GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 755
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2009 6:17:29 PM | message detail |
XFD rofl bad u mad? QQ ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days. Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples) For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ TurnTurnTurn your brain in. |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/17/2009 4:57:54 AM | message detail |
no moar tears --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/18/2009 12:17:09 PM | message detail |
qq --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,. "You're not a good person. You know that, right?" |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/19/2009 10:56:14 PM | message detail |
XD --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone has one and no one thinks theirs stinks." -Lunar 2 |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/20/2009 6:21:30 AM | message detail |
bawl --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/21/2009 3:56:16 AM | message detail |
bawwwwrl --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "Every man lives. Not every man truly dies." |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/21/2009 5:04:44 AM | message detail |
wahhhhhhhhhhh --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/22/2009 7:33:48 PM | message detail |
XFD rofl bad u mad? QQ --- Q: How do you find Carnegie Hall? A: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exOxUAntx8I |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/22/2009 7:42:07 PM | message detail |
butthurt --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
TheRye | Posted 9/23/2009 3:57:47 AM | message detail |
Tag --- The Rye - The one and only... http://backloggery.com/the_rye/sig.gif |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/23/2009 5:57:02 PM | message detail |
false --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ You're not a good person. You know that, right? |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/23/2009 7:00:09 PM | message detail |
Radiant Dawn > PoR --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/24/2009 9:01:58 PM | message detail |
FACT
or FICTION-time, in hopes of starting some discussion here...and hey,
we'll go with a Nintendo-theme to try seeing where some new Nintendo
guys may stand on the Nintendo-ladder according to some of last year's
matches. FACT or FICTION: Charizard > Mewtwo > Midna > Ness FACT or FICTION: Yoshi > Red > Epona > Fox FACT or FICTION: Pikachu > Little Mac > Ike > Captain Falcon > Diddy Kong > Waluigi --- Nominate DOC LOUIS (Punch-Out!!): T E A M C H O C O L A T E |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/24/2009 9:07:42 PM | message detail |
FICTION: Charizard > Mewtwo > Midna > Ness I don't think Charizard is that strong- put him below Midna and possibly Ness. FICTION: Yoshi > Red > Epona > Fox Epona may have some strength, but Fox is only a little below Yoshi- he's a legit midcarder. I think Red has potential to be the strongest in this four-pack, but that's already been discussed a lot. FICTION: Pikachu > Little Mac > Ike > Captain Falcon > Diddy Kong > Waluigi I don't think Little Mac is stronger than Ike or Falcon. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
Big Bob | Posted 9/24/2009 9:10:16 PM | message detail |
FACT: Smurf lost the bet and needs to man up. --- Ragna the Bloodedge... YOU'RE STUPID! |
Xeybozn | Posted 9/25/2009 5:28:47 AM | message detail |
FACT: Charizard > Mewtwo > Midna > Ness Charizard just seems like more people remember him compared to Mewtwo, I guess. Also, I wouldn't be shocked if Midna could beat Charizard/Mewtwo in 1v1. FICTION: Yoshi > Red > Epona > Fox It just doesn't feel right to take Epona > Fox. I mean, who really cares about Epona? FICTION: Pikachu > Little Mac > Ike > Captain Falcon > Diddy Kong > Waluigi I'd have Little Mac under Falcon personally. --- Congrats to KrahenProfit |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 9/25/2009 5:31:44 AM | message detail |
FACT or FICTION: Charizard > Mewtwo > Midna > Ness FACT. Just seems pretty logical. FACT or FICTION: Yoshi > Red > Epona > Fox FICTION. Fox is good stuff, the order's probably Yoshi>=Fox>>>>>>Epona>>Red. FACT or FICTION: Pikachu > Little Mac > Ike > Captain Falcon > Diddy Kong > Waluigi FICTION. Little Mac stronger than Falcon? man wat Pikachu>Ike>Falcon>Diddy>Mac>Waluigi in the family |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/25/2009 6:40:46 AM | message detail |
Charizard > Mewtwo > Ness > Midna Yoshi > Fox > Red > Epona Pikachu > Captain Falcon > Ike > Diddy Kong > Little Mac > Waluigi --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
Xeybozn | Posted 9/25/2009 7:47:31 AM | message detail |
What do you guys think of this eightpack? 1. Master Chief 8. Duke Nukem 4. Gordon Freeman 5. Magus 3. Tidus 6. Zero 2. Pikachu 7. Knuckles --- Congrats to KrahenProfit |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 9/25/2009 7:49:39 AM | message detail |
