GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 748
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red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 5:33:24 AM | message detail |
And FFVII crosses 49% on OOT. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
voltch | Posted 6/8/2009 5:34:21 AM | message detail |
but oot is stalling,heck now it's gaining. --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 5:38:49 AM | message detail |
And then we have another 30 vote cut. There ain't no gettin' off this train we're on! --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
paulg235 | Posted 6/8/2009 5:39:49 AM | message detail |
Under
800 votes now. It could happen after all, I mean, no one expected SM64
AND Zelda 1 to come close to their opponents once they were losing by
well over 1000 votes. And more updates like that, FF7. --- The Gamer In Me I've lost the guru. How? I don't know (lol). |
hochiminhX | Posted 6/8/2009 5:41:13 AM | message detail |
Uh, OoT gains like 2000 votes when the ASV hits. But for humors sake, red sox can you post projections? --- I will bury you. |
Smurf FAQs | Posted 6/8/2009 5:41:49 AM | message detail |
FFX is performing the slowest comeback in the history of mankind. It's taken it 6 hours to gain 190 votes --- (\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak. (='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause. |
voltch | Posted 6/8/2009 5:42:57 AM | message detail |
only a rally will save FFVII,but hey voters are likely to side with oot instead. --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 6/8/2009 5:44:04 AM | message detail |
hmm,
that update drove in more average votes then the others in the lst 2
hours or so.. and OoT "magically" went up 30 votes.. Vote stuffing. --- Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII! He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII. |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 5:47:41 AM | message detail |
Ouch,
that update hurt a lot. But yes, here are the projections. They
actually look a good deal closer than they ever did last night. Based on Link/Cloud 2008, OOT wins with 50.38%. Based on Link/Cloud 2006, OOT wins with 50.42%. Based on FF/Zelda, OOT wins with 50.63%. Based on Crono/Vincent 2007, FFVII wins with 50.66%. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 6/8/2009 5:49:18 AM | message detail |
those
last two updates had 100 more votes then any of the last ones in the
past two hours.. and OoT sudden stalls, god.. i hate vote stuffers --- Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII! He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII. |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 5:52:54 AM | message detail |
Actually, I think I'm going to use the West Coast Before School Vote interpretation. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
Smurf FAQs | Posted 6/8/2009 5:54:18 AM | message detail |
How is Crono/Vincent in anyway relevant to the match at hand? --- (\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak. (='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause. |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 5:55:00 AM | message detail |
It isn't, but that doesn't mean I'm not going to continue including it for fun. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/8/2009 5:56:44 AM | message detail |
Actually, I think I'm going to use the West Coast Before School Vote interpretation. That probably makes sense. I remember when we blamed the west coast for the big cuts Zelda 1 got on Mario 3 around 6:00-7:00 PM. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ! |
Smurf FAQs | Posted 6/8/2009 5:58:58 AM | message detail |
blamed? more like credited. --- Smurf 60% of the time he's awesome every time. |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 6:01:10 AM | message detail |
On
one hand, the fact that OOT hasn't managed to win any hours with this
morning vote encourages me, on the other hand, stalls with the morning
vote very frequently turn into gains with the ASV. It should be a
pretty diulted ASV though- OOT will probably wreck the first hour, and
there will be panic, but then FFVII will start pulling it together
again. The West Coast ASV probably won't help OOT as much as the East
Coast ASV; FFVII always does better there. FFVII's second night vote used to be the best in the business, sans outside factors. It hasn't looked too good this year, but hey FFVII.....you got one more match of classic FFVII trends in you? --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 6:03:37 AM | message detail |
OOT by the hour: 1:00 | 55.70% 2:00 | 53.38% 3:00 | 49.25% 4:00 | 50.43% 5:00 | 45.17% 6:00 | 45.00% 7:00 | 49.83% 8:00 | 48.94% 9:00 | 48.62% --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
charmander6000 | Posted 6/8/2009 6:03:53 AM | message detail |
Nice to see FFVII making this respectable at night. Now if it wins the ASV that'll be something. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: OoT Points: 451/640 |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 6:19:29 AM | message detail |
