephiroth!
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Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename

vivi/dk rematch?
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Shakes Fist!

aww crap Zack vs yuna.
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Shakes Fist!

so much fodder
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Fast Falcon ate my bracket for dinner in the guru contest.

Someone, get out our list of voting blocks. We're going to need them with 12 hour matches.
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SSBB FC: 4425-1156-3590
According to the Krahenprophet, Dweebenheimer!

well you mean someone do an entire X-stats based on trends?
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Shakes Fist!

So does the first match start with the night vote from 9:00 PM Pacific to 9:00 AM Pacific?
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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight

From: yazzy14 | #010
So does the first match start with the night vote from 9:00 PM Pacific to 9:00 AM Pacific?

should be
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
Vote Vault Boy!

I have Geno winning two rounds

I have Ratchet winning a round

this feels so wrong
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet

The Jenova Division is just a trainwreck waiting to happen.

I mean, just look at it! Sephiroth could potentially destroy Vincent, Crono and Tifa in that order.
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The Gamer In Me
My Signature's broken, just like your front door.

My preliminary bracket features Snake making the finals.

Is this awesome y/n?
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

Might have missed something while looking at things, but do we know if the first match is a "day" match (9 AM - 9 PM) or a "night match" (9 PM - 9 AM)?

I'm actually thinking night, because January 14 at 9 PM PST would be January 15 at 12 AM EST, so it would fit with how the poll currently changes, but just checking because of the huge implications it has.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile

Oh God I'm torn

Samus/Jecht looks like a night match... and FFX does great at night and Samus bombs at night...
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
Vote Vault Boy!

*Final, rather.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

Tag.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Ah. Never mind that then, I was too slow in asking that.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile

Samus/Jecht looks like a night match... and FFX does great at night and Samus bombs at night...

Samus/Jecht doesn't look like a match at all.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet

From: MoogleKupo141 | #012
I have Geno winning two rounds

I have Ratchet winning a round

this feels so wrong

Read this as Ratchet winning two rounds.

I was going to rage something fierce.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

Wow, The Boss can actually win matches...
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

oh man, you guys thinking l-block is going up against Kratos?
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Shakes Fist!

Nathan vs. The Boss seems like a day match.

She's boned.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

Man I'm really hyped for this contest. This is a great gimmick, I'm surprised none of us thought of it
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
Vote Vault Boy!

The sad thing is that the only Noble Niner who gets challenged is Sonic. And that's by Ganondorf, and maybe Kirby.

Sonic/Kirby is gonna be highly anticipated for me.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Laharl to win his first match then.
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Shakes Fist!

Sorry, but I'm not going to ditch one of my favorite characters for Nathan "I was tripled by CATS" Drake.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

So interesting things, assuming the bracket starts with a Night match as the rules seem to imply:

- All of Link's matches will be at night. Alucard > Link all part of the plan !
- All of Sora's matches will be night matches. "Lol fodder"
- All of Master Chief's matches will be day matches. GAME FUEL, believe.
- Crono vs Missingno is a day match haha this could be fun.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

From: LeonhartFour | #026
The sad thing is that the only Noble Niner who gets challenged is Sonic. And that's by Ganondorf, and maybe Kirby.

Sonic/Kirby is gonna be highly anticipated for me.

Crono/Missingno is a hell of a match if its a day match
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
Vote Vault Boy!

I'm not a huge fan of 12 hour matches. Vote totals will suck for night matches.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

Leonhart, before you even say it, you know I'm taking you up on the sig bet for Auron/Squall. We'll say from the day after the match until the end of the contest, deal?
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

From: voltch | #027
Laharl to win his first match then.

Neku wins, believe
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."

From: HaRRicH | #032
Leonhart, before you even say it, you know I'm taking you up on the sig bet for Auron/Squall. We'll say from the day after the match until the end of the contest, deal?

I already made a topic calling you out, son!

That's the match of the contest for me.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"

... Wait, what?

*Checks wiki*

Well, damn...
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

Crono vs Missingno is a day match haha this could be fun.

...oh god.

...At least the end of the day match is traditional CT Comeback Time!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile

Also, seeing Ike get two free wins is definitely a delight.

Even better, it's off the Guru's nom!
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

I'm a big CT fan

but oh man am i gonna be rooting for missingno just for the chaos that will ensue
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
Vote Vault Boy!

megaman vs MC becomes tricky as a day match, Alucard vs Magus in the day, will have about 5 votes the 2nd seeds seem all over the place.
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Shakes Fist!

Dammit I wish Kefka were the 8 seed, I'd totally think about taking him over Sora.

Sad thing is there are NO CHALLENGES for Sora except for like... Bowser, in his division. How terrible.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

I'm hesitating a lot more on Sonic/Kirby than on Sonic/Ganon. I just don't think the villain can take a Noble 9er, but Kirby already did the job last year...
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

wait a min Jecht ain't beating ZELDA.
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Shakes Fist!

The awesome thing is that 4 of the 5 NRT winners made it in, as did Prinny. They all have winnable matches except for Cid, unless he turns out to be Vincent-level, which I doubt.

Big Boss/Edgeworth and Phoenix/Jecht are too much awesome to be contained in one match.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"

Am I crazy for picking Chief over Mega Man since its a day match?
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
Vote Vault Boy!

I don't know what to think about Sonic, but I can't see him struggling that badly 1v1. I need a lot more time to think it over.
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It may be insulting, but it's true!
Now this is entertainment!

Hyrule

Allen didn't go easy on Red. Ocelot and then MMX ouch. Even if he gets past that, it's over at Link.

Shadow to Round 2! Luigi upset is real because Shadow "45% on Mario" the Hedgehog is back in business!

The Boss to Round 3 let's do this
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Moltar Status: Helping girls with their problems.
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

I'm picking it

Unfortunately Mario vs MC in the next round will be a night match :/
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

You are bananas.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

From: voltch | #042
wait a min Jecht ain't beating ZELDA.

oh you're right, that should be a day match. if it was night i'd love that upset though!
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
Vote Vault Boy!

Ryu vs Dante, the winner beats Leon Kennedy for sure, but it's a tricky tie.
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Shakes Fist!