GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 762
charmander6000 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:12:23 PM | message detail |
Is Marth only loved in North America. Pretty funny since his true game only came out this year. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
Ngamer64 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:13:44 PM | message detail |
Alright,
I've used the results of our six play-ins to come up with an estimate
of how this season's 128 character slots are going to break down. The
seeding presumes the following: * the top 92 most-nominated characters were locked into the bracket based on their # of noms * the next 72 were entered into Play-In matches to earn their spot in the bracket * the top 36 out of those 72 were given seeds 12-16, based on if they earned a Top Six finish in their Play-In poll Personally I think that's the system that makes the most sense, and I think it also results in a pretty realistic range of characters. But I'll let you judge that for yourself! Your 128 Characters Representing the 2010 Winter Character Battle 1 Link 1 Cloud Strife 1 Solid Snake 1 Mario 1 Sephiroth 1 Samus Aran 1 Gordon Freeman 1 Vincent Valentine --- 2 Squall Leonhart 2 Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Auron 2 Pikachu 2 Master Chief 2 Mega Man 2 Crono 2 Sora --- 3 Kirby 3 Dante 3 Tidus 3 Leon Kennedy 3 Luigi 3 Bowser 3 Alucard 3 Kratos --- 4 Altair 4 L-Block 4 Big Boss 4 Kefka 4 Ganondorf 4 Ryu (Street Fighter) 4 Tifa Lockheart 4 Yoshi --- 5 Ryu Hayabusa 5 Ness 5 Lloyd Irving 5 Zelda 5 Duke Nukem 5 Yuna 5 Phoenix Wright 5 Charizard --- 6 Ken 6 Riku 6 Marcus Fenix 6 Mewtwo 6 Chris Redfield 6 Zero 6 Nathan Drake 6 Pokemon Trainer Red --- 7 Amaterasu 7 Revolver Ocelot 7 Fox McCloud 7 Donkey Kong 7 Vivi Ornitier 7 Kratos Aurion 7 Albert Wesker 7 Prinny --- 8 Cecil Harvey 8 Balthier Bunansa 8 Arthas Menethil 8 Diablo 8 GlaDOS 8 Ramza Beoulve 8 Sackboy 8 Jill Valentine --- 9 Guybrush Threepwood 9 Zidane Tribal 9 Knuckles the Echidna 9 Weighted Companion 9 Ike 9 Rydia 9 Laharl 9 Shadow the Hedgehog --- 10 Magus 10 Ratchet 10 Captain Falcon 10 Seifer Almasy 10 Nightmare 10 Gilgamesh 10 Ada Wong 10 Crash Bandicoot --- 11 Claptrap 11 Darth Revan 11 Fawful 11 Sandal 11 Eddie Riggs 11 Niko Bellic 11 Alyx Vance 11 Heavy --- 12 Roxas 12 Tim 12 Professor Layton 12 Wander #12 - Mega Man X #12 - Aerith #12 - Sub-Zero #12 - Frog --- #13 - Missingno #13 - Cid #13 - The Boss #13 - Rikku #13 - Jecht #13 - Meta Knight #13 - Tails #13 - HK-47 --- #14 - Liquid Snake #14 - Axel #14 - Spy #14 - Thrall #14 - Ridley #14 - Simon #14 - Akuma #14 - Vault Boy --- #15 - Proto Man #15 - Midna #15 - Lightning #15 - Prince of Persia #15 - Marth #15 - Big Daddy #15 - Falco #15 - Peach --- #16 - Scorpion #16 - Kain Highwind #16 - Pac-Man #16 - Wario #16 - KOS-MOS #16 - Mudkip #16 - Spyro #16 - Morrigan --- --- KrahenProphet is the King of the Gurus! All Hail! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:15:38 PM | message detail |
Ha, Gordon a 1 seed. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:17:04 PM | message detail |
Top 4 just makes more sense. --- Grab seeds #14-#16 for each Division. |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:20:03 PM | message detail |
Not really, can you name probably replacements for the four 12 seeds and eight 13 seeds? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/13/2009 9:20:14 PM | message detail |
Alright,
I've used the results of our six play-ins to come up with an estimate
of how this season's 128 character slots are going to break down. Nice. Time to find out later on how wrong you end up being on the final list of characters to make it to the bracket. It will be interesting to see how many you correctly predict to make it to the bracket. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:20:36 PM | message detail |
probably = probable --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:25:06 PM | message detail |
Top 6 is definately the most probable outcome though top 4 is possible. No way it'll be any lower then 4 though --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/13/2009 9:26:31 PM | message detail |
Why would they take an uneven number of applicants for the divisions? 6 doesn't seem the 'most probable' --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:27:05 PM | message detail |
From: The n00b Avenger | #109 too many staples get left out with anything lower then 6 --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:27:48 PM | message detail |
I don't see why it couldn't be top 2 and just fill in the bottom three seeds. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:28:09 PM | message detail |
too many staples get left out with anything lower then 6 You're assuming Bacon cares. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:28:18 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #111 top 2 is almost laughable to even consider when you realize the snubs then --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:28:55 PM | message detail |
From: MyWorldIsCrono | #113 Again, assuming Bacon cares. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:29:51 PM | message detail |
im
not talking about bacon caring. im talking about what makes sense. when
we have this many snubs, something seems off, which is why I don't see
below 4 as a very viable option --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/13/2009 9:30:09 PM | message detail |
Er, the "people that get left out" has nothing to do with how the system works --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:30:25 PM | message detail |
Bacon's just a big fan of giving as many characters an opportunity to participate as possible. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:31:32 PM | message detail |
the only way I could see top 2 is if its a 64 character bracket --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
Xeybozn | Posted 12/13/2009 9:34:45 PM | message detail |
How
about top 8? The characters divide more evenly than top 6, no
noticeable snubs like top 4, and it's not like the 8th place characters
are too weak to be 16 seed fodder. --- Congrats to KrahenProfit |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:35:23 PM | message detail |
Unless you can see characters like Scorpion, Liquid, Falco, Pac Man, Marth and others missing a 128 character bracket which I dont --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
RPGuy96 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:36:31 PM | message detail |
I
think it's going to be top 6...if it's top 2, can you guess the 24
characters that NGamer's missing? Even coming up with 12 characters for
top 4 seems pretty difficult. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/13/2009 9:38:22 PM | message detail |
I called Top 2 before anyone else. I hope I'm wrong so Vault Boy gets in, but just in case, I called it. --- Not Wylvane |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:41:40 PM | message detail |
No way these two miss out: Weighted Companion Cube (There is no way GLaDoS gets in before WCC) Miles Edgeworth (fewer noms than Godot!?) Add these as well: Travis Touchdown Sandbag Tom Nook (made it in 2007 and 2008) Isaac (especially with GS fans looking forward to GS3) Geno Neku could get a few more noms than Sho Frank West That's 9, just flicking through with 2 I'd consider definites given NGamer's other choices. --- Disagree? |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:42:42 PM | message detail |
Frank west was in one of the polls --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:44:47 PM | message detail |
and regarding godot, there was an active rally for him on b8, but not one for edgeworth so its not surprising if godot did get more noms --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:45:06 PM | message detail |
He was? Shows how well he performed then. --- O wells. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:46:52 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3692 he fought a hard battle with diddy kong for like 10th place --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
RPGuy96 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:48:48 PM | message detail |
9 Weighted Companion Yeah, he forgot the Cube, but whatever. Agree on Edgey, disagree on the rest. Sho's the fan favorite over Neku, Travis's game is a year older, Nook/Isaac/Geno are possible but didn't get anything notable this year and were low seeds to begin with, Sandbag's a year removed from Brawl, and Frank was in one of the polls. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:50:02 PM | message detail |
Regarding Travis/Nook/Issac/Geno.. there are all characters in these polls I can almost guarantee got more noms then these bums --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:55:56 PM | message detail |
I control+F'd cube. --- lol me? |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 10:06:07 PM | message detail |
Time to project when we get the bracket! I'm guessing tomorrow night --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png Vote Vault Boy! |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/13/2009 10:14:32 PM | message detail |
April 14, 2010. --- Not Wylvane |
Ngamer64 | Posted 12/13/2009 10:27:23 PM | message detail |
Think these have mostly been covered but I'll give some brief comments anyways. Weighted Companion Cube - in, I just shortened the name to fit into Excel better Miles Edgeworth - I figured PW would have lost a little steam, and yes, Godot got the big rally this year so I figured there wouldn't be noms to go around Travis Touchdown - only a #13 in '08 at his peak, I can't quite picture him as a 10-11 this year Sandbag - SB forgot to add Sandbag and Hogger to the suggested name list despite their getting in last time. hard to see him overcoming that to earn such a high seed Tom Nook - was a 13 last time so it's possible... guess I just thought a general decline in low tier Nintendo would do him in Isaac - could very well be there, but only snuck in as a #15 in '08 so I guessed he would miss out Geno - whoa, I actually have him down as an #11 from last year. Mario RPG's Virtual Console release is a year older, but even so... he could easily have made it to bump out someone else Neku - could have beaten Sho, I don't know that fanbase well enough to speculate, but I'm thinking Sho was likely on the bottom rung in terms of play-ins noms Frank West - as was mentioned, he was already involved in the play-ins --- KrahenProphet is the King of the Gurus! All Hail! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Ngamer64 | Posted 12/13/2009 10:34:24 PM | message detail |
But
yeah, I'm feeling pretty good about it being the Top Six. If it's only
Top Four, you're talking about 104 different characters who would have
had to outdraw MMX/Aerith/Frog/Cid/Sub-Zero/Liquid Snake in nominations
this year. Even if you slide in borderliners like Tom Nook and Geno,
who's going to fill the other 10 slots? Especially considering the
fairly bad fodder I had to stick there just to get us to 92! And at only Top Two you're expecting 116 to have outdrawn that MMX/Frog/Sub-Zero group, which is getting into really crazy territory IMO. --- KrahenProphet is the King of the Gurus! All Hail! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
HaRRicH | Posted 12/14/2009 12:51:05 AM | message detail |
http://answers.polldaddy.com/poll/2371915/ CrispyGamer's championship for Game of the Decade: HL2 edged out WoW. I gather both sides rallied, though I didn't catch how so. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/14/2009 12:57:06 AM | message detail |
A
good choice for a winner. Amusingly, their finals drew in a little over
twice as many votes as their semifinals and the semifinals has some
users stuffing thousands of votes. >_> --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..." |
voltch | Posted 12/14/2009 1:46:22 AM | message detail |
ngamer, you assume 128 characters made it, if we get a 64 man bracket, is top 2 or 4 possible? --- Shakes Fist! |
KingBartz | Posted 12/14/2009 1:48:40 AM | message detail |
If it's a 64 its gotta be top 1 or 2. no more than that. --- I used to have a good sig. Now my account is only a shadow of its former glory. |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/14/2009 2:03:16 AM | message detail |
Assuming
only first place advanced, that would mean there were only 58
characters that drew more nominations than all the characters in the
Vote-In. I can't see that being true. --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..." |
voltch | Posted 12/14/2009 2:59:07 AM | message detail |
but
there are a lot of 64 character regs that where in the vote ins and if
there really was a drop in noms compared to last year well, I can see
it being possible, though maybe unlikely. --- Shakes Fist! |
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 12/14/2009 3:03:34 AM | message detail |
http://answers.polldaddy.com/poll/2371915/ Thats Awesome --- Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire. |
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 12/14/2009 3:05:36 AM | message detail |
1 Gordon Freeman Little Gordy has grown up so fast ;_: --- Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire. |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2009 4:54:03 AM | message detail |
64 wouldn't make sense since the vote-ins would have been a lot more old character heavy. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/14/2009 5:08:36 AM | message detail |
The idea of Gordon being a 1 seed and living up to it
amuses me just as much as GFNW. Gordon's just funny like that, and I
honestly would like to see him impress by a lot (though not enough to
topple Mario here!). --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
voltch | Posted 12/14/2009 5:11:09 AM | message detail |
just wondering, what is the weakest seed we have ever had in one of these contests? I'm not sure, but didn't Master chief gain that position once? --- Shakes Fist! |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2009 5:45:15 AM | message detail |
Anyone remember the 3 seed curse? Come to think of it 4 seeds were also cursed during that time. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/14/2009 5:49:49 AM | message detail |
Pac-Man is probably the weakest 1 seed ever, though Lara and MC are kinda close to that. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2009 10:18:06 AM | message detail |
No bracket yet... --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2009 10:18:45 AM | message detail |
Although looking at it, Bacon got onto the boards about ten minutes ago, so we'll see. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2009 10:31:08 AM | message detail |
I
was feeling a little unexcited about a 1v1 bracket for the first time
in years the past few months, but I'm ready now. You know that's what
everyone really wants, Bacon! --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |