GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 762

charmander6000 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:12:23 PM | message detail
Is Marth only loved in North America.

Pretty funny since his true game only came out this year.
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Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest
Ngamer64 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:13:44 PM | message detail
Alright, I've used the results of our six play-ins to come up with an estimate of how this season's 128 character slots are going to break down. The seeding presumes the following:

* the top 92 most-nominated characters were locked into the bracket based on their # of noms
* the next 72 were entered into Play-In matches to earn their spot in the bracket
* the top 36 out of those 72 were given seeds 12-16, based on if they earned a Top Six finish in their Play-In poll

Personally I think that's the system that makes the most sense, and I think it also results in a pretty realistic range of characters. But I'll let you judge that for yourself!

Your 128 Characters Representing the 2010 Winter Character Battle
1 Link
1 Cloud Strife
1 Solid Snake
1 Mario
1 Sephiroth
1 Samus Aran
1 Gordon Freeman
1 Vincent Valentine
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2 Squall Leonhart
2 Sonic the Hedgehog
2 Auron
2 Pikachu
2 Master Chief
2 Mega Man
2 Crono
2 Sora
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3 Kirby
3 Dante
3 Tidus
3 Leon Kennedy
3 Luigi
3 Bowser
3 Alucard
3 Kratos
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4 Altair
4 L-Block
4 Big Boss
4 Kefka
4 Ganondorf
4 Ryu (Street Fighter)
4 Tifa Lockheart
4 Yoshi
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5 Ryu Hayabusa
5 Ness
5 Lloyd Irving
5 Zelda
5 Duke Nukem
5 Yuna
5 Phoenix Wright
5 Charizard
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6 Ken
6 Riku
6 Marcus Fenix
6 Mewtwo
6 Chris Redfield
6 Zero
6 Nathan Drake
6 Pokemon Trainer Red
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7 Amaterasu
7 Revolver Ocelot
7 Fox McCloud
7 Donkey Kong
7 Vivi Ornitier
7 Kratos Aurion
7 Albert Wesker
7 Prinny
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8 Cecil Harvey
8 Balthier Bunansa
8 Arthas Menethil
8 Diablo
8 GlaDOS
8 Ramza Beoulve
8 Sackboy
8 Jill Valentine
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9 Guybrush Threepwood
9 Zidane Tribal
9 Knuckles the Echidna
9 Weighted Companion
9 Ike
9 Rydia
9 Laharl
9 Shadow the Hedgehog
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10 Magus
10 Ratchet
10 Captain Falcon
10 Seifer Almasy
10 Nightmare
10 Gilgamesh
10 Ada Wong
10 Crash Bandicoot
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11 Claptrap
11 Darth Revan
11 Fawful
11 Sandal
11 Eddie Riggs
11 Niko Bellic
11 Alyx Vance
11 Heavy
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12 Roxas
12 Tim
12 Professor Layton
12 Wander
#12 - Mega Man X
#12 - Aerith
#12 - Sub-Zero
#12 - Frog
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#13 - Missingno
#13 - Cid
#13 - The Boss
#13 - Rikku
#13 - Jecht
#13 - Meta Knight
#13 - Tails
#13 - HK-47
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#14 - Liquid Snake
#14 - Axel
#14 - Spy
#14 - Thrall
#14 - Ridley
#14 - Simon
#14 - Akuma
#14 - Vault Boy
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#15 - Proto Man
#15 - Midna
#15 - Lightning
#15 - Prince of Persia
#15 - Marth
#15 - Big Daddy
#15 - Falco
#15 - Peach
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#16 - Scorpion
#16 - Kain Highwind
#16 - Pac-Man
#16 - Wario
#16 - KOS-MOS
#16 - Mudkip
#16 - Spyro
#16 - Morrigan
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:15:38 PM | message detail
Ha, Gordon a 1 seed.
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:17:04 PM | message detail
Top 4 just makes more sense.
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Grab seeds #14-#16 for each Division.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:20:03 PM | message detail
Not really, can you name probably replacements for the four 12 seeds and eight 13 seeds?
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Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/13/2009 9:20:14 PM | message detail
Alright, I've used the results of our six play-ins to come up with an estimate of how this season's 128 character slots are going to break down.