OOT
didn't have much of an ASV against FFX last thursday. It kind of just
kept getting around what it was getting from 9-10 for the rest of the
match. Keep the faith. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
XIII_rocks | Posted 6/8/2009 6:46:03 AM | message detail |
I did it! Did I not say when nominations were released that my sole aim was to ensure FF7 did not win? Lo and behold >_>; No, but seriously, brilliant result and I don't even like Zelda that much. --- Justice for FD "This topic is now about Renee Walker aka Rack Bauer." - LostHisHardcore http://i39.tinypic.com/jtnpfb.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/8/2009 6:52:45 AM | message detail |
Remember,
FFVII still had a great morning vote in every match it was in, and so
did FFX. The ASV is where it got hurt. I'm impressed it's come this far
back though. Still rooting for the upset! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "Krahenprophet is lightning...the rain transformed." |
The Mana Sword | Posted 6/8/2009 6:54:20 AM | message detail |
Never thought I'd see the day when FFVII winning a match was considered an upset. --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
charmander6000 | Posted 6/8/2009 6:56:27 AM | message detail |
With the ASV we could possibly have Twilight Princess > Link to the Past in the stats. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: OoT Points: 451/640 |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 7:26:07 AM | message detail |
OOT
won the 9-10 hour, its first victory since 4 AM. I'm not really sure
what to make of it- if we were following true summer trends, this would
be the height of the Zelda morning vote, and FFVII would look pretty
good. If we're following schoolday trends, then we should be shifting
from the BSV to the DSV right now, and things look awful for FFVII.
We're probably somewhere in between those. OOT by the hour: 1:00 | 55.70% 2:00 | 53.38% 3:00 | 49.25% 4:00 | 50.43% 5:00 | 45.17% 6:00 | 45.00% 7:00 | 49.83% 8:00 | 48.94% 9:00 | 48.62% 10:00 | 50.98% Projections: Based on Link/Cloud 2008, OOT wins with 50.39%. Based on Link/Cloud 2006, OOT wins with 50.11%. Based on FF/Zelda, OOT wins with 50.57%. FFVII still improving with the projections, but they probably overrate it a bit. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
The Mana Sword | Posted 6/8/2009 7:27:22 AM | message detail |
Haha, seriously? --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
creativename | Posted 6/8/2009 7:32:10 AM | message detail |
At this point the only thing that can save FF7 is 4chan. Heh, which would actually be like the funniest **** ever, but only because that would never happen. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 7:35:31 AM | message detail |
OOT
trying to put FFVII away right now. Hope is fading. I don't think it's
going to go up much with the ASV, but if it just gets 51% or even 50%
hours until 8 PM, that would pretty much be game. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
The Mana Sword | Posted 6/8/2009 7:36:56 AM | message detail |
Its been game since about an hour into the match !! --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 7:43:34 AM | message detail |
FFVII's
best hope here is that a lot more schools finished since last thursday.
OOT didn't really improve much at all against FFX with the ASV compared
to the last 3 hours of the DSV last thursday. Now, with normal summer,
trends, it would do worse in the afternoon than in the very powerful
Zelda morning vote, so FFX not gaining with the afternoon/evening would
seem to imply some ASV to counteract those summer trends. Just gotta
hope for change. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 7:44:51 AM | message detail |
Speaking of which, I'm not convinced summer and weekend trends are actually the same. I don't think they are. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
charmander6000 | Posted 6/8/2009 7:52:16 AM | message detail |
Speaking of which, I'm not convinced summer and weekend trends are actually the same. I don't think they are. How big of a working population does GameFAQs have? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3443 This poll says between 20-30%, but I'm pretty sure many University students find work in the summer. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: OoT Points: 451/640 |
The Mana Sword | Posted 6/8/2009 7:52:20 AM | message detail |
Ocarina's vote stuffing. --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
HaRRicH | Posted 6/8/2009 7:53:18 AM | message detail |
Speaking of change, you gotta keep the Crono/Vincent comparisons with each comparison! Can't drop that until the match is over. --- BT > Harrich lol me |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 8:06:14 AM | message detail |
OOT
gets a 53% hour. Outside of the 6-7 hour, this is looking a lot like
pure summer trends- OOT going up this much with the "DSV" tells you
that. FFVII probably can't allow OOT 53% hours during the morning even
with pure summer trends though, so this is probably over regardless.
FFVII has like a 5% chance. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
The Mana Sword | Posted 6/8/2009 8:07:29 AM | message detail |
-5% chance, maybe. --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
transience | Posted 6/8/2009 8:21:06 AM | message detail |
man, FF7 has zero chance, I admire you for keeping the hope alive but there's nothing to cling to here. --- xyzzy OCARINA OF TIME I HATE YOU but Krakenprophet knows what's up |
The Mana Sword | Posted 6/8/2009 8:22:37 AM | message detail |
The fun thing will be to see if OoT can completely reverse the 2004 result by the end of the match. --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 8:31:00 AM | message detail |
Very few things in these contests have exactly zero probability. 5% is only 1 in 20- that probably sounds much better. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
transience | Posted 6/8/2009 8:32:32 AM | message detail |
nah, I like 0%. --- xyzzy OCARINA OF TIME I HATE YOU but Krakenprophet knows what's up |
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/8/2009 8:42:32 AM | message detail |
FFVII should end up in the 47-48% range on Ocarina, so old games will end up looking a little worse than this, but here we go: 1 Ocarina of Time 50.00% 2 Final Fantasy VII 48.70% 3 Red/Blue/Yellow 39.87% 4 Super Smash Bros. Brawl 38.64% 5 Super Smash Bros. Melee 38.33% 6 Twilight Princess 35.82% 7 A Link to the Past 35.66% 8 Super Mario 64 35.47% 9 Super Mario World 35.47% 10 Metal Gear Solid 35.11% 11 Final Fantasy X 34.59% 12 Super Mario Bros. 3 34.23% 13 Chrono Trigger 33.45% 14 Resident Evil 4 33.83% 15 Kingdom Hearts II 33.36% 16 Final Fantasy VI 32.48% 17 Metal Gear Solid 4 32.48% 18 Kingdom Hearts 32.40% 19 GoldenEye 32.17% 20 Gold/Silver 31.73% Possibly overrated: everything, but especially Melee and FFVI since their matches are based on LFF matches that we have no reason to believe are valid. There also appears to be a lot of questions about Brawl's value which affects its quarter of the bracket. Possibly underrated: Nintendo games in FFVII's half bracket. There was a lot of LFF flying around, and it could have affected LttP and Mario 64. And, of course, I have no idea how to fairly rate anything in divisions 1 and 2, so Mario World and Mario 3 are purely guesses. Same with Mario 1 and Zelda 1, but they are #23 and #24, respectively. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 8:44:58 AM | message detail |
Why is RBY at 39% on OOT? It got just below 37% once and 34% the other time. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/8/2009 8:44:58 AM | message detail |
Heh. What stats. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 8:46:44 AM | message detail |
Not that there's anything wrong with RBY being #3, of course. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/8/2009 8:46:59 AM | message detail |
ngirl
suggested to use its value on GS, GS on MGS, and MGS on Ocarina. This
takes care of Ocarina/RBY SFF, which tends to underrated it, but
introduces RBY/GS SFF, which tends to overrate. So it's probably
overrated. The formula looks cool though! =Division.D72/(Round2.C76/Round2.C74*0.5/Round1.C88*0.5)*0.5 --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/8/2009 8:49:02 AM | message detail |
FFVII cut. Now let's get about 147 more of those, Cloud. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/8/2009 8:55:48 AM | message detail |
though Asia actually seems to have the best taste overall. Please tell me this was a JOKE POST? BEcaue JRPG's is the only interesting genre out there? Butthurt FF fanboys need to stop crying. --- Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time |
voltch | Posted 6/8/2009 8:56:44 AM | message detail |
your the joke for trying to belittle people with different opinions. --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
charmander6000 | Posted 6/8/2009 9:00:00 AM | message detail |
So are we going to use the other 748 or should we move on to 749? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: OoT Points: 451/640 |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/8/2009 9:03:12 AM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/8/2009 9:03:52 AM | message detail |
Cry more. Great to see OoT owning, shame FFX is so close to Lttp. Insult really. --- Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time |