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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 753

MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:22:13 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #150
Brawl has an argument to be number 3 right now. Were you here during the hype train? The only game that would have had a chance would be Ocarina of Time. FFVII would probably lose more to Brawl than it would to OoT.


Brawl more or less lived up to the hype. Just because there were some vocal people against it doesn't mean it wasn't an amazing success.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 7/23/2009 8:22:46 PM | message detail
char, I normally respect your opinions and hold them in high regard, but you're crazy if you think Brawl would have ever had a shot at FFVII. The gap there is way too big.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:26:34 PM | message detail
BTW Leon, did you ever bother to get any preliminary xstats for the game contest? And if you did, how did Brawl and Melee stick up against eachother?
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red sox 777 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:29:42 PM | message detail
Brawl didn't live up to the hype, no, not when its core fanbase hates it and it's just a nice, casual, fun party game to its non-core fanbase. Notice that FFVII and OOT are both far far far more than a nice casual party game to their respective fanbases. You're not going to beat those games without a huge fanbase that absolutely loves a game.

Had the game lived up to its insane hype, it just might have had a very outside shot at FFVII, after release of course. I'd expect Melee to be a lot stronger now in that case too (as in easily above "tier 2," as I think it was for a couple years).
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:31:06 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #154
Brawl didn't live up to the hype, no, not when its core fanbase hates it and it's just a nice, casual, fun party game to its non-core fanbase. Notice that FFVII and OOT are both far far far more than a nice casual party game to their respective fanbases. You're not going to beat those games without a huge fanbase that absolutely loves a game.

Had the game lived up to its insane hype, it just might have had a very outside shot at FFVII, after release of course. I'd expect Melee to be a lot stronger now in that case too (as in easily above "tier 2," as I think it was for a couple years).


The game has better sales and reviews then Melee. I'd call that a success.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/23/2009 8:33:19 PM | message detail
It was successful, but that doesn't mean it lived up to the hype.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:35:00 PM | message detail
Maybe I don't understand exactly how big the hype was. But in general it seems it was better received then Melee (like it stood up better against OoT then Melee did), it sodl better, and got better reviews then Melee. I don't see how thats not living up to the hype. Sure, some tourney people might whine, but those are hardly the majority. And elitists whine about every big sequel not being exactly like the game they've played for years since they can't accept change. Its nothing new.
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red sox 777 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:35:06 PM | message detail
But it was a failure compared to its colossal hype, and fulfilling its absurd levels of hype was the only way it was ever going to contend with FFVII or OOT. And you know that reviews are completely irrelevant, and it is true that there is a lot more Melee fanboyism than Brawl fanboyism.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:37:00 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #158
But it was a failure compared to its colossal hype, and fulfilling its absurd levels of hype was the only way it was ever going to contend with FFVII or OOT. And you know that reviews are completely irrelevant, and it is true that there is a lot more Melee fanboyism than Brawl fanboyism.


If that is true, why did Brawl do much better against OoT? You'd think fanboyism would help it hold up better to SFF, but Brawl fans apparently were more loyal to not jump ship to OoT.
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red sox 777 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:39:30 PM | message detail
Triple SFF, Last Place Factor.....we've seen this before. Being at the bottom end of an SFF ladder with 3 games is not a good place to be in. Whether or not Brawl would beat Melee (I'll grant that it's questionable), Brawl probably wouldn't have fared much better if at all had RBY been in its match.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:40:28 PM | message detail
I wouldn't say Melee was at the end of the SFF ladder. I still think Melee and Brawl would beat out RBY in a 1v1 match.
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charmander6000 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:42:09 PM | message detail
The hype for Brawl was huge, especially on the internet. If you thought Twilight Princess hype was big Brawl dwarfed that.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3004

Those were all big titles and Brawl smashed them

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3050

Heck almost 3/4 of the site wanted the game.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:43:16 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #162
The hype for Brawl was huge, especially on the internet. If you thought Twilight Princess hype was big Brawl dwarfed that.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3004

Those were all big titles and Brawl smashed them

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3050

Heck almost 3/4 of the site wanted the game.


Any game with that kind of hype is going to disappoint if it was that big. It has nothing to do with quality, just too many expectations.
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charmander6000 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:45:20 PM | message detail
I'm just saying that with that kind of hype it could have won BGE2 or come a lot closer than it did despite not being released.

As the hype died down so did its strength, here's a poll after three months of its release.
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red sox 777 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:45:59 PM | message detail
I wouldn't say Melee was at the end of the SFF ladder. I still think Melee and Brawl would beat out RBY in a 1v1 match.

So....RBY was at the bottom of the SFF ladder even though it won 60-40 against Melee? Well then.

Also, hardcore fanbase theory has been discredited repeatedly by results....it's a sensible theory, but results have always rejected it.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:46:44 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/23/2009 8:47:21 PM | message detail
If it was anywhere close to living up the the hype after release, I could see it beating OoT. I don't think hype alone would have been enough to beat FF7 or OoT.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:47:24 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #165
I wouldn't say Melee was at the end of the SFF ladder. I still think Melee and Brawl would beat out RBY in a 1v1 match.

So....RBY was at the bottom of the SFF ladder even though it won 60-40 against Melee? Well then.

Also, hardcore fanbase theory has been discredited repeatedly by results....it's a sensible theory, but results have always rejected it.


Sorry, I misunderstood what you meant by SFF ladder. I thought you meant in terms of strength.
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red sox 777 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:48:47 PM | message detail
Any game with that kind of hype is going to disappoint if it was that big. It has nothing to do with quality, just too many expectations.

Not every game. Let me introduce you to The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time!

I didn't get FFVII until 2006, and I don't really know how big the hype was for it back in 1997, but I'm guessing it may have been a similar scenario.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/23/2009 8:48:50 PM | message detail
As the hype died down so did its strength, here's a poll after three months of its release.

This?:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3164
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charmander6000 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:49:27 PM | message detail
I forgot the poll >_>

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3164
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:49:57 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #169
Any game with that kind of hype is going to disappoint if it was that big. It has nothing to do with quality, just too many expectations.

Not every game. Let me introduce you to The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time!

I didn't get FFVII until 2006, and I don't really know how big the hype was for it back in 1997, but I'm guessing it may have been a similar scenario.


FFVII was nothing close. It was a hyped release, but FF had never even been a million seller before that, so it was no where near the level of OoT.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:50:14 PM | message detail
*million seller in America
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MetricTrout | Posted 7/23/2009 8:50:40 PM | message detail
Brawl didn't live up to the hype, no, not when its core fanbase hates it and it's just a nice, casual, fun party game to its non-core fanbase.

Melee was a nice, casual fun party game to most of its fanbase as well.

I never even played Brawl, but Smash's core fanbase sucks. I love Melee, but the tournament-style of playing Melee (with no items on stages like Battlefield or Final Destination) is some of the most boring crap ever.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:51:24 PM | message detail

From: MetricTrout | #174
Brawl didn't live up to the hype, no, not when its core fanbase hates it and it's just a nice, casual, fun party game to its non-core fanbase.

Melee was a nice, casual fun party game to most of its fanbase as well.

I never even played Brawl, but Smash's core fanbase sucks. I love Melee, but the tournament-style of playing Melee (with no items on stages like Battlefield or Final Destination) is some of the most boring crap ever.


I totally agree. Like in Brawl online, I hate it when people only use that boring stage and no items. The items and stage variety are some of the most fun parts.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/23/2009 8:53:30 PM | message detail
How was the reception to SMB3 when it was released? That's usually named as one of the most hyped games ever.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:54:11 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #176
How was the reception to SMB3 when it was released? That's usually named as one of the most hyped games ever.


Where's old man tranny when we need him
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red sox 777 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:56:58 PM | message detail
.....Personally, I think playing free-for-alls in any Smash game, Melee included, is really boring. 1v1 (or 2v2) is the only method of playing that I would categorize as "fun." Items do not instantly ruin the game, but it's more fun without them. And my dislike of free-for-alls goes all the way back to SSB64, before I'd ever tried 1v1s or owned a Smash game- I just disliked the game as a whole back then.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/23/2009 8:57:43 PM | message detail
With today's poll about to end soon, I think the next best choices for games to get their own poll tomorrow would be either FFX or LttP. Since they got to the finals in the contest.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:58:00 PM | message detail
Isn't free for alls the entire point of the game? If you want 1v1, why not play a fighting game dedicated to that?
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charmander6000 | Posted 7/23/2009 8:58:04 PM | message detail
SMB3 didn't have the internet to help it so its hype was limited to word of mouth and magazines. Imagine if the internet existed back then...
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 8:58:49 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #181
SMB3 didn't have the internet to help it so its hype was limited to word of mouth and magazines. Imagine if the internet existed back then...


Don't forget its hype was in movies, too.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 9:00:24 PM | message detail
"It's great, grinding is the most enjoyable part of the game"

imo
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red sox 777 | Posted 7/23/2009 9:02:20 PM | message detail
Well, I'm not much of a serious player (no plans to ever play in tourneys or anything)- Melee is something I play primarily to have fun. And 1v1 is fun, while free-for-alls are not, to me.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 7/23/2009 9:02:44 PM | message detail
Rate for OoT was under 40% in America, but over half of Europe hasn't finished it and 2/3 of Asia hasn't even played it. Nice.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 7/23/2009 9:03:53 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #185
Rate for OoT was under 40% in America, but over half of Europe hasn't finished it and 2/3 of Asia hasn't even played it. Nice.


Its weird how Nintendo games almost have American game trends
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red sox 777 | Posted 7/23/2009 9:05:36 PM | message detail
Well, both the N64 and Gamecube sold way better in America than in Japan or Europe.
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charmander6000 | Posted 7/23/2009 9:11:07 PM | message detail
More like Canada was Nintendo central.

68% used to own a PS while 78% used to own a N64

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3539&region=CA
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3541&region=CA

74% Gamecube, 40% Xbox and 81% PS2

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3537&region=CA
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3536&region=CA
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3529&region=CA
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/23/2009 9:11:54 PM | message detail
OoT's playrate was better in Canada than the United States, which is odd.
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charmander6000 | Posted 7/23/2009 9:21:20 PM | message detail
OoT's playrate was better in Canada than the United States, which is odd.

I'm not sure about the rest of Canada, but when I was young everyone owned OoT. OoT is one of the few games that I played/watched in different parts with many friends that if you actually glued them together I probably beat the game.
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L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 7/23/2009 9:27:14 PM | message detail
A shame we aren't getting polls for other games.

SMB3 hype seemed to be huge, and it also seemed to actually live up to it since it really was much bigger than SMB1. At one point it was the best-selling game of all time (at least before Pokemon and the Wii came around), and even today it's still very respected and ranks high in some lists. Hell, even with all these amazing games I've seen the past 15-20 years, SMB3 is still my all-time favorite game. It's a game everyone played, the first truly hyped game that even pretty much got its own movie to advertise it.

Brawl's hype was insane in the gaming community, but it's not like the hype for, say, Halo or GTA or what's planned for MW2, which reached out into the media. While Brawl's hype was so massive that it couldn't live up to all of it, it still won GotY here when most other sites weren't even choosing it for "Best Wii Game" and has a decent argument for being the #3 strongest game on GameFAQs, so at least a lot of GameFAQs thinks it's still a great game. There was a reason I went with it to win despite knowing it didn't live up to its hype. It won't beat FF7 or OoT, but no game ever well. FF13 won't, the new Zelda won't, the next MGS, Mario, Elder Scrolls, whatever won't. I don't see those two ever leaving their perches until gaming has radically changed, and by that point GameFAQs probably won't even be doing contests anymore so it'd be a moot point anyway.

Wow, I've been rambling.
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Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him.
Ngamer64 | Posted 7/23/2009 9:34:14 PM | message detail
Sooo, final stats. Again.


Have you ever played FF7?
Yes - 81.35% in May 2003
Yes - 75.04% in November 2005
Yes - 70.83% in July 2009

Have you ever played OoT?
Yes - 87.61% in November 2005.
Yes - 80.20% in July 2009


FF7 loses 4.21%, or 5.61% of its 2005 total.
OoT loses 7.41%, or 8.46% of its 2005 total.

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Have_You_Ever_Played

Well no doubt about it, OoT's been in a faster decline since the end of '05 than FF7. The difference being, Ocarina probably took a decent step UP between '03 and '05, or at least stayed fairly steady unlike FF7's 6% tumble, which would explain how it was able to reverse its 1v1 result against FF this season.

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Yesmar | Posted 7/23/2009 9:44:19 PM | message detail
Although I was only 2 at the time SMB3 hype > Halo 3 hype. SMB3 was expected to be bigger and better than the last games. Halo 3 was just supposed to be AS good as the last. Plus, so much of the hype was corporately driven.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/23/2009 9:55:46 PM | message detail
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Have_You_Ever_Played

You should be posting this page instead:

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Have_You_Played

The "Have You Ever Played" page redirects you to "Have You Played".
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/23/2009 10:08:33 PM | message detail
Trend chart for the OoT poll:

Time | Over 10 times | 4-9 times | 2-3 times | Just once | Never finished it | Never played it
EBV | .......9.40%....... | 20.23% .... | 20.89% .... | 11.59% .... | ........21.56%........ | 16.33%
PHV | .......9.73%....... | 18.66% .... | 22.36% .... | 11.98% .... | ........20.88%........ | 16.38%
FNV | .......9.27%....... | 16.12% .... | 21.79% .... | 11.97% .... | ........20.59%........ | 20.26%
BSV | .......7.12%....... | 14.88% .... | 20.80% .... | 12.03% .... | ........21.15%........ | 24.02%
DSV | .......9.02%....... | 15.63% .... | 22.07% .... | 11.98% .... | ........21.02%........ | 20.27%
ASV | .......10.52%..... | 16.58% .... | 22.19% .... | 11.35% .... | ........20.54%........ | 18.82%
SNV | .......11.70%..... | 16.86% .... | 21.70% .... | 11.43% .... | ........19.26%........ | 19.06%

OoT gets its strong board vote and Power Hour support as always and bombs the night vote. The morning was even worse, but the day vote was an improvement, though not as strong as the first hour.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
Ngamer64 | Posted 7/23/2009 11:17:53 PM | message detail
I know Luster, but everyone gets redirected to the page automatically and no one even notices that it happened, so it's safe to link to whatever URL you want. For instance,

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/LusterSoldier_Is_A_Grizzly_Bear

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/23/2009 11:28:44 PM | message detail
WTF, did you just set up page up to redirect to the "Have You Played" page? I tried out a bunch other stuff and none of what I tried redirected me to "Have You Played".
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/24/2009 2:42:29 AM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | Posted: 7/23/2009 9:04:48 PM | #134
it takes a troll to know a troll, and if both Ulti and I think he's one, well...


Pretty much.
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L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 7/24/2009 7:21:01 AM | message detail
He does ignore posts talking about him, never bringing them up while still posting his lists, though he will respond if you talk directly to him. I still think he's a good troll, it's just that his game plan just takes awhile before it really starts to grate on everyone's nerves. He found a good way to not get modded, though, and perhaps even divide the stats topic between people who find his act charming for a young teenager and annoying. It's a long-term payoff that I'd be willing to invest in since he's just spending ten minutes every day reposting old lists with slight changes.

And no, it's not me. I'd rather insult a user's dead mother than go out of my way to do something complicated. You guys know I have no qualms getting banned, hell, I got banned last contest just for the hell of it.
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Brawl did well for me, but not enough to net me the Guru win over Krahenprophet, so kudos to him.
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/24/2009 9:36:35 AM | message detail
You know what, I might as well post another list to prove something. Here's the first half of Entertainment Weekly's Top 50 list from 2008. The lack of a Smash or Sonic game is actually somewhat painful, but whatever.

50. Madden NFL 2005
49. World of Warcraft
48. WipEout
47. The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion
46. Perfect Dark
45. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time
44. Silent Hill 2
43. Psychonauts
42. Wing Commander II: Vengeance of the Kilrathi
41. Tecmo Super Bowl
40. Okami
39. Contra
38. Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare
37. Tekken 3
36. Star Wars: TIE Fighter
35. Super Puzzle Fighter II Turbo
34. Tomb Raider
33. Metroid Prime
32. Castlevania: Symphony of the Night
31. Marvel vs. Capcom 2: New Age of Heroes
30. Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic
29. Final Fantasy VI
28. BioShock
27. Soul Calibur
26. God of War

And that's why Soul Calibur made it into the contest over Super Smash Bros. Moving on, the next half.

25. Shadow of the Colossus
24. Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 2
23. Deus Ex
22. Super Metroid
21. StarCraft
20. Gears of War
19. Sid Meier's Civilization II
18. Half-Life
17. SimCity
16. Gran Turismo
15. Chrono Trigger
14. Resident Evil 4
13. Final Fantasy VII
12. Super Mario Galaxy
11. Halo: Combat Evolved
10. Metal Gear Solid
9. Grand Theft Auto IV
8. GoldenEye 007
7. Super Mario Kart
6. Street Fighter II
5. Guitar Hero
4. Super Mario World
3. Doom
2. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
1. Tetris

So...out of the top 5 games, one of them went out in the first round. Out of the top ten, two of them either did not make it or went out in the first round. Out of the top twenty, seven did not make it or lost in the first round. Out of the top 30, 14 lost in the first round or did not make it. Out of the overall list, THIRTY either lost in the first round or failed to show up. As far as more meaningful comparisons:

Despite Smash failing to show up, half of the top ten is comprised of multiplayer games. 8 out of the top 20 are multiplayer (Gran Turismo and Gears of War are mainly multiplayer, right?). Don't want to do any more comparisons here since I dunno whether stuff is multiplayer or not.