Nice. Time to find out later on how wrong you end up being on the final list of characters to make it to the bracket. It will be interesting to see how many you correctly predict to make it to the bracket.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:20:36 PM | message detail
probably = probable
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Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:25:06 PM | message detail
Top 6 is definately the most probable outcome though top 4 is possible. No way it'll be any lower then 4 though
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/13/2009 9:26:31 PM | message detail
Why would they take an uneven number of applicants for the divisions? 6 doesn't seem the 'most probable'
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:27:05 PM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #109
Why would they take an uneven number of applicants for the divisions? 6 doesn't seem the 'most probable'


too many staples get left out with anything lower then 6
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:27:48 PM | message detail
I don't see why it couldn't be top 2 and just fill in the bottom three seeds.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:28:09 PM | message detail
too many staples get left out with anything lower then 6

You're assuming Bacon cares.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:28:18 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #111
I don't see why it couldn't be top 2 and just fill in the bottom three seeds.


top 2 is almost laughable to even consider when you realize the snubs then
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:28:55 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #113
top 2 is almost laughable to even consider when you realize the snubs then


Again, assuming Bacon cares.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:29:51 PM | message detail
im not talking about bacon caring. im talking about what makes sense. when we have this many snubs, something seems off, which is why I don't see below 4 as a very viable option
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/13/2009 9:30:09 PM | message detail
Er, the "people that get left out" has nothing to do with how the system works
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2009 9:30:25 PM | message detail
Bacon's just a big fan of giving as many characters an opportunity to participate as possible.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:31:32 PM | message detail
the only way I could see top 2 is if its a 64 character bracket
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Xeybozn | Posted 12/13/2009 9:34:45 PM | message detail
How about top 8? The characters divide more evenly than top 6, no noticeable snubs like top 4, and it's not like the 8th place characters are too weak to be 16 seed fodder.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:35:23 PM | message detail
Unless you can see characters like Scorpion, Liquid, Falco, Pac Man, Marth and others missing a 128 character bracket

which I dont
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RPGuy96 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:36:31 PM | message detail
I think it's going to be top 6...if it's top 2, can you guess the 24 characters that NGamer's missing? Even coming up with 12 characters for top 4 seems pretty difficult.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/13/2009 9:38:22 PM | message detail
I called Top 2 before anyone else. I hope I'm wrong so Vault Boy gets in, but just in case, I called it.
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Not Wylvane
nintendogirl1 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:41:40 PM | message detail
No way these two miss out:
Weighted Companion Cube (There is no way GLaDoS gets in before WCC)
Miles Edgeworth (fewer noms than Godot!?)

Add these as well:
Travis Touchdown
Sandbag
Tom Nook (made it in 2007 and 2008)
Isaac (especially with GS fans looking forward to GS3)
Geno
Neku could get a few more noms than Sho
Frank West

That's 9, just flicking through with 2 I'd consider definites given NGamer's other choices.
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Disagree?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:42:42 PM | message detail
Frank west was in one of the polls
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:44:47 PM | message detail
and regarding godot, there was an active rally for him on b8, but not one for edgeworth

so its not surprising if godot did get more noms
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:45:06 PM | message detail
He was? Shows how well he performed then.
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O wells.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:46:52 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3692

he fought a hard battle with diddy kong for like 10th place
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RPGuy96 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:48:48 PM | message detail
9 Weighted Companion

Yeah, he forgot the Cube, but whatever. Agree on Edgey, disagree on the rest. Sho's the fan favorite over Neku, Travis's game is a year older, Nook/Isaac/Geno are possible but didn't get anything notable this year and were low seeds to begin with, Sandbag's a year removed from Brawl, and Frank was in one of the polls.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 9:50:02 PM | message detail
Regarding Travis/Nook/Issac/Geno.. there are all characters in these polls I can almost guarantee got more noms then these bums
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 12/13/2009 9:55:56 PM | message detail
I control+F'd cube.
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lol me?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2009 10:06:07 PM | message detail
Time to project when we get the bracket!

I'm guessing tomorrow night
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/13/2009 10:14:32 PM | message detail
April 14, 2010.
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Ngamer64 | Posted 12/13/2009 10:27:23 PM | message detail
Think these have mostly been covered but I'll give some brief comments anyways.

