GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 756
HaRRicH | Posted 11/8/2009 11:15:27 AM | message detail |
This next contest-format better be good..... ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days. Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples) For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- Nominate Punch-Out's DOC LOUIS: T E A M C H O C O L A T E www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=51988233 |
paulg235 | Posted 11/8/2009 11:19:36 AM | message detail |
Royal Rumble Format best format ever --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
voltch | Posted 11/8/2009 6:17:22 PM | message detail |
I want a shot at that $400 vouchers damnit. --- Shakes Fist! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/8/2009 6:21:56 PM | message detail |
And
for a game as popular as Fallout 3, we should get a character from it,
and Vault Boy is by far the best choice. I can't think of anyone else
who'd have any real recognizability like Vault Boy would. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/weegee.png |
paulg235 | Posted 11/8/2009 6:23:36 PM | message detail |
Vault boy would fry in the contest. Just saying. --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/8/2009 6:23:57 PM | message detail |
In
a few years I won't know who most of the new characters are. Guess
that's what happens when you don't play video games any
more......though I never played many games to start with. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
voltch | Posted 11/8/2009 6:29:52 PM | message detail |
Vault boy will probably be way below the fodder line. --- Shakes Fist! |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/8/2009 11:37:23 PM | message detail |
Vault
Boy's much more iconic of Fallout 3 and the Fallout series in general
than generic avatar Axel Steel, Vault Boy is much more recognizable
than Axel Steel by the GameFAQs audience, Vault Boy is completely
plastered all over Fallout 3, even in the menus, compared to Axel Steel
who even GH vets probably don't really remember about, and even just
general character design appeal and a gimmicky appeal that might get a
stray joke vote or two. Aside from the joke-votes, it sounds like Vault Boy is to Fallout as the Lambda logo is to Half-Life then...and I'm not taking that symbol to win squat. --- Nominate Punch-Out's DOC LOUIS: T E A M C H O C O L A T E www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=51988233 |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/8/2009 11:39:21 PM | message detail |
Link Lucario Bayonetta Vault Boy --- Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/8/2009 11:54:17 PM | message detail |
Link > Bayonetta In a fair fight, I'm not sure I would take Lucario over Bayonetta or Vault Boy. With Link there, Lucario is getting last. Bayonetta is weak, but I think Fallout Boy is weaker. I think Link will push for 60% as well. --- KrahenProphet, he come to town! Come to win the GameFAQs Contest! Congrats to KrahenProphet on winning the Best Game Ever 2009 Guru Contest! |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/9/2009 12:24:45 AM | message detail |
Aim high, Link. Link > Bayonetta assuming the game's out and isn't pulling a Sackboy. Speaking of which, what do we expect from Sackboy this year? LBP wasn't out for his match last year (which also had him dealing with Solid Snake), and it had to deal with MGS4 in both its PS3-GotY and only match in BGE2... http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3263 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3353 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3476 ...but the one time LBP was able to get away from the PS3-savior, it blew its competition away... http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3360 ...not that any of its competition was very strong in the original-GotY, but it also easily doubled every game there too. If you look at the competition in their other GotY-polls, it could land anywhere from Gears 2 to GTA4, which could make it one of the top five games from last year. Pretty solid for an original PS3-exclusive, and we already know Sackboy is likable because of his design and being the first character to get in a contest without a single released game. Now that the PS3 is selling more and hated less, perhaps that could help him too. So, where would you put Sackboy? --- Nominate Punch-Out's DOC LOUIS: T E A M C H O C O L A T E www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=51988233 |
voltch | Posted 11/9/2009 9:33:30 AM | message detail |
I'd say sackboy is a stronger than pre uncharted 2 Nathan Drake just cos people have actually played his game now. --- Shakes Fist! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 9:37:16 AM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #009 Link > Vault Boy just cuz Bayonetta should also be SFF'd by Link due to it being similiar demographic, japanese action games, while Fallout 3 is a completely different demogaphic that shouldn't be SFF'd as much. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/weegee.png |
paulg235 | Posted 11/9/2009 9:43:33 AM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
paulg235 | Posted 11/9/2009 9:45:44 AM | message detail |
Link: 66.87% Lucario: 11.12% Bayonetta: 13.6% Vault Boy: 8.41% Link would likely double them all, they're all weaklings. --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 9:46:52 AM | message detail |
Link: 65% Lucario: 8% Bayonetta: 13% Vault Boy: 14% --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/weegee.png |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 9:48:40 AM | message detail |
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Ocarina_of_Time_vs_Fallout_2_2004 Plus the fact that Fallout 2 got almost 14% back in 2004, back when it was a niche series hardly anyone knew, shows Vault Boy should be able to get AT LEAST that. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/weegee.png |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/9/2009 9:49:49 AM | message detail |
games =/= characters oh my god that felt so good to type the oldest of old points --- Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 9:53:17 AM | message detail |
http://cache.kotaku.com/assets/resources/2007/07/bloodymesscake1thu.jpg best cake ever --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/weegee.png |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 11/9/2009 9:55:26 AM | message detail |
It
doesn't work like that, Albion. Pre-FO3, you'd have to measure Vault
Boy's percentage in comparison with the 65-70% Link would get. If
anything, Vault Boy would get 14% of that 65%. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2009 10:22:19 AM | message detail |
I'd say sackboy is a stronger than pre uncharted 2 Nathan Drake just cos people have actually played his game now. Sackboy was already stronger than pre-uncharted 2 Nathan Drake before the release of LBP Also Link > Lucario until further notice. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2009 10:41:29 AM | message detail |
Going back to FO3 the game took a hit between GotY and the contest. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/9/2009 10:53:06 AM | message detail |
Yeah,
Sackboy was already in position to beat Nathan Drake last year. Getting
doubled by CATS is embarrassing. Now that Uncharted 2 and the PS3 have
gotten some traction though, maybe it could be a match today. Let's try
this: Altair CATS Nathan Drake Sackboy --- Nominate Punch-Out's DOC LOUIS: T E A M C H O C O L A T E www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=51988233 |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 11/9/2009 11:04:55 AM | message detail |
Altair
takes number 1 easy there, but those two scrubs have no chance to
survive make their time if CATS gets a face pic. So CATS assuming user
submitted pics. Nate just isn't an attractive character design wise
(nothing too remarkable about him), and getting split with Sackboy is
likely to hurt both of them. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
voltch | Posted 11/9/2009 11:22:44 AM | message detail |
replace CATS with Bayonetta and i think we get an even better 4pack. --- Shakes Fist! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 11:48:37 AM | message detail |
I'm
expecting Nathan Drake to be a lot stronger this time around then
before. Maybe even a low midcarder. Uncharted 2 was a much bigger hit
then the first, plus PS3 has become a lot more accepted around here
since the 2008 contest. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://www.g4g.it/g4g/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Dragon_Age_Origins_01.jpg |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/9/2009 12:19:18 PM | message detail |
Does Uncharted 2 actually give the player more of a reason to care about Nathan Drake compared to Uncharted 1? --- KrahenProphet, he come to town! Come to win the GameFAQs Contest! Congrats to KrahenProphet on winning the Best Game Ever 2009 Guru Contest! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 12:20:32 PM | message detail |
From: Team Rocket Elite | #027 -shrug- I don't know, I haven't played it... but since Uncharted 2 I have noticed that Nathan Drake seems more prominant in gaming and more people know about him. They even talk about Nathan Drake as the "Best action adventure hero of this generation" on the commercials lawl --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://www.g4g.it/g4g/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Dragon_Age_Origins_01.jpg |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2009 12:24:08 PM | message detail |
It does better compare to the first one. If a contest was to be held right now I can see Nathan being high-level fodder, but like Marcus Fenix and Fallout 3 Nathan will soon be forgotten again. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/9/2009 12:28:48 PM | message detail |
Just
the fact that it's being talked about as a "game of the generation"
contender should help Drake. Maybe he'll contend with CATS now,
although that gap was pretty big last year. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/9/2009 2:14:19 PM | message detail |
For
what it's worth, Uncharted took a respectable second place in the
PS3-GotY in 2007, but it still lost to a R&C-game which then lost
to every game but Crysis in the overall-GotY. I don't know what
Uncharted 2's main competition will be in the PS3-GotY this year (I
assume the new R&C-game), but considering the attention it's gotten
lately in this booming time for the PS3, it needs to really show up in
that poll and prove people now at least have a reason to care about
Nathan Drake. It will be hard to take it seriously if it loses to
another R&C-game since we've never seen anything good come from
that series in our contest. --- Nominate Punch-Out's DOC LOUIS: T E A M C H O C O L A T E www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=51988233 |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 2:22:17 PM | message detail |
I dont think theres any question it will demolish the PS3 poll this year --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://www.g4g.it/g4g/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Dragon_Age_Origins_01.jpg |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 11/9/2009 3:00:21 PM | message detail |
Yes,
but it doesn't just have to demolish. If it doesn't break 45-50, I
don't see it letting Nate win against Face CATS, which says a lot about
how much ground he has to cover. As I said, his character design isn't
attractive. It isn't 'cool' or iconic enough, and that the majority of
the votes right there. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 3:02:54 PM | message detail |
His character design isn't any worse then Leon Kennedy or Solid Snake, and they are strong. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://www.g4g.it/g4g/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Dragon_Age_Origins_01.jpg |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 11/9/2009 3:06:40 PM | message detail |
...You
didn't SERIOUSLY compare Nate to Snake, right? I really like him as a
character and all, but Snake's design is both iconic and very, very
badass. When you look at Nate, he doesn't give off that vibe. Leon is, admittedly, a bit tricker. I think he's a case where the majority of his strength is derived from being the star of an absolute classic that was available to two ridiculously huge fanbases. Sort of like what Nate could get if the install base of the PS3 wasn't lolworthy. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 3:09:37 PM | message detail |
Snakes
design is iconic because he's been around for a long time so people
recognize him, and I believe Nathan looks badass as well. But he's
still just a normal looking guy like Nathan is, unlike a lot of our
stronger characters who are furries, anime or have weird and colorful
body types. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://www.g4g.it/g4g/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Dragon_Age_Origins_01.jpg |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/9/2009 3:09:52 PM | message detail |
His character design isn't any worse then Leon Kennedy or Solid Snake, and they are strong. I can't say I agree with that. I'm not quite sure what exactly it is Nathan lacks, but he's not as "cool" as Snake or Leon. --- KrahenProphet, he come to town! Come to win the GameFAQs Contest! Congrats to KrahenProphet on winning the Best Game Ever 2009 Guru Contest! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/9/2009 3:10:50 PM | message detail |
From: Team Rocket Elite | #037 I think he's cool since he's a treasuer hunter. He reminds me a bit of like Indiana Jones, just without the archeology part. And Indiana Jones is a badass and a cool character. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://www.g4g.it/g4g/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Dragon_Age_Origins_01.jpg |
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/9/2009 3:13:18 PM | message detail |
Snake
and Nate are very similar, some people need to get off snake's nads for
a moment to see that. They're both happy go lucky old school male macho
hero types who play by their own rules to get what they want. Snake is
far more mellow while Nate is more in your face and wise cracking, like
a non-vulgar Duke Nukem. This iconic design business is a bit "ehh" and Nate probably has more on his badass resume than Snake. If nothing else he hasn't appeared in a Nintendo party game. --- Smurf , The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/9/2009 4:14:59 PM | message detail |
For
the record, Solid Snake is bad-ass enough to be in a Nintendo
party-game yet not lose any respect for it, and nobody would like Duke
Nukem if he didn't cuss and pay strippers to work it. I can't say
anything about Drake character-wise, but I can comment on their looks.
Solid and Duke look like real bad-asses...while, from the pictures I've
seen, Nathan looks like an actor playing a bad-ass. He's a little too
pretty/trendy/fashionable and I don't get he's physically built to kill
like them either, so I can't put him on their same level
appearance-wise. Action-star would fit the bill for him if we're labeling the guy, but I'm going to need to see more to convince me he's bad-ass like Snake and Duke. --- Nominate Punch-Out's DOC LOUIS: T E A M C H O C O L A T E www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=51988233 |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 11/9/2009 4:17:23 PM | message detail |
I'll go ahead and predict Nathan to be at Marcus' level. --- http://tinypic.com/view.php?pic=2uf7sro&s=4 |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2009 4:32:17 PM | message detail |
2007 or 2008 Marcus? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 11/9/2009 4:35:09 PM | message detail |
2008. Nathan's not going to jump too much. --- http://tinypic.com/view.php?pic=2uf7sro&s=4 |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 11/9/2009 4:39:12 PM | message detail |
HaR
nailed it, pretty much. Snake, Duke, Kratos, Ryu Hayabusa...all of
those look...rough, for lack of a better term, and all of them but Duke
(who's partially comical) draw from being badasses to gain votes (Snake
gets respect too, but that isn't that big). Nate just looks so much
more...normal, like an everyday everyman which he is, that he doesn't
really manage to draw from that same pool. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
ZFS | Posted 11/9/2009 5:05:47 PM | message detail |
Drake
should be much stronger than he was last time, if only because his game
has gotten significantly popular since then. Uncharted is a legit
series now with whole lot of fans who love it and him. Doesn't mean
he's going to be Leon Kennedy strong or anything, but he should be able
to beat most of the new characters from this gen. --- the journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step |
voltch | Posted 11/9/2009 5:37:03 PM | message detail |
yeah,
looking normal doesn't help much, a guy like dante you know from his
design that he is a badass who fights in an ultra cool way and drake
doesn't have that. btw Drake vs Chris Redfield Sheva vs Bayonetta --- Shakes Fist! |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2009 5:45:23 PM | message detail |
Chris > Drake --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
voltch | Posted 11/9/2009 5:48:00 PM | message detail |
Chris
was already the weakest of the big 4 RE characters and now that he's
got a game with huge backlash under his belt, will that hurt him or is
for fodder all exposure, good exposure? --- Shakes Fist! |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2009 5:55:44 PM | message detail |
Dante boosted because of Devil May Cry 2. Bad exposure is better than no exposure. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/9/2009 6:16:53 PM | message detail |
From
what I've understood, RE5-backlash has been exaggerated...and even if
it hasn't been, as already mentioned, Dante boosted from DMC2. I also
don't think Chris has been playable since REmake, so it should be good
for him. He actually didn't do bad pre-RE5: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3264 He shouldn't be beating Fox, but the match should be reasonably closer nowadays. --- Nominate Punch-Out's DOC LOUIS: T E A M C H O C O L A T E www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=51988233 |