Pika
gotta be the favorite there. He's miles above the rest, except maybe
Zero. Gordon COULD threaten, if his stunning showings in GameSpot give
him a boost here. |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/25/2009 8:00:12 AM | message detail |
Master Chief > Gordon Freeman Pikachu > Zero Master Chief > Pikachu Bonus Gamespot Prediction: Gordon Freeman > Duke Nukem Pikachu > Zero Gordon Freeman > Pikachu --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/25/2009 11:21:48 AM | message detail |
FICTION: Charizard > Mewtwo > Midna > Ness I'd take Mewtwo >= Charizard, though I doubt there's a big difference between them. FICTION: Yoshi > Red > Epona > Fox Fox > Epona for me, too...but I'd be interested in seeing how well Epona could hold up in that match. She's a fun and anticipated addition in every LoZ-game she's in, and I think he's more respected than Midna or especially Tingle. Let's throw in that she's probably got more LoZ-appearances than any other LoZ-characters barring the big three, too. All she needs is a SSB-appearance...haha. FACT: Pikachu > Little Mac > Ike > Captain Falcon > Diddy Kong > Waluigi Punch-Out's arguably more respected than F-Zero or Fire Emblem, and Little Mac means more to his games than CF does (and Ike, as I understand it, though I'd need confirmation). He's been around the longest, too. Let's not forget he's got the newest game that's currently selling well and we've never seen him get a fair chance, so I'll give him the benefit of the doubt here. That said, the SSB-series would probably be the difference-maker here...I'll bank against it this time though. --- Nominate DOC LOUIS (Punch-Out!!): T E A M C H O C O L A T E |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/25/2009 11:23:02 AM | message detail |
1. Master Chief 4. Gordon Freeman 6. Zero 2. Pikachu 1. Master Chief 2. Pikachu 2. Pikachu --- Nominate DOC LOUIS (Punch-Out!!): T E A M C H O C O L A T E |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/25/2009 9:57:42 PM | message detail |
1. Master Chief 8. Duke Nukem 4. Gordon Freeman 5. Magus 3. Tidus 6. Zero 2. Pikachu 7. Knuckles Duke > Chief, why not? Gordon > Magus Zero > TEE-DUS Knuckles > Pikachu, in a 1v1 environment I'd have faith in Knuckles there Gordon > Duke Zero > Knuckles GORDON > ZERO AW YEAH --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "WHAT'S THE MATTER, SCARED??" |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/26/2009 4:35:41 AM | message detail |
I
don't see Epona being anything but fodder, personally. Being from the
Zelda series didn't do Tingle or Midna any favors. I figure Epona would
be in the same ballpark as Midgar Zolom. And I don't think Punch-Out!! boosted Little Mac out of fodder status. I still wouldn't choose him over two characters that were playable in Brawl. Diddy maybe, since he's pretty damn weak anyway. Hell, I wouldn't be shocked if he was snubbed this year. So when is the 2010 Character Contest going to start? --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
voltch | Posted 9/26/2009 4:44:34 AM | message detail |
yeah but Epona isn't hated like Tingle is and is much better known overall. --- Shakes Fist! |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/26/2009 4:47:16 AM | message detail |
She's
well-known, but she's not appealing enough to get votes besides joke
votes, and even then she's more of a CATS than a L-Block. At best, I'd figure she'd do as well as Cait Sith would. --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
voltch | Posted 9/26/2009 4:51:16 AM | message detail |
though cait sith is just asking for antivotes. --- Shakes Fist! |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/26/2009 8:19:18 AM | message detail |
Epona
would probably beat the tar out of Midna head-to-head. You probably see
her more than any other LoZ-character outside of Link (and Navi, who
WOULD be a joke), has her song etched into many of our minds, and is
featured in LoZ:OoT -- Tingle and Midna can't say they have a
significant part in the biggest game on GameFAQs. Besides, think about how much we've argued about Zack Fair's role in FF7 and how much that meant for his popularity...and you see Epona more in LoZ:OoT while being more helpful and in more games (though she doesn't have her own handheld-game, to be fair..get on that, Nintendo). Comparisons to Cait Sith and Midgar Zolom are silly; Cait is the most hated character from one of the most hated casts in history AND he wasn't particularly useful, while Zolom was a one-battle enemy that got especially embarrassed in its match due to Cloud. If Epona stole important items behind your back or had a match with Link, I'd expect her to lose bad too. Joke-votes are gravy, but Epona would be able to hold her own without them. I don't mean to insinuate she'll be close to Zack strength-wise, but she's had more face-time in more big-name games and we've argued a LOT about whether FF7 or CC:FF7 meant more for Zack. Epona could surprise, and at the least she should be able to beat Midna. --- Nominate DOC LOUIS (Punch-Out!!): T E A M C H O C O L A T E |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/26/2009 8:36:25 AM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/26/2009 8:42:37 AM | message detail |
And
yeah, I know I'm putting a lot of faith into Little Mac...but Little
Mac was really bad-ass back in the day and the new PO-game has captured
that same kind of magic. The difference is now PO is new again and it's
sold better than the games CF and Ike have been in lately (excluding
SSBB.....). I know VGChartz isn't perfect for capturing sales, but it
suggests PO this year has already outsold FE:PoR and FE:RD combined
(and I think I've heard it's still going strong), and F-Zero GX sold
terribly. We can also talk about Little Mac being fodder a lot, but
we've only seen him in two matches: against Link in 2002 and against
Ammy and Dante while dealing with another Nintendo boxer. He's been due
a fair chance for a long time, and now that he's got a revival with a
hot new game, he could make a name for himself against some of these
other Nintendo scrubs. SSB's the difference-maker though, and taking him over Ike is definitely an upset...but I feel fairly confident he would take Captain Falcon in a close one despite being a SSB-original. He's also take Diddy down without a problem, considering how he was embarrassed last year. Besides, Little Mac's an Assist Trophy. He's got this ****. --- Nominate DOC LOUIS (Punch-Out!!): T E A M C H O C O L A T E |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/26/2009 8:36:26 PM | message detail |
I
can see Little Mac taking out Diddy because Diddy's pathetically weak.
But Falcon's no weakling, and Little Mac has to boost quite a bit from
being tripled by Dante to be a threat to a guy who got 40% on Pikachu. Alright, another ****ing console poll! --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/26/2009 8:39:28 PM | message detail |
I'm
all for OOT characters being strong, but the problem with Epona is that
she's a horse. For that reason alone, I'd be hesitant about taking her
over Midna (though I'd do it) and wouldn't expect her to be anywhere
near Zack. I'm not sold on Epona beating Saria head to head. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/26/2009 8:43:48 PM | message detail |
I
could see Epona beating Saria, but both would be so weak that I don't
see it mattering. Epona's not a character people actually get attached
to, unlike many other characters. Hell, I could see Tingle beating
Epona, and Tingle's the worst character of any media in the past,
present, and future of all races in this and all other universes. --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
FinalFantasyTactics | Posted 9/26/2009 8:59:02 PM | message detail |
The thought of Epona beating the likes of Fox, Captain Falcon, Little Mac, and even Saria really doesn't feel right. |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/27/2009 5:43:30 AM | message detail |
Actually, I'd like to see Epona/Little Mac. Yeah, it's a fodder match, but it's definitely an interesting one. Little Mac's right in that area where he's strong enough to beat purely joke characters but not much else, so he'd be a good bar as to whether Epona has any real strength or not. --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/28/2009 12:10:02 AM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/28/2009 12:26:15 AM | message detail |
SotC-fans
got emotional about Agro the horse. Portal-fans got a box with hearts
from one level to be a Noble Nine-breaker. Pokemon-fans have nominated
and voted for numerous Pokemon (without ever getting a trainer in,
while we're at it). SSB-fans made Sandbag beat Magus despite Sonic
being in the poll, and he was the character most SSBB-fans wanted to
see in the game. Those same people also helped Master Hand win a match
once upon a time. It's pretty clear that you don't have to be a traditional character like what we think of to gain support. You can talk about joke-votes or whatever you like, and there would be no argument from me that Epona would have some of that as support. That said, given the above examples, Epona can't really be dismissed. She's important not just to LoZ:OoT but to the LoZ-series. She has enjoyable music most LoZ-fans have etched in their minds from having played it multiple times. You travel with her, collect with her, attack, race...dammit, she's just a likable horse known by tons of gamers, and that's probably more dangerous than we've given credit for in the past. If Sandbag can beat Magus with a Noble Niner featured in his biggest game -- and even if there wasn't SFF/LFF, that's still a sign of a punching bag having support -- Epona can be respectable. --- Nominate DOC LOUIS (Punch-Out!!): T E A M C H O C O L A T E |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/28/2009 5:34:09 AM | message detail |
Argo
would be pathetically weak, Pokemon is popular because the Pokemon
themselves are popular, and WCC and Sandbag are actually amusing
because they're just objects that can appeal to many people. Epona
doesn't have the appeal of L-Block, and she's far from the most
appealing character in her series. Her only intangibles are that being
a dumb horse can get joke votes, and she's from the Zelda series. I don't see Epona having any real strength. She'd probably beat other fodder, but put her against someone with strength and you'll get one dead horse. --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/28/2009 8:22:02 AM | message detail |
Of
course Agro is weak -- look at Wander. It doesn't change that people
cared about a horse in that game though, and if people can care about
one horse from one game, people can care about a horse from the biggest
franchise here. She doesn't have to be the most appealing character in
her series because none of the other examples mentioned are either,
though she gets more face-time than most of those examples and most
LoZ-characters outside of Link (and Navi, I guess). Getting her is
still a highlight/milestone in her games, too. She's also more
appealing than Midna or especially Tingle, and Sheik would probably be
the only other LoZ-character we haven't seen that would beat her. We'll probably have to agree to disagree until we see something substantial about Epona though...which could be awhile. --- Nominate DOC LOUIS (Punch-Out!!): T E A M C H O C O L A T E |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/28/2009 8:49:54 AM | message detail |
Unless
Bacon posts something soon, this will be our first contest that crosses
over between different years, and I think that alone puts the
possibility of another spring contest in jeopardy. Has he mentioned
anything about waiting for GameSpot's to end before starting our
Character Battle? --- Yoblazer: http://i39.tinypic.com/16kxfma.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2009 9:15:34 AM | message detail |
Portal-fans got a box with hearts from one level to be a Noble Nine-breaker. It's in two levels. --- Q: How do you find Carnegie Hall? A: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exOxUAntx8I |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2009 9:16:09 AM | message detail |
Also: I think SotC is the worst game ever made (seriously) and even I cried about the horse. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone has one and no one thinks theirs stinks." -Lunar 2 |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/28/2009 11:04:16 AM | message detail |
It's
been awhile since I've played Portal, my bad...what's the other
mission? I'm thinking of the one where you incinerate it at the end. --- Nominate DOC LOUIS (Punch-Out!!): T E A M C H O C O L A T E |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/28/2009 3:26:44 PM | message detail |
Speaking
of Sheik, I think she could be a near elite- as in possibly at or above
the level of Ganondorf and Zelda. I'm not sure if she's allowed in the
contest, but if she is- I need to nominate her. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/28/2009 3:29:23 PM | message detail |
Why
would she? Super Smash Bros. can only do so much and besides Zelda and
Ganondorf are already in that game, they're just not as popular.
Besides Shiek's role in LoZ is tiny compare to Zelda and Ganondorf. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls Congratulations to Krahenprophet for winning the guru contest |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/28/2009 3:32:59 PM | message detail |
Sheik
probably gets more screen time than Zelda or Ganondorf, and she manages
to be cooler than either. There are so many nostalgic moments with
Sheik - way more than any other character from the game. Sheik with
harp = my heart cries. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/28/2009 3:33:18 PM | message detail |
But
Sheik's role in OOT, the biggest Zelda game, is pretty huge. She is
also a lot more likable and "cool" than either Zelda or Ganondorf.
Zelda in particular often seems like a generic princess that needs to
be rescued. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 9/28/2009 3:45:52 PM | message detail |
I
think Sheik would be decently strong. Definitely not near-elite, but
Sheik could probably hold her (his?) own in the competition. Hell, s/he
probably is the fourth strongest Zelda character overall, that or Toon
Link. --- Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him. |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/28/2009 4:44:40 PM | message detail |
I
feel like Sheik is comparable to Vincent, in a way (although I like
Sheik much more as a character). She's the cool, shadowy, mysterious,
character of OOT, like Vincent is of FFVII. --- Link he come to town to dominate all other characters and trample them down with his sword of more votes. |