Weighted Companion Cube - in, I just shortened the name to fit into Excel better
Miles Edgeworth - I figured PW would have lost a little steam, and yes, Godot got the big rally this year so I figured there wouldn't be noms to go around
Travis Touchdown - only a #13 in '08 at his peak, I can't quite picture him as a 10-11 this year
Sandbag - SB forgot to add Sandbag and Hogger to the suggested name list despite their getting in last time. hard to see him overcoming that to earn such a high seed
Tom Nook - was a 13 last time so it's possible... guess I just thought a general decline in low tier Nintendo would do him in
Isaac - could very well be there, but only snuck in as a #15 in '08 so I guessed he would miss out
Geno - whoa, I actually have him down as an #11 from last year. Mario RPG's Virtual Console release is a year older, but even so... he could easily have made it to bump out someone else
Neku - could have beaten Sho, I don't know that fanbase well enough to speculate, but I'm thinking Sho was likely on the bottom rung in terms of play-ins noms
Frank West - as was mentioned, he was already involved in the play-ins

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Ngamer64 | Posted 12/13/2009 10:34:24 PM | message detail
But yeah, I'm feeling pretty good about it being the Top Six. If it's only Top Four, you're talking about 104 different characters who would have had to outdraw MMX/Aerith/Frog/Cid/Sub-Zero/Liquid Snake in nominations this year. Even if you slide in borderliners like Tom Nook and Geno, who's going to fill the other 10 slots? Especially considering the fairly bad fodder I had to stick there just to get us to 92!

And at only Top Two you're expecting 116 to have outdrawn that MMX/Frog/Sub-Zero group, which is getting into really crazy territory IMO.

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HaRRicH | Posted 12/14/2009 12:51:05 AM | message detail
http://answers.polldaddy.com/poll/2371915/

CrispyGamer's championship for Game of the Decade: HL2 edged out WoW. I gather both sides rallied, though I didn't catch how so.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/14/2009 12:57:06 AM | message detail
A good choice for a winner. Amusingly, their finals drew in a little over twice as many votes as their semifinals and the semifinals has some users stuffing thousands of votes. >_>
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voltch | Posted 12/14/2009 1:46:22 AM | message detail
ngamer, you assume 128 characters made it, if we get a 64 man bracket, is top 2 or 4 possible?
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KingBartz | Posted 12/14/2009 1:48:40 AM | message detail
If it's a 64 its gotta be top 1 or 2. no more than that.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/14/2009 2:03:16 AM | message detail
Assuming only first place advanced, that would mean there were only 58 characters that drew more nominations than all the characters in the Vote-In. I can't see that being true.
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voltch | Posted 12/14/2009 2:59:07 AM | message detail
but there are a lot of 64 character regs that where in the vote ins and if there really was a drop in noms compared to last year well, I can see it being possible, though maybe unlikely.
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 12/14/2009 3:03:34 AM | message detail
http://answers.polldaddy.com/poll/2371915/

Thats Awesome
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 12/14/2009 3:05:36 AM | message detail
1 Gordon Freeman


Little Gordy has grown up so fast ;_:
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2009 4:54:03 AM | message detail
64 wouldn't make sense since the vote-ins would have been a lot more old character heavy.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/14/2009 5:08:36 AM | message detail
The idea of Gordon being a 1 seed and living up to it amuses me just as much as GFNW. Gordon's just funny like that, and I honestly would like to see him impress by a lot (though not enough to topple Mario here!).
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voltch | Posted 12/14/2009 5:11:09 AM | message detail
just wondering, what is the weakest seed we have ever had in one of these contests?
I'm not sure, but didn't Master chief gain that position once?
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2009 5:45:15 AM | message detail
Anyone remember the 3 seed curse?

Come to think of it 4 seeds were also cursed during that time.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/14/2009 5:49:49 AM | message detail
Pac-Man is probably the weakest 1 seed ever, though Lara and MC are kinda close to that.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2009 10:18:06 AM | message detail
No bracket yet...
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2009 10:18:45 AM | message detail
Although looking at it, Bacon got onto the boards about ten minutes ago, so we'll see.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2009 10:31:08 AM | message detail
I was feeling a little unexcited about a 1v1 bracket for the first time in years the past few months, but I'm ready now. You know that's what everyone really wants, Bacon!
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Